From the ABC 33/40 Weather Blog one year ago today...
NOAA revised its prediction for the 2005 North Atlantic Hurricane Season this week. The outlook issued in May called for a 70 percent probability that the 2005 Season would be above average. So much for that. Let’s see where we stand so far this year. Through Friday night, we have already experienced eight named storms. Two of those have become hurricanes, with both going on to become major hurricanes. The long term averages as ten named storms, six hurricanes and between two and three major hurricanes. And we are just now getting into the peak of hurricane season.
I liked this quote from this week’s NOAA release: NOAA is calling for a 95% to 100% chance of an above-normal 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, according to a consensus of scientists at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Hurricane Research Division (HRD), and National Hurricane Center (NHC). This forecast reflects NOAA’s highest confidence of an above-normal hurricane season since their outlooks began in August 1998. Well, duh. The updated outlook calls for 18-21 tropical storms and hurricanes, with 9-11 of those becoming full-fledged hurricanes. Seven of these will become major hurricanes.
The remaining names: Irene, Jose, Katrina, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, Phillippe, Rita, Stan, Tammy, Vince and Wilma. As Brian noted this week, if we get to twenty one named storms, we will exhaust the list! That has happened once in the annals of North Atlantic Hurricane History, which stretch back to 1851. That was in 1933, which is generally regarded to be the busiest North Atlantic Hurricane Season of record, when 21 named storms formed.
NOAA revised its prediction for the 2005 North Atlantic Hurricane Season this week. The outlook issued in May called for a 70 percent probability that the 2005 Season would be above average. So much for that. Let’s see where we stand so far this year. Through Friday night, we have already experienced eight named storms. Two of those have become hurricanes, with both going on to become major hurricanes. The long term averages as ten named storms, six hurricanes and between two and three major hurricanes. And we are just now getting into the peak of hurricane season.
I liked this quote from this week’s NOAA release: NOAA is calling for a 95% to 100% chance of an above-normal 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, according to a consensus of scientists at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center (CPC), Hurricane Research Division (HRD), and National Hurricane Center (NHC). This forecast reflects NOAA’s highest confidence of an above-normal hurricane season since their outlooks began in August 1998. Well, duh. The updated outlook calls for 18-21 tropical storms and hurricanes, with 9-11 of those becoming full-fledged hurricanes. Seven of these will become major hurricanes.
The remaining names: Irene, Jose, Katrina, Lee, Maria, Nate, Ophelia, Phillippe, Rita, Stan, Tammy, Vince and Wilma. As Brian noted this week, if we get to twenty one named storms, we will exhaust the list! That has happened once in the annals of North Atlantic Hurricane History, which stretch back to 1851. That was in 1933, which is generally regarded to be the busiest North Atlantic Hurricane Season of record, when 21 named storms formed.