And it is a story of a tropical storm that is being torn by wind shear and has greatly weakened. He was centered, early this morning, about 100 miles north of the north coast of Puerto Rico moving west at 13 with highest sustained winds all the way down to 45 mph.
I was just looking at an IR satellite loop and it is an amazing clearcut case of the circulation center becoming detached from the thunderstorm activity, which has actually broken away from the center and is moving southward and now located SE of the circulation center.
The official track forecast has changed since yesterday and now keeps Chris on a more westward track. He is expected to move along the edge of the north coast of Cuba Sunday and into the SE Gulf of Mexico early Monday. By early Tuesday, the center is expected to be over the South Central Gulf of Mexico.
The tropical models also insist on this more southerly track. In fact, two of the models carry the center across the Dominican Republic and Haiti and into the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. The northernmost model still keeps it south of the Florida peninsula.
It appears that the protective ridge to the north will hold and this should keep Alabama safe. The long-range projection points to a possible landfall near the South Texas-Mexico border around Brownsville, Texas at the mouth of the Rio Grande late Wednesday night or early Thursday.
I was just looking at an IR satellite loop and it is an amazing clearcut case of the circulation center becoming detached from the thunderstorm activity, which has actually broken away from the center and is moving southward and now located SE of the circulation center.
The official track forecast has changed since yesterday and now keeps Chris on a more westward track. He is expected to move along the edge of the north coast of Cuba Sunday and into the SE Gulf of Mexico early Monday. By early Tuesday, the center is expected to be over the South Central Gulf of Mexico.
The tropical models also insist on this more southerly track. In fact, two of the models carry the center across the Dominican Republic and Haiti and into the east coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. The northernmost model still keeps it south of the Florida peninsula.
It appears that the protective ridge to the north will hold and this should keep Alabama safe. The long-range projection points to a possible landfall near the South Texas-Mexico border around Brownsville, Texas at the mouth of the Rio Grande late Wednesday night or early Thursday.