High Risk Day

As J.B. mentioned in his post below, SPC now has a rare high risk in place over parts of Mississippi and Louisiana:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html

A moderate risk is in place to the Columbus, MS area, and much of Alabama is in a slight risk for late tonight. And I do mean late... the stronger storms probably won't move in here until after midnight

I will make a complete post when the afternoon video update is loaded in a bit... but not much has changed in my thinking, despite the high risk to the west. Like most events this spring, we are having a hard time getting real high quality unstable air in here.... true maritime tropical air. So, I do expect a threat of strong straight line winds as the storms cross the Alabama border initially, but I also expect those storms to weaken as they move into the more stable air over central and east Alabama.

But, when it comes to thunderstorms...

EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED.

I am making this post at the tail end of a meeting... will be swinging by Inglenook Elementary at 1:00, and then on to ABC 33/40. Will try to have everything ready by 3:00.

J.B.'s afternoon package will be posted over on the seven day discussion and forecast page by 2:30, and he will be manning the blog for whatever happens tonight.

Seems like this has been a spring with lots of late night/early morning severe weather threats that are somewhat marginal. Doesn't exactly help those of us trying to get a few hours of sleep every now and then!