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Showers Remain Isolated

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 09/18/2014 - 15:31

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A lone storm was over Cullman County near Good Hope at 3:20 this afternoon, and a cluster of strong storms was about to move into Muscle Shoals. Otherwise, it is a dry day across Alabama with filtered sunshine through high clouds and temperatures mostly in the 80s.

We will maintain the risk of a few isolated showers or storms this evening with the northwest flow pattern over Alabama.

TOMORROW: For a good part of Alabama, it will be a partly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s. However, communities near the Georgia border could very well have a cloudy and cooler day with a high in the 70s, and maybe even a touch of light rain or drizzle thanks to a cold air damming (CAD) pattern that will push clouds in from the east. The best chance of seeing a shower tomorrow will be along and east of U.S. 431.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a mostly sunny and warm day with a high in the mid 80s. Sunday stays warm and dry with a high in the 80s, but an approaching cold front could trigger a few widely spaced showers Sunday night and Monday morning. It sure doesn’t look like a big rain event, and many Alabama cities will see no rain at all.

Drier and cooler air moves into Alabama Tuesday and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

For the high school football games tonight and tomorrow night across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but we will mention a small risk of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is pretty quiet, although Hurricane Edouard is still hanging around with top winds of 80 mph. This system is moving east over the Central Atlantic and will remain far from land. A wave near the Cape Verde Islands in the far East Atlantic is disorganized. We do note computer models develop a surface low east of Florida over the next 36 hours; this might try and become better organized as it moves northeast, off the East Coast of the U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days, fair nights from Panama City over to Gulf Shores through Sunday with only isolated showers. Highs in the mid to upper 80s; sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed speaking today at Alabama Power’s headquarters in downtown Birmingham… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

September 18, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Thu, 09/18/2014 - 15:25
September 18, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From James Spann and the team of meteorologi... From: abc3340 Views: 124 2 ratings Time: 05:25 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Just A Few Isolated Showers Today

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 09/18/2014 - 06:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: The high resolution NAM model yesterday hinted at showers over North Alabama early this morning, and sure enough we have a few on radar this morning; they are moving southeast.

We will mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers today, but the most widespread rain should be west of the state over Mississippi/Louisiana/Arkansas, closer to a wave in the northwest flow aloft across the Mid-South. The chance of any one spot seeing a shower today is about one in five across north and central Alabama… otherwise the day will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the mid 80s.

TOMORROW: Most of the state will have a partly sunny and warm day, but for those of you near the Georgia border, a cold air damming (CAD) pattern could bring clouds in for much of the day from the east, and maybe even a shower or two. The best chance of a shower will be near and east of U.S. 431, and even there they will be widely spaced. Tomorrow’s high will be in the 80s for most of the state, but communities near the Georgia border would hold in the 70s through the day.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a mostly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s; the weather stays dry during the day Sunday, but we will introduce the chance of a shower Sunday night ahead of a cold front approaching from the north.

We will maintain the threat of a shower Monday as the front passes down through the state, then cooler and drier air arrives for Tuesday and Wednesday; it could be the coolest air we have seen so far this fall with highs in the 78-81 degree range, and lows in the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

For the high school football games tonight and tomorrow night across Alabama, most stadiums will be dry, but we will mention a slight risk of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall through the 70s.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is moving east through the open Atlantic with winds of 85 mph… it will weaken and dissipate early next week far from land. A few wave has emerged off the coast of Africa, but shows little organization.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights on the Gulf Coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only isolated showers; highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a severe weather safety program this morning at Alabama Power in downtown Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

September 18, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Thu, 09/18/2014 - 06:23
September 18, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From James Spann and the team of meteorologi... From: abc3340 Views: 0 0 ratings Time: 05:54 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

September 17, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Wed, 09/17/2014 - 15:36
September 17, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From James Spann and the team of meteorologi... From: abc3340 Views: 0 0 ratings Time: 07:05 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

