ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
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Rather Quiet Weather For Alabama

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 16:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THE BLIZZARD IS THE STORY: As expected, the sky has cleared over most of Alabama this afternoon, with the clouds hanging tough over the far eastern part of the state. Temperatures are mostly in the 40s. Up north, snow is increasing in intensity in New York City this afternoon… this shot is from Central Park at mid-afternoon (photo from @my_cen_parkNYC)

Blizzard warnings remain in effect from the New Jersey shore to the coast of Maine, including New York City, Hartford, Providence, and Boston. Snow amounts around two feet are likely with winds to 50 mph at times. Airports are closing, and travel will be nearly impossible across that region tonight and tomorrow.

HERE AT HOME: A few cloudy periods are possible tomorrow, and I can’t totally rule out a little morning drizzle in spots over East Alabama, but the day will be dry with a high in the low 50s. Wednesday should be bright and sunny with a high in the mid 50s.

On Thursday, a clipper will pass well north of the state, but it could drag some clouds down into North Alabama. We will mention a small risk of a shower over the northeast counties of the state, but most communities stay dry with a high in the upper 50s Thursday afternoon.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday and Saturday will be dry with seasonal temperatures; highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s. Clouds begin to increase Saturday afternoon, and Sunday still looks wet with periods of rain as a significant upper trough passes through. Rain amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch look likely Sunday; no risk of severe weather, and conditions are way too warm for any winter weather mischief.

Colder and drier air returns early next week; we won’t get out of the 40s Monday with a chilly north wind.

LONG TERM: While temperatures will be below average early next week, no sign of bitterly cold air for now through mid-February.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight… it will begin at an early time so we can provide coverage of the Northeast U.S. blizzard. Show time is 8:00 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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I had a great time today visiting with the kids in the Sumter County HeadStart program; we were together at the Livingston Community Center… be watching for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Birmingham’s Coldest Period

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 10:30

On the morning of January 26, 1940, Alabama and the Deep South were in the deep freeze. And had been for over a week. Headlines on the Birmingham Age-Herald were dominated by the cold and additional snow that had fallen the day before.

But there were also disturbing news from Europe, where the Nazis were threatening to attack Romania for their oil. And the British were planning defense against Nazi air raids. Closer to home, a serious coal shortage was leading to negotiations between the governor and miners for increased production through suspension of work rules.

The forecast for the 26th was for partly cloudy and not as cold conditions. But Friday the 26th would be just as cold as the day before, when the high was 20F. And lows by Saturday morning the 27th would again be 1F.

At 7 a.m., Birmingham Weather Bureau Chief E.C. Horton measured the temperature on the thermometer his observation shelter at 1.2F. There was still 7 inches of snow on the ground. The airport reading, the official location now, was –5F, but the max/min thermometer showed a minimum reading of -6F.

Across North Alabama, temperatures were below zero, including -6F in Florence and -2F in Huntsville.

Horton saw no relief in sight, and called for lows to drop to below zero over northern sections the coming night, with overnight lows foro the coming night between 6F and 22F.

The cold had been unprecedented in its duration. It had arrived on the night of January 18th as temperatures plummeted from 34F that afternoon to 2F the following morning. The ercury would not go above freezing until the afternoon of the 21st, and then only to a high of 37F.

The next day would see a high of 42F, but snow would fall much of the night of the 22nd and day of the 23rd, until .5 inches had fallen and a total of 10 inches was on the ground. The thermometer would not recover for the next week. Between the 23rd and 28th, the warmest it would get in Birmingham was 34F.

By the 26th, Skaters were actually able to skate on the frozen surface of the Black Warrior River west of Birmingham, where ice was siz inches thick near the banks. Nineteen inches of snow was on the ground at Berry in Fayette County, a record that still stands. An unheard of event!

Categories: Weather

Cool Alabama Day; Some Afternoon Sun

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 07:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS MORNING: Clouds are hanging over Alabama early this morning followed showers, and even a few thunderstorms produced by an intense “Alberta Clipper” system late yesterday and last night. Despite a cool, stable airmass and the lack of low level moisture, the very dynamic system was able to bring those showers and storms. Basically like squeezing blood out of a turnip.

NORTHEAST U.S. BLIZZARD: That dynamic weather system will set up a blizzard from the coast of New Jersey to the coast of Maine tonight and tomorrow; over two feet of snow will fall in spots, and winds near the coast will gust to over 50 mph. New York City and Boston are under blizzard warnings, and air traffic across much of the nation will be greatly impacted.

