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Scattered Shower/Storms Return

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Thu, 04/21/2016 - 06:20

MOISTURE LEVELS RISING: The upper low/trough that has been over the western U.S., part of the “omega block” pattern earlier this week, is beginning to lift northeast, and accordingly showers should return to Alabama today and tonight.

The rain won’t be too widespread or heavy, but a few thunderstorms could be involved. Rain amounts will be less than 1/2 inch for most, and no severe weather is expected. Temperatures reach the 77-80 degree range this afternoon with a generally cloudy sky (although the sun could peek out at times).

TOMORROW: While showers and storms remain possible, it looks like they will be pretty scattered in nature, and a decent part of the day will be dry. But, where storms do form tomorrow afternoon, they could be strong. SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather risk for areas south of a line from Demopolis to Hoover to Anniston…

The main threat will come from small hail and gusty winds in the storms tomorrow afternoon over the southern two-thirds of the state. Expect a high temperature between 77 and 80 degrees, and showers will end from northwest to southeast during the afternoon as drier air arrives.

THE WEEKEND: Could not be better. Sunny warm days, clear at night. Saturday’s high will be close to 80, followed by low 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Warm is the word; highs will be in the 80s all week as ridging develops across the Southeast U.S. We will probably have a day or two with scattered showers, but the big action will be well to the west, where there will be multiple days with severe weather threats in a broad zone from Texas to Missouri and Iowa; SPC has risks defined now for days 6 through 8 (Tuesday through Thursday). See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: A few scattered showers and storms are possible through tomorrow with some sun breaking through at times, Then, expect mostly sunny days and fair nights Saturday through early next week. Highs from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores will be mostly in the 70s… See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: A few widely scattered showers or storms are possible at the Barber Motorsports Park tomorrow, but a decent part of the day will be dry and I think they get some racing in. Then, perfect weather Saturday and Sunday with sunny warm days. Highs for the weekend will be at or just over 80 degrees. Get ticket information here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Hueytown Elementary… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

A Few Showers/Storms Tomorrow And Friday

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 04/20/2016 - 15:33

WARM SPRING AFTERNOON: Temperatures have reached the low 80s across much of North/Central Alabama this afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds. The radar is very quiet; most of the showers and storms are well to the west over Louisiana and Arkansas.

Just a small risk of a shower here tonight; the sky will be mostly cloudy.

TOMORROW AND FRIDAY: We will mention the risk of scattered showers tomorrow and tomorrow night, but the rain won’t be widespread or heavy, and the sun might peek out at times. We expect a high in the 77-80 degree range, and rain amounts should be 1/4″ or less for most places.

The air becomes more unstable Friday, and SPC maintains a “marginal risk” of severe storms for parts of Alabama, generally south of a line from Demopolis to Birmingham to Scottsboro…

New model data continues to suggest that a decent part of the day Friday will be dry, with only widely scattered showers. Heavier storms will form during the afternoon when the air becomes more unstable (surface based CAPE values will approach 2,000 j/kg by mid-afternoon). But, the overall dynamic support will be weakening, and major severe weather issues are not expected. Just understand some storms Friday could produce some small hail and gusty winds; best chance of the stronger storms will come east and south of Birmingham during the afternoon and evening hours. The high Friday will remain between 77 and 80 degrees for most communities.

THE WEEKEND: Dry air takes over, and the weather could not be better. Sunny warm days, clear nights. The high Saturday will be near 80, with low 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Upper ridging will keep Alabama warm through the week with highs mostly in the 80s. Moisture levels will rise, and we will need to mention some risk of scattered showers on a daily basis, but the main risk of severe weather should remain well to the west, where upper dynamic support is much better. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: There will be a risk of scattered showers and storms Friday at the Barber Motorsports Park, but it won’t rain all day. Then, picture perfect weather Saturday and Sunday with sunshine in full supply both days. Highs over the weekend will be in the 80-83 degree range. Get ticket information here.

AT THE BEACH: There will be a risk of scattered showers and storms tomorrow and Friday, but still some sun is likely both days. Then, mostly sunny days and fair nights from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores Saturday though Monday. Highs mostly in the 70s… the sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 72 degrees. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Wednesday Midday Nowcast For Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 04/20/2016 - 11:45

An upper level low is currently located in extreme southeastern Nebraska, and most of the rain activity in the United States is located just ahead of an associated cold front that is draping back to the south and southwest through western Missouri, northwestern Arkansas, southeastern Oklahoma, and through northeast to central Texas.