A Mostly Calm Weather Pattern

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 09/17/2014 - 15:34

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: As expected, there are no showers anywhere in Alabama at mid-afternoon; the sky is partly to mostly sunny, with temperatures generally in the 80s. Muscle Shoals and Haleyville are at 78 degrees at 2:00 p.m. Dew points are low, and the air is dry. Many North Alabama communities will visit the upper 50s early tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: While it looks like generally calm and dry weather continues, there are a couple of potential issues. One wave coming down in the northwest flow aloft, now producing showers and storms over Missouri and northern Arkansas, and the high resolution NAM brings down a batch of showers into North Alabama very early tomorrow morning, then moving southward through the state during the day. But, that model is an outlier, and with a very dry airmass in place I don’t think we see anything significant. I might insert a slight risk of a shower for North Alabama tomorrow due to this feature, but for now it doesn’t look like a big weather maker.

Then, on Friday, a cold air damming pattern (the wedge) sets up over Georgia and the Carolinas, and it looks like low clouds will push into far East Alabama Friday morning. Some communities near the Georgia border might even see a sprinkle or two. The high along and east of U.S. 431 will be in the 70s, but for the rest of the state Friday should be a partly sunny day with a high in the mid 80s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks nice with ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday with highs holding in the 80s. A few showers could arrive Sunday night ahead of cold front. That front will bring the risk of widely scattered showers Monday, but it looks like moisture will be very limited, and it won’t be a major rain event. Cooler and drier air follows the front for the middle of next week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the latest maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tomorrow night’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

Clear weather for the high school football games in Alabama tomorrow and Friday night; temperatures will be in the upper 70s at kickoff, falling into the low 70s by the fourth quarter. No threat of rain or lightning delays this week.

Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is packing sustained winds of 90 mph in the Atlantic; it is moving northeast and will remain far from land. A new tropical wave is moving off the coast of Africa, but any development will be slow.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights through Sunday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only isolated showers over storms; highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing everyone at ALAGASCO today in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

JB, NWR, MOOCs, and Why Humans Matter in Higher Education

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 09/17/2014 - 09:30

This guest post was authored by Dr. John Knox, an associate professor in the Geography Department and the Atmospheric Sciences Program at the University of Georgia.

Why am I a meteorologist? Let me tell you a story that is mine, but others’ as well. A story that, in the end, touches on one of the biggest unsolved questions in higher education today: why, in this era of democratized education via sophisticated technology, we still need humans in the loop as teachers and mentors.

As my students know, I became fascinated by the weather at the ripe old age of four, at an Atlanta Braves exhibition game interrupted and ended by a severe thunderstorm. By the age of five, I was reading books about the weather. But such childhood fascinations can wane; my son became enthralled with trains when he was 2, but he’s not majoring in railroads here at UGA. Particularly if you don’t have an adult mentor in the specialty who ushers you to that next level.

That’s what I had in meteorology, courtesy of the U.S. government, starting when I was 11 years old. In the aftermath of the deadly 1974 Tornado Superoutbreak that killed hundreds and disrupted communications from Alabama to Michigan, the National Weather Service realized that it needed its own way to get the word out about tornado warnings. NOAA Weather Radio (NWR) was born.

As national networks go, NWR was and is kind of a rinky-dink affair. The radio console looked like a glorified 8-track tape affair. Meteorologists at National Weather Service stations would record forecasts, weather summaries, hourly weather observations, and watches and warnings and plug them in. The tapes would play sequentially, over and over again, broadcast to the public on high-frequency stations.

It sounds deadly-dull, doesn’t it? Especially to a generation that has not been raised on the radio.

But for an 11-year-old weather nerd in the days before The Weather Channel, it was heaven. Now, instead of trying to learn about the weather from a three-minute TV weather broadcast, or the very, very occasional special on network TV back then, I had a 24/7/365 mentor on the weather radio that I begged my parents to buy.

