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WeatherBrains 433: Patriot Act Sucks

ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Tue, 05/13/2014 - 05:15

WeatherBrains Episode 433 is now online (May 12, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

It’s a three for one special on tonight’s show as we have a surplus of WeatherBrains. They’ll be going for a dime a dozen.

And an important panel announcement: Rick Smith, the Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) at the NWS Norman and one of the of most respected voices in weather will be joining the panel next week and will be with us regularly from then on. He will provide a good NWS perspective on the show.

Tonight’s first guest WeatherBrain is a meteorologist for BAM Chase.net. Michael Clark works with the storm chase/weather consulting company in Indianapolis, IN.

Tonight’s other Guest WeatherBrains are from How The Weather Works. Mike Mogil is the founder of How The Weatherworks, which focuses on providing a wide array of services including forensic support, school learning programs, writing and editing, photography and forecasting. He serves as the Director of the National Weather Camp Program (now with more than a fourteen camp sites in operation). He and his wife also own and operate Mathworks, a tutoring company in Naples, FL, serving more than 150 students a year. He recently formed The Learningworks Foundation, Inc., a not-for-profit company, dedicated to encouraging learning.

He is joined by Matt Bolton, a student and an intern at How The Weather Works. Matt has had a life-long interest in meteorology and has been active in the West Central Florida weather community since 2008.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • 96 at Dryden, TX, Laredo, TX, and Death Valley, CA, and 17 at Leadville, CO, and Yellowstone Lake, WY
  • Long line of thunderstorms from near Chicago to South Texas
  • Main severe weather threat in the vicinity of southern Lake Michigan
  • Big ridge in the East and deep trough in the West
  • Denver’s football field covered in snow
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer, Aubrey, is on the point bringing you the latest comments from the listeners who write.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: In this episode of WeatherBrains 101, we focus on streakers – jet streaks, that is. Jet streaks are part of the overall global flow of air called the jet stream.

    TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of May 12th.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 433:

    How the Weather Works

    Learningworks Foundation, Inc.

    BAM Chase.Net

    Picks of the Week:

    Matt Bolton – Polar Water Vapor

    Michael Clark – Hail picture (no link)

    Nate Johnson – James Spann selfie at Chik-Fil-A

    Mike Mogil – Precipitable Water Chart

    Bill Murray – Realtime GOES-14 Super Rapid Scan Operations

    Brian Peters – ISS images and streaming video

    James Spann – Tropical Cyclone Guidance Project

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – SPC Storm Reports page

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    WeatherBrains 433: Patriot Act Sucks

    WeatherBrains - Tue, 05/13/2014 - 04:45

    WeatherBrains Episode 433 is now online (May 12, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

    It’s a three for one special on tonight’s show as we have a surplus of WeatherBrains. They’ll be going for a dime a dozen.

    And an important panel announcement: Rick Smith, the Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) at the NWS Norman and one of the of most respected voices in weather will be joining the panel next week and will be with us regularly from then on. He will provide a good NWS perspective on the show.

    Tonight’s first guest WeatherBrain is a meteorologist for BAM Chase.net. Michael Clark works with the storm chase/weather consulting company in Indianapolis, IN.

    Tonight’s other Guest WeatherBrains are from How The Weather Works. Mike Mogil is the founder of How The Weatherworks, which focuses on providing a wide array of services including forensic support, school learning programs, writing and editing, photography and forecasting. He serves as the Director of the National Weather Camp Program (now with more than a fourteen camp sites in operation). He and his wife also own and operate Mathworks, a tutoring company in Naples, FL, serving more than 150 students a year. He recently formed The Learningworks Foundation, Inc., a not-for-profit company, dedicated to encouraging learning.

    He is joined by Matt Bolton, a student and an intern at How The Weather Works. Matt has had a life-long interest in meteorology and has been active in the West Central Florida weather community since 2008.

    Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • 96 at Dryden, TX, Laredo, TX, and Death Valley, CA, and 17 at Leadville, CO, and Yellowstone Lake, WY
  • Long line of thunderstorms from near Chicago to South Texas
  • Main severe weather threat in the vicinity of southern Lake Michigan
  • Big ridge in the East and deep trough in the West
  • Denver’s football field covered in snow
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer, Aubrey, is on the point bringing you the latest comments from the listeners who write.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: In this episode of WeatherBrains 101, we focus on streakers – jet streaks, that is. Jet streaks are part of the overall global flow of air called the jet stream.

    TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of May 12th.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 433:

    How the Weather Works

    Learningworks Foundation, Inc.

    BAM Chase.Net

    Picks of the Week:

    Matt Bolton – Polar Water Vapor

    Michael Clark – Hail picture (no link)

    Nate Johnson – James Spann selfie at Chik-Fil-A

    Mike Mogil – Precipitable Water Chart

    Bill Murray – Realtime GOES-14 Super Rapid Scan Operations

    Brian Peters – ISS images and streaming video

    James Spann – Tropical Cyclone Guidance Project

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – SPC Storm Reports page

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    May 12 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

    Weather Xtreme Video - Mon, 05/12/2014 - 15:33
    May 12 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
    The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 277 3 ratings Time: 05:28 More in News & Politics
    Categories: Weather

    Showers/Storms Increase By Wednesday

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 05/12/2014 - 15:30

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: As expected, we have a handful of widely scattered showers and storms across the great state of Alabama this afternoon. Most of them are west and south of Birmingham, and they will fade away after the sun goes down later this evening. It is a very warm, muggy afternoon with temperatures in the 80s and dewpoints in the 60s.

    TOMORROW: Not much change; warm and humid weather continues with a high between 87 and 90, and a few spots could see a brief afternoon shower or storm in widely scattered places. The high resolution NAM model hints some thunderstorms could move into Alabama late tomorrow night ahead of a large upper trough, now over the western half of the nation.

    WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Showers and storms become likely statewide Wednesday. SPC has parts of North and West Alabama in the standard “slight risk” of severe weather for Wednesday and Wednesday night…

    Looks like a summer setup with high CAPE values (the new model runs show surface based CAPE values exceeding 2,000 j/kg Wednesday afternoon), but with little shear and relatively weak wind fields (low level jet under 30 knots). So, strong storms are certainly possible Wednesday, but if they become severe it looks like hail and gusty winds will be the primary threat. Rain amounts of 1/2 to one inch are likely.

    Thursday will be much cooler with rain ending from west to east during the morning. The latest model data hints clouds could hang around all day with temperatures not getting out of the 60s.

    FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: These three days look generally dry and very pleasant for mid-May, with below average temperatures and low humidity levels. A large upper trough will cover the eastern third of the nation; with short waves rotating though the bottom of the trough, we can’t rule out a shower, or a little light rain somewhere over North Alabama Friday or Saturday, but with low dewpoints the chance of really significant rain for now looks small. Expect partly to mostly sunny days with highs in the 70s.

    See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show at 8:30 CT tonight… you can watch it on “James Spann” 24/7 on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    I enjoyed seeing the kids at Christ Harbor United Methodist Church in Northport today…. be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

    Categories: Weather

    Another Great Guest to Speak at Local NWA Chapter

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 05/12/2014 - 10:33

    The Central Alabama Chapter of the National Weather Association continues to have incredible guest speakers come to town and discuss weather and research with the Chapter.

    The May 2014 Chapter meeting will feature compelling research about how social media, specifically the Facebook, is helping researchers map tornado paths.

    Birmingham native, proud Huffman High School Viking alumni, and Chapter member, Dr. John Knox will be the guest speaker at the next chapter meeting. Dr. Knox is a professor in the Department of Geography at the University of Georgia. Using the April 27, 2011 tornado outbreak, Dr. Knox has discovered some incredible information on how tornadoes loft, carry, and distribute debris. His research has been featured on The Today Show, and he will be sharing these fascinating findings with the Central Alabama NWA Chapter.