OUR MONDAY: Clouds will linger across Alabama this morning, but the sun should begin to break through this afternoon for most places. We won’t get past the mid 40s today. Tomorrow will be another cool day with intervals of sunshine and a high in the low 50s. Then, Wednesday promises to be a nice day, with sunshine in full supply and a high in the mid 50s.

ANOTHER CLIPPER: This one will be weaker, but might bring a brief shower to Northeast Alabama late Thursday or Thursday night; the rest of the state will stay dry with a high in the mid 50s Thursday afternoon, along with a mix of sun and clouds. Friday will be dry with a high in the mid 50s with ample sunshine.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday should remain dry, but clouds will begin to increase with a high in the mid 50s. Rain returns Sunday with a surface low moving right over Alabama; looks like rain will be a good possibility much of the day, with potential for 1/2 to one inch for most of the state.

VOODOO LAND: Getting conflicting signals; the latest GFS suggests no real bitterly cold air for Alabama for the first 10 days of February… that same model was flashing different signs last week. The CPC outlook suggests below average temperatures for our state February 2-8, but the coldest air will most likely be shunted northeast of Alabama. And, no sign of any winter precipitation for now.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show at 8:30 CT tonight, with a special 30 minute pre-show beginning at 8:00 CT that will focus on the Northeast U.S. blizzard. You can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a program today for the kids in the HeadStart program in Sumter County at Livingston; be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Storms Weakening, Still Packing a Punch

Mon, 01/26/2015 - 01:29

Our line of strong storms is weakening now. It extends from Pell City to Harpersville to Columbiana.

Winds gusted to 31 mph at the Shelby County Airport in Calera.

More severe thunderstorm warnings will not be issued unless the storms re-intensify.

Categories: Weather

Winds Gust to 58 mph at BHM

Sun, 01/25/2015 - 19:30

Winds just gusted to 58 mph at the Birmingham International Airport.

0023Z KBHM 260023Z 26017G50KT 4SM +TSRA SQ FEW038 FEW050 OVC060CB 10/06 A2982

The strongest parts of the storms are over southern Jefferson County, approaching the Inverness area.

Other strong cells are approaching Helena in Shelby County and Montevallo in Shelby County.

Be alert for damaging winds, as well as brief torrential rains and dangerous lightning. There could even be some small hail.

An interesting case example of how you can have instability even with low surface temperatures and dew points if the temperatures aloft are cold enough.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Parts of Shelby, Bibb, Hale and St. Clair Counties

Sun, 01/25/2015 - 18:58

The strong line of storms advancing across Central Alabama tonight is producing reports of wind damage, including downed trees and power lines.

Be in a safe place as these strong storms approach your area.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
BIBB COUNTY IN ALABAMA…
NORTHEASTERN HALE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
SOUTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTY IN ALABAMA…
SHELBY COUNTY IN ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 700 PM CST

* AT 555 PM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A LINE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
GARDENDALE TO MOUNDVILLE…AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
HELENA…BRENT…CENTREVILLE…PELHAM…ODENVILLE…MOODY…
ALABASTER AND CHELSEA.

THIS INCLUDES…
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 228 THROUGH 247…
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 144 THROUGH 158…
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBER 148…

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Jefferson/Tuscaloosa Counties

Sun, 01/25/2015 - 18:49

A line of strong thunderstorms moving across Central Alabama is producing strong wind gusts that have caused damage. There are reports of trees down and power outages along the line.

Trees have been reported down in Brookwood and Duncanville.

Winds gusted to 59 mph at the Tuscaloosa Airport.

The storms are tapping strong winds aloft and a very cold airmass to produce the strong winds.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
JEFFERSON COUNTY IN ALABAMA…
EASTERN TUSCALOOSA COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 630 PM CST

* AT 548 PM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A LINE OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6
MILES NORTHWEST OF SYLVAN SPRINGS TO MCFARLAND MALL…AND MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
HUEYTOWN…FAIRFIELD…FULTONDALE…GARDENDALE…BESSEMER…
BIRMINGHAM…HOMEWOOD AND VESTAVIA HILLS.

