ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 19 min 31 sec ago

A Chilly Saturday

Sat, 03/28/2015 - 14:45

It is a cool day with most locations sitting in the upper 40s and lower 50s this afternoon. Northwesterly flow continues to keep it breezy as well. Most locations  have seen plenty of sunshine today, but we are watching an area of clouds moving into and through West Alabama from the northwest. Within the clouds, there are a few very light showers, and some of these are showing up on the radar this afternoon over some of our northwestern counties and these showers should stay west of Interstate 65.

This feature will exit the region later tonight and we should see our sky clear once again. Much like last night, tonight it is going to be very cold for spring. Temperatures will fall below the freezing mark overnight. The NWS has issued a freeze warning for much of North-Central Alabama. This warning includes areas along and north of line from Sulligent, Fayette, Birmingham, Alabaster, Rockford, Alexander City, and LaFayette. South of this area, a frost advisory has been issued for areas around Demopolis, Tuscaloosa, Clanton, Montgomery, Troy, and Auburn. Take any precautions need to protect sensitive vegetation as temps are forecast to be in the 28-32F range by tomorrow morning.

Categories: Weather

Late Season Chill Continues

Sat, 03/28/2015 - 07:30

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

A late season chill brought temperatures into the 30s across Central Alabama with some of those typically colder spots dipping all the way into the upper 20s. It will be another somewhat chilly day today even with the sunny start as highs climb only into the lower and middle 50s. A fast moving disturbance in the deep trough over the eastern US will bring back clouds this afternoon with a small risk for showers or light rain late this afternoon and into early Sunday morning.

It will be another chilly start to the day Sunday with a freeze warning for much of Central Alabama. Sunday will be partly sunny with temperatures warming into the upper 50s and lower 60s as we recover from another cold morning. The dry weather does not last long as another cold front promises to bring another shot of rain to the area Sunday night and early Monday. But this front does not pack much of a cold punch as the stronger westerlies stay well to our north.

The week ahead remains somewhat unsettled with some chance for rain thanks in part to a series of weak disturbances moving through the generally zonal flow. This should allow us to warm for much of the week ahead until another cold front brings another drop in temperatures for the weekend, though this cool down does not appear to be as significant as the current event.

AT THE BEACH: Chilly on the Gulf sands with temperatures dropping into the 40s this morning from Panama City Beach to Gulf Shores. Look for mostly sunny days and fair nights through Monday; highs will be in the 60s over the weekend, and back in the low 70s Monday. A few widely scattered showers could show up Tuesday and Wednesday, but there will still be some decent intervals of sunshine both days. Showers and storms will be more likely Thursday of next week, but even then it won’t rain all day.

Looking out into voodoo country, the spring tends to be a time with a lot of action as the upper flow remains fairly active. And that seems to be the screaming message for week 2. The GFS is showing a very vigorous system around April 8th that could produce a severe weather episode for the Central and Eastern US. That system is followed by another fairly substantial chill down. While March has been rather quiet for severe weather, April is out biggest month, so the forecast looks reasonable.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I’ll be taking the Storm Chaser to Gallant today for an open house at their new storm shelter. The next Weather Xtreme Video should be posted first thing on Sunday morning. Have a great day, stay warm, and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Freeze Warning

Fri, 03/27/2015 - 15:39

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD NIGHTS AHEAD: NWS offices in Birmingham and Huntsville have issued freeze and frost advisories for tonight and tomorrow night as unseasonably cold air settles into the state. Most communities will see a low between 29 and 34 degrees both mornings; colder readings will come over North and East Alabama, but some frost is very possible on the western side of the state as well.

Tomorrow will be very cool with a mix of sun and clouds and a high only around 50 degrees; many places north of Birmingham won’t make it out of the 40s. A disturbance rotating down the back side of the big upper trough over the eastern U.S. could squeeze out a little light rain during the afternoon and evening hours, mainly west of I-65. Rain amounts if any will be very light and spotty.

Sunday will feature a good supply of sunshine; we reach the low to mid 60s Sunday afternoon as a warming trend begins.