    The Chapter Meeting is Monday night, May 19, 2014 at the Residence Inn, in Hoover, AL. This hotel is located on Highway 150 between the Galleria and Hunter Street Baptist Church. Doors open at 6:30 PM and the meeting starts at 7 PM. You can join the Chapter for $25 which is good for all of 2014 and gets you into all Chapter functions. Guests may attend chapter meetings for $15.

    To get involved or find out more about the Central Alabama NWA Chapter, check out the Chapter’s Website.

    Categories: Weather

    Warm, Humid Days

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Mon, 05/12/2014 - 06:27

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    LIKE SUMMER: Our weather won’t change much today and tomorrow as the summer preview continues. The high will be in the mid to upper 80s, and high humidity levels will continue as dewpoints are in the 60s. The combination of the daytime heating process and low level moisture will bring the risk of “widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”, words you hear just about every day during the summer months in Alabama.

    The chance of any one spot seeing rain this afternoon is only about one in five.

    Not much change tomorrow; afternoon showers and storms should remain widely spaced.

    WEDNESDAY: Showers and storms become widespread ahead of a surface front and upper trough. Interesting to note that SPC has parts of Northwest Alabama in the standard “slight risk” of severe weather Wednesday, but the parameters looks pretty marginal at this point. Low level jet under 30 knots, very little 0-1 km storm relative helicity. But, the surface based CAPE values do rise to about 1200 j/kg during the day, so we will watch model trends. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely.

    THURSDAY: This will be a transition day. Rain should end pretty early Thursday morning, followed by gradual clearing. The weather will be much cooler; many North/Central Alabama communities will have a hard time getting out of the 60s with a north breeze. Thursday night will be cool; with a clear sky we should drop into the mid to upper 40s by daybreak Friday.

    FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday will be a delightful day with ample sunshine and a high in the 70s. The weekend looks generally dry, but a surface front could bring a few showers late Saturday or Saturday night. Dewpoints will be very low, so any rain should be very light and very spotty. Highs over the weekend will be in the mid to upper 70s.

    See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: About 7 to 9 hours of sun along the coast today and tomorrow from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only isolated showers or storms. Wednesday and Thursday will be mostly cloudy with showers and storms becoming more numerous; then the weather looks delightful Friday through the weekend with sunny days and fair nights. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 77-81 degree range. The sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 77 degrees.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    I will be doing a weather program this morning for the kids at Christ Harbor United Methodist Church in Northport… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    May 12 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition

    Weather Xtreme Video - Mon, 05/12/2014 - 06:25
    May 12 Weather Xtreme Video - Morning Edition
    The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 657 5 ratings Time: 06:14 More in News & Politics
    Categories: Weather

    82 mph Wind Gust in Omaha

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 05/11/2014 - 20:13

    Omaha dodged a bullet in the tornado department tonight as a supercell thunderstorm with a history of producing tornadoes morphed into a high precipitation beast of a storm that wrapped up into a large mesoscale convective vortex.

    A powerful rear flank downdraft and gust front raced out ahead of the storm, pounding the Omaha area. Winds gusted to 82 mph at Eppley Airport in Omaha.

    OMAHA/EPPLEY,NE (OMA) ASOS reports gust of 71.0 knots from W @ 0051Z KOMA 120052Z 27054G71KT 1/4SM R14R/1200VP6000FT +TSRA SQ FEW030CB BKN100 OVC110 18/17 A2955 RMK AO2 PK WND 27071/0051 WSHFT 0029 RAB10 SLP004 CONS LTGICCCCACG TS SW-OHD-NW MOV NE P0002 T01780167 $

    Tornado watches continue tonight from Iowa to western Oklahoma, with severe thunderstorm warnings in the same area ahead of a cold front. There are two surface lows tonight, one moving into Wisconsin and another near Dodge City.