AT 11:30 AM: Partly to mostly cloudy skies is the word across much of the state, with no rain currently on radar. Most places have already warmed well into the 70s. Here are the readings from a few select cities across Alabama:

Birmingham: 77
Tuscaloosa: 71
Gadsden: 77
Anniston: 77
Montgomery: 77
Selma: 77
Dothan: 77
Mobile: 72

TODAY & TONIGHT: Skies will remain partly to mostly cloudy throughout the rest of the daytime and evening hours. An isolated shower is not out of the question, but many places will stay dry. Afternoon highs should reach the lower 80s for most places.

TOMORROW: As the blocked pattern that has kept heavy rain and thunderstorms over Texas breaks down, and an upper level low weakens and lifts out of the Great Plains, this will alow our rain chances to rise for Thursday. Showers are possible throughout the day, but rainfall will not be too heavy and it probably won’t rain all day.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: Drivers will have to dodge a few showers, and maybe even a thunderstorm on Friday, but the weather could not be better Saturday and Sunday at the Barber Motorsports Park, with sunny days and warm afternoons. Temperatures will reach the upper 70s Saturday, and lower 80s Sunday. Get ticket information here.

Categories: Weather

Only Isolated Showers Today

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Wed, 04/20/2016 - 06:42

RADAR CHECK: There are a few small patches of light rain over West Alabama around sunrise…

Showers will be very isolated today, and many places won’t see a drop. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the low 80s for most communities this afternoon.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Rain chances will rise as the blocked pattern breaks down, and the upper low weakens and lifts out of the Great Plains. Showers are possible tomorrow and tomorrow night, but understand it won’t rain all day, and the rain probably won’t be too heavy. We will maintain the risk of showers and storms into Friday; we note SPC has parts of the state under a “marginal risk” of severe storms…

Instability values do rise Friday, with surface based CAPE values approaching 2,000 j/kg by afternoon. But, upper support is lacking, and wind fields are not especially strong. Main threat from stronger storms will come from small hail and gusty winds.

I should also note models have not been consistent with the timing of the showers Friday, making for a lower confidence forecast. We will keep the risk of showers/storms going through the afternoon hours, but it could very well be the best chance of rain will come during the morning hours from roughly Birmingham north. And, like Thursday, it won’t rain all day. Highs will be in the 75-80 degree range Thursday and Friday afternoon.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looking fantastic, with sunny warm days and fair pleasant nights. We reach the upper 70s Saturday, followed by low 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: The overall upper air pattern shows an upper ridge across the Deep South, which means we will experience highs in the low to mid 80s each day. Moisture levels will rise, so showers could form by Tuesday and Wednesday, but the ridge means those showers should be pretty scattered, and there won’t be any risk of severe storms. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: Drivers will have to dodge a few showers, and maybe even a thunderstorm on Friday, but the weather could not be better Saturday and Sunday at the Barber Motorsports Park, with sunny days and warm afternoons. Temperatures will reach the upper 70s Saturday, and low 80s Sunday. Get ticket information here.

AT THE BEACH: Dry and pleasant weather continues on the Gulf Coast today from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach, but showers and storms are possible tomorrow and Friday. Then, the weekend looks excellent with sunny days and fair nights. Highs will remain mostly in the 70s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I am speaking to a group of high school students today at the Bevill State Community College campus in Hamilton… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Satellite Sheldon Says All Good Things Must Come to an End

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 04/19/2016 - 15:45

Satellite Sheldon checks in on this Tuesday afternoon:

Enough of this nice weather for Alabama…too much of a good thing is not good as well and Alabama could use the rain. Thank goodness virtually no severe weather this week and nothing what we saw in Texas the last few days!

The Omega block begins to break down…meaning shower activity for Alabama to increase…but most will not feel the rain till Thursday and Friday, before dry weather comes to the rescue for the weekend.

Categories: Weather

Showers Return Thursday

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 04/19/2016 - 15:29

WARM, DRY DAY: We have high clouds over parts of North and West Alabama this afternoon, but the low levels are very dry, and there is no rain in progress across the state as of mid-afternoon. Temperatures are generally around 80 degrees.