NEXT WEEK: A warm front will move northward Monday, and showers are likely, although it won’t rain all day. Then, on Tuesday, just a small risk of a shower with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high in the low 70s. Then, we will mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms Wednesday and Thursday, but the good news is that global models continue to back off on the chance of severe weather, now suggesting the main dynamic support will be well north of Alabama. See the blog and the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Tonight will be cold; temperatures will drop into the 40s early tomorrow morning from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores. Look for mostly sunny days and fair nights through Monday; highs will be in the 60s over the weekend, and back in the low 70s Monday. A few widely scattered showers could show up Tuesday and Wednesday, but there will still be some decent intervals of sunshine both days. Showers and storms will be more likely Thursday of next week, but even then it won’t rain all day.

ON THIS DATE IN 1994: Twenty people were killed inside the Goshen United Methodist Church in southern Cherokee County on Palm Sunday during a Palm Sunday service. This is part of an ABC 33/40 special that aired in 2004, ten years after the tragedy…

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the kindergarten students at Paine Primary School in Trussville… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

A Freeze Possible Early Tomorrow

Fri, 03/27/2015 - 06:13

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY NORTH WIND: Following the cold front that passed through Alabama last night, expect a very cool late March day today with a high only in the mid 50s with a partly sunny sky. This is about 15 degrees below average, and a north wind of 12-22 mph will make it feel colder.

With a deep, cold core upper trough passing overhead, I can’t rule out a few isolated showers late this afternoon or early tonight due to the very cold air aloft. But, most places will be dry.

FREEZE POTENTIAL: We project a low in the 29-34 degree range for early tomorrow. Highest freeze possibility will come from the Birmingham metro north and east. The day tomorrow will be cold for late March; the GFS is printing a high of only 48 degrees for Birmingham. We expect a mix of sun and clouds; a touch of light rain can’t be ruled out during the afternoon and evening hours over West Alabama, but any rain will be vert light and spotty.

SUNDAY: Another cold morning; lows will be in the 30-35 degree range at daybreak. Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the low 60s.

NEXT WEEK: A warm front will be lifting northward across the state Monday, so a few showers are likely during the day with a high in the upper 60s. For the moment, Tuesday looks relatively dry with only isolated showers, but the chance of rain will increase again by Wednesday and Thursday with short wave energy approaching from the west. Global models continue to back off on the idea of strong to severe storms with weaker dynamics and marginal instability, but this could still change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: After showers and storms last night, expect clearing and cooler weather on the coast today from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a high in the mid 60s. The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s… a few scattered showers are possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 67 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Paine Primary School in Trussville… then I will be speaking later today at a meeting of the Cullman Chamber of Commerce. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Isolated Strong Storms Could Become Severe

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 17:33

Strong storms are occurring this afternoon over Central Alabama from Bibb County southwestward to near Demopolis and Uniontown.

They are moving northeast at 35 mph and will affect Shelby County, starting around Montevallo then moving to near Alabaster and Calera.

The storms have copious lightning and heavy rain as well as some small hail and gusty winds. Hail to near 1 inch may be falling in a hail core crossing AL-5 just north of Centreville.

The stronger storms could become severe, especially the Bibb-Shelby storm, but overall the threat is isolated. The SPC has included the area from Aliceville to Tuscaloosa to Hoover to Millerville to Montgomery and points southwest in the new marginal severe weather risk category. This is the old See Text category, which is for isolated severe weather threats.

Categories: Weather

Showers Tonight; Colder Tomorrow

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 15:42

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Still not much happening on radar this afternoon; we do note a strong thunderstorm near Demopolis, and a band of showers over Northwest Alabama. Temperatures are mostly in the 70s with a mostly cloudy sky. A cold front is moving into the northwest corner of Alabama; behind the front temperatures are barely out of the 40s at Memphis and Nashville.

Showers and a few thunderstorms are likely this evening, but rain amounts won’t be especially heavy, and there is no really significant threat of severe weather. We do note SPC has a “marginal” severe weather risk up for parts of Central and Southwest Alabama for potential for a few strong wind gusts. Showers will end soon after midnight.

COLDER TOMORROW: A chilly north wind of 12-22 mph will usher in some pretty chilly air for late March tomorrow; the sky will be partly sunny with a high in the mid 50s.

