Severe Clear

The Wednesday morning map discussion video is on the web, and available on iTunes:

http://www.jamesspann.com/

Scroll down to the post below this one for some thoughts on the coming winter season.

What a great morning for a long walk. Fall is in the air; most places are well down in the 50s, and tomorrow morning should be even cooler. Highs today will be in the mid to upper 70s, while there remains a good chance many of you will see upper 40s by daybreak tomorrow. The humidity will stay very low, and during the day today we will enjoy a fresh north breeze.

MOIST AIR RETURNS: Friday will be a day of transition; dewpoints will rise quickly, and we will bring in a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms by the afternoon hours. A vigorous storm over the plains will weaken and move north of Alabama, so for now the chance of severe storms looks pretty small. But, a heavy downpour or two will be possible, and there will rain at some high school football stadiums Friday night.

WEEKEND WET AT TIMES: A surface front will hang up north of here over the weekend, and with a deep pool of moist air in place we will have to mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms both Saturday and Sunday. The weather will be warm and muggy with highs in the mid 80s both days. No wash-out, but just keep in mind a shower or storm will be possible at almost any time over the weekend.

NEXT WEEK: Showers will end early Monday, and sunshine should return in full force Monday afternoon as dry air takes over. For now the weather looks dry and pleasant Tuesday and Wednesday.

LONG RANGE: The GFS remains very consistent in the idea of a very deep long wave trough over the eastern U.S. at the end of the month and the first of October. If this solution is indeed correct, that would mean a risk of strong to severe thunderstorms, followed by the coolest air so far this season; possibly getting us into the 30s.

TROPICS: Helene is a good looking hurricane in the central Atlantic, but the system will recurve and is no threat to the U.S. Gordon is still a hurricane near the Azores, and is headed for the northern part of Portugal and Spain. The GFS keeps all new tropical systems in the middle of the Atlantic during the next two weeks, and the Gulf and the Caribbean remain very quiet.

OXFORD WEATHER EVENT: The NWS will hold their annual severe weather awareness day at Quintard Mall in Oxford today from 1:00 until 5:00; that includes a SKYWARN class from 3:00 until 4:00. Jason Simpson will be doing the weather live on ABC 33/40 from 11:00 until 12:00 noon if you want to come out and visit.

I will also be in East Alabama much of the day; I am speaking in Gadsden during the lunch hour, and then will be headed over to Jacksonville where I will be doing the weather live at 5:00 and 6:00. I will be working out of our mobile weather office, StormChaser 33/40, and should have all blog and video products posted on time this afternoon!

Enjoy the day; it doesn't get much better than this!
Posted by  
on September 20, 2006, 6:00 am
Hey JB I got a low of 52.0 for Alabaster I live in Navjho Pines.

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Posted by  
on September 20, 2006, 6:04 am
I dropped to 46.5° at 0636 at Black Creek, my coldest since a 45.4° on June 6th.

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Posted by  
on September 20, 2006, 7:47 am
I had a low of 54 here in the Alabaster Highlands Subdivision. We left the windows open last night and I slept like a rock!

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Posted by Mikey  
on September 20, 2006, 8:41 am
I have to say that it could be better than this...we could have 6 inches of snow on the ground and get to stay home from work.

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Posted by  
on September 20, 2006, 9:42 am
there ya go Mikey - I won't argue with that idea :)

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Posted by  
on September 20, 2006, 10:57 am
OK you two... dont start with the snow. Some of us don't get told to stay home on snow days.

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