The Tuesday morning web video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Guess we might see a few showers forming later today near the Georgia border, but it sure looks like most places will stay dry today as the weak upper trough moves on to the east. Most places did not get enough rain to measure last night; Birmingham's total was a whopping 0.01". That is now the rain total for the month of May, and don't look for any rain through Friday.
The big story is we are expecting the warmest weather so far this year tomorrow and Thursday, with highs in the 86 to 89 degree range. For tomorrow afternoon, the NGM is spitting out 89, while the GFS has 87. The ETA is running way too cool with highs only in the low 80s. The upper ridge and warm air aloft means little chance of rain.
WEEKEND: The next storm system once again will bypass Alabama to the north, but the trailing cold front will pass through here at some point Sunday. The latest run of the GFS in hand has the front zipping through Sunday morning. In advance of this, there should be a fairly decent chance of showers and storms beginning Saturday afternoon lasting through at least part of the day Sunday. Severe weather is doubtful with the best support to the north, but hopefully some places will get a half inch of rain or so. We sure need it...
THE LONG RANGE: The GFS not really consistent in the longer range. The 00Z run develops a big 5880 circle on the 500 mb chart over parts of West Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, and New Mexico in the May 19-20 time frame (can you say HOT
, with a trough over the northeast. Bottom line is that it still looks like no serious severe weather threat or heavy rain episode is showing up at this time.
Headed over to Jacksonville today to see the fourth graders at Kitty Stone Elementary school... one of my May traditions. I always enjoy the visit.. when I see those kids I know the summer break is almost here!
Will be back in the office for the afternoon update later today.
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Guess we might see a few showers forming later today near the Georgia border, but it sure looks like most places will stay dry today as the weak upper trough moves on to the east. Most places did not get enough rain to measure last night; Birmingham's total was a whopping 0.01". That is now the rain total for the month of May, and don't look for any rain through Friday.
The big story is we are expecting the warmest weather so far this year tomorrow and Thursday, with highs in the 86 to 89 degree range. For tomorrow afternoon, the NGM is spitting out 89, while the GFS has 87. The ETA is running way too cool with highs only in the low 80s. The upper ridge and warm air aloft means little chance of rain.
WEEKEND: The next storm system once again will bypass Alabama to the north, but the trailing cold front will pass through here at some point Sunday. The latest run of the GFS in hand has the front zipping through Sunday morning. In advance of this, there should be a fairly decent chance of showers and storms beginning Saturday afternoon lasting through at least part of the day Sunday. Severe weather is doubtful with the best support to the north, but hopefully some places will get a half inch of rain or so. We sure need it...
THE LONG RANGE: The GFS not really consistent in the longer range. The 00Z run develops a big 5880 circle on the 500 mb chart over parts of West Texas, Oklahoma, Colorado, and New Mexico in the May 19-20 time frame (can you say HOT
, with a trough over the northeast. Bottom line is that it still looks like no serious severe weather threat or heavy rain episode is showing up at this time.Headed over to Jacksonville today to see the fourth graders at Kitty Stone Elementary school... one of my May traditions. I always enjoy the visit.. when I see those kids I know the summer break is almost here!
Will be back in the office for the afternoon update later today.
on May 10, 2005, 5:49 am
Things look like they have changed again..... ugh.
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