Strong Storms Early Next Week

The Friday afternoon map discussion video is on the web, and available on iTunes:

http://www.jamesspann.com/

While we enjoy a dry and warm weekend, we will be watching the storm system in the northern U.S. closely. Lots of snow likely for the mountains in Montana, Wyoming, and northern Utah, and strong to severe storms developing in the warm sector southeast of the surface low.

It still looks like our primary window for rain and storms will come from around noon Monday through noon Tuesday. Many Alabama communities will receive one to two inches of rain, and we will have a chance of strong to severe storms along the front. While the main upper support will be a little north of here, the latest GFS suggests the wind fields will be rather strong, and there will be some helicity involved. The amount of surface instability is very much in question; that will really determine the actual severe weather threat.

SPC has about the western half of Alabama in a severe weather risk for Monday and Monday night.

The rain will end from west to east Tuesday morning, followed by much cooler air. Looks like we will have highs only in the mid 70s on Tuesday thanks to lingering clouds and cold air advection. Sunshine returns Wednesday with very pleasant temperatures; highs in the 70s and lows in the 50s. Some of the cooler spots might even reach the upper 40s Wednesday morning.

Going to have to keep this one short today; we just finished another ABC 33/40 10th Birthday celebration (for employees only), and I am way behind schedule today. Brian Peters will have the map discussion videos over the weekend, and my next one will by posted Monday morning (it will be coming to you from Dallas, where I will be spending a couple of days in the Lone Star State).

Keep an eye on the blog this weekend; we will keep you updated on the threat of strong to severe storms Monday. Have a great weekend, share some laughs, and spend some time with your family...
Posted by   www
on September 15, 2006, 1:56 pm
ick!! .... having another rainy day would otherwise be fine with me, however, in the last rain, we discovered we have a leaky roof......

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Posted by Jason R  
on September 15, 2006, 3:50 pm
During last springs potential severe weather events the problem seemed to always be lack of instability.
I wonder if it will be the same way this fall?


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