    Another round of storms with a severe thunderstorm watch and several severe thunderstorm warnings across Illinois, Indiana and Ohio.

    IN ALABAMA
    Thunderstorms are near Hamilton and DOuble Springs in Northwest Alabama. There are not strong, but there is lightning and brief heavy rain.

    Categories: Weather

    Confirmed Tornado Heading Toward Lincoln NE

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 05/11/2014 - 17:25

    A supercell thunderstorm along the warm front in Nebraska is producing a confirmed tornado about 30 miles west southwest of Lincoln NE late this afternoon.

    It is very near Beaver Crossing right now.

    It is moving ENE at 25-30 mph and could affect parts of Lincoln within the hour.

    ALABAMA UPDATE
    Showers continue in the Birmingham area at this hour, generally along and west of I-65 from Bessemer to Fultondale to a large cell near Warrior /Smoke Rise. Others are north of Tuscaloosa right now.

    Heavy showers over West Alabama are over Sumter, Greene and Hale Counties. Here is a current radar:

    Categories: Weather

    It’s All About the Moisture!

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 05/11/2014 - 13:17

    Happy Mother’s Day to all the moms out there!

    It’s been a nice Mother’s Day so far across Central Alabama with warm and muggy, but dry conditions across the area.

    Click image to enlarge.

    Temperatures were held back a bit during the morning by heavier clouds, but those clouds have eroded, allowing a nice field of puffy cumulus clouds to develop in the low level moisture. You can see that in the top left panel of the graphic above. Readings will top out in the middle 80s generally across the I-20 corridor, with some upper 80s to the south.

    Regional radar mosaics are starting to show a rash developing from the Florida Panhandle through southwestern Alabama and across much of the state of Mississippi. The convective showers are in the deeper moisture axis that extends across this area. You can see that clearly in the larger panel of the graphic if you click and enlarge it.

    It means that these showers and the storms that some of them will grow to become will be mainly over western Alabama this afternoon. Can’t rule out a stray one over the rest of the area, but when it comes to more numerous storms, it’s all about the moisture.

    TONIGHT: You can expect partly cloudy skies as the heating of the day disappears allowing the showers to dissipate. Lows will be in the middle 70s.

    MONDAY: Tomorrow will feature increasing high pressure, but warm and humid conditions will prevail. A few isolated storms will develop, but the chance you will find you is only around 1 in 5. Highs tomorrow will be a couple of degrees warmer that those of today.

    SEVERE WEATHER TODAY: Severe weather is expected across a wide area today from Madison WI and Chicago to Kansas City and Abilene, with an enhanced area across southwestern Iowa, southeastern Nebraska and Central Kansas. A powerful upper trough is approaching the region from the west today with a surface low near Des Moines. Thunderstorms are active along the warm front over eastern Iowa with severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings having already been posted and tornado watches are in effect. The best chance for tornadoes today will extend from Omaha to Des Moines.

    Categories: Weather

    A Survey For You to Complete

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 05/11/2014 - 10:00

    From John DeBlock at the National Weather Service in Birmingham:

    Prior to our IWT meeting on June 25th, Dr. Laura Myers, Social Scientist, will be conducting numerous electronic surveys concerning the Alabama winter weather events with EMA, media and the general public.  In addition, she will also conduct a number of in-depth interviews with EMA officials and Television meteorologists.

    Dr. Myers works with the weather enterprise to support weather warning research efforts in the Southeast. She serves on multiple Integrated Warning Teams and conducts research studies and research applications on the weather warning process. She has developed research studies including: a study for the National Weather Association on the April 27th storm survivors’ perceptions of the weather warning process; a study of Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee residents and their perceptions of the weather warning process; a study of the weather warning process for mass population venues; and the development of a population assessment tool for determining how to reach vulnerable populations with the weather warning process.  Her work for the past winter events will help all of us gain understanding on how multiple population segments both understand and utilize weather information.