The weather won’t change much tomorrow; a mix of sun and clouds with a high around 80 degrees.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Showers return to the state Thursday as the blocking pattern breaks down. Best chance of rain will come Thursday afternoon and Thursday night; the rain won’t be continuous, and amounts probably won’t be too heavy.

New guidance (12Z) has come in slower with the departure of the rain, and it looks like we will need to maintain the chance of showers and thunderstorms through the day Friday, and maybe even into Friday evening. Surface based CAPE values will rise to over 1,500 j/kg during the day Friday, so some thunder is certainly possible, but dynamic support isn’t overly impressive, and severe storms are not expected.

Rain amounts by Friday evening will be in the 1/2 to 3/4″ rain for most places.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Still looking very nice, with ample sunshine Saturday and Sunday. The high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, followed by low 80s Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Warm, dry weather continues Monday; a few showers are possible Tuesday and Wednesday, but the best upper support for storms will remain west of our state. An upper ridge will keep temperatures warm through the week… See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: Drivers will have to dodge raindrops at the Barber Motorsports Park Friday, but Saturday and Sunday will be dry with sunny days and fair nights. The high Friday will be in the mid 70s, followed by upper 70s Saturday, and low 80s Sunday. Get ticket information here.

AT THE BEACH: Dry and pleasant weather continues on the Gulf Coast tomorrow from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach, but showers and storms are possible Thursday and Friday. Then, the weekend looks excellent with sunny days and fair nights. Highs will remain mostly in the 70s… See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing all the kids at Gardendale’s First Baptist Church this morning… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Tuesday Midday Nowcast For Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 04/19/2016 - 11:27

Clouds are lingering across the northwestern part of Alabama this morning, but no rain currently on the radar and temperatures are on their way up.

AT 11:00 AM: Skies across the northern part of the state along and above the I-20 and I-59 corridors are partly to mostly cloudy, while below that the skies are mostly clear and allowing the temperatures to rise nicely. Here are a list of current conditions at a few cities across the state:

Birmingham: Mostly cloudy 75
Tuscaloosa: Mostly sunny 73
Gadsden: Partly sunny 72
Anniston: Mostly sunny 73
Muscle Shoals: Cloudy 68
Huntsville: Cloudy 70
Enterprise: Sunny 72
Mobile: Partly sunny 75

REST OF TODAY & TONIGHT: Light to moderate showers are currently in the northwestern corner of Mississippi with a few scattered sprinkles and light showers showing up in central Mississippi. As they move closer to the state, they will be encountering drier air and could dry up before reaching Alabama. The latest run of the HRRR model is suggesting we could have a few sprinkles or light rain move across the northern third of Alabama tonight. Afternoon highs should reach near 80 to the lower 80s, with overnight lows should mostly be in the 50s.

TOMORROW: The day will have a mix of sun and clouds and temperatures will be warm once again. There will only be a slight risk of an afternoon shower over the northern-third of the state. Highs will once again be close to the 80s.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: For those headed out to Barber Motorsports Park for this weekend’s hot racing action, the weather will be nice on Saturday and Sunday, but there is some rain expected for the first half of the day on Friday. Good news is that skies will gradually clear during the afternoon hours, and will be sunny for the weekend. Highs in the 70s on Friday and Saturday, with lower 80s expected for Sunday. Get ticket information here.

Categories: Weather

Warm Afternoons Through Mid-Week

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 04/19/2016 - 06:07

BIG WARM-UP: Many locations are down in the upper 40s this morning, but we warm to near 80 degrees in most places this afternoon. Clouds will slowly increase during the day.

On radar, we note showers over West Mississippi as the day begins…

We will keep an eye on this rain as it moves in our direction; the air in the low levels across Alabama is very dry, and there is a good chance this rain will slowly disappear from the radar as it gets close. But, the high resolution HRRR model does suggest a few raindrops could slip into Northwest Alabama this afternoon. Out of respect to this idea, and dew points rising into the 50s over the western part of the state, I think we will insert the chance of a few sprinkles this afternoon, mainly west of I-65, and north of I-20. Most places stay dry.

TOMORROW: Another warm day with a high around 80 degrees; expect a mix of sun and clouds with only a small risk of an afternoon shower over the northern third of the state.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Rain chances will increase Thursday afternoon and Thursday night as the “omega block” breaks down, and the upper trough over the western U.S. weakens and lifts out. We will need to hang on to the risk of rain into Friday, at least during the morning hours, before drier air returns later in the day Friday.