And when I say “24/7/365,” that wasn’t not too far off the mark in terms of my NWR listening habits. My parents and brother marveled at my ability to listen for hours, absorbing weather information while doing homework, reading, or just lying around. It was my constant companion growing up.

Even better, the voices on NWR were real meteorologists at our local National Weather Service office. Some read the weather information without inflection. Others sounded almost comically Southern. But there was one, with a resonant tenor voice, who was the best of the best.

This sonorous meteorologist’s name, I learned eventually, was JB Elliott. A native of Hale County, Alabama, JB had, in post-WWII America, worked his way into the Weather Service without a college degree. Over time he became the widely known and beloved resident historian of all things Alabama weather. I eventually listened to NWR all over the country, but there was no one like JB for conveying both the history and the excitement of weather. He would get up out of bed and drive to the Weather Service office in the middle of the night just to do NWR broadcasts during severe weather. I told my family that the weather couldn’t be that severe until I heard JB’s voice on NWR.

Then there was April 4, 1977. An “F5” tornado—the worst—hit just a few miles away from us in Birmingham, killing 22 people. JB went on NWR live—no tape delay—broadcasting the warnings and making sure listeners knew of the gravity of the situation. When JB went live, you knew it wasn’t just bad weather, it was the worst. The damage was so horrendous, photographs of it ended up in training guides for meteorologists. Some of those photographs were taken by JB.

I didn’t meet JB face-to-face until much, much later, in the early 2000s. I had just published the first edition of an introductory college-level meteorology textbook. And in it, I dedicated the book to two meteorologists: the late chair of the meteorology department of my Ph.D. institution, and JB. It might be the first time that a college textbook has been dedicated to a government employee without a college degree. But I think you can tell why I dedicated the book to JB. Without his voice mentoring me in the weather during my childhood, all the way into college, I would likely have lost interest in the weather somewhere along the way.

Now, what does this have to do with higher education? Today we are grappling with the role and scope of online education at universities. Why keep costly humans in the loop at all? JB Elliott and NWR can speak to these questions.

And that’s because, after about 20 years of live meteorologists on NWR, the Weather Service automated the whole shebang in 1997. This was a time-saving, cost-saving move, designed with good intentions to have meteorologists spend more of their time on science and getting warnings out to the public.

And so JB’s tenor was replaced with Igor the Computer’s automated voice. That wasn’t the official name of the voice; the Weather Service tried to personalize things by calling them “Paul,” and “Donna,” and “Tom,” and “Javier.” They’re all Igor to me.

An important point here: the computerized voices ‘read’ the same type of information that the human meteorologists had for decades: hourly weather summaries, weather forecasts, etc. Most of the time, the only difference is that the words are automated vs. coming from a National Weather Service meteorologist.

But that makes all the difference to me. As Will Smith says in I, Robot: “Robots, [gesturing toward his heart], nothing here, just lights and clockwork. Go ahead, you trust ‘em if you want to.” I tried to listen to NWR’s automated broadcasts. I couldn’t. It wasn’t the same, and in fact it felt like a betrayal to me. I spent many thousands of hours listening to NWR in my youth. From the time of automation in 1997 until now, I have listened to NWR for a grand total of 15 minutes. Other “weather nerds” have said the same thing to me.

And I predict that no one, ever, will dedicate a meteorology textbook to Igor the Computer Voice.

Now, back to the ivory tower. I contend that my experience speaks to some of the deepest issues in higher education with regard to automation.

• The mentor/instructor must be present. That often means physically present. But JB was present for me in his voice, and in his getting out of bed and going on-air at 3 am during severe weather. I’ll write another time about the crucial nature of physical presence, but it isn’t absolutely necessary as long as you are truly present in other ways. And even though ‘he’ is always there, Igor the Computer is not in any human sense “present.”

• The mentor/instructor must be passionate. I do get strange looks from meteorologists of my generation when I talk about good ol’ NWR. They had NWR, too, in other parts of the country, but there it was just a radio that set off an alarm during severe weather. They didn’t have JB, and other Birmingham Weather Service meteorologists who invested time, energy and interest. And nobody had JB’s passion for the weather, clearly conveyed via the radio. It was the same kind of information, yes, but it lacked passion.

• In recent years there has been a big push to use technology to create massively open online courses, or MOOCs. Millions can be reached, but comparatively few students finish such courses, and the grades can be even worse than ‘normal’ classes. However, other instructors report good results with online courses on smaller scales. What’s going on here? Presence and passion. As I know from my own teaching experiences, even a large class can feel small and alive if the instructor is willing to be present in his or her students’ lives, passionate about the subject, and if the students are willing to suspend disbelief and pretend that a large science class can be a community, too. If MOOCs can create that environment on the scale of thousands or millions, then they will succeed. JB created it, on-air, for thousands in the Birmingham area. So it can be done outside of a face-to-face relationship. So the MOOC advocates are right in this sense. But it’s not about information dissemination. Most humans have to be motivated, emotionally, to learn. “Lights and clockwork” don’t do that.

Automation does have its advantages. Igor’s voice will drone on as long as the government keeps the transmitters working. JB retired from the Weather Service back in 1989. Recently, due to health, he has had to step back from participating in the Birmingham-based, world-renowned “Weatherbrains” podcasts. People get old, retire, and eventually die.

No one will shed a tear when Igor finally “signs off.” The same will not be said for JB Elliott, not among his thousands of friends in the flesh in Birmingham, and thousands more around the world online. And certainly not among the not-small contingent of those who became weather fanatics and even degreed meteorologists because of him.

And that is what real education is all about.

The hero in John’s story is our very own J.B. Elliott, who recently retired from his day to day forecasting duties, and someone that several of us called mentor. This photograph was from the Birmingham News article when J.B. retired. – Bill Murray

Categories: Weather

September 17, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Wed, 09/17/2014 - 06:28
September 17, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From James Spann and the team of meteorologi... From: abc3340 Views: 0 0 ratings Time: 05:38 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Dry Pattern Setting Up For Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 09/17/2014 - 06:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

NO RAIN FOR A WHILE: A drier airmass pushed into Alabama last night, and it looks like a pretty benign weather pattern ahead for the state through the weekend. Mostly sunny warm days, lower humidity, and clear cool nights. Afternoon highs will be in the 80s; our coolest morning will come early tomorrow when most communities will enjoy a low between 58 and 63 degrees.

The only potential issue comes Friday with a cold air damming pattern sets up east of the state; we will have to keep an eye on clouds and cooler temperatures over Georgia and the Carolinas; that could creep into extreme East Alabama, but for now we will make the assumption the wedge won’t impact our state.

LATE IN THE WEEKEND: A cold front will approach, and we will mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers Sunday night as the weekend wraps up, but moisture looks very limited and it sure won’t be a big rain event. We will hang on to the risk of isolated showers Monday, and then a cooler, drier airmass arrives Monday night, setting up some very pleasant fall weather for the middle of next week with highs around 80 and lows in the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

DRY TIME OF THE YEAR: September-October is our driest two month period of the year in Alabama based on climatological averages; the average rain for September is 4.05″, with an average of just 3.23″ in October (for Birmingham). So long dry periods like this are fairly common this time of the year.

We should mention Birmingham’s rain total for the year is 34.50″, 4.66″ below average.

THURSDAY NIGHT SPECIAL: Looks like we can remove any threat of rain from tomorrow night’s Auburn/Kansas State football game in Manhattan, Kansas (6:30p CT kickoff). The sky will be mostly fair, the temperature will fall from around 77 degrees at kickoff, into the low 70s by the final whistle.

HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL: Clear weather for the high school football games in Alabama Thursday and Friday night; temperatures will be in the upper 70s at kickoff, falling into the low 70s by the fourth quarter. No threat of rain or lightning delays this week.

