A Cool June Night Ahead

The Monday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:

http://www.jamesspann.com/

Thanks to Matt Marshall, one of our readers in Utah, for sending this great op-ed piece on "global warming":

http://www.denverpost.com/harsanyi/ci_3899807

I hope Mr. Harsanyi is ready for the onslaught of hate mail coming his way. If you missed it, Dr. William Gray was a guest on our WeatherBrains podcast a couple of weeks ago:

http://www.jamesspann.com/bmachine/post/wxbrains/4557/

Before I am called a fascist... lets move on...

TONIGHT: Cool is the word. And, that word is not used often here in June. We expect temperatures to reach the mid 50s by daybreak tomorrow. I expect at least one of the colder valleys to reach the upper 40s.

TOMORROW: Should be another sunny warm day with highs in the mid 80s.

WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: A disturbance coming down the back side of the eastern U.S. upper trough will bring a chance of scattered showers and storms to Alabama. The 12Z GFS is coming in now a little wetter on Wednesday, and a little drier on Thursday. Some big temperature differences between the GFS and the NAM; for example the GFS is showing a high of 77 on Wednesday, while the NAM brings the high to 85. You have to figure the NAM is a little closer to reality; for now we will mention mostly low 80s on those two days.

FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Heights increase, temperatures aloft warm, and the weather looks very uneventful. Lots of sun; highs in the upper 80s, and any afternoon showers or storms very isolated. Most places should be dry.

The upper ridge should hold into early next week.

LONG RANGE: The 12Z run pretty much took out the "cool" solution for mid-month advertised by the 00Z run of the same model. The ridge seems to win the battle, with the main trough over the northeast U.S. So, if this run is the correct run, the weather looks pretty routine through mid-month. The 12Z run is certainly more believable than the 00Z run. Lets take a look at the 00Z run before we make up our mind!

TROPICS: The elongated mass of clouds and showers from the northwest part of the Caribbean, across Cuba, the Bahamas, and into the Atlantic is on the eastern side of the upper trough over the eastern part of the U.S., and surface based tropical storm formation is not likely.

We will be recording a new WeatherBrains episode tonight; it will be ready on iTunes and the web early tomorrow morning... and the next map discussion video will be posted by 7:00 a.m...