FREEZE POTENTIAL: We have potential for a late season freeze across North/Central Alabama both Saturday and Sunday morning. The 12Z run of the GFS is printing a low of 31 degrees for Birmingham early Saturday, and 32 degrees early Sunday. Most places will see a low between 30 and 35 degrees, with potential for 20s in the colder valleys. Growers beware.

Saturday looks mostly dry; we will hang on to a slight risk of a little light rain Saturday afternoon with an impulse coming down the back side of the upper trough over the eastern U.S… but dewpoints will be very low, and it sure looks like most communities won’t have enough rain to measure. Saturday will remain very cool with a high between 50 and 55 degrees.

A warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high in the mid 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Moist air returns Monday, and a few scattered showers are possible. We will have to maintain a chance of showers Tuesday; we project a high in the upper 60s Monday and low 70s Tuesday as the warming trend continues.

The GFS is backing off on the intensity of the mid-week system; showers and storms are likely late Wednesday into Thursday, but dynamic support looks less impressive at this point. But, understand we are still a week away from this event and things could change. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: After showers and storms tonight, expect clearing and cooler weather on the coast tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a high in the mid 60s. The weekend will feature a good supply of sunshine Saturday and Sunday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s… a few scattered showers are possible early next week, but still expect about 4 to 6 hours of sunshine Monday through Wednesday. Temperatures will be close to 70 degrees on those three afternoons. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 67 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Paine Intermediate School in Trussville… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Cold Front Moves In Tonight

Thu, 03/26/2015 - 06:26

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

BIG CHANGES AHEAD: We will squeeze out one more mild day; temperatures will reach the mid to upper 70s this afternoon across the great state of Alabama. Clouds will increase during the day, and we could see a few showers this afternoon. The organized band of showers, and possibly a thunderstorm, along the cold front will pass through between 5:00 p.m. and 12:00 midnight. Despite the severe weather event yesterday in Oklahoma and Arkansas, no severe storms are expected in Alabama with marginal instability and weakening dynamics.

COLD AIR RETURNS: Tomorrow’s high will be only in the mid 50s, over 20 degrees colder than today, and well below the average high of 69 degrees for March 27. The sky will be partly sunny, and a north wind of 12-22 mph will make it feel colder.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Temperatures will drop into the 30-35 degree range early Saturday. A freeze is possible, and some frost is likely across North/Central Alabama. Then, the day will be cool with a high in the low to mid 50s. The GFS is now back on the idea of an impulse riding down the back side of the upper trough over the eastern U.S., and suggests a little light rain is possible Saturday afternoon over the northern counties of the state. The airmass will be pretty dry, so rain amounts, if any, will be light and spotty. But I do think we need to insert that risk of a few raindrops.

Sunday morning will be cold with lows in the 30s, but a warm-up begins Sunday afternoon as temperatures rise into the mid 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: The warming trend continues Monday and Tuesday; we will mention a small risk of a shower Monday, with a better chance of scattered showers Tuesday. Then, a more significant storm system should bring a round of organized showers and storms by Wednesday night. Strong storms are possible, but it remains to seen if this will be a severe weather threat. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have weather programs today at Paine Intermediate School in Trussville, and at McGuffey Health Care in Gadsden. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Colder Air Returns By Friday

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 15:40

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MILD LATE MARCH DAY: Temperatures are in the 70s across the great state of Alabama this afternoon with a mixture of sun and clouds; no rain on radar, and tonight’s weather will stay dry.

TO THE WEST: A severe thunderstorm watch is up for parts of Oklahoma, Arkansas, and some of the adjacent states ahead of a push of colder air; large hail is the main threat in that region this evening, although an isolated tornado is not out of the question.

COLD FRONT MOVES IN HERE TOMORROW NIGHT: Clouds will increase tomorrow ahead of the front, and a shower is possible by mid to late afternoon, but the better chance of showers will come early tomorrow night. Seems like the core window for showers will be from about 3:00 p.m. tomorrow through 3:00 a.m. Friday. Some thunder is possible with a little surface based instability available, but no severe weather is expected, and rain will average around a quarter of an inch.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday will be a rather blustery day with a chilly north wind of 12-22 mph and a high only in the 52-55 degree range. The day will be dry with a partly sunny sky. The weekend weather headline continues to be the potential for freezing temperatures early Saturday and Sunday morning. Early morning lows both mornings will be in the 30-35 degree range…. but the air will be dry and both days will feature a good supply of sunshine. The high Saturday will remain in the low to mid 50s, but we rise into the mid 60s Sunday afternoon as a warming trend begins.

