Too Many Warnings?

The last F5 tornado around here was on April 8, 1998. A total of 32 people were killed that night in Jefferson county in the western suburbs of Birmingham, in places like Oak Grove, Rock Creek, Sylvan Springs, McDonald Chapel, Edgewater, and Pratt City. The same parent thunderstorm dropped another tornado east of Birmingham in St. Clair county, killing two people north of Pell City. Plenty of things have changed in the last seven years, especially in the way local media handles tornado coverage.

ABC 33/40 was the only station with continuous coverage the night of April 8, 1998, and at the time the concept of long form tornado coverage was still a novelty since we had only been on the air for less than two years. There is no doubt the “wall to wall” coverage that night on our station was a very successful and crucial part of the warning process.

Now, most of the local TV stations and many local radio stations have joined our bandwagon, and go with long form coverage during tornado warnings. I still don’t think anybody else here promises the wall to wall coverage when ANY county in the designated market area is under a tornado warning. But, there is now plenty of media coverage during tornado warnings, and I am glad this is the case. But, the downside is that this kind of coverage had become “ho-hum”, and I somehow don’t think it has the same impact it had seven years ago. Too many false alarms with tornado warnings, too many severe thunderstorm warnings, and too many moderate to high risks coming from the Storm Prediction Center. I am not blaming anyone at the various NWS offices; but that is the simple truth. We must all work on improving the FAR (false alarm ratio).

For this reason, I am a big proponent of initiating a new formal “tornado emergency” message that will be used when a tornado is on the ground, and confirmed. This will kick the urgency “up a notch”, and get folks attention. The term is used now in a rather informal way, but I think it needs to be in the NWS directory of "official" warnings.

I hope it doesn't take another strong/violent tornado to prevent people from being lulled to sleep on severe weather safety.
Posted by  
on April 26, 2005, 11:40 pm
All good points James, and I think the new "diamond formation" doppler radar systems will also contribute to a substantial reduction of unnecessary tornado warnings. We'll just have to see. In any case, keep doing what you're doing... We appreciate it.

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Posted by  
on April 27, 2005, 6:15 am
I can always kinda read between the lines..

WHen you guys say:

"Look we have a tornado warning here.. but we arent getting any damage reports or sightings.. " you kinda know its a radar tornado.. not an actual one.

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Posted by Joe  
on April 27, 2005, 7:46 am
It people wait til after a 'confirmed' tornado is broadcasted, then it will be too late for many people to take any action....I believe the polygon warning system now being used/tested by NWS will solve some FAR problems...but will not really change your excellant wall-to-wall coverage.

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Posted by  
on April 27, 2005, 8:59 am
A "tornado emergency" might help those toward the end of a long-track tornado, but it seems that most tornadoes in the south hit hardest in their early stages, before ground truth becomes available. If I recall correctly, there were no reports of damage from the 1998 F5 until after it had hit Oak Grove, although a warning was in effect.

I recall years ago, our family would run to our shelter whenever strong storms were forecast because timely tornado warnings weren't often issued. Now, we monitor radar on TV and the computer and often take cover only as a radar-indicated rotation approaches nearby.

Giving another level of warning would simply make most people, who don't closely monitor the weather, diminish the urgency of a tornado warning because they might wrongly believe that the lack of the "emergency" means that it isn't on the ground.

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Posted by  
on April 27, 2005, 9:31 am
I never ever said I wouldnt take action.. Its just that Im not AS worried.. if James said.. "Oh My.. U. of A. just got blown away..? Well.. I kinda would be worried.. but as it stands right now.. I dont get worried... but always take action. Im not a fool.

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Posted by  
on April 27, 2005, 2:30 pm
I agree with mcalvert.. we tend to let our guard down at times. the statement that scott made about " reading between the lines and that the tornado is radar tornado" that kind of thinking is dangerous. If a tornado warning is given we should take it seriously, reguardless.

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Posted by  
on April 27, 2005, 2:30 pm
I agree with mcalvert.. we tend to let our guard down at times. the statement that scott made about " reading between the lines and that the tornado is radar tornado" that kind of thinking is dangerous. If a tornado warning is given we should take it seriously, reguardless.

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Posted by Bill  
on April 27, 2005, 4:25 pm
I think mcalvert is an Oak

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Posted by  
on April 27, 2005, 5:06 pm
That's why I take the warnings seriously Bill. I don't wish to land on a tra... er... manufactured home.


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