Rain amounts of around 1/2 inch are likely, and we don’t expect any severe weather problems with very little surface based instability and weak upper support.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Delightful weather with sunny pleasant days and clear cool nights… the high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, followed by low 80s Sunday.

Dry weather continues Monday, but showers and storms should return late Tuesday into at least part of the day Wednesday. And, for now, the severe weather threat looks rather low. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX WEEKEND: There will be eleven races at Barber Motorsports Park Friday through Sunday; the main weather issues will come Friday when rain will likely linger into the morning hours. There is a good chance the rain will end by midday Friday, followed by gradual clearing during the afternoon. Then, nearly perfect weather Saturday and Sunday with sunny days and warm afternoons. Get ticket information here.

AT THE BEACH: Dry weather for the Gulf Coast from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores through tomorrow, but showers and storms are possible Thursday afternoon into Friday. Sunshine returns in full force over the weekend; highs will be mostly in the 70s, and sea water temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning for the pre-K group at Gardendale’s First Baptist Church, and then I will be speaking at Bevill State Community College in Jasper. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 535: I Didn’t Use The Bail Money

WeatherBrains - Tue, 04/19/2016 - 04:45

WeatherBrains Episode 535 is now online (April 18, 2016). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Our Guest WeatherBrain tonight is Kory Hartman. Kory is a veteran of WeatherBrains having appeared on episodes 385, 315, 126, and 117. Kory Hartman is the CEO at SevereStudios, a site that is familiar to everyone on this show. He is also a member of the weather staff at KSFY in Sioux Falls as a weekend meteorologist and webmaster.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 97 at Death Valley, CA, and 15 at Big Piney, WY
  • Absolutely incredible flooding in Houston/Harris County Texas
  • Authorities performed over 1,200 high water rescues today
  • And the rain continued to fall in Southeast Texas
  • Cyclone Fantala churning in the South Indian Ocean
  • Other areas relatively quiet
  • Astronomy Outlook with Tony Rice
  • and more!

Our email bag officer is trying to catch up, so the email bag will be summarized fully next week.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: The 101 segment will occasionally profile a person who has had a major impact on the science. So in remembrance of the passing of Dr. Bill Gray, hurricane researcher at Colorado State University, this episode details his life and some of the major accomplishments he achieved in more than 50 years in weather.

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 535:

Severe Studios

Chaser-Spotter article 1

Chaser-Spotter article 2

Chaser-Spotter article 3

ARRL/NWS Memorandum of Understanding

NWS SKYWARN Weather Spotter Program

To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

Picks of the Week:

Kory Hartman – Video discussing safety lessons from El Reno Tornado

Nate Johnson – NEXLAB Models for iPhone

Brian Peters – Houston Chronicle viewer flooding pictures

John Scala – Weather for previous Boston Marathons

Kevin Selle – Practical Meteorology, An Algebra-based Survey of Atmospheric Science and Meteorology for Scientists and Engineers, 3rd Edition

Rick Smith – Photographer experiences rising water firsthand

James Spann – Is There Any Hope for TV Meteorologists

Aubrey Urbanowicz – Shenandoah National Park fire

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Dr. John Scala, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.


WeatherBrains is a proud affiliate of NetAtmo Weather Stations.

Easy to install and affordable. Get your’s today!

You can monitor your data on iOS 4 or higher, Android 4.0 or higher, or a Windows Phone 8.0 or higher.

Categories: Weather

Warm, Dry Weather Continues

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 04/18/2016 - 15:28

FINE SPRING AFTERNOON: With a good supply of sunshine through high thin cirrus clouds (blowing off at high altitudes from the big storms over Southwest Louisiana), temperatures are in the 77-80 degree range for most communities across North/Central Alabama at mid-afternoon. Tonight will be mostly clear with temperatures dropping into the low 50s by daybreak tomorrow.

Thankfully, heavy rain has tapered off in Houston after morning downpours that brought up to 16 inches of rain in the western part of the metro…

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: Tomorrow will be another mostly sunny, warm day with a high at or just over 80 degrees. Wednesday will feature a partly sunny sky, and while moisture levels will begin to rise, it sure looks like most of the day will be dry. We will mention just a slight risk of a shower late in the day, and the high will be close to 80 degrees as the warm pattern continues.