THIS INCLUDES…
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 250 THROUGH 272…
INTERSTATE 459 EXIT NUMBERS 1 THROUGH 33…
US 78 EXIT NUMBERS 81 THROUGH 91…
INTERSTATE 20 EXIT NUMBERS 62 THROUGH 140…
INTERSTATE 59 EXIT NUMBERS 130 THROUGH 143…

Categories: Weather

1950’s January Thaw

Sun, 01/25/2015 - 14:00

The January thaw is a weather singularity. A singularity is an event that occurs more often than one would expect with chance.

The January thaw is a period of above normal warmth that frequently occurs in mid-Winter in the northeastern U.S. and eastern Canada. It is similar to Indian summer, another singularity which occurs in autumn. The January thaw usually occurs around the third week in January.

It was more like a January tropical heat wave than a thaw during this week in 1950. Much of the eastern United States was experiencing temperatures 25-30 degrees above normal by my birthday, January 25th. Of course, I hadn’t been born then. Cotton was blooming in South Carolina, some five months ahead of schedule. People worried that Mother Nature was out of control.

In actuality, a strong high pressure system off the Atlantic Coast was responsible for the 1950 January thaw. A very high amplitude pattern featured a big upper level ridge over the East and a very deep trough over the western U.S. The strong surface high was producing a strong southerly flow that bathed much of the eastern United States in warmth. High temperatures on the 25th included 87F in Del Rio, Texas; 83F in Little Rock; 78F in Nashville; 74F in Columbus, Ohio; 78F in Washington, D.C. and 80F in Augusta, Georgia. It was 78F in Birmingham and 80F in Montgomery. Birmingham recorded record highs on the 24th (78F), 25th (78F), and the 26th (76F).

Several January high temperature records were set, including Michigan’s with 72F at Ann Arbor and Chicago with 67F.

Meanwhile, bitter cold and snow was occurring over the Northern Plains. Morning lows on t he 25th included -34F at Williston, North Dakota and -32F in Glasgow, Montana.

Categories: Weather

Clouds Return; Colder Again Monday

Sun, 01/25/2015 - 08:22

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Didn’t the sunshine feel good yesterday? Even with the sunshine, temperatures across Central Alabama only managed to make the upper 40s with a few spots tipping into the lower 50s. We start the day out with sunshine, but clouds will be on the increase this afternoon and into tonight. Look for afternoon highs to climb into the upper 50s. A fast moving upper level storm system along with a surface low will move by us tonight and early Monday and it will bring some moisture with it, enough so that we’ll put rain chances in for tonight with the potential to hear a little thunder. Not enough instability for a severe weather threat, but perhaps some thunder.

As the upper short wave goes by early Monday, the temperatures will begin falling. Monday is likely to be one of those days where the temperature at 12:01 am is the high for the day. I expect temperatures to struggle to stay in the 40s during the day, so look for daytime temperatures to be in the lower and middle 40s.

We should see a warmup for the middle of the week as the upper air pattern shifts slowly into a weak ridge. But another fast moving short wave passing by on Thursday promises to bring some clouds to the northern half of Alabama. That short wave will be followed by yet another one Saturday which will see some clouds and perhaps some small chance for rain. The effects of all of these short waves will be to establish a long wave trough position over the eastern US.

By the time we move out into Week 2 or voodoo country, the GFS is suggesting a major long wave trough over the eastern US that will definitely be cold if this feature comes to verify. With a trough that deep over the eastern US, we could be looking at some record cold temperatures from the Central Plains to the East Coast. But you know how voodoo country can be, that feature may be gone or dampened in the runs tomorrow. We’ll have to watch and see.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I’ll have the latest forecast for you this evening on ABC 3340 as I fill in for Meaghan Thomas. James Spann will be back with the next Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. Enjoy your day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Hello Sunshine

Sat, 01/24/2015 - 14:32

After the foul Friday of weather, what a difference a day makes. We had quite a few clouds this morning, but those have moved on and mixed out, and we are seeing almost nothing but sunshine and blue sky this afternoon. After the cold start, with most location in Central Alabama near freezing, we are seeing an overall nice warm up as well, with upper 40s and 50s greeting you outside today. However, there remains a brisk northwest breeze keeping it feeling rather chilly at times this afternoon. The jackets are definitely needed if outside today. For tonight, it will be another cold night with a clear sky, temps once again head towards the freezing mark.

A near rinse and repeat forecast for tomorrow, except temps will be about ten degrees warmer tomorrow afternoon. Of course there will remain plenty of sun, and tomorrow afternoon should be rather fantastic for the last Sunday in January. Get out and enjoy the weather if you have the chance to tomorrow.