COLLEGE FOOTBALL THIS WEEKEND: Alabama will host Florida at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa Saturday afternoon (2:30p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly sunny with a kickoff temperature near 85 degrees, falling into the upper 70s by the final whistle.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard is now weakening as it recurves into the open Atlantic… far from land. Top winds are down to 90 mph. Tropical Storm Odile in the northern Gulf of California has the potential to bring flooding rain to Arizona and New Mexico through tomorrow. And, Tropical Storm Polo is in the East Pacific off the Mexican coast, but this one looks like it will miss Cabo San Lucas to the west this weekend thankfully.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only isolated showers Saturday and Sunday. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a severe weather safety program this morning at ALAGASCO in Gadsden… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

September 16, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Tue, 09/16/2014 - 15:48
September 16, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From James Spann and the team of meteorologi... From: abc3340 Views: 206 5 ratings Time: 06:03 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Dry Days Ahead; Cooler Nights

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 09/16/2014 - 15:47

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Most of the showers and storms in Alabama this afternoon are down over the southern half of the state… but within the last few minutes a few storms have fired up along a surface boundary over North Alabama. We will maintain the chance of an isolated shower or storm this evening, but the sky becomes clear late tonight as dry air takes over.We drop down into the mid 60s early tomorrow morning.

REST OF THE WEEK: Looks very nice, with ample sunshine tomorrow, Thursday, and Friday. Highs will be generally in the mid 80s; the coolest morning will come early Thursday with temperatures generally between 58 and 62 degrees. Low clouds and cold air damming over Georgia could try and creep into extreme East Alabama Friday, but for now it looks like the main impact will be east of Alabama.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Auburn is off to Manhattan, Kansas, for a Thursday night showdown with the Kansas State Wildcats. Kickoff is at 6:30 CDT. The weather forecast for the game has only a slight chance of a passing shower, but it looks as though by game time it should only be partly cloudy with temps at or just below 80. By the end of the game, expect temps to be in the lower 70s. It should be breezy with winds ranging 10-15 mph out of the southeast.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be another dry day with a sunny sky and a high in the mid 80s. The latest GFS run keeps most of Alabama dry Sunday, although a cold front will be approaching by Sunday night. We will just mention the risk of a few widely scattered showers Sunday night or Monday morning with the front; at the moment it doesn’t look like a major rain producer. However, should some of the moisture from Tropical Storm Odile wrap ahead of the front, that could change. We will keep an eye on the situation.

The first few days of next week look dry and pleasant; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Hurricane Edouard achieved “major hurricane” status this morning as winds have reached 115 mph, making it a category three storm on the Saffir Simpson scale. It is in the middle of the Atlantic, and will recurve harmlessly over open water and is no threat to land.

Tropical Storm Odile will dissipate over the northern Gulf of California over the next 48 hours, but moisture will move up into Arizona and New Mexico, bringing a flash flood threat to the Southwest U.S.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Some very active weather today with this waterspout during the late morning hours near Navarre Beach (photo from Jack Burton)…

Drier air reaches the coast tomorrow, and the weather will feature mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and sea water temperatures remain in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing everyone today at the Harvest of Hope banquet to benefit Oak Mountain Missions… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

September 16, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Tue, 09/16/2014 - 06:19
September 16, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From James Spann and the team of meteorologi... From: abc3340 Views: 489 2 ratings Time: 05:35 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

A Few Lingering Showers; Drier Air Tonight

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 09/16/2014 - 06:18

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PATCHY FOG TO START THE DAY: A moist airmass is in place across much of Alabama this morning, and fog formed overnight, especially where rain fell yesterday. Some light rain has also moved into Northwest Alabama…

We will maintain the chance of some light rain, or a few showers today with most communities seeing a high in the mid 80s. We do expect a few intervals of sunshine later in the day.