THURSDAY: Showers and storms are likely Thursday afternoon into Thursday night as an upper trough finally lifts out of the western states, and the omega block pattern breaks down. The good news is that severe weather isn’t expected with weakening upper dynamics, and rain amounts will be generally 1/2 inch of less, noting like the deluge that brought the floods to Houston this morning.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The sky becomes partly sunny Friday as drier air works into the state; Friday’s high will be in the mid 70s. Then, expect a delightful weekend, with sunshine in full supply both days. We reach the upper 70s Saturday, followed by low 80 Sunday. A perfect weekend for the Honda Indy Grand Prix at the Barber Motorsports Park… get ticket information here.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather continues Monday and Tuesday; showers and storms return at mid-week Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Other than a risk of showers and storms Thursday, we expect mostly rain-free weather on the coast from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach through the weekend with highs mostly in the 70s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders today at Piedmont Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Monday Midday Nowcast For Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 04/18/2016 - 12:51

Skies across Alabama at this hour are mostly sunny, with a few whispy clouds filtering the sun a little. Even with these clouds, temperatures are rising nicely.

Radar image for the Houston, TX area.

BACK TO THE WEST: The Omega Block pattern that has kept rainfall back to our west has allowed for flooding conditions for parts of Texas. Heavy rain continues for much of southeast Texas at this moment, with multiple Flash Flood Warnings in effect. Some places in Harris County, near Rose Hill, have already received over 17 inches of rain within the past 24 hours. Eventually this pattern will break down and those showers and thunderstorms will move into the state on Thursday afternoon and evening.

TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE STATE: At 12:30 PM, temperatures are in the lower to mid 70s. Here are a few select cities with their 12:30 PM readings:

Birmingham Airport: Partly Sunny 73
Montgomery: Sunny 74
Tuscaloosa: Mostly cloudy 73
Gadsden: Sunny 72
Anniston: Sunny 75
Muscle Shoals: Mostly cloudy 76
Auburn: Sunny 73
Dothan: Sunny 72

TODAY AND TONIGHT: Skies will be mostly sunny for the rest of the afternoon and evening hours. Afternoon highs should reach the upper 70s to near 80. Overnight lows tonight will be in the upper 40s to the lower 50s.

TOMORROW: Ample sunshine and warm temperatures will be the story of the day, as afternoon temperatures should rise into the lower 80s.

Categories: Weather

Scholarship Opportunity For Alabama Meteorology Students

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 04/18/2016 - 10:52

The Central Alabama Chapter of the National Weather Association is pleased to announce that we are offering two college scholarships for the Fall of 2016. Each scholarship will be worth $500.

The scholarships are available to undergraduate or graduate students who are a full-time resident of Alabama and attend an accredited college or university that offers a degree in atmospheric science or meteorology.

Information on how to apply for these scholarships is available on the Central Alabama NWA web site.

Please help spread the word about this opportunity to a future meteorologist!

Categories: Weather

Amazing Rainfalls in Southeast Texas

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 04/18/2016 - 07:47

Up to 15 inches of rain has fallen in areas west and northwest of Houston this morning.

Houston’s Intercontinental Airport had already broken their rainfall record for April 18…by 5:20 a.m.!

And even more amazing: it also established a new monthly record for any date in April!

8.85 inches had fallen at of 5:20 a.m.

9.39 is the current total for the day.

3.91 inches fell between midnight and 1 a.m. with another 3.19 inches between 4 – 5 a.m.

1.03 inches fell in just ELEVEN minutes between 4:34-4:45 a.m.

There are big delays at Intercontinental and Hobby, which of course impacts Birmingham flights as those are Southwest and United hubs.

An additional 3-4 inches of rain is possible today.

My by estimation, the 9.39 represents the second wettest day on history for the Houston area. The 10.34 inches that fell on June 26, 1989 is Houston’s wettest.

Of course, over 36 inches fell across parts of Houston in June 2001 at Tropical Storm Allison stalled over the area. 8.13 inches fell on June 8th that year with another 2.92 inches on June 9th. That was on top of 5.33 on June 5th. The total that month officially in Houston was 19.21 inches.

Categories: Weather

Warm, Dry Weather For Alabama

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 04/18/2016 - 06:27

BIG WARM-UP TODAY: We are starting the day in the 47-52 degree range for most places, but with sunshine in full supply, we rise to near 80 degrees this afternoon thanks to an upper ridge in place across the eastern U.S.