NEXT WEEK: Just a slight risk of a shower Monday, otherwise dry weather continues Monday and Tuesday with the warm-up continuing. The GFS continues to advertise a potent mid-week system that could bring the threat of strong to severe storms to the Deep South by Wednesday night… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd and 4th graders at Hamilton Elementary School… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Cold Front Arrives Tomorrow Night

Wed, 03/25/2015 - 06:19

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ACTIVE WEATHER TO THE WEST: Rather benign weather continues across Alabama today with a mix of sun and clouds and afternoon highs in the 70s. An isolated shower is not completely out of the question, but most places stay dry.

Severe storms are possible west of Alabama later today and tonight; SPC has an “enhanced” severe weather risk of parts of Oklahoma and Arkansas…

This is one of the new severe weather risk categories; it is between a “slight” and “moderate” risk.

COLD FRONT ARRIVES TOMORROW NIGHT: Clouds increase tomorrow, and showers are likely late in the day and tomorrow night as the cold front passes through. There could be some thunder, but there is no risk of organized severe weather. The main window for showers will come from about 5:00 p.m. tomorrow through 3:00 a.m. Sunday, and rain amounts will be under 1/2 inch.

COLDER AIR FRIDAY: Friday will be dry, but colder and blustery with a north wind of 12-22 mph. Temperatures won’t get past the mid 50s despite a decent amount of sunshine. And, by Saturday morning, temperatures will drop into the low 30s setting up the potential for a late season freeze.

Saturday will be dry but pretty chilly for late March; the GFS is printing a high of only 52 degrees for Birmingham… some North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 40s. Another freeze is possible early Sunday with a low back down in the low 30s.

Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the mid 60s.

NEXT WEEK: We warm into the low 70s Monday and Tuesday; a few isolated showers are possible on these days, but the weather will be generally dry. Then, a potent system could bring strong storms and heavy rain to Alabama at mid-week on Wednesday, and possibly into Thursday. Way too early to define a specific severe weather threat… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Hamilton Elementary School in Marion County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Showers Thursday Night; Colder Friday

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 15:45

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

THIS AFTERNOON: Much like yesterday, the sky is generally sunny north of I-20, and mostly cloudy south of I-20…

Where the sun is out, temperatures are in the 70s… with 60s elsewhere. Nothing showing up on radar.

NORTHWEST OF ALABAMA: We finally have the first severe weather watch issued by SPC during the month of March for parts of OK/MO/KS/AR… the latest “first-March” watch since 1970.

TOMORROW: A few small, isolated showers are possible, but most Alabama communities will stay dry tomorrow with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the mid to upper 70s. Severe storms are possible tomorrow west of Alabama, with the higher probabilities over East Oklahoma.

LATE WEEK COLD FRONT: Clouds increase Thursday ahead of a Polar cold front, and showers will move through the state Thursday night. The latest GFS suggests the main window for showers will come from 5:00 p.m. Thursday through 5:00 a.m. Friday. No severe weather expected, and rain amounts should be generally under 1/2 inch.

Friday will be much colder with a high only in the low 50s; communities north of Birmingham could hold in the 40s all day with a very chilly north wind of 12-22 mph. The sky will be partly sunny during the day.

LATE SEASON FREEZE POTENTIAL: The low early Saturday will be in the 29-32 degree range, and Sunday morning could be just as cold. Saturday for now looks mostly dry, although a few morning snow flurries are possible over the northwest corner of the state around Muscle Shoals. The high Saturday will be in the 50-55 degree range with intervals of sunshine.

A warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high in the low 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look dry, but a vigorous weather system will have the potential to bring heavy rain and strong storms to Alabama Wednesday, and possibly into Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Concord Elementary School in Jefferson County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Dry and Mild Today; Much Colder Friday

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 05:57

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

MILD AFTERNOONS: We are starting this day in the 40s, but look for a high up in the mid 70s this afternoon with a mix of sun and clouds. Tomorrow will be a bit warmer with a high between 77 and 80 degrees; moisture levels will rise a bit and we will probably need to mention the risk of a few isolated showers, but a majority of the day will be dry.

