The Thursday afternoon map discussion video is on the server:
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Some very healthy showers and storms have formed this afternoon over parts of north and central Alabama. The most numerous storms are along and east of I-65, and they are producing very heavy amounts of rain. These storms will diminish tonight.
The weather will look and feel more like June tomorrow through the weekend, with increasing amounts of sunshine, and a trend toward showers and storms becoming more widely spaced. Afternoon temperatures will rise into the mid 80s, about normal for early June in Alabama.
NEXT WEEK: Very humid air will continue to cover Alabama like a blanket, so scattered showers and storms will stay in the forecast all week. Too early to pinpoint days on which rain will be more widespread; the small scale features responsible for increased rain coverage this time of the year are usually hard to define several days in advance on computer model output.
THE LONG RANGE: The 12Z run of the GFS tries to develop a trough from the midwest down to the Gulf coast in the June 15-16 time frame, pushing a surface cold front through here followed by a nice batch of dry, continental air. I don't believe that... hard to get a good front through here in mid-June.
TROPICAL: The Atlantic basin is quiet now, but the GFS continues to hint at lower surface pressures over the central or southern Gulf in 7 to 14 days; we will watch for signs of any early season systems trying to form down there.
Gonna get back to the radar position and watch the ongoing storms. Don't expect any widespread severe weather issues; more concerned about flooding!
http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb
Some very healthy showers and storms have formed this afternoon over parts of north and central Alabama. The most numerous storms are along and east of I-65, and they are producing very heavy amounts of rain. These storms will diminish tonight.
The weather will look and feel more like June tomorrow through the weekend, with increasing amounts of sunshine, and a trend toward showers and storms becoming more widely spaced. Afternoon temperatures will rise into the mid 80s, about normal for early June in Alabama.
NEXT WEEK: Very humid air will continue to cover Alabama like a blanket, so scattered showers and storms will stay in the forecast all week. Too early to pinpoint days on which rain will be more widespread; the small scale features responsible for increased rain coverage this time of the year are usually hard to define several days in advance on computer model output.
THE LONG RANGE: The 12Z run of the GFS tries to develop a trough from the midwest down to the Gulf coast in the June 15-16 time frame, pushing a surface cold front through here followed by a nice batch of dry, continental air. I don't believe that... hard to get a good front through here in mid-June.
TROPICAL: The Atlantic basin is quiet now, but the GFS continues to hint at lower surface pressures over the central or southern Gulf in 7 to 14 days; we will watch for signs of any early season systems trying to form down there.
Gonna get back to the radar position and watch the ongoing storms. Don't expect any widespread severe weather issues; more concerned about flooding!