Still Soggy

The Tuesday afternoon web video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

If you like clouds and rain, you will like our forecast through tomorrow. Same routine, cloudy with periods of rain, and maybe a little thunder. The most widespread rain will be along and south of I-20 through this evening, but the entire pattern will shift north, and those of you north of Birmingham who have been short changed on rain over the past couple of days will have your turn tomorrow (hopefully). No severe weather, but additional rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible statewide through tomorrow night.

Models diverge a bit on Thursday. The WRF takes the surface low northeast, to South Carolina, on Thursday and tries to dry us out, while the NAM and GFS leave broad low pressure on top of us with rain still likely. We will side with the NAM and GFS since they have done a fairly decent job with this current pattern, and we will maintain a good chance of rain and storms on Thursday.

Friday should feature a little sunshine with showers becoming fewer in number and more scattered.

THE WEEKEND: The GFS shows a very soupy airmass in place, with dewpoints in the upper 60s to near 70. Won't take much to squeeze out rain in that kind of pattern, especially with relatively cool air aloft for June. So, look for scattered to numerous showers and storms over the weekend, mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. Highs should be in the 80s, closer to normal levels for this time of the year.

DOWN THE ROAD: The 12Z run of the GFS introduces a strong trough over the eastern U.S. around June 12-14, and tries to drive a strong surface cold front through here, followed by dry air. Not sure I believe that, especially on one model run. We will watch for future trends.

Will make some notes on the coming hurricane season on my post here tonight... it begins tomorrow!
Posted by Josh  
on May 31, 2005, 5:13 pm
I would love to see: ☼ but I guess we'll have to wate until Thurs or Fri.

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Posted by Jason  
on May 31, 2005, 5:57 pm
The sun? What's that?

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Posted by Josh  
on May 31, 2005, 5:59 pm
A steady light to moderate rain will continue across virtually all of north and central Alabama through at least 7 PM. In fact there is really no immediate end in slight.. as weather radars show the rainy weather extends nearly all the way down to the gulf coast. Those traveling on interstates 65, 20, and 59 will have wet conditions across the entire length of Alabama.

Reply to this comment
Posted by Josh  
on May 31, 2005, 6:06 pm
The sun is what it is

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Posted by Josh  
on May 31, 2005, 7:02 pm
Tonight through Friday: Rain...rain and more rain will be the story for this time frame. The well stacked low will continue to spin around Panama City and then slowly move north along the Mississippi/ Alabama line through Thursday. The low will stop influencing the area by Friday when the Bermuda high takes over.
Brief Periods of heavy rain may occur with the stronger thunderstorms. The one hour flash flood guidance is around three plus inches everywhere. Don't expect any widespread problems, a few areas could have some localized short duration urban flooding.
Saturday through Tuesday: A return to a more summertime like pattern is exected. A high will build to the southeast bringing a chance of afternon and evening showers and thunderstorms will gradual warm up in temperatures.

Reply to this comment
Posted by Josh  
on May 31, 2005, 7:53 pm
They're going to increase the pop to 100 percent. Rain is pretty much covering the entire area. If it isn't raining where you are right now...it will here shortly.

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Posted by Jason  
on May 31, 2005, 8:47 pm
I see your sense of humor is harder to come by than your forecast. Did you cut, copy, and paste that from the NWS discussion?


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Posted by Josh  
on May 31, 2005, 8:51 pm
Yes, It's obvious I figured people would figure it out.

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Posted by Jason  
on May 31, 2005, 9:22 pm
We've really only gotten our first decent rain today out of this whole mess. I was still to play basketball outside yesterday.

Reply to this comment
Posted by   www
on May 31, 2005, 9:22 pm
Ok, J & J ya'll need to get a life!
I just hope this is not a repeat of last June..I didn't cut grass the entire month because it was too wet. A relatively warm and dry summer would be nice.

Reply to this comment
Posted by Jason  
on May 31, 2005, 9:27 pm
Constructive Critisism, gotta love it.

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Posted by Josh  
on May 31, 2005, 9:39 pm
Current Surface Map............
...............................____........
..______________/........\_.....
..|........|.........|.........\...........\....
.|.........|..........|...........\......./......
..|........|.....##..|.############
.|___...|..#..___|_______/.........
......@.#|__|___.....__.....\.........
..#..@...............\_/.....\.....\........
......@@.....................\......\......
................................................
#= stationary front..................

Reply to this comment
Posted by Jason  
on May 31, 2005, 9:41 pm
That's pretty cool.


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