TO THE WEST: Severe storms are possible today and tomorrow northwest of Alabama; there is an “enhanced” risk of severe storms tomorrow just southeast of Oklahoma City; this is one of the new severe weather risk categories that is between “slight” and “moderate”.

COLDER AIR ARRIVES LATER THIS WEEK: Clouds increase Thursday, and a few showers are possible late Thursday afternoon and Thursday night as the cold front passes through our state. No severe weather is expected, and rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch… and maybe even under 1/4 inch. Seems like the main window for showers will come from about 4:00 p.m. Thursday through 4:00 a.m. Friday.

A cool breeze develops Friday; we won’t make it past the mid 50s with a mix of sun and clouds.

LATE SEASON FREEZE POTENTIAL: The GFS is printing a low of 31 degrees for Birmingham early Saturday morning… the day Saturday looks breezy and cold. As the deep upper trough passes overhead, it will bring cloudy periods, and maybe even a sprinkle or a snow flake during the morning hours. Best chance of snow flurries Saturday morning will come over the northwest corner of the state around Muscle Shoals. Parts of North Alabama will struggle to get out of the 40s.

Another freeze is possible early Sunday with a clear sky and light wind; lows in the 28-34 degree range are likely. Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a high in the low to mid 60s along with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: For now Monday and Tuesday look dry and warmer for North/Central Alabama… but the GFS continues to advertise a robust mid-week system that could bring potential for heavy rain and strong storms by Wednesday or Thursday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Concord Elementary School in Jefferson County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 478: Why are We at the Days Inn

Tue, 03/24/2015 - 05:15

WeatherBrains Episode 478 is now online (March 23, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is a WeatherBrain alum, having appeared on show numbers 199 and 330. Mike Smith is the Accuweather Enterprise Solution Senior Vice President. In 1981, he founded Weather Data, Inc., the Wichita, KS, private weather forecasting firm that provides weather forecasting, consulting, and weather risk management to companies and organizations around the US, Canada, and Mexico. The company was acquired by Accu Weather in 2006. Mike also wrote the books, When the Sirens were Silent and Warnings: The True Story of How Science Tamed the Weather.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 91 at Miami (Kendall-Tamiami), FL, and -23 at Mount Washington, NH
  • Severe weather in March rather quiet, says SPC
  • System promises midweek storms
  • Slight risk of severe weather in Central US for Tuesday
  • Nation’s weather a bit warmer than a month ago
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer dips into the incoming messages from our listeners.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: On a recent promotions stop for the station where I work, I had a question about lightning at the top of thunderstorms that I thought would make an interesting topic for this 101 segment.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 478:

    To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

    NOAA Hazardous Weather Testbed

    Patrick Marsh Data Mining Tornado Emergencies

    Joplin Tornado Service Assessment

    Picks of the Week:

    Nate Johnson – Journalists Deciding about Candidates

    Brian Peters – Photos from Tropical Cyclone Pam

    John Scala – Easter Sunday 1913 Omaha Tornado

    Kevin Selle – No pick

    Mike Smith – mike smith enterprises blog

    James Spann – Periscope

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Vegetable Planting Schedule

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Warming Trend Through Wednesday, Then Colder

    Mon, 03/23/2015 - 15:42

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    SLOW CLEARING: While the Tennessee Valley has enjoyed a mostly sunny sky much of the day, clouds have lingered along and south of I-20…

    Temperatures are in the low 70s over far North Alabama where the sun is shining; elsewhere we are seeing mostly 60s.

    TOMORROW AND WEDNESDAY: These two days look dry and mild with a mix of sun and clouds, and highs generally in the 70s. The NAM model is suggesting we could be close to 80 degrees in spots Wednesday afternoon.

    To the west of Alabama, strong to severe storms are possible on these days across parts of Oklahoma, Arkansas, and Missouri, but those won’t bother us.

    LATE WEEK COLD FRONT: Clouds will increase Thursday, and we will mention a chance of showers, and possibly a thunderstorm Thursday afternoon and Thursday night. No severe weather is expected, and rain amounts should be under 1/2 inch. Much colder air will return to the state Friday; we won’t make it past the mid 50s with a chilly north wind. A lingering shower is possible Friday morning in spots, but most of the day should be rain-free.

