The Tuesday afternoon web video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
SPC has placed much of Alabama under a slight risk of severe storms for the rest of the afternoon... they even issued a MCD (mesoscale convective discussion) for us and mentioned the possibility of a severe thunderstorm watch.
I simply disagree. The 500 mb trough and the coldest air aloft is well to the east of us. Sure, maybe one or two isolated showers (we have a couple of them now around Smith Lake as I write this), that should be it.
The big story is the summer-like heat. We are still talking highs in the 86 to 89 degree range tomorrow and Thursday. I am sure we will hear from some people claiming they had a high of 95, but those folks are measuring the temperature of the thermometer and not the air! To measure temperature properly, you need to have the thermometer about six feet off the ground, in a good instrument shelter painted white, and over grass. One way or another the weather will be very warm, and what most will call hot over the next several days.
Guess you can't totally eliminate the chance of isolated afternoon showers each day, but warm air aloft and the upper ridge should crush most of the cumulus towers before they develop into storms.
THE WEEKEND: The 12Z GFS still suggests the best chance of showers and storms will come from about 4:00 Saturday afternoon through 11:00 Sunday morning. This timing will probably change as we get closer to the weekend. But, sure looks like we have a decent chance of getting a cold front all the way through, with drier and slightly cooler air by Monday of next week.
Enjoyed the visit with the 4th grade at Kitty Stone Elementary in Jacksonville today... they will be on the KIDCAM today on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
SPC has placed much of Alabama under a slight risk of severe storms for the rest of the afternoon... they even issued a MCD (mesoscale convective discussion) for us and mentioned the possibility of a severe thunderstorm watch.
I simply disagree. The 500 mb trough and the coldest air aloft is well to the east of us. Sure, maybe one or two isolated showers (we have a couple of them now around Smith Lake as I write this), that should be it.
The big story is the summer-like heat. We are still talking highs in the 86 to 89 degree range tomorrow and Thursday. I am sure we will hear from some people claiming they had a high of 95, but those folks are measuring the temperature of the thermometer and not the air! To measure temperature properly, you need to have the thermometer about six feet off the ground, in a good instrument shelter painted white, and over grass. One way or another the weather will be very warm, and what most will call hot over the next several days.
Guess you can't totally eliminate the chance of isolated afternoon showers each day, but warm air aloft and the upper ridge should crush most of the cumulus towers before they develop into storms.
THE WEEKEND: The 12Z GFS still suggests the best chance of showers and storms will come from about 4:00 Saturday afternoon through 11:00 Sunday morning. This timing will probably change as we get closer to the weekend. But, sure looks like we have a decent chance of getting a cold front all the way through, with drier and slightly cooler air by Monday of next week.
Enjoyed the visit with the 4th grade at Kitty Stone Elementary in Jacksonville today... they will be on the KIDCAM today on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00!
on May 10, 2005, 2:13 pm
AC
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