Five O'clock Shadow

April 29, 2005, 4:03 pm
Posted by J.B. Elliott in Severe Weather
Rating: 0/5   Votes : 0
Still not a single shower in Alabama at 5 pm--not a drip.

In the Tornado Watch that extends from NE Texas to the Alabama border, still no thunderstrorms within the box. However, a line of mostly light showers has developed across NW Louisiana. This could be the beginning.

Some of the ingredients in the pie to make severe weather not as impressive as earlier. Still looks dangerous for North and NW Alabama...less so for the eastern and southern counties.

500 millibar chart looks a bit wimpish.

LLJ (Low Level Jet) not projected to be as strong as earlier models.

But way too early to lessen the watch. Will be interesting to see the 00Z (7 pm CDT) models.

Atmosphere has been pretty well capped much of the day...warm layer aloft. Forcing could change that.

Bottom line...let's all watch and wait.
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Posted by joey  
on April 29, 2005, 4:13 pm
This system will be typical of the other storms that have pushed through central Alabama lately. Some severe thunderstorm warnings and a tornado warning or too. Nothing drastic. Not one storm has fired up during the heating of the day, and the daytime heating will fade away soon. But severe weather is possible haing said this.

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Posted by   www
on April 29, 2005, 4:34 pm
Hard to believe in a moderate risk area with long track tornadoes expected that at 5:30 PM we don't have a warning to the west much less a storm.

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Posted by steve w  
on April 29, 2005, 5:48 pm
Here in Anniston,I just don't get that feeling we'll have bad weather,when I walk outside.In severe weather in the past,I could walk outside and get that feeling bad weather is coming,and we would,I just have'nt had that feeling this year,in any of the supposed severe event.Does that make sense or am I just crazy.......

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Posted by  
on April 29, 2005, 6:03 pm
Steve, I couldn't put my finger on it, but you just explained exactly how if feel. I just don't get that bad weather feeling. I'm glad "I'm" not crazy

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Posted by steve w  
on April 29, 2005, 6:21 pm
Susan,you made me feel better,at least we're not crazy.My PaPa(god bless his soul),always told me,you could feel bad weather coming.He owned a farm,and he could tell by how his animals acted,if bad weather was coming.You know what,he was never wrong when it come to bad weather,it still amazes me when I think about my PaPa and the weather.I guess in the past,farmers like my PaPa,depended on their instincts,and watching the instincts of their animals,when it came to the weather.They sure did'nt have tv or a web blog to turn to for the weather.I think that's pretty fascinating......

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Posted by  
on April 29, 2005, 6:56 pm
Steve, maybe you have your Pa Pa's instincts. I sure hope so. My dad was same way.

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