TO THE WEST: We should note that while we enjoy a beautiful day, the omega block upper air pattern is setting up a very dangerous flood situation in Southeast Texas; some places west of Houston have received over 15 inches of rain as I write this early this morning, and a flash flood emergency is in effect for Harris and Montgomery Counties.

TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: Warm, dry weather continues tomorrow with ample sunshine and a high in the low 80s. Then, on Wednesday, the omega block breaks down, and moisture begins to return. Clouds will begin to increase, and a few spots could see an afternoon shower. The weather stays warm Wednesday with a high around 80 degrees.

RAIN RETURNS: Showers and storms will return to Alabama Thursday and Thursday night as an upper trough approaches, but for now severe weather is not expected. Rain amounts will be around 1/2 inch.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The sky becomes partly sunny Friday as the upper trough moves on to the east with a high in the mid 70s, and then we expect a delightful weekend with sunny days and fair nights. The high Saturday will be in the upper 70s, followed by low 80s Sunday afternoon.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: Weather is looking fantastic for the event this weekend… partly sunny Friday, sunny Saturday and Sunday. Very comfortable afternoons. Get ticket information here.

AT THE BEACH: Dry through Wednesday from Panama City Beach over to Gulf Shores, then a chance of showers and storms Thursday. Dry weather follows Friday, and the weekend looks very nice with sunny days and fair nights Saturday and Sunday. Highs generally in the 70s… and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 67 degrees. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather continues Monday… looks like the next risk of showers/storms will come late Tuesday into Wednesday. And, for now, it doesn’t look like a severe weather threat. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT…. you can watch it live here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program this morning at Piedmont Elementary School…. look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

A Nearly Cloudless Sky

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 04/17/2016 - 11:38

Click image to enlarge.

An almost cloudless sky is the headliner on a beautiful day across the state of Alabama. Just a few high clouds are sliding across the state on a northwesterly flow aloft as we find ourselves on the front side of building ridge which has its axis over Mississippi.

Temperatures are approaching 70F and will top out in the lower and middle 70s.

MORE NICE WEATHER AHEAD: Skies will be mostly clear through tomorrow as high pressure builds over the Southeast ahead of a big upper level low rotates over the southwestern United States. Partly cloudy skies will prevail Tuesday and Wednesday. High temperatures will be in the middle 70s today and tomorrow and near 80F Tuesday and Wednesday as the last vestiges of a bit of an easterly wedge relaxes.

NEXT RAIN CHANCES: As the upper low finally gets pushed out to the northeast by an encroaching upper level trough off the Pacific Northwest coast. A few showers and storms will gradually settle into the state on Thursday. Showers will remain in the forecast on Friday, but will diminish on Saturday. Temperatures will be warm into the weekend.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: The big event is coming up at the Barber Motorsports Park April 22-24… Great news!! The latest runs of the GFS and European show that the rain will be out of here by Friday morning leading to great weather for racng. Get ticket information here.

Categories: Weather

Sunshine for Several Days

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 04/17/2016 - 07:08

Saturday turned out to be a fairly nice day, though the strong east wind was a little brisk especially during the morning. But overnight the upper level weakness continued to dissipate, and most of Alabama is waking up to clear skies this morning. With plenty of sunshine look for the afternoon highs to reach well into the 70s with most places in the middle 70s.

Beach weather looks good, too, with plenty of sunshine ahead for those at the beach. Through midweek there will be dry weather with more sun than clouds, so be sure to use the sunscreen. Afternoon highs will be in the 70s. This latest reading at Perdido Pass at Orange Beach showed the water temperature at 68 degrees. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here.

There is not much to say about the weather in Central Alabama from Monday through Wednesday. We will see lots of sunshine with a gradual warming trend as highs climb to the lower 80s by Wednesday. Morning lows will be cool but not too chilly with readings around 50 Monday and Tuesday and into the upper 50s Wednesday.

Yesterday the GFS seemed to be struggling with exactly what to do with the weather for the end of the week. Well the latest GFS run has a pretty big change that will mean drier weather for next weekend. The upper low over the Southwest US eventually lifts out to the north and then phases with the large trough over northern Canada to move eastward across the Middle Mississippi River Valley. Below this upper trough, a surface low will develop in the vicinity of Paducah, KY, and move northeast into New England by Friday. This drags a cold front across Alabama late Thursday and early Friday. This represents a big change in the overall pattern from yesterday which brought the front into the area and stalled it.

