Busy Day In The Office

Who needs sleep anyway?

Looks like we do indeed have a tornado track in Lamar county in west Alabama from that very impressive storm that moved through there around 4:00 a.m. If you were watching our long form coverage on ABC 33/40 you saw it as well. No injuries, but a nice damage track. We will get a survey from the NWS later.

Afternoon video is posted for viewing:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

Sorry for no morning web video today, but it was all emphasis on TV during the severe storms.

We will have to get through one more round of rain and storms late tomorrow night into Thursday, and then we make the change to the winter weather mode beginning next week.

The 12Z GFS has backed off on the idea of a December 16-19 snow or ice threat here, but the prior six runs or so have supported the idea. I still think somebody across the deep south will have the first winter storm threat of the season in that time frame. The 12Z GFS suggests an inverted trof with all rain. But, the pattern looks very cold to me. I think the GFS model output statistics are way too warm for the middle of next week.

We will finally be able to move from the "concept" phase to the forecast phase on this in just a couple of days.

Another big cold punch seems in the offing around December 20-22. Santa might just be right at home this year.

REMEMBER: We do not forecast specific events beyond seven days, so we are NOT forecasting ice or snow now. We are simply looking at trends and patterns that give us a general idea of what will happen. And, the latter half of December looks cold and unsettled.