Drier air arrives tonight, and that should set the stage for very nice weather for the rest of the week.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: Expect mostly sunny days and fair pleasant nights; highs will be in the mid 80s on most days. The coolest morning will come early Thursday with upper 50s are possible as far south as Birmingham. Some of the cooler pockets over Northeast Alabama could see low to mid 50s.

We will keep an eye on a cold air damming (CAD) setup east of Alabama Friday; that might push some low clouds toward the Alabama/Georgia border, but for now we will keep a mostly sunny forecast statewide.

THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL: Auburn will play a Thursday night special this week in Manhattan, Kansas against Kansas State (6:30p CT kickoff); we project a temperature of 77 degrees at kickoff with only a small risk (15-20 percent) of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall into the low 70s by the fourth quarter.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday will be a delightful day, with ample sunshine and a high in the mid 80s. Then, as the weekend wraps up, the 00Z GFS brings a cold front into the state Sunday night. This could push a showers into our state late Sunday afternoon or Sunday night… at the moment it doesn’t look like a big rain event, but we will have to keep an eye on the moisture from Tropical Storm Odile, now over Baja California. If by chance some of that gets ahead of the surface front, it might bring more than that we are seeing on models now.

The front should be south of here by midday Monday, and the first half of next week looks dry and pleasant. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICAL WEATHER: Hurricane Edouard in the Central Atlantic is packing sustained winds of 110 mph, but it will recurve into the open Atlantic far from land. And, Odile was downgraded to a tropical storm over the Baja California peninsula last night as it moved northward. It will ultimately dissipate, but moisture from this will bring heavy rain and a significant flooding threat to parts of Arizona and New Mexico in coming days.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect a mix of sun and clouds today on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with scattered showers and storms; then mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through the weekend with only very isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 87 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be the emcee today at the annual Harvest of Hope banquet to benefit Oak Mountain Missions… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 451: Too Much In My Pocket

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 09/16/2014 - 04:15

WeatherBrains Episode 451 is now online (September 15, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight, we are honored to have a trio of young meteorologists on the program to talk about their role in weather for their social communities. Karl Schneider is the webmaster for the Huntsville Joint Chapter of the National Weather Association and American Meteorology Society. He is a co-owner of the US Weather Plus website. Lenny Mendola is a senior who is an administrator on Karl’s US Weather Page. He lives in Roseland NJ. And, Steve Hallet is a freshman at Penn State University. He is a website administrator for the Eastern PA Weather Authority.

This week’s guest panelist is Carl Schreck, who works with WeatherBrains alum Jarred Rennie at the NCDC in Asheville NC. He has been working recently on a project called Cyclone Center.

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Picks of the Week:

John Scala – Spectacular video of the aurora from last Friday as viewed from Mount Washington

Kevin Selle – OVATION Aurora – Aurora Forecast from NOAA

Rick Smith – Storify

James Spann – iPhone 6 barometer

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Janice Dean’s Freddy the Frogcaster book

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 451: Too Much In My Pocket

WeatherBrains - Tue, 09/16/2014 - 04:00

WeatherBrains Episode 451 is now online (September 15, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight, we are honored to have a trio of young meteorologists on the program to talk about their role in weather for their social communities. Karl Schneider is the webmaster for the Huntsville Joint Chapter of the National Weather Association and American Meteorology Society. He is a co-owner of the US Weather Plus website. Lenny Mendola is a senior who is an administrator on Karl’s US Weather Page. He lives in Roseland NJ. And, Steve Hallet is a freshman at Penn State University. He is a website administrator for the Eastern PA Weather Authority.

This week’s guest panelist is Carl Schreck, who works with WeatherBrains alum Jarred Rennie at the NCDC in Asheville NC. He has been working recently on a project called Cyclone Center.