Categories: Weather

Sunshine Returns

Sat, 01/24/2015 - 07:52

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

The clouds and rain of the last 36 hours or so are exiting the state of Alabama and we should see a fairly rapid clearing during the morning. While the sunshine returns, it will remain on the cool side with highs rising only into the upper 40s for most locations.

We should see a fairly nice warmup on Sunday with highs climbing about 10 degrees with values reaching the upper 50s. But another trough will be coming down the pike providing another shot of cold air for Monday. While the system will be dry with just some clouds we should see highs once again struggle to climb out of the 40s.

A gradual warmup begins on Tuesday as the upper trough moves off the East Coast of the US returning us to a more zonal and warmer flow aloft. But there is no lack of impulses moving through the flow, so we’ll see clouds from time to time though the week stays essentially dry.

By next Saturday, a strong short wave will be digging into the Central Plains states that should bring us another round of wet weather for Sunday, perhaps beginning late Saturday. We’ll have to watch the timing on this system should it speed up or slow down. This system has some potential for producing another soaking for Central Alabama. Now we are verging into voodoo country, so no specifics yet, but this system also has some potential for producing some winter weather for some parts of the Southeast US. Too early for any specifics, but something to watch.

The overall flow pattern remains pretty active into Week 2. The pattern goes from a pretty chilly look around February 1st to a mild look around the 4th to another wet look around the 8th. So no lack of weather to keep us busy.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I anticipate posting the next Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Sunday morning. You can always check back for updates here. Enjoy the sunshine and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Late Night Look at Alabama’s Weather

Sat, 01/24/2015 - 01:03

A band of mixed precipitation is pushing east across the state tonight. Travel impacts this morning will be minor at worst over the northern third of the state: maybe some light accumulations on grassy areas or cars, and a few icy spots on bridges where the snow does accumulate.

Temperatures at midnight are in the lower and middle 40s in the I-20 corridor with 30s over the Tennessee Valley. It was 37F at Tupelo with a mix. Muscle Shoals had 37F with a light mix.

LOOKING UP FOR THE WEEKEND: The sun should reappear today, with skies becoming clear by mid to late afternoon. High temperatures will be in the upper 40s in the I-20 corridor, where the sun will take a little more time to pop out. It will actually be slightly warmer in the northwest, where there will be a longer duration of sunshine. Lows tonight will be in the middle 30s with a few freezing readings sprinkled across the area.

Categories: Weather

Some Snow Late Tonight; A Brighter Weekend

Fri, 01/23/2015 - 16:35

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

GLOOMY, COLD, WET: Low clouds, fog, and drizzle can be found across most of North and Central Alabama this afternoon; temperatures are holding in the 40s. The bulk of the heavier rain has moved east of the state, for now, into Georgia.

SNOW FLAKES? As the surface low moves northeast tonight, and a deep upper trough moves overhead, light rain will change to light snow over North Alabama after midnight. The morning data set suggests no need to change our forecast thinking; it will generally be a low impact event.

A little accumulation is possible on grassy areas overnight, mainly north of U.S. 278 (north of a line from Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden), and no travel impacts are expected other than the chance of a few slick spots on bridges over far North Alabama. Most of this happens between 2 and 6 a.m., so most of you will simply sleep through it.

IMPROVING WEEKEND WEATHER: The sky will become mostly sunny tomorrow as dry air works into the state; the high will be close to 50 degrees. Sunday looks very nice, with ample sunshine and a high in the upper 50s.

NEXT WEEK: An Alberta Clipper will pass northeast of Alabama Monday. I guess a raindrop or snow flake is possible over the northeast corner of Alabama (DeKalb/Jackson Counties), but most of the state will be dry with a high between 47 and 50. Then, the rest of the week looks cool and dry, with highs mostly in the 50s and lows mostly in the 30s.

ARCTIC BLAST AS FEBRUARY BEGINS? We are seeing increasing evidence of a shot of very cold air down into the eastern half of the U.S. in about 8-9 days. The Arctic Oscillation (AO) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) both go negative, and a deep upper trough is forecast to form over the eastern part of North America. This could set up a cross polar flow, and it could be very cold around here in the Feb 1-3 time frame. Too early to be specific, but confidence is increasing in this possibility.

