Watching Developments To The West

The Thursday morning map discussion video is on the server, and available on iTunes:

http://www.jamesspann.com/

I guess in the weather business we always watch developments to the west. And, in the summer, you better see what is going on in all other directions as well.

But, a strong upper trough will be digging down through the Rockies today, and ultimately into Texas and Oklahoma over the weekend. Large scale ascent will increase east of the trough axis, and a pretty good rain event is shaping up over the next two days for parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Louisiana. Like us, they really need the rain and it is a good thing.

WHAT ABOUT US? We stay hot and dry today and tomorrow; lots of sun with highs in the 90 to 94 degree range for most spots. The upper trough will sit over Texas and slowly weaken over the weekend and into early next week, but it seems as though it might bring a fairly decent chance of scattered (mainly afternoon and evening) showers and storms to the western half of the state Saturday and Sunday. If you live along and west of U.S. 43 (west of a line from Florence to Tuscaloosa to Demopolis), the chance of getting wet over the weekend is about one in three. But, if you live in east Alabama, that chance drops to about one in eight.

Afternoon highs actually might back off a bit over the weekend due to scattered showers and cloudy periods, but on the other hand dewpoints will be going up, so humidity levels will be higher.

NEXT WEEK: We will still mention a chance of afteroon showers and storms in scattered spots Monday through Wednesday as the upper feature remains to the west, and a weak surface front approaches from the north.

Bottom line is that there is a CHANCE your front yard will get a shower or storm on a daily basis Saturday through Wednesday. But remember, just a chance. The scattered nature of afternoon showers in the summer can be very frustrating during the times like this when we really need rain on a widespread basis.

ALSO... remember that many water systems are running low, and if your water system administration is asking for water conservation, please follow their guidelines when it comes to watering the lawn, washing the car, etc.

TOPIC: TROPICS: The storm formerly known as Alberto is racing northeast away from the U.S. mainland now. The wave over the Caribbean has fizzled out, and another wave is in the central Atlantic moving to the west. Waves in that region rarely develop this early in the season, and tropical mischief doesn't look likely over the next week or so.

The next map discussion video will be posted by 3:30 this afternoon!
Posted by   www
on June 15, 2006, 6:24 am
I agree. We desparately need rain. I am in a "water conservation area" and with restrictions in place, it makes it kind of hard to have a green lawn!


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Posted by  
on June 15, 2006, 7:07 am
But just think Steph.... it keeps you from having to cut the grass.

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