This solution is also very close to the solution presented by the European model, so confidence is fairly high with both global models in close agreement. This solution puts our best rain chances from late Thursday afternoon into the first half of Friday. The front pushes well off the Southeast US coast on Saturday, so Saturday and Sunday should be very nice days with temperatures close to expected seasonal values with lows in the 50s and highs in the 70s.

The Honda Indy Grand Prix of Alabama will be at Barber Motorsports Park next weekend, April 22-24, and the latest model projections suggest some great weather for racing. You can get ticket information here.

Looking further afield, both the GFS and ECMWF are suggesting a large upper ridge over the eastern US for the first half of week 2. The ridge holds into the second half of the week, but a fairly strong short wave trough around April 29th promises some active weather late that week.

I had a great time at the Mutt Strut on Saturday morning with Meaghan Thomas. She ran the race while I held down the meet-and-greet tasks at the ABC 3340 booth. Nice to have a dry event for the Mutt Strut and the steady to brisk east wind kept everyone cool. Our promotions director, Karen Swann, was in the race, too, but she did a combination of walk/run. Both ladies mentioned that the race course was a tough because of the numerous hills.

James Spann will be back in the saddle come Monday morning with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video. You can always check in with the blog for the latest notes on the weather. Enjoy the sunshine and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Sunshine Returning, Warmer

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 04/16/2016 - 14:09

After the cloudy start to our day, drier air is moving in from the east and we are seeing the sunshine return from east to west across the state today.

Temperatures are in the lower 70s for most of this afternoon, and it continues to be breezy at times. For the rest of today and into tonight, the sky will continue to clear.

By tomorrow morning, we are forecasting chilly temperatures. Expect 40s across East Alabama, while lower 50s are expected west of Interstate 65. Forecast model output below for 7AM tomorrow morning looks pretty consistent with our thinking.

A ridge will continue to build in across the Southeast this weekend, and we are going to see more sun and warmer temperatures ahead in the forecast. For tomorrow, expect a day full of sunshine and plenty of blue sky. After the chilly start, we should all see temperatures well into the 70s tomorrow afternoon. Definitely a splendid spring Sunday of weather ahead.

With ridge in control of our weather, the weather for the week ahead is shaping up to be quite nice, and after this past week’s cloudy and dreary conditions, we sure need it. Through at least Wednesday, each day sure feature more sun than clouds and afternoon highs will be in the the upper 70s and lower 80s through out Central Alabama. Nights will be fair and cool, with overnight lows in the 50s.

Categories: Weather

Several Days of Dry Weather

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 04/16/2016 - 06:11

The pesky easterly flow along with a sort of wedge pattern continued this morning with much of the Southeast US cloudy and radar showing some patchy light rain showers stretching from Montgomery to western Jefferson County. Looks like the clouds and the possibility of some sprinkles or light rain will continue with us for the morning with some drying during the afternoon. We will probably see a little more sun peeking through the clouds during the mid to late afternoon. Highs today should reach the upper 60s and lower 70s.

The upper level weakness across the Southeast US and Lower Mississippi River Valley will continue to weaken tonight and Sunday, so I expect to see a much nicer day for us as sunshine returns on Sunday with highs climbing into the middle 70s, a value pretty typical for this time of year.

Just as we are seeing in Central Alabama, improving weather is expected for the northern Gulf Coast this weekend. It has been a rather dreary week for beach goers, but by later today, sunshine will return, and it will stick around through the middle of next week. Afternoon highs will be in the 70s, but water temperatures are still a little chilly. Yesterday afternoon at Perdido Pass at Orange Beach the water temperature was 69F. See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here.

A combination of the upper ridge and surface high pressure is expected to keep us dry and warm through midweek. For now with a somewhat weak upper level pattern, I’m going to hold off any chance of rain until Thursday, but Wednesday will be a transition day as clouds increase with an increase in moisture as a surface high slides off into the Atlantic bringing the surface flow around to a southerly direction. A surface low, but one that is not forecast to be very strong, will move from eastern Kansas on Thursday to southern Michigan on Friday to off the New England coast by Saturday.

The movement of this surface system along with an upper level trough will drag a weak frontal boundary into the Southeast US Friday and Saturday. While temperatures will be warm with lows in the lower 60s and highs in the lower 80s, we are likely to see chances for showers from Thursday into the weekend.

The big event at Barber Motorsports Park is next weekend, April 22, 23, and 24. It is on the edge of voodoo country, so it’s difficult to be very specific. I also note that the past several long range model runs have been struggling with next week’s system. It still looks as though the pattern would support warm temperatures, with a chance of scattered showers next weekend. Still plenty of time to watch the forecast unfold. You will find ticket information here.

I’m putting this together a little bit earlier today due to an event down at UAB, the Mutt Strut. I will be at the ABC 3340 tent along with several other on-air people, so be sure to stop by our booth and say hello. The earlier production of this video together with slightly later model availability means that I do not have any of the GFS output into voodoo country.

The next Weather Xtreme Video will be posted here first thing on Sunday morning. I hope you have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

A Brighter and Warmer Weekend

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 04/15/2016 - 15:13

RADAR CHECK: Just a few scattered showers are in progress this afternoon across the great state of Alabama…

The showers are moving northwest, and we will maintain the risk of some scattered light rain tonight. Temperatures this afternoon are in the 60s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Clouds will persist tomorrow morning, and there could be a touch of light rain or drizzle in a few spots, but the sky should become partly to mostly sunny by afternoon as subsidence takes over. The high tomorrow should be close to 70 degrees in most places… then expect sunshine in full supply Sunday with a high in the mid 70s.

NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge will set up warm, dry weather Monday and Tuesday with a high at or just over 80 degrees. We will mention a slight risk of a shower Wednesday, followed by a better chance of showers, and possibly a thunderstorm or two, Thursday and Friday. It does’t look like a severe weather situation at this point… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

A-DAY: The sky should be partly sunny tomorrow for the 2:00 kickoff of the annual spring football game at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa with temperatures in the low 70s. No risk of rain.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights tomorrow through early next week from Gulf Shores over to Panama City Beach with highs generally in the 70s. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.

HONDA INDY GRAND PRIX OF ALABAMA: The big event is coming up at the Barber Motorsports Park April 22-24… for now it looks like a few showers and storms are possible on Friday (April 22), followed by a trend toward drier weather April 23-24. Highs will be in the 77-81 degree range. Get ticket information here.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the students today at West Jefferson Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! Look for my next Weather Xtreme video Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Plenty of Good News from Our Alabama NewsCenter Friends

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 04/15/2016 - 12:07

From football to golf to business, there was plenty of good news in the state from our friends at Alabama NewsCenter this week.

Alabama A-Day impact expected to hit $10 million

Auburn fans ready to see defense, quarterbacks at A-Day game

AHSAA passes ‘Tim Tebow rule’ to allow home-schooled students to play sports at public schools

Four startup companies advance from Birmingham to compete in Nashville for $50,000

Birmingham’s Innovation Depot has had nearly $1.4 billion impact since 2010

Eastaboga Bee Company is abuzz with everything from honey to lip balm

Raytheon said to be seeking funding for more Alabama-made missiles

Mercedes sales climb twice as fast as BMW in first quarter

Pro golfer Rocco Mediate readies for Regions Tradition May 18-22

Birmingham’s Rotary Trail sign rapidly becoming a selfie centerpiece

From home plate to home sales, Eli Iorg makes journey from pro baseball to Alabama Realtor

Jackie Robinson honored by talented young Alabama player

Tempt your tastebuds, watch baseball and help Mother Nature in Can’t Miss Alabama

Darter Festival 2016 provides awareness and support for rare species

Champions of Sustainability work to transform Birmingham area

Electrathon gives Alabama, Georgia students exposure to engineering

David Ford works to preserve the Berman Collection in Anniston

Bikeshare blossoms in Birmingham

Spend time, not money with the Alabama outdoors weather

Avondale is home to a relocated Alabama Environmental Council’s Recycling Center

Gaston Steam Plant volunteers help Sycamore students spread wings with butterfly garden

Market at Pepper Place returns this weekend in Birmingham

Homemade meatloaf at G’s Country Kitchen featured in 100 Dishes to Eat in Alabama Before You Die

In praise of Virginia Van der Veer Hamilton: pioneering Alabama historian, author and mentor

 

 

Categories: Weather
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