See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Stemley Road Elementary School in Talladega County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning by 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Cold and Wet; A Brighter Weekend

Fri, 01/23/2015 - 07:36

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD RAIN CONTINUES: Periods of rain will continue across the great state of Alabama today; temperatures won’t change much during the day with most communities holding in the 40s. Additional rain amounts of 1/2 inch are likely, which should bring storm totals into the 1-2 inch range by tonight.

SNOW FLAKES LATE TONIGHT: As the surface low, now in the northern Gulf of Mexico, moves northeast late tonight, there is a good chance the rain will change over to light snow before ending over North Alabama. The main window for this light snow will come from about 2:00 a.m. until 6:00 a.m., so most of you will sleep right through it.

Temperatures over North/Central Alabama (places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden) should be in the mid 30s, so roads will stay just wet and there should be no travel impacts. However, up over far North Alabama’s Tennessee Valley, a few icy spots on bridges are not out of the question. But even up there widespread problems are not anticipated.

A little light accumulation is possible on grassy areas north of Birmingham, but it sure won’t stick around long.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The sky will become mostly sunny by mid to late morning tomorrow, and the high will be close to 50 degrees. Sunday will be warmer, with ample sunshine and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

NEXT WEEK: An Alberta Clipper will pass northeast of Alabama Monday; we stay dry with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high around 50 degrees. Then, the rest of the week looks cool and dry with highs in the 50s, and lows in the 30s, which is right at seasonal averages for Alabama in late January.

THE LAND OF VOODOO: There has been good consistency in the idea of a storm system impacting Alabama the following weekend, around Sunday February 1 and Monday February 2. And yes, there has been evidence of some winter weather mischief, but there is no skill in a specific forecast 10 days in advance, as long time readers fully understand. Should this system form, it also will have potential to pull down some pretty cold air once it passes as the AO/NAO combo goes negative. Take some time to see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

THREE YEARS AGO TODAY: Eleven tornadoes touched down during the pre-dawn hours on January 23, 2012; two people were killed in Jefferson County. One of the most memorable tornadoes was an EF-3 that tore through Center Point and Clay…

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a weather program this morning at Stemley Road Elementary School in Talladega County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Here Comes The Rain

Thu, 01/22/2015 - 16:36

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Rain is increasing over West Alabama this afternoon; even a few reports of sleet mixed in with the rain over Northeast Alabama. The sleet goes away soon, and the rain should be widespread across the state tonight and tomorrow as a surface low moves across the northern Gulf of Mexico, with good upper support. Not much change in the forecast thinking; rain totals of around one inch for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden, with potential for two inches along the Gulf Coast at Mobile and Pensacola. No thunder, no flooding… just rain. It will be a cold rain with temperatures in the 40s all day tomorrow.

SNOW FLAKES LATE TOMORROW NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY? As the surface low moves northeast, there is a decent chance the rain will taper off to light snow over North Alabama before ending. The best chance of light snow is between 2:00 and 7:00 a.m. Saturday, and mostly north of a line from Vernon to Jasper to Oneonta to Gadsden. This will be a low impact situation, with surface temperatures generally above freezing, and roads just wet.

The possible exception is over far North Alabama, where temperatures could slip into the low 30s around daybreak Saturday. A touch of bridge icing is possible in places like Muscle Shoals, Athens, Huntsville, and Scottsboro, and maybe even a small amount of accumulation could be found there in grassy areas.But again, this is a low impact event.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The sky becomes partly sunny Saturday afternoon as drier air works into the state; the day will be cool with a high between 47 and 50 degrees. Then, Sunday looks pretty nice with ample sunshine and a high in the upper 50s.

NEXT WEEK: The Alberta Clipper will pass northeast of Alabama, and we have dropped any mention of light rain on Monday. We stay dry with a mix of sun and clouds; in fact much of the week looks cool and dry with highs mostly in the 50s, and lows mostly in the 30s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more long range details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Snow Rogers Elementary School near Gardendale… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Rain Getting Closer To Alabama

Thu, 01/22/2015 - 07:18

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: No rain for Alabama this morning, but the sky has become mostly cloudy, and a large mass of rain is west of the state over parts of Texas, Arkansas, and Louisiana. Today will be cloudy cooler with a high in the mid 50s, and some rain could enter the southwest part of the state this afternoon.

