The Thursday morning map discussion video is on the web, and also available on iTunes:
http://www.jamesspann.com/
Scroll down and read the post below ths one about "the golden days of fall"... this sure is a great time of the year. But, it is also a time when big rain events are usually far and few between, and today's cold front is not going to be a big rain producer. Despite excellent dynamic forcing, the lack of moisture means light rain today for the state. The NAM/WRF shows 0.23" for Birmingham today, while the GFS is even drier with only 0.10. And, for those of you south of Birmingham, you probably won't see a drop.
The big story with the front is the cooler air to follow. Despite total sunshine tomorrow we will struggle to reach the 70 degree mark, and Saturday morning will be our coolest morning so far this fall. The GFS is showing a low of 44 for Birmingham, but the NAM/WRF is a little warmer with 48. We will trend toward the cooler GFS, but as you all know numbers will be all over the place due to the terrain variation here. I do think a few of the colder valleys will go into the upper 30s for the first time this year, and I bet someone will report a little light frost.
THE WEEKEND: Saturday and Sunday should be rain-free, and a warming trend begins Saturday afternoon as we rise into the upper 70s. We will go into the 80s on Sunday with a partly sunny sky.
WARM WEATHER RETURNS: October will begin with a series of warm days thanks to an upper air ridge building overhead. We will be well in the 80s next week, and a few spots in West Alabama might even touch 90. No rain for most of the week due to the warm air aloft, and the fact that the main storm track will be well to the north.
LONG RANGE: The upper ridge will break down and we will expect cooler temperatures in the October 7-15 time frame. For now we don't see any major storm systems on the board that would bring a risk of heavy rain or severe weather, that stuff usually holds off until November when our fall tornado season begins.
TROPICS: Tropical depression 9 is expected to become tropical storm Isaac today, but it will remain well east of the U.S. over the open water of the middle Atlantic. The rest of the Atlantic basin is relatively quiet.
Busy day ahead; I will be doing a weather program today at Bluff Park Elementary School, and this evening I will be doing the weather live from the Southern Women's Show at the BJCC at 5:00 and 6:00. I should be able to crank out an afternoon map discussion video between those two events; President Bush will be just down the street from us at the Hoover Municipal Complex, I hope I am able to get into the station without too many problems. But you never know...
Enjoy your Thursday and I will try to have the next video posted by 3:30 this afternoon!
http://www.jamesspann.com/
Scroll down and read the post below ths one about "the golden days of fall"... this sure is a great time of the year. But, it is also a time when big rain events are usually far and few between, and today's cold front is not going to be a big rain producer. Despite excellent dynamic forcing, the lack of moisture means light rain today for the state. The NAM/WRF shows 0.23" for Birmingham today, while the GFS is even drier with only 0.10. And, for those of you south of Birmingham, you probably won't see a drop.
The big story with the front is the cooler air to follow. Despite total sunshine tomorrow we will struggle to reach the 70 degree mark, and Saturday morning will be our coolest morning so far this fall. The GFS is showing a low of 44 for Birmingham, but the NAM/WRF is a little warmer with 48. We will trend toward the cooler GFS, but as you all know numbers will be all over the place due to the terrain variation here. I do think a few of the colder valleys will go into the upper 30s for the first time this year, and I bet someone will report a little light frost.
THE WEEKEND: Saturday and Sunday should be rain-free, and a warming trend begins Saturday afternoon as we rise into the upper 70s. We will go into the 80s on Sunday with a partly sunny sky.
WARM WEATHER RETURNS: October will begin with a series of warm days thanks to an upper air ridge building overhead. We will be well in the 80s next week, and a few spots in West Alabama might even touch 90. No rain for most of the week due to the warm air aloft, and the fact that the main storm track will be well to the north.
LONG RANGE: The upper ridge will break down and we will expect cooler temperatures in the October 7-15 time frame. For now we don't see any major storm systems on the board that would bring a risk of heavy rain or severe weather, that stuff usually holds off until November when our fall tornado season begins.
TROPICS: Tropical depression 9 is expected to become tropical storm Isaac today, but it will remain well east of the U.S. over the open water of the middle Atlantic. The rest of the Atlantic basin is relatively quiet.
Busy day ahead; I will be doing a weather program today at Bluff Park Elementary School, and this evening I will be doing the weather live from the Southern Women's Show at the BJCC at 5:00 and 6:00. I should be able to crank out an afternoon map discussion video between those two events; President Bush will be just down the street from us at the Hoover Municipal Complex, I hope I am able to get into the station without too many problems. But you never know...
Enjoy your Thursday and I will try to have the next video posted by 3:30 this afternoon!
on September 28, 2006, 6:11 am
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