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Picks of the Week:

John Scala – Spectacular video of the aurora from last Friday as viewed from Mount Washington

Kevin Selle – OVATION Aurora – Aurora Forecast from NOAA

Rick Smith – Storify

James Spann – iPhone 6 barometer

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Janice Dean’s Freddy the Frogcaster book

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Categories: Weather

Active Storms Moving Across Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 09/15/2014 - 15:47

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A number of strong storms are in progress over the North/Central part of Alabama this afternoon… heavier storms are producing heavy rain and lots of lighting as they move from west to east. The storms will die down late tonight.

TOMORROW: A surface front will creep through North Alabama, so we will still mention some risk of a shower or thunderstorm, but the air tomorrow should be drier and more stable, so showers should be pretty widely spaced, and many communities won’t see any rain; the high will be in the mid 80s.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: Fantastic weather Wednesday and Thursday; sunny days, fair cooler nights, and low humidity levels. Highs in the low to mid 80s; we should reach the upper 50s early Thursday morning. Some of the cooler pockets might even see low to mid 50s at daybreak Thursday. Friday should be dry for most of the state; we will keep an eye on a potential CAD setup (cold air damming) that could bring some clouds into East Alabama, but the possibility doesn’t look too high now.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn will play a Thursday night special this week in Manhattan, Kansas against Kansas State (6:30p CT kickoff); we project a temperature of 77 degrees at kickoff with only a small risk (15-20 percent) of a shower during the first half. Temperatures will fall into the low 70s by the fourth quarter.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks very nice; dry air will stay in place meaning sunny warm days and fair pleasant highs. Highs will be in the low to mid 80s, with lows in the low to mid 60s. No chance of rain.

NEXT WEEK: A weak cold front might trigger a few showers Monday, but for now it doesn’t look like a big rain event. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICAL WEATHER: Hurricane Edouard, in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, is packing sustained winds of 105 mph, and will remain far from land as it recurves. Hurricane Odile is moving northward over the Baja California peninsula of Mexico, and will be downgraded to a tropical storm tonight as it continues to weaken. Moisture from Odile could bring flash flooding to parts of Arizona and New Mexico later this week.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 4 to 6 hours of sunshine tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with scattered thunderstorms; then mostly sunny days, fair nights through the weekend with only very isolated showers. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, and sea water temperatures remain mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

September 15, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

Weather Xtreme Video - Mon, 09/15/2014 - 15:44
September 15, 2014 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 213 4 ratings Time: 05:04 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather

Strong Storms Over Southern Shelby and Northern Chilton

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 09/15/2014 - 15:25

Strong storms are over southern Shleby and northern Chilton Counties where the NWS has posted a Significant Weather Alert for lightning, heavy rain and gusty winds.

Storms are strongest from north of Jemsion to west of Talladega Springs.

They are moving east at 10 mph.

Categories: Weather

Strong Storms over Jefferson, Shelby, St. Clair

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 09/15/2014 - 14:38

UPDATE AT 2:50 PM
The NWS has added an Areal Flood Advisory for parts of Jefferson and St. Clair Counties as well. Communities include Pinson, Center Point, Trussville, Argo and Branchville. A wide area has received at least an inch of rain in a short time between the above communities.

ORIGINAL POST

Strong thunderstorms are occurring at this time over northeastern Jefferson and western St. Clair Counties.  They are centered in the Clay, Argo and CenterPoint areas.

The NWS has issued a Significant Weather Alert for the area inside the polygon on the above graphic.

They are moving southeast at 10 mph and will pass near Trussville, Branchville and Moody.

They contain dangerous lightning, wind gusts to over 40 mph and copious amounts of rain.

Be indoors as these dangerous storms approach.

Categories: Weather

Close Encounter With Ivan

Weather Xtreme Video - Mon, 09/15/2014 - 07:52
Close Encounter With Ivan
ABC 33/40's Bill Castle and Christopher Sign rode out Hurricane Ivan in a condominium on the beach at Gulf Shores... they tell a remarkable story of the storm that changed the Alabama Gulf... From: abc3340 Views: 66 1 ratings Time: 12:07 More in News & Politics
Categories: Weather