    Here is the link to the survey.

    Please complete it to help us obtain public perception about the 2014 winter weather events. The findings will undoubtedly make our IWT meeting more interesting and informative!

    Categories: Weather

    Warmer Today

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sun, 05/11/2014 - 07:58

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    What a beautiful afternoon we had yesterday across Central Alabama after some morning rain. Most of Central Alabama saw highs in the upper 70s while South Alabama edged into the lower 80s. The humidity was high yesterday afternoon, so some dense fog formed overnight. A dense fog advisory was in effect for the area generally along and east of the I-59 corridor. The fog will burn off or rise into a low cloud deck and break up by 9 to 10 am, and then we should see partly sunny skies for the afternoon. Due to the high humidity we may see a few isolated showers that may be a little more numerous across the southern sections of the state. Highs should once again climb into the lower and middle 80s.

    The area comes under an upper ridge once again today which will stick around with us for the next couple of days. It’s going to be the classic battle of the strong trough in the Rockies butting heads with the strong ridge over the eastern US. Because of the low level moist air and afternoon heating, we could see isolated showers again Monday and Tuesday, but there appears to be just enough drying that most of us will remain dry with temperatures reaching the middle and upper 80s into the middle of the week.

    The strong upper trough moves into the Mississippi River Valley at midweek bringing a front into our area. This should be the focus for our best rain chances for the upcoming week. At the moment, while we will probably see some thunderstorms, there does not appear to be a serious threat for severe weather in our area.

    The eastward advancement of the trough pushes the ridge out into the Atlantic, and that’s where we see a major pattern change. The GFS was a little too enthusiastic with the pattern change yesterday developing a deep closed low over the southern Appalachians. Today’s model run has tempered that change but it is still enough of a change to take us from above average highs and lows to below average highs and lows as we get into Thursday and Friday and next weekend. And the GFS signals that this change will stick with us into the weekend and out into voodoo country. This dramatic pattern change will result in lowering morning lows into the 50s – perhaps even into the 40s – and afternoon highs into the 70s.

    Our two major long term models are more similar today than they were yesterday, however, there are still some major differences. The European model is in line with the GFS until about Monday when the model solutions become quite different. It’s certainly not unusual to see this kind of model divergence, but the difference is so great there is little confidence in either solution being the correct one. I’m probably leaning a little more with the GFS since we’ve see a colder pattern for so much of 2014 so far, making the idea of the eastern US trough seem pretty reasonable.

    The pattern shift is projected to stick around for Week 2, also known as voodoo country.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings) Bill Murray Brian Peters

    I had a marvelous time at the Buck Creek Festival in Helena. We got off to a wet start during the morning, but the weather improved nicely as we went into the afternoon with some good sunshine and great music. It is so rewarding to work with a great bunch of people on a community project that benefits everyone. Mark your calendars for the next Buck Creek Festival, May 8 and 9, 2015. James Spann will have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Dangerous Storm East of Kansas City

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 05/10/2014 - 19:40

    A tornadic supercell with a history of producing a tornado is moving across Central Missouri this evening. The storm is well east of Kansas City ans well west of St. Louis. It is just to the north of Interstate 70 and is moving east-southeast at 30 mph. The storm has terrific structure to it and an impressive couplet.

    The storm is near Saline, MO and on it current track could affect the the city of Columbia, Missouri later this evening.

    Click image to enlarge.

    * TORNADO WARNING FOR…
    EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL CHARITON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI…
    WEST CENTRAL HOWARD COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI…
    CENTRAL SALINE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI…

    * UNTIL 800 PM CDT

    * AT 725 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
    TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MARSHALL…AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

    HAZARD…TORNADO AND PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

    SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

    IMPACT…FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
    SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE
    TO ROOFS…WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS
    LIKELY.

    * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
    SLATER…GLASGOW AND GILLIAM.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
    STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME…A VEHICLE OR
    OUTDOORS…MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
    YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

    Categories: Weather

    A Few Scattered Showers

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 05/10/2014 - 14:38

    Most of the state remains dry this afternoon. Areas to the northwest are actually seeing mostly sunny conditions, while clouds hang around for areas along and south of Interstate 59.

    Looking at the latest radar image, there are several showers, with perhaps some lightning and thunder occurring in our southeastern counties. Currently, the more intense activity is affecting portions of Montgomery, Elmore, Tallapoosa, Macon, Lee, Clay, Cleburne, and Randolph Counties. In some of these areas, there could even be some gusty winds and heavy downpours.

    This activity will continue to move off to the east-northeast and at anytime additional activity could possibly develop as a very warm, moist, and muggy air mass is in place across the state today and for the next several days.

    Click image to enlarge.

    Categories: Weather

    Sun, Clouds, Showers…Muggy

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 05/10/2014 - 12:27

    We are seeing a mix of sun and clouds today as a very moist and and muggy air mass remains in place across the region today. Mostly cloudy conditions for Central Alabama, but we are seeing some breaks in the clouds which are allowing some sunshine in. Over the northwestern portions of the state, the sky is has more sun than clouds. Throughout the afternoon, we will continue to see additional clearing from west to east across the state.

    Underneath those clouds, most locations across the state are drying out. There remain a few showers and with some rumbles of thunder in Central Alabama. Mostly from Shelby County, east along Interstate 20 towards Atlanta. Also, there are some showers over Lowndes, Elmore, and Coosa Counties. Though most of the rain is over, we could still see a few additional showers and perhaps some storms develop as we head through the afternoon.

    Categories: Weather

    May 10 Weather Xtreme Video

    Weather Xtreme Video - Sat, 05/10/2014 - 07:31
    May 10 Weather Xtreme Video
    The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 272 3 ratings Time: 07:32 More in News & Politics
    Categories: Weather

    Rain Moving Out for Weekend

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 05/10/2014 - 07:29

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    After a dozen or so great days, the weather turned wet yesterday afternoon as rain moved into and across Central Alabama. Rainfall amounts were fairly low for our area, while rainfall amounts further south were much higher. Additional rain and showers developed overnight and those showers were moving through Central Alabama at daybreak. What looked like a fairly wet Saturday may actually turn into a pretty good day even though we are likely to stay mostly cloudy as the rain moves steadily eastward.

    The upper air pattern shows a weak trough moving through the overall ridge pattern today which should take the rain chances east and dry out Central Alabama for the rest of the day. We should stay dry Sunday and Monday as the upper ridge builds back over the eastern US. Precipitable water values do not drop a lot, but they do edge downward with values mainly around 1.25 inches. While we can’t completely rule out an isolated shower or two, it does seem likely that Sunday and Monday will be dry with partly cloudy skies. But hold onto your seats, because the pattern will get active next week.

    Tuesday, a strong trough will come out of the Rockies and move across the Mississippi River Valley on Wednesday. This will be responsible for bringing us another shot of rain and perhaps some thundershowers as well, though, at the moment, there does not appear to be a significant risk for severe weather.

    This is where the big changes begin to happen. The GFS carves out a very deep trough with a closed low across the eastern US. This pattern promises to bring some relatively cold air southward into the Southeast US. By the end of the week and perhaps into the weekend, we could see some morning lows dropping back into the 40s. While it is much to early to be definitive about how chilly it might get, it is interesting to note that record lows for later next week for Birmingham are in the lower 40s. We also have the reality that the GFS is much more aggressive with this pattern than the European. The ECMWF develops a trough, but it does not close off a low over the southern Appalachians as the GFS does. But whichever model has the closest solution, it sure seems a pretty good bet we’ll see temperatures that will be below seasonal averages into next weekend.

    Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS maintains the closed low feature in the vicinity of the Outer Banks through May 20th before the pattern flattens out somewhat returning us to more seasonal temperatures. In light of model differences and the fact that the closed low feature depicted by the GFS is so strong, there is a good possibility that we see the actual pattern much closer to a compromise between the two model solutions. But in light of the fact that we’ve seen a good deal of below average weather for much of 2014, the GFS solution might not be too far off.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    I’ll be emceeing the Buck Creek Festival in Old Town Helena today with music on stage from 10 am to 10 pm. Our headliner this evening is U.S Band, so be sure to come out to Helena for a great free festival with lots of great food, marvelous music, great activities for the kids, and some superb crafts. If you time it just right, you might even see me make a complete fool of myself on the Water Wobble! I’ll have the next Weather Xtreme Video by 8 am or so on Sunday. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Flash Flood Warning Lowndes County until 10:30 AM

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Sat, 05/10/2014 - 04:36

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

    * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR…
    LOWNDES COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…

    * UNTIL 1030 AM CDT

    * AT 433 AM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED SLOW MOVING
    THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
    LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BE OBSERVED WITH THIS BAND. A SECOND BAND
    OF HEAVY RAINFALL WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE INTO THE
    SAME AREA AND WILL PROVIDE ANOTHER 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN TO THE
    AREA…WITH LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS.

    * RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
    OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE…
    HAYNEVILLE…MOSSES…BEECHWOOD…BENTON…GORDONVILLE…
    LOWNDESBORO AND WHITE HALL.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    THIS COULD POTENTIALLY BECOME A DANGEROUS SITUATION. RAINFALL FROM
    PERSISTENT RAINBANDS WILL PRODUCE FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS AND
    ALONG STREETS. MANY ROADS WILL BE IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH WATER AND
    DRIVING IS NOT RECOMMENDED DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.

    BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
    DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
    NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
    ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
    WATER BEGINS RISING.

    Categories: Weather

    A Drying Trend For The Weekend

    ABC 33/40 Weather Blog - Fri, 05/09/2014 - 15:32

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: A large mass of rain covers much of North/Central Alabama this afternoon…

    There has been very little thunder over the northern half of the state as the air is cool and stable. Rain will continue into the evening hours, and will taper off late tonight from the west.

    TOMORROW: We will still mention the chance of a few lingering showers or storms in scattered spots, but I sure get the idea much of the day will be dry. The sun will be out at times, and we warm into the low to mid 80s by afternoon. The sky should be generally fair tomorrow night.

    SUNDAY/MONDAY: These two days look warm and dry. A partly sunny sky both days with a high up in the mid to upper 80s. The chance of a shower is not really zero, but the risk of any one spot getting wet is so small I think we can remove the chance from the forecast.

    TUESDAY: A band of showers and storms will move into Alabama late Tuesday afternoon or Tuesday night; for now it doesn’t look like a severe weather threat, and the rain shouldn’t be too heavy. Temperatures should reach the low 80s Tuesday afternoon before the rain arrives.

    WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: A nice surge of cool, dry air moves into the state. The sky becomes sunny during the day Wednesday, and we reach the cool 40s by early Thursday morning. The dry air stays in place through at least Friday of next week.

    See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    AT THE BEACH: A good chance of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores (but it won’t rain all day)… then about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine each day Sunday through Tuesday with just a few widely scattered showers or storms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s, with 80s inland. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 70s.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
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    Look for the my next Weather Xtreme video here bright and early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

    Categories: Weather

    May 9 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition

    Weather Xtreme Video - Fri, 05/09/2014 - 15:25
    May 9 Weather Xtreme Video - Afternoon Edition
    The ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is a detailed weather discussion for Alabama and the Southeast U.S. which goes beyond the normal stuff you see on TV! From... From: abc3340 Views: 426 5 ratings Time: 05:05 More in News & Politics
    Categories: Weather