Memorial Day Afternoon Update

May 30, 2005, 1:34 pm
Posted by James Spann in Weather Discussions
Rating: 0/5   Votes : 0
The web video updates and podcasts will be back tomorrow morning.

A few thoughts from the office on this holiday afternoon...

*Models still look very wet for the next two days. Here is the latest extraction from the models (12Z runs):

GFS 2.35"
NAM 1.99"

Most all model output, including the WRF, suggest the heaviest rain during the next 36 hours will come along and south of I-20.

*The radar is very quiet right now... just a few patches of light rain. The big convective complex on the Gulf coast this morning cut off the good inflow today and accordingly rain had been light and spottty up this way since daybreak. We shouldn't have much rain for the rest of the day.

*This is a very cool Memorial Day. Birmingham's 1:00 temperature is only 65 degrees, almost 20 degrees below normal. Checked the thermometer atop Mt. Cheaha, and their temperature is a cool 59 degrees.

*That cool air means no severe weather problems for us; SPC maintains a slight risk of severe storms through tomorrow for the far southern part of the state.

J.B. Elliott is on the afternoon forecast shift; his package will be posted shortly over on the seven day discussion and forecast page:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/7day.hrb

I will be on the TV night shift... see you at 5:00 on ABC 33/40.
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Posted by jack  
on May 30, 2005, 5:05 pm
Thanks for the hard work, you and your staff put in. But the weather will always fool even the best. And there are streaks where meteorologist are correct and look like they actually have a good feel for the weather, I am sure they do. But when there forecast blows up in there face over and over again, people think they dont have a good feel. To make this simple weather forecasting is 80% of the time a hypothesis. The other 20% is the individual forecasting the weather.

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