The Thursday morning web video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Not sure when to quit using "very warm" and using "hot" in the forecast, but I think today qualifies as "hot" for me. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, with a few spots possibly reaching the low 90s. Like yesterday, one or two isolated showers could pop up during the heat of the day, but 98 percent of the state should be dry.
The heat backs off just slightly tomorrow as the upper ridge begins to break down a bit.
WEEKEND RAIN: I am not very encouraged about us getting any beneficial rain this weekend. Model QPF keeps getting smaller and smaller, and it is beginning to look like rain totals will be in the 1/4 inch range for most places with a narrow band of showers Saturday night. There could be a little thunder and lightning, but no severe weather with the main dynamic support so far to the north. Birmingham's rain total for the month is only 0.01", and the deficit for the year is well over five inches now.
No rain for much of next week... as dry air moves in following the front that passes through early Sunday.
That drier air should give us a nice cool morning early Monday, with low 50s. Maybe even some upper 40s in the colder spots over north and central Alabama.
THE LONG RANGE: The GFS is showing a clear trend toward lowered heights over the eastern U.S. during the last half of May, which could very well mean cooler than normal temperatures for us. I don't think anybody will find that bad news. I am not convinced we will have any big rain events during the change, but maybe we will have at least one good chance for showers and storms as the eastern U.S. trough sets up. I don't like to see these dry conditions as we head into summer.
Headed out to Cherokee Bend Elementary in Mountain Brook today for a weather program... not many of those left before summer vacation!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Not sure when to quit using "very warm" and using "hot" in the forecast, but I think today qualifies as "hot" for me. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, with a few spots possibly reaching the low 90s. Like yesterday, one or two isolated showers could pop up during the heat of the day, but 98 percent of the state should be dry.
The heat backs off just slightly tomorrow as the upper ridge begins to break down a bit.
WEEKEND RAIN: I am not very encouraged about us getting any beneficial rain this weekend. Model QPF keeps getting smaller and smaller, and it is beginning to look like rain totals will be in the 1/4 inch range for most places with a narrow band of showers Saturday night. There could be a little thunder and lightning, but no severe weather with the main dynamic support so far to the north. Birmingham's rain total for the month is only 0.01", and the deficit for the year is well over five inches now.
No rain for much of next week... as dry air moves in following the front that passes through early Sunday.
That drier air should give us a nice cool morning early Monday, with low 50s. Maybe even some upper 40s in the colder spots over north and central Alabama.
THE LONG RANGE: The GFS is showing a clear trend toward lowered heights over the eastern U.S. during the last half of May, which could very well mean cooler than normal temperatures for us. I don't think anybody will find that bad news. I am not convinced we will have any big rain events during the change, but maybe we will have at least one good chance for showers and storms as the eastern U.S. trough sets up. I don't like to see these dry conditions as we head into summer.
Headed out to Cherokee Bend Elementary in Mountain Brook today for a weather program... not many of those left before summer vacation!
on May 12, 2005, 6:03 am
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