    RAW, COLD SATURDAY: A cold, deep upper trough will set up a mostly cloudy and rather raw day Saturday. Some light rain, and maybe even a snow flake or two will be possible as the trough passes; temperatures will struggle to get out of the 40s with a very cool north breeze. It sure won’t feel like a spring day.

    There is potential for a late season freeze early Sunday morning with a clear sky and light wind; we project a low in the 28-33 degree range for North/Central Alabama, so growers beware. Then, we expect a good supply of sunshine during the day Sunday with a high back in the 60s as a warming trend begins.

    NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look mostly dry with highs in the 70s; some risk of showers and storms will return by mid-week, but model consistency has not been good with that next feature.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly dry weather through Wednesday on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores; a few scattered showers are possible Thursday night and Friday. Highs will be in the low 70s tomorrow through Thursday, but back in the 60s Friday. Then, a cool weekend is ahead… mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday, but with a high in the 50s Saturday and 60s Sunday. Early morning temperatures will reach the 40s on the coast this weekend. The sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is up to 71 degrees.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    I enjoyed seeing 2nd graders today at Meadow View Elementary in Alabaster and West Elementary in Vestavia Hills… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Clouds Hang Around; Colder Late This Week

    Mon, 03/23/2015 - 06:15

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    AT DAYBREAK: Alabama is covered by low clouds, some fog, and drizzle early this morning with temperatures in the 50s. Most of the significant rain is now east of the state, and while most of the day today will be dry, clouds will hang tough. We could see a few peeks of sunshine late this afternoon… and the high today will be in the 60s.

    TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: These two days are looking dry and mild with a mix of sun and clouds; low to mid 70s are likely tomorrow, and the GFS and the NAM are both printing a high of 77 for Birmingham Wednesday. We do note on these two days a few severe thunderstorms could break out across parts of the nation’s mid-section, but we do not expect severe weather issues in our state when that systems arrives later.

    THURSDAY/FRIDAY: Clouds increase Thursday, and showers are possible Thursday afternoon into Thursday night… maybe a thunderstorm… ahead of a cold front. For now it doesn’t look like a big rain event, with amounts expected to be well under 1/2 inch.

    A few showers could linger into Friday morning as much colder air rushes into the state; we won’t get past the mid 50s Friday with a very cool north breeze.

    RAW SATURDAY: A deep upper trough over the eastern half of the U.S. will set up a cold late March weekend. Saturday looks pretty raw; mostly cloudy, breezy, and cold with a chance of a little drizzle during the morning hours, maybe even a few early morning snow flurries. Most North Alabama communities won’t get out of the 40s.

    SUNDAY MORNING FREEZE? The sky will clear Saturday night, and the stage is set for a late season freeze early Sunday. The GFS is printing a low of 29 degrees for Birmingham… many places to the north could see low to mid 20s. This is why we have been telling you for weeks it is way too early to plant anything that will be harmed by freezing temperatures. I always recommend tax day, April 15, as a safe time to plant without too much worry about a freeze.

    NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday look dry and warmer; then a chance of showers and storms will return by mid-week on Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30p CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
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    I have weather programs today at Meadow View Elementary in Alabaster… and West Elementary in Vestavia Hills. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    Mid-Afternoon Update

    Sun, 03/22/2015 - 14:40

    Rain continues over much of the northern third of Alabama this afternoon, generally north of I-20.

    Rainfall amounts have been light to moderate. including:

    .28 at Birmingham
    .59 at Tusacaloosa
    .23 at Anniston

    Temperatures are in the upper 50s in the I-20 Corridor. They will fall back into the lower 50s tonight under cloudy skies.

    The precipitation is associated with a nice little upper level disturbance northeast of Little Rock. It will push east northeast, ending the main rain from the west over western Alabama by 5-6 p.m., in the I-65 corridor between 7-8 p.m. and over East Alabama a couple of hours later.

    But a few light showers will be possible during the overnight hours, ending from the northwest during the pre-dawn hours, around sunrise in the I-59 corridor and over southeastern sections during the morning.

    Expect to see some sunshine Monday, at least by afternoon. Highs tomorrow will range from the upper 60s around Hamilton, where sunshine will arrive earlier, to the middle 60s in the I-20 Corridor to the lower 60s around Auburn.

    Categories: Weather

    Rainy Sunday

    Sun, 03/22/2015 - 07:20

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    Rain moved into Central Alabama during the latter part of the afternoon yesterday, a little faster than I expected to see it move in. Periods of light rain overnight produced rainfall amounts of around a quarter of an inch for most locations. The surface low was located in southern Louisiana this morning and will be moving eastward along the Gulf Coast through early Monday morning. Temperatures today will not be changing a great deal with readings remaining fairly steady or rising just a tad as values stay mainly in the 50s with a gloomy look to the day.

    There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms across South Alabama, Southwest Georgia, and Southeast Mississippi today along the front and just ahead of the surface low. That risk area will shift into North Florida for Day 2 or Monday. Lapse rates for the development of strong thunderstorms appear to be weak due in part to the cloud shield, but a fairly strong southwesterly flow in the layer between 700 and 500 millibars may be enough to enhance thunderstorms along the boundary lying along the Gulf Coast.

    The surface low and the associated upper short wave will move east Monday with precipitation chances ending for much of Central Alabama during the morning Monday. Weak ridging aloft promises us a dry and very nice March day for Tuesday.

    From Wednesday through into the weekend, the GFS remains focused on developing a substantial trough over the eastern US by this weekend. While we have officially entered the spring season, it looks like we’re going to have to contend with at least one more round of cold weather that may include some freezing temperatures for morning lows this weekend. A series of disturbances moving through the westerly flow will carve out a deep trough by Saturday pushing another round of cold weather out way. But it is late March, so in fairly typical fashion, the trough moves fairly quickly eastward allowing our temperatures to moderate fairly quickly as we edge out into voodoo country. We’ll need to watch carefully to see just how cold it will get on Saturday and Sunday morning, but at least with the information at hand today, it looks like we could see freezing temperatures each morning, so it may be necessary to protect plants and pets.

    Looking out into voodoo country, the strong trough moderates fairly quickly as we move into April with ridging across the eastern US for the start of April. But the westerlies remain busy with a parade of disturbances moving through the flow keeping the weather fluid. No specific signs of any significant cold or heat, but if you’ve been around much you know how the patterns in voodoo country can change.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    Had an enjoyable time out of Aldridge Gardens yesterday with other folks from the television station with Paws in the Park. The dogs seemed to know it was their special day and I saw so many different breeds. James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. Stay dry and Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Rain Moving In

    Sat, 03/21/2015 - 14:35

    Through the morning hours, we saw a mainly dry Saturday, but around noon, a few light showers started moving into West Alabama and these continue to spread east through the state. The rain is very light and will be more of a nuisance the next few hours. It, for the most part is a mild and cloudy day, with most locations along the Interstate 20 corridor into the 60s. Looking west, there is a lot of rain back in Texas and Louisiana associated with an area of low pressure, and it is heading our direction

    All the rain to the west will arrive overnight, and will continue through Sunday and it looks like a very wet day with rain likely most of the day and into Sunday night. The air will be cool and stable, so there is no risk of severe weather, and you probably won’t hear much thunder. Rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely. You will definitely need the rain gear tomorrow. The good news from all the rain, it will help wash away a lot of the pollen that is covering everything right now.

    Categories: Weather

    Clouds with a Rainy Sunday

    Sat, 03/21/2015 - 06:28

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    Central Alabama finds itself between systems today, so while the clouds will hold tough with some peeks at the sun here and there, we should be mainly dry today with highs around the 70-degree mark. A surface low on a stationary front along the Gulf Coast will move east Sunday bringing a wet day to Central Alabama. We may hear a little thunder on Sunday with a marginal threat for severe weather across southern Mississippi and Alabama as the front moves inland as a warm front. The primary threat will be damaging wind but an isolated tornado is possible along with isolated large hail. Clouds should hold temperatures down a bit with highs mainly in the lower half of the 60s.

    The surface low moves eastward away from us on Monday and an upper trough moves across the Southeast by midday, so rain chances should come to an end late on Monday morning. We may see some sunshine by very late afternoon with highs climbing well into the 60s.

    Then with weak ridging aloft, we should see a couple of dry and mild days with highs climbing back into the 70s. But the GFS is forecasting a fairly substantial trough to dig into the eastern US Thursday and Friday. This strong trough should bring a cold front and some rain chances back into the forecast for Thursday with colder but dry weather for the weekend. With a trough digging back into the eastern US by Friday and Saturday, we should see temperatures over the weekend drop back with lows in the 30s and highs in the 50s.

    The trough dominates the pattern for the beginning of voodoo country so March will be ending on a cool note, but the GFS continues to promote an active southern stream in the westerlies, so we may well stay somewhat wet as April gets underway.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    I will be participating along with other folks from ABC 3340 in Paws in the Garden today at Aldridge Gardens. The event benefits the Shelby County Humane Society and Aldridge Gardens so come on out and say hello. I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted Sunday morning. Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Mostly Dry Tomorrow; Very Wet Sunday

    Fri, 03/20/2015 - 15:39

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    LIGHT RAIN OVER EAST ALABAMA: Light rain continues in areas east of I-65 this afternoon… this rain will exit this state this evening.

    The sky will stay mostly cloudy tonight, but weather conditions will be mostly rain-free with only a small risk of a stray shower.

    TOMORROW: We project a mix of sun and clouds with a high around 70 degrees; the chance of a shower during the day is very small; only about one in five for any given spot. The chance of rain will increase tomorrow night as short wave energy lifts out of Texas.

    SUNDAY: This look like a very wet day with rain likely most of the day into Sunday night. The air will be cool and stable, so there is no risk of severe weather, and you probably won’t hear much thunder. Rain amounts of 1 to 2 inches are likely.

    NEXT WEEK: Rain ends Monday morning, and Tuesday and Wednesday look dry and pleasant with a decent amount of sunshine both days along with a high around 70 degrees. Showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms return by Thursday and Friday with the approach of a cold front. For now the severe weather threat looks fairly low.

    We should also mention the GFS continues to advertise a sharp change to colder weather around March 28-29 with potential for a late season freeze… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    AT THE BEACH: Tomorrow will be mostly dry on the Gulf Coast with only a few widely scattered showers and a few intervals of sunshine. Rain and thunderstorms are likely Sunday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, then dry air returns early next week with clearing Monday, and mostly sunny conditions Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs will remain around 70 degrees each day on the immediate coast, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 60s.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
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    Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

    Categories: Weather

    Showers Today Widely Spaced

    Fri, 03/20/2015 - 06:04

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    HELLO SPRING: Pretty quiet across the great state of Alabama this morning, on the first “official” day of spring. The vernal equinox comes this evening at 5:45p CDT, when the sun will be directly over the equator.

    The sky will be generally cloudy today, and while some scattered light rain is very possible, a decent part of the day will be dry. The high today will be in the low 70s for most places, although Northeast Alabama will be cooler with a high in the low 60s. The CAD (cold air damming) effect kept parts of DeKalb, Cherokee, and Etowah Counties only in the 50s yesterday.

    THE WEEKEND: Still looks like a decent part of the day tomorrow will be dry with intervals of sunshine; the high will be in the low 70s. The high resolution NAM model hints rain could push in from the west by the evening hours, and Sunday still looks very wet with widespread rain as the wave lifts out of the Southwest U.S. Rain amounts of 1-2 inches are likely late tomorrow night and Sunday, but no risk of severe weather, and probably very little thunder with a cool, stable airmass in place.

    NEXT WEEK: The rain will push out of the state Monday morning, and we might see a bit of sun Monday afternoon. Tuesday looks rain-free; highs will remain in the low 70s.

    The 00Z GFS pushes moist air back into the state Wednesday, suggesting a few showers could break out. Then, some rain is likely at times Thursday and Friday as a cold front approaches from the north.

    LONG RANGE: Still evidence of a colder pattern developing for the eastern and southern U.S. around the end of the month; the risk of a freeze for North/Central Alabama is far from over. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: More clouds than sun on the coast today and tomorrow from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with just a few scattered showers. Rain becomes widespread Sunday, then ending early Monday morning of next week. Tuesday and Wednesday look dry, but showers are possible Thursday and Friday of next week. Highs on the immediate coast will remain close to 70 degrees, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 60s.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    I will be speaking today to the senior adult group at St. Mark United Methodist Church in Vestavia Hills… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather