SKYWARN Training Today

Getting caught up on important notes!

SKYWARN training is today in Marion County:

http://www.marioncert.org/

If you live somewhere around Hamilton and want to learn how to spot severe storms, you need to be there! We always need more trained spotters!


Storm Survey Reports

I dont think this has been posted here so far... this is the survey report from the NWS team looking at Monday's damage:

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1100 PM CST TUE MAR 14 2006

...TWO SUPERCELLS PRODUCE MINOR DAMAGE ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA...

TWO SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS MOVED FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA...FROM APPROXIMATELY 3:30 PM UNTIL 9:00 PM. SUPERCELLS ARE
THUNDERSTORMS WHICH EXHIBIT STRONG UPDRAFTS AND CONTAIN PERSISTENT
ROTATION. THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE TYPICALLY THE MOST DAMAGING AND
CAN PRODUCE STRONG TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS. A
BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED BEHIND THESE SUPERCELLS...BUT
THESE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED MAINLY PEA SIZED HAIL AND A BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOUR. SUPERCELL 1 STARTED IN WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WHERE IT
PRODUCED AT LEAST FOUR TORNADOES IN MONTGOMERY...WEBSTER...AND CLAY
COUNTIES. THE STORM THEN ENTERED LAMAR COUNTY NEAR SULLIGENT...AND
DISSIPATED IN ETOWAH COUNTY NEAR RAINBOW CITY. SUPERCELL 2 FORMED IN
EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI AND ENTERED LAMAR COUNTY NEAR MILLPORT AND
DISSIPATED IN ST. CLAIR COUNTY NEAR MOODY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR MUCH OF
WESTERN AND NORTHERN ALABAMA AT 2:05 PM AND WAS VALID UNTIL 8:00
PM. A SECOND TORNADO WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR NORTH AND EAST ALABAMA FROM
5:55 PM AND WAS VALID UNTIL 11:00 PM. ALL LOCATIONS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 WERE INCLUDED IN A TORNADO WATCH AT SOME POINT.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS PERFORMED GROUND AND AERIAL
SURVEYS ACROSS CENTRAL ALABAMA. GENERALLY MINOR DAMAGE WAS FOUND IN
SEVERAL LOCATIONS ACROSS SEVERAL COUNTIES. NO MAJOR DAMAGE OR
INJURIES OCCURRED WITH THESE STORMS.

FAYETTE COUNTY...SUPERCELL 1 MOVED ACROSS FAR NORTHERN FAYETTE
COUNTY. AT 4:54 PM...AN F1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES
EAST OF GLEN ALLEN IN FAR NORTHERN FAYETTE COUNTY. THE TORNADO
TRACKED NORTHEASTWARD WHERE IN UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES ALONG ITS
PATH. THE TORNADO CROSSED COUNTY ROAD 65 AND COUNTY ROAD 53 BEFORE
ENDING NEAR ELDRIDGE ROAD AT 4:57 PM. THE TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS 1.5
MILES LONG AND 50 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

WALKER COUNTY...NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FUNNEL CLOUDS WERE RECEIVED AS
SUPERCELL 1 MOVED ACROSS NORTHERN WALKER COUNTY. AT 5:39 PM...AN F1
TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN APPROXIMATELY 1.5 MILES EAST OF THE CURRY
COMMUNITY ALONG BURROWS CROSSING ROAD. THE TORNADO COMPLETELY
DESTROYED ONE BARN AND SHEET METAL WAS STREWN DOWNSTREAM OVER 300
YARDS. ONE OTHER BARN WAS HEAVILY DAMAGED AND A FEW TREES WERE
BLOWN DOWN. THE TORNADO DISSIPATED IN LESS THAN ONE MINUTE. THE
TORNADO DAMAGE PATH WAS LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE LONG AND 25
YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

TUSCALOOSA COUNTY...SUPERCELL 2 MOVED ACROSS FAR NORTHERN TUSCALOOSA
COUNTY NEAR THE FAYETTE AND WALKER COUNTY LINES. AT APPROXIMATELY
5:54 PM...AN FO TORNADO BRIEFLY TOUCHED DOWN IN RURAL NORTHERN
TUSCALOOSA COUNTY JUST EAST OF U.S. HIGHWAY 43. THIS LOCATION IS 9.5
MILES NORTH OF SAMANTHA. THE TORNADO PRODUCED LITTLE TO NO DAMAGE. A
STORM SPOTTER CAPTURED IMAGES OF THE TORNADO. THE TORNADO DAMAGE
PATH WAS 0.1 MILES LONG AND 20 YARDS WIDE AT ITS WIDEST POINT.

THE SURVEYS AND EVALUATIONS ARE STILL ONGOING AND ADDITIONAL
DETAILS WILL BE RELEASED WHEN COMPLETE.

FOR ADDITIONAL STORM SURVEY OR PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION...VISIT THE
BIRMINGHAM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BMX.
DAMAGE PHOTOS AND RADAR IMAGES WILL BE ADDED AS TIME PERMITS.

And... this is from the NWS in Hiuntsville concerning the Cullman County damage:

The initial touch down was along county road 501 about 13 miles south-southwest of Cullman, just east of I-65, about 2 miles east-southeast of the I-65 291 exit. The tornado initially knocked down a few trees in this area and had a path length of 75 yards and a 50 yard path width. Winds were at 70 mph, making it a F-0 tornado. The tornado lifted and then touched down briefly again along county road 504, (attached image) about 11 miles south of Cullman. The path length of the F-0 tornado with winds topping out at 60 mph was at 20 yards in length and 20 yard width. The tornado again quickly lifted and then touched down again about 4 miles northeast of the previous touch down, along the north end of county road 506, about 9 miles southeast of Cullman. The path length was again around 20 yards and path width at 20 yards. Again, the tornado was an F-0 with max speeds at 60 mph.


Clouds, But Not Much Rain Today

The Thursday morning map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

As March weather systems go, the one passing through today is pretty much a wimp. Clouds, maybe a few sprinkles, and that is about it.

A fresh surge of cooler and drier air rolls in here late tonight, and tomorrow should be a mostly sunny but cool day for Alabama.

But, interesting times are ahead....

THE WEEKEND: Clouds roll in here on Saturday, and some rain should reach the state Saturday night as a major late winter storm continues to develop and strengthen over the southwest U.S. Sunday looks very cool, and very wet. Rain should fall much of the day with temperatures holding in the low 50s. Looks like a great afternoon for a long Sunday nap.

Not much doubt Monday will be wet. Probably very wet. But, will we have any risk of severe storms? A close call on us breaking into the warm sector. The 06Z GFS runs the surface low from Tyler, Texas to Tupelo, which could keep the warm sector mainly over the southern half of the state. And, even down in South Alabama the quality of the warm sector is very much in question; I just don't know if we can get mid 60 dewpoints in here. For now we will mention a good chance of rain and thunderstorms... we can adjust the severe weather threat as we get closer.

We might have an issue with flash flooding before the rain ends late Monday night; amounts of 2 to 4 inches sure look possible over the northern half of the state from Saturday night through Monday night.

MIDDLE OF SPRING BREAK WEEK: This period, Tuesday through Thursday, should be dry but cool.

END OF SPRING BREAK WEEK: We get wet again. This time, a storm system will move through the northern Gulf of Mexico, with rain Friday into Saturday. And yes, there continue to be hints of snow on the northern periphery of this system. Late March snow flakes over North Alabama? Stranger things have happened... but lets wait before we jump on that idea.

LONG RANGE: The 06Z GFS shows a very cold upper trough over the eastern U.S. at the first of April. I doubt if we see low 80s again until sometime in mid-April. This past weekend was just a tease... temperatures should be cooler than normal here on an average basis for the next three weeks.

I will be back on a somewhat normal schedule today; I have a big midday meeting, and will be in the office in plenty of time to get everything updated by 3:30 as usual. Yesterday was one of those long days...


On The Road...

On the road…

What a busy day yesterday. I spoke to the pre-school kids in the weekday program at Hunter Street Baptist Church early in the day. These were 4, 5, and 6 year olds; we met in the Outfitters 2:52 worship center, which is my “home” every Sunday morning at Hunter Street and the place where 1st through 4th graders worship. Those little ones were great listeners; I always hearing their “stories” which often have nothing to do with what you just talked about! Nice being able to do a weather program on my “home turf”… The Outfitters 2:52 center is really an amazing place.

From Hoover it was a quick ride up into far Northeast Alabama. I ran up I-59 to Gadsden, and then up U.S. 411 to Centre, in Cherokee County. From Centre it was on to Alabama 68, through Cedar Bluff, and into the small community of Gaylesville, which is a good 90 miles away from Birmingham, and not too far from Rome, Georgia. I had the honor of presenting a program on weather to the entire student body in the gym. The hospitality was wonderful and I sure enjoyed the visit. The entire school was decorated in weather posters made by the kids; I know that was hard work.

That is one of my favorite parts of the state; Gaylesville is also very close to the Little River Canyon, Weiss Lake, and Desoto State Park. There is inherent beauty all across Cherokee and DeKalb counties up in Northeast Alabama. I do believe every Alabamian should spend some time there to see what we have to offer. I simply had no time for sightseeing yesterday, however; once the weather program was complete I had to scoot back down the highway to Birmingham to make it back in time for my regular evening television shift. But even a quick trip is a very good thing. Good for the soul...


Craven Thoughts

Just got this note from Jeff Craven over at the Jackson NWS office... since I am so tight on time today his comments are very helpful:

James...looking more and more like you'll be on the mark about early next week. Big polar high with wedge like cool/dry feature stuck in GA/AL and persistent east to southeast flow of modified low level air will make it difficult to get rich low level moisture north of the coastal strip.

However, it does appear that strong warm air advection and frontogenesis above the low level cold dome will keep rain and elevated thunderstorms prevalent. So, your wet and cool idea, particularly for northern and central AL, looks good for Mondayish.

The ECMWF is much slower with this system. Right now, I'm most confident that it will be wet across MS/AL from late in the weekend into Monday and Tuesday. Also, you can be pretty confident that parts of the Central Rocky mountains and central high plains are going to get buried in snow.

GFS suggests 1-2 feet of snow in Wrn/Cntrl Nebraska.

JPC



Busy Day

Due to the travel schedule and some hardware issues here, I won't be able to produce a video or discussion this afternoon. Let me refer you to J.B.'s afternoon discussion and forecast package over on the seven day page:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/7day.html

I will get these fires put out and all should be to normal tomorrow.

Also... the WeatherBrains podcast for this week will be produced tonight and will be available by RSS or iTunes early tomorrow morning. That severe weather event Monday has us backed up on chores!


Wednesday Morning Chill in the Air

A list of low temperatures on this Wednesday Morning:

ALABAMA
25 in Black Creek with a heavy frost (NE Etowah County)
27 at Little River Canyon and in Cottondale (frost)
28 in Pinson, Fort Payne, Desoto State Park
29 in Crossville, Florence, Talladega, Munford (light frost in Munford)
30 in Cullman, Leeds, Athens, Alabaster (heavy frost in Alabaster)
31 in Vinemont, Anniston, Decatur, Moulton, Albertville, Hartselle, Helena, Jasper
32 in Huntsville, Troy, Tuscaloosa, Montgomery, Meridianville, Guntersville, Wadley, Northport
33 in Muscle Shoals
34 in Wedowee, Evergreen, Kinston (Coffee County)
35 at Birmingham Airport
36 at Eutaw, Tuskegee, Shelby County Airport (NWS Office)
37 in Auburn
39 in Dothan, Selma and atop Mt. Cheaha
40 in Clay (NE Jefferson County at an elevation of 1032 feet)
41 in Mobile and in Bluff Park (elevation 990 feet, Birmingham area)

REGIONAL
27 in Gatlinburg
14 atop Mt. Leconte in Smoky Mountain NP

NATIONAL
15 below zero at Hallock, Minnesota
34 below at Northway, Alaska

This may be overkill. You may not be interested in all of this information. However, since it was such a late cold snap and lots of stuff was blooming, thought it might be helpful.

* Be sure and scroll down to see Brian's interesting account of his big blowout while storm chasing!


Good Deeds Save My Day

Monday, March 13th, was a busy day. James asked me to substitute for him at a scheduled talk at Woodland Forrest Elementary School in Tusdcaloosa. He doesn't ask me to do that very often, but with the potential for severe weather, he did not want to be too far away from the Weather Center.

Once the talk was over, I checked in with the Weather Center and learned that they wanted me to head toward Hamilton to meet up with a live truck and Bill Castle to do live shots at 5 and 6 pm as the weather came into Alabama. I headed up US 43 to reach US 78 and head to Hamilton. But as I monitored radar in the Chaser, I realized we needed to be further south. I coordinated with the Weather Center via live Instant Messaging, and we rerouted the live truck to Winfield which appeared to be a good decision based on current movement of the first supercell.

Upon reaching the US 43 turn to Fayette, I decided to head due north on SR 13. Lovely country with the rolling hills. As I came over one of those hills about 12 miles south of Eldridge, disaster struck!

There was a sudden loud noise followed by more loud flapping that could only mean one thing - a blowout! The ride suddenly got rough, but I could tell it was on the right rear side. I steered with both hands and used the brake lightly to slow the Chaser and get to the shoulder of the road. As soon as the Chaser had stopped, and my heart came down from about 1000 beats per minute, I got out to look at the damage.

The tire was shredded! So I sent word to the Weather Center about being disabled, and I started looking to change the tire. I found the jack and some instructions - boy, reading instructions, I must be desparate. I got the jack located on the frame and began raising it when my first guardian angel arrived.

Gary White was on his way home with a brand new truck he'd just gotten at his job. I did not find out what Gary did, but he had lots of tools and much more mechanical know-how than I did. He helped me raise the car and we tried to loosen the lug nuts. But neither of us could budget any of the lug nuts.

Gary got some additional tools from his truck including a 4-foot long bar. With that extra leverage, the lug nuts were no match for Gary. So we jacked some more and got the shredded tire off the Chaser. But now, how in the world do you get the spare tire out from under the Chaser? I didn't know and neither did Gary, but he said there must be some way to lower the tire. My second guardian angel arrived just then.

Tyrone Oswalt (and I'm not sure of the spelling) stopped to see if he could help, and he knows vans. He showed us exactly how to lower the tire. Now the spare was ready to go on, so we had to raise the jack just a bit more. The spare slipped on and Gary tightened the lug nuts. I cranked the jack down and Gary suggested I might need a little air for the spare. Tyrone walked back to his van and pulled out an air hose connected to an air tank and topped up the tire. I was ready to hit the road again!

I offered to pay them for their help, but they wouldn't have it. Gary said, "I try to do something good every day." And I thought, "Boy, I sure am glad I was the one who got his good deed for this day." I jumped back into the Chaser and headed for Winfield. The rest is history as Bill Castle and I sent live pictures of the first supercell storm back to the station.

I am so thankful for Gary and Tyrone and for all their help in getting me back on the road. Their unselfish assistance to a stranger from out-of-town certainly shows the giving nature of people in Alabama. Gary and Tyrone, thanks again. And God bless you for helping a stranger.

-Brian-

Shredded blowout from the Storm Chaser

Shredded Tire from the Storm Chaser




Snow Scenes From Arizona

Thought you might enjoy these images from one of our viewers...

James,
A North Alabama boy out on business in northeast Arizona here. Arrived here on Sunday right after the big storm moved through and was amazed at what I saw! Over 4 feet of snow in places. Apparently Alabamians are not the only ones who get excited about this stuff on the way up US-60 between Phoenix and Globe there were hundreds of people from the valley building snowmen on the sides of the roads in the mountains. Some were actually loading there pickups full to carry back down to the valley to build snowmen. Some had even built them on the tops of cars. When I reached my destination at Pinetop I saw over 4 feet of snow in places. The slopes have opened up here today and tourists are pouring in from the valley area. I have included some shots I took on my way up and once I arrived. The only thing I can compare this to is the blizzard of 93.











Nice Warm-Up Today

The Wednesday morning map discussion video is on the server:

http://beta.abc3340.com/weather/video.hrb

No, we won't be in the low 80s today, but upper 60s are likely after a frosty start this morning. Scroll down to read J.B.'s post on early morning temperatures. We do indeed have a cold March morning across Alabama. Dry air means lots of sunshine today.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: A weak cold front will slip through here tomorrow night and will bring some chance of light rain. Moisture is really limited, and I am not sure we will even have enough rain to measure. Maybe nothing more than sprinkles. Best chance of light rain comes from about 6:00 p.m. tomorrow through 3:00 a.m. Friday. A fresh supply of cool air slips in here Friday; the NAM is showing a high of only 53 while the GFS has 60. One way or another Friday should be cool and dry.

THE WEEKEND: Another major storm moves into the southwest U.S. I still think most of Alabama will be dry on Saturday, but some rain will ease in here Saturday night in advance of a warm front. Sunday should be a cool and wet day with periods of rain. Temperatures on Sunday will probably hold in the 50s all day.

SPRING BREAK WEEK: Once again... lets break it down:

MONDAY (March 20): Wet is the word. Sure looks like it will be hard for conditions here to favor severe weather, however. Even if we get in the warm sector of the storm, the quality of that warm sector should be poor due to the dry, continental air that has been over much of the southern U.S. this week. And, we might stay in the cool sector. If that is the case, we won't get out of the 50s. A mini-wedge look is showing up, and sometimes that cool air is hard to displace. But, if we do stay in the cool sector elevated storms are likely with a strong, negative tilt trough to the norhwest. But again, all of this mumbo-jumbo aside, Monday and Monday night should be pretty wet.

TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY (March 21-22): Both days look cool and dry. Highs probably in the 60s.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY (March 23-24): Spring break week should end up wet. Another upper trough comes along, and this time the surface low runs south of us. The 06Z GFS has the low moving from near Mobile to Dothan, with rain likely Thursday into Friday. This same run also suggests a good snow with the system over Tennessee. Keep in mind yesterday's 06Z run had the surface low even more to the south, with some hint of snow into extreme Northwest Alabama. But again, the message here is that the weather looks cool and wet at the end of the week.

It will be fun to see how the GFS handles that "end of next week" system in coming runs. Could somebody around the Deep South be dealing with a late March snow?

TODAY: Busy day for me. I will be speaking to the pre-school kids at my church, Hunter Street Baptist, this morning. Then, I have a long drive up to Gaylesville in Cherokee County where I will be speaking at midday. That is a long drive, but a beautiful drive I always enjoy. Gaylesville is at the northern edge of Weiss Lake. I will do my best to have the afternoon video ready by 3:30!


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