COLD AND WET: Rain becomes widespread across our state tonight and tomorrow as a surface low moves through the northern Gulf of Mexico. Temperatures will stay in the 40s all day tomorrow, and rain amounts up to one inch are likely for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden. Heavier rain is possible to the south, where Mobile could see a storm total of two inches.

LATE TOMORROW NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY MORNING: There is a decent chance the rain could briefly change to light snow on the back side of the departing system over North Alabama generally between midnight tomorrow night and 6:00 a.m. Saturday. Temperatures will be above freezing, there won’t be any accumulation, and no impact. Just the usual Alabama curiosity factor with snow flakes.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The sky becomes partly sunny Saturday afternoon with a high in the low 50s, and Sunday looks like a pretty decent day with ample sunshine and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

NEXT WEEK: Models continue to trend drier for Alabama Monday as the Alberta Clipper passes well to the northeast, and I think we can take out the risk of light rain. Monday should feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high in the 52-55 degree range. Then, cool and dry weather continues for the rest of the week. No sign of any bitterly cold air for Alabama through the rest of January; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have a weather program today at Snow Rogers Elementary School in Gardendale… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Rain, Colder Temps On The Way

Wed, 01/21/2015 - 16:07

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CLOUDS RETURN TONIGHT: Another delightful mid-winter day for Alabama with ample sunshine and temperatures mostly in the low 60s this afternoon. Montgomery soared to 70 degrees at 2:00p CT.

TO THE WEST: A major storm system over the Southwest U.S. will bring snow to parts of New Mexico, the Texas Panhandle, West Oklahoma, and Southeast Colorado over the next 24 hours, and it will spread clouds into our state late tonight.

Tomorrow will be a cloudy and cooler day for our state with a high in the 50-55 degree range, and some rain could reach the southwest counties during the afternoon. The rain will spread northward tomorrow night, and much of the state should be in rain by midnight.

COLD, WET FRIDAY: Friday will feature a steady, cold rain with temperatures in the 40s all day. Rain amounts for North/Central Alabama will approach one inch, with potential for two inches over the southern counties of the state. No thunder, no severe weather, no flooding, no ice, no snow… just a rainy day thanks to a surface low in the northeast Gulf of Mexico.

FRIDAY NIGHT: As the low moves northeast, there is a chance the rain will change to snow over Tennessee, and a few snow flakes could be seen as far south as extreme North Alabama (mainly north of the Tennessee River). If that does happen, we expect no significant impact with temperatures above freezing, and the deeper moisture off to the east.

Some accumulating snow is possible over parts of Tennessee and Kentucky late Friday and Friday night…

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The sky becomes partly sunny Saturday with a high in the low 50s, and Sunday looks cool and dry with a pretty good supply of sunshine and a high in the 50s.

NEXT WEEK: The 12Z GFS suggests the Alberta Clipper on Monday will produce light precipitation mainly northeast of Alabama Monday, with very little here. We will still mention some risk of “scattered light rain”… but it sure looks like many communities won’t have enough rain to measure.

Mid-week is looking cool and dry Tuesday through Thursday with highs mostly in the 50s… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more long range ideas.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I enjoyed speaking to a large group of Alabama Power retirees in Tuscaloosa today… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

One More Dry/Pleasant Day

Wed, 01/21/2015 - 07:07

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RAIN ARRIVES TOMORROW NIGHT: We will squeeze out one more pleasant mid-winter day across Alabama with a partly sunny sky and a high not too far from 60 degrees this afternoon. Clouds begin to return tonight, and tomorrow will be a cloudy and cooler day with a high in the mid 50s.

Rain will impact Southwest Alabama tomorrow afternoon, but for the north/central counties the rain begins tomorrow night, and Friday looks like a cold, rainy day. We stay in the 40s all day Friday, and rain amounts of around one inch look likely for the I-20/59 corridor (places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden). Heavier rain will be over South Alabama, where some spots could see two inches as a surface low moves across the northern Gulf of Mexico.

The air Friday will be stable, so no thunder, and the rain won’t be heavy enough for any flooding issues. And, the air will be too warm for any ice or snow issues during the day.

FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY: The surface low moves northeast, and as colder air drops southward there is some chance the rain could change to snow over Tennessee. Even some risk of a snow flake or two down into extreme North Alabama, but we expect no impact if that happens with surface temperatures above freezing and with the deeper moisture well to the east.

OUR WEEKEND: The sky becomes partly sunny Saturday with an afternoon high in the low 50s, and Sunday looks cool and dry with mixed sun and clouds and a high in the mid 50s.

MONDAY: An Alberta Clipper will impact Alabama along with a deep, cold upper trough. Moisture will be very limited, and these features rarely produce much precipitation in our state. We will mention a chance of some scattered light rain for now… the cold air aloft associated with the upper trough could bring enough dynamic cooling for a few snow flurries over the northern third of the state, but again no impact is expected with very little moisture and surface temperatures above freezing.

Tuesday and Wednesday of next week are looking cool and dry.

VOODOO LAND: Interesting to note the European model (ECMWF) is showing a big negative NAO/AO spike as February begins, but remains to be seen if that will verify. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be speaking at a meeting today of the Tuscaloosa Area Alabama Power Company retiree group, The Energizers… and then this evening I will be at circus at the BJCC in Birmingham on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00. Hope to produce an afternoon Weather Xtreme video, which will be posted by 4:00 p.m. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Colder With Rain By Friday

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 16:27

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FINE MID-WINTER DAY: We have sunshine today, filtered through mid level clouds, and temperatures up in the low to mid 60s across the great state of Alabama. Montgomery has managed to reach 70 degrees at mid-afternoon. Nothing on radar, no rain is expected over the next 48 hours.

A cold front will slip through here in dry fashion tonight, and will be only slightly cooler, with a high close to 60 with a mix of sun and clouds.

CHANGES AHEAD: A strong wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will being clouds into the state Thursday, and as a surface low forms in the northern Gulf of Mexico, rain will spread across the state after midnight Thursday night and during the day Friday. The heaviest rain will be close to the coast, where 2 inches or more are possible… up this way amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch are likely. No thunder, no flooding threat, no snow, no ice… just a cool, rainy day Friday with temperatures holding in the 40s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The 12Z run of the GFS hints the rain will end across North/Central Alabama by 9 a.m. Saturday, with a clearing sky Saturday afternoon. If the sun breaks out, we will see low 50s. Sunday looks cool and dry with a partly sunny sky and a high in the mid 50s.

NEXT WEEK: An “Alberta Clipper” will bring clouds back into Alabama Monday, along with some potential for a little light rain. Moisture will be very limited, so rain amounts will be very light, generally under 1/10 of an inch. Monday’s high will be in the 47-50 degree range. Then, Tuesday looks colder and dry with a morning low in the 20s, and a high in the mid to upper 40s.

Still no evidence of any bitterly cold air for Alabama through the end of January; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more long range ideas.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting the kindergarten classes at Weaver Elementary in Calhoun County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Wet and Colder Weather Returns Late This Week

Tue, 01/20/2015 - 07:18

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STILL MILD TODAY: Looks like most North/Central Alabama communities will enjoy a high in the 62-65 degree range today, about ten degrees above average for January 20, but still well below the record high of 78 degrees set way back in 1928. We expect a good supply of sunshine through scattered clouds, much like yesterday.

Not much change tomorrow; the high will be close to 60 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds.

RAIN RETURNS: A strong wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will spin up a surface low in the northern Gulf of Mexico later this week; clouds increase across Alabama Thursday, and rain will begin at some point Thursday night. Models have trended stronger, and further north with the precipitation shield in recent runs. Friday looks like a cool and wet day, with occasional rain along with temperatures in the 40s. The heaviest rain will be over the southern quarter of the state, where one inch is possible… amounts up this way (North/Central Alabama) will be in the 1/4 to 1/2 inch range.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: We will also have to adjust the forecast to keep some risk of light rain going through Friday night and Saturday morning as the surface low moves northeast… the latest GFS hints the rain will be over by 9:00 a.m. to 12:00 noon Saturday, and we might see some clearing late in the day. Saturday will remain cool with a high in the mid to upper 40s.

Sunday for now looks cool and dry, with a partly sunny sky and a high in the low 50s.

NEXT WEEK: An Alberta Clipper will bring clouds and some risk of light rain to the state early next week on Monday. These features don’t have much moisture to work with, so precipitation amounts should be light. Might even be some risk of a snow flake or two around the Tennessee Valley Monday night, but it sure doesn’t look like a big deal. Then, cool and dry weather is the story for mid-week.

No sign of any seriously cold air for Alabama through the end of the month, with the Arctic Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation remaining generally positive. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more long range ideas.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I have a weather program today at Weaver Elementary School in Calhoun County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather