A Rather Pleasant Early September Day

The Wednesday afternoon map discussion video is on the web, and available on iTunes:

http://www.jamesspann.com/

Temperatures are generally running anywhere from 85 to 89 degrees this afternoon across the northern half of the state, and all of the showers on radar are way down south. One heavier shower is sitting over Camden, in Wilcox County. Makes me think of the day J.B. Elliott and I had a great lunch at Dallas Soul Food in Camden.

TOMORROW: While the air near the surface is rather dry, a southwest flow aloft will mean some scattered clouds. Even some hint at a few isolated showers tomorrow afternoon east of I-65, but most places will remain dry.

FRIDAY-SUNDAY: Humidity levels will be rising, and a few widely scattered afternoon showers could show up. But, rain will be light and very spotty, and many communities will remain dry over the weekend. Highs will be mostly in the upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z run of the GFS has backed off a bit on the system expected on Tuesday; it backs off on that while bringing in a stronger system on Thursday. We won't make any big changes in the forecast yet, but hopefully one of those two waves will bring some needed rain to the state. Looks like highs for much of next week will be somewhere between 87 and 90, about normal for this time of the year.

FLORENCE: Sustained winds are up to 50 mph; looks like the system is still fighting shear from the satellite presentation, which is a bit ragged. No change in the model consensus; the north turn should begin over the weekend with the system staying east of the U.S. Atlantic coast. It might come dangerously close to the island of Bermuda early next week.

OTHER TROPICAL TOPICS: The wave in the Caribbean is hanging tough, near the Dominican Republic and Haiti. No sign of any low level circulation, but we will keep watching it. The system behind Florence is really struggling, and with the circulation of Florence being so large it might be absorbed by ole Flo. And, a hybrid type system seems to be forming east of the Georgia/Florida coast, that might bring windy and wet weather to the Atlantic coast as it moves northeast.

JOIN THE PARTY: Be sure and bookmark our sister site, WeatherParty.com:

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I sure enjoyed seeing the first graders today down at Vincent Elementary School... look for them on the KIDCAM today on ABC 33/40 news at 5:00! I will have the next map discussion video posted by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow!