ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 5 hours 56 min ago

Five Forms

Mon, 09/01/2014 - 16:14

Air Force reconnaissance found a well defined circulation is the Bay of Campeche about 250 miles from the Mexican Gulf Coast.

The storm is moving WNW at 13 mph and will move inland in Mexico tomorrow evening.

Top winds are 30 mph and the plane recently found a central pressure of 1008 mb.

The water is warm but wind shear is strong and Five will only slowly strengthen. It should become Tropical Storm Dolly tomorrow afternoon before landfall.

Categories: Weather

A Few Scattered Storms Around

Mon, 09/01/2014 - 15:22

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Widely scattered showers and storms have fired up across parts of Alabama this Labor Day afternoon. Most of them at mid-afternoon were south of I-20, and east of I-65… they are moving northeast, and will fade away once the sun goes down later this evening. Temperatures are generally in the 90-93 degree range.

REST OF THE WEEK: The weather just won’t change very much through Friday. Partly sunny days, and the daily risk of the hit and miss, “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”. Storms in an environment like this form in random places, and come and go pretty quickly. But, they can be strong and produce brief heavy rain in a few places. Afternoons highs will be somewhere between 91 and 94 degrees in most communities.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The ridge weakens a bit, and a surface front will ease down into Tennessee Saturday. This could give us a little bump in the number of thunderstorms Saturday and Saturday night, but it still won’t rain everywhere, and the day Saturday will feature a mix of sun and clouds with a high around 90 degrees.

There is a chance drier air could temporarily drop into far North Alabama Sunday, but the front will probably fizzle out near the Tennessee Valley, and we will continue to mention at least a chance of a pop up shower or storm Sunday afternoon; the high will stay close to 90 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Heat levels should back off a bit as the ridge weakens; looks like highs in the mid to upper 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: A disturbance in the Bay of Campeche has a decent chance of becoming a tropical depression or storm over the next 36 hours, but it will move into the Mexican coast far south of Brownsville, Texas Wednesday. The rest of the Atlantic basin is very quiet. In fact, there is not a single tropical cyclone on the planet this afternoon, a very rare thing for September 1.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Friday with a few scattered storms around daily; highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87 to 90 degree range. The sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tomorrow night at 8:30 CT.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Meteorological Fall Begins

Mon, 09/01/2014 - 06:30

**No Weather Xtreme video this morning… I will produce one this afternoon before 4:00**

STILL LIKE SUMMER: The calendar says today is the first of September, but the weather will still be like August this week thanks to an upper ridge across the Deep South. We project a high in the low to mid 90s today and tomorrow with ample sunshine and only widely scattered afternoon showers or storms.

LATER THIS WEEK: The upper ridge will break down a bit, allowing an increase in the number of afternoon showers and thunderstorms Wednesday through Friday; the chance of any one spot seeing an afternoon shower or storm on these three days is about one in three with a high in the low 90s.

WEEKEND FORECAST: Not much change; a typical late summer pattern continues with a few scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms possible Saturday and Sunday with a high at or just over 90 degrees. The primary storm track remains to the north of Alabama, and cooler air isn’t allowed to drop this far south.

LONG RANGE: Model data suggests temperatures will fall next week, with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s, making it feel more like September…

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day this week along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores with just a few widely scattered storms; highs in the 87-91 degree range on the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is very quiet; the only system to discuss is over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico… this has some chance of becoming a tropical storm over the next 48 hours, but it will move west into the Mexican coast, south of Brownsville, Texas at mid-week and is no threat to the U.S.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tomorrow night due to the Labor Day holiday.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for today’s Weather Xtreme video and a new discussion here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Settling Back into a Summer-like Pattern

Sun, 08/31/2014 - 06:59

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

After a wet start to the Labor Day weekend, showers should be less numerous across Alabama with the better chances for seeing an isolated storm across the northern third of Alabama generally Birmingham and northward. Some patchy fog was occurring thanks to the widespread rain yesterday, but it should burn off by 9 am or so. The sky will contain a mixture of sun and clouds as we see highs climb mainly into the lower 90s. The upper air disturbance that moved out of the Northwest Gulf yesterday and produced a good rainfall event for a sizable chunk of the state especially the western half was moving into the Ohio River Valley today where a number of flash flood watches were posted for heavy rain.

As this disturbance pulls northeastward, the upper ridge will build into and across the Southeast US for the next week pretty much settling us back into a summer-like pattern with daily shower and storm chances thanks to daily heating. As the upper ridge remains the main feature, high temperatures should reach into the lower and middle 90s, generally the 92 to 95 range, for most of the week.

Good looking forecast for the beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida. While there will be some passing storms possible each day, there will still be plenty of sunshine. Highs at the beach will be near 90, with morning lows near 80. For the week ahead, the weather looks fairly typical along the northern Gulf Coast for the first week in September. Water temperature at Perdido Pass was 85.9 degrees.

Tropics are generally quiet with just one area of disturbed weather moving westward across the Yucatan Peninsula. Conditions are expected to be favorable for strengthening of this system on Monday and Tuesday as it moves out of Yucatan and into the Southwest Gulf of Mexico. The upper ridge across the Southeast US should keep it moving westward into Mexico.

Looking out into voodoo country, the ridge remains the big player for the Southeast US into Week 2, but the GFS is still setting the stage for a substantial rain event around the 12th and 13th of September with a strong trough moving across the Central US that could bring a cold front to the Southeast US.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I’ll be filling in for Charles on Good Morning Alabama on Monday, Labor Day. James Spann will have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Storms Over Alabama

Sat, 08/30/2014 - 16:46

We continue to see widespread convection this afternoon. The last few hours, the bulk of the activity has been over western portions of the state, as the storms became somewhat linear. Storms today are producing quite a bit of lightning, gusty winds, and torrential rainfall. The general motion continues to be towards the north.

Over the next several hours, storms will persist as they lift north. The more intense storms at this time are affecting Winston, Walker, Fayette, Bibb, and Chilton counties. Storms should be approaching the Birmingham Metro during the next hour or so. Where it is raining, we are seeing much cooler temps down in the 70s, but where it is not, still 90s.

Categories: Weather

Showers Developing

Sat, 08/30/2014 - 12:13

A very soupy air mass is in place across the state today. Dew points have climbed back into the 70s, and that is making it feel very humid out there this afternoon. Add in a little daytime heating, and uplift provided by a shortwave trough approaching from the west, and we are looking at some unsettled weather the next couple of days.

Late this morning, showers began developing across the state. With a strong southerly flow across the state, general movement of today’s activity is from south to north. For the rest of today, with such a moist and unstable air mass in place, convection will continue to develop and we will see widespread and numerous showers and storms. It will not be continuous rain, but there could be several rounds of showers to impact your specific location.

Click image to enlarge.

Categories: Weather

Showers Today Falling Off Sunday

Sat, 08/30/2014 - 06:47

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Moisture increased overnight keeping our temperatures up a bit. But those same clouds will help to keep the afternoon highs today mainly in the upper 80s for most spots. Showers and storms will be possible throughout the day and radar showed several showers across western sections this morning from near Demopolis to Muscle Shoals. An isolated strong thunderstorm is possible as CAPE values reach the 1500 to 2500 j/kg range. The most likely impact would be potential of damaging wind.

The unsettled weather today is the result of a weak upper level disturbance moving out of the northwest Gulf northeastward across the Lower Mississippi River Valley. This disturbance will enhance showers over this area with an east-to-west gradient in showers. This will put better chances for showers across western Alabama and a little less coverage of showers across eastern sections.

The disturbance coming out of the Gulf will move quickly northeast ahead of a trough coming across the Upper Mississippi River Valley Sunday and Monday. As this trough move across the Great Lakes area, ridging will occur across the Southeast US. This should return Central Alabama to a summer-like pattern with daily chances for showers for the first part of September.

An area of disturbed weather in the western Caribbean is moving steadily westward. While conditions are expected to become conducive for some development, the area is very close to land, so any strengthening in likely to be limited. The track of this area of weather should take it into the Southwest Gulf early next week where additional development could occur. The ridge across the Southeast US is likely to keep the westward motion and take the disturbance into Mexico.

Auburn kicks off their season with a game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00 pm. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the lower 80s by the final whistle. You should take rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain concerns for the game; you may need some rain gear getting to and from the game with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game, but much of the game is likely to be dry.

For beach goers, about 3-6 hours of sun with a few passing thunderstorms in the zone from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Sunshine will be a little more plentiful Sunday and Monday as storms become more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

Looking well into the future, a strong trough is expected to move across the Central US around the 11th which could bring a good rain event to Alabama. But the ridge returns for some warm weather for the middle of September.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to post the next Weather Xtreme Video by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Weekend Showers; But No Wash-Out

Fri, 08/29/2014 - 15:21

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHANGES AHEAD: Another dry day for Alabama… the last time Birmingham had more than 0.05″ of rain was back on August 19. The sky is partly to mostly sunny with temperatures around the 90 degree mark in most places.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air surges northward tonight, and we will bring back the chance of showers and thunderstorms to our state tomorrow. It won’t rain all day, and the sun should be out at times, so no “wash-out”. But, clearly a risk of a passing shower or thunderstorm will exist at just about any hour of the day. The sky will feature more clouds than sun, and the high will be in the upper 80s in most communities.

Showers and storms are still possible Sunday and Monday, but they should be more scattered in nature, and mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high around 90 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Looks pretty hot for early September with highs in the low to mid 90s much of the week as the upper ridge rebuilds; afternoon showers and storms will be widely scattered. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Just a few isolated showers across North/Central Alabama tonight; most high school stadiums will be dry. Temperatures will fall through the 80s during the games, reaching the 70s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn kicks off their season tomorrow with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun tomorrow with a few passing thunderstorms in the zone from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: There are no active tropical cyclones anywhere on Earth now, which is a bit unusual considering this is the peak of the tropical season.

Cristobal is now a post-tropical system over the North Atlantic, and disturbances over the northwest Gulf and Caribbean remain disorganized.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Moist Air Returns To Alabama Tomorrow

Fri, 08/29/2014 - 05:56

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

GENERALLY DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH TONIGHT: Not much overall change in the Alabama weather situation today; we are starting the day with a pleasant morning; Vic Bell up at Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) reports a cool 57 degrees, while Fort Payne is at 59 just before sunrise.

We expect a good deal of sunshine today through scattered clouds with a high in the low 90s. Humidity levels will remain rather low, and we will mention just a slight risk of a shower late today and tonight as an upper trough approaches from the Great Plains.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Alabama will be covered by a moist, unstable airmass tomorrow, and we will continue to mention the chance of a few passing showers or thunderstorms. No “all day” rain, but if you have something planned outdoors just be prepared for the occasional shower or storm. The day will feature more clouds than sun, with a high in the upper 80s for most places.

The, for Sunday and Monday, we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds with the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms. The showers will thin out Monday as an upper ridge begins to rebuild across the southern U.S. Highs will be at or just over 90 degrees on these two days.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Just a few isolated showers across North/Central Alabama tonight; most high school stadiums will be dry. Temperatures will fall through the 80s during the games, reaching the 70s by the fourth quarter.

Auburn kicks off their season tomorrow with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun today and tomorrow with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is moving into the North Atlantic and is no threat to land; the rest of the Atlantic basin is pretty quiet.

NEXT WEEK: An upper ridge will mean summer-like weather for the first week of meteorological fall in Alabama; highs in the mid 90s with widely scattered afternoon storms. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Mostly Dry Tomorrow; Showers Return Saturday

Thu, 08/28/2014 - 15:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUNNY LATE AUGUST DAY: Mostly sunny weather is the story across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; nothing on radar, and temperatures are mostly in the low 90s. Dewpoints/humidity levels remain relatively low, so it feels pretty comfortable for a “low 90s” kind of day.

Tomorrow will be generally dry, but moisture levels will begin to rise, and I will mention the risk of widely scattered showers during the late afternoon and evening hours. The sky will be partly sunny with a high in the low 90s.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: A moist, unstable airmass will move in here late tomorrow night, and we will continue to mention a chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday. We still see considerable model differences; the GFS is wet and the NAM is much drier, so confidence in the timing and placement of rain is not especially high. The sky will feature more clouds than sun, and we will have the risk of a few passing showers or thunderstorms during the day. The rain won’t be continuous, and the sun should be out at times. The high Saturday should be in the mid to upper 80s.

For Sunday and Monday, showers and storms are still possible, but they should be fewer in number, and more scattered in nature. Expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with a high in the 89-92 degree range.

NEXT WEEK: The upper ridge builds again for mid-week, meaning hot early September weather for mid-week with only widely scattered afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms; highs will be in the low to mid 90s. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tonight… only a small risk of a shower tomorrow evening; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: About 3-6 hours of sun tomorrow and Saturday with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is moving toward the North Atlantic with sustained winds of 75 mph; no threat to land. A weak disturbance is moving into South Texas with no development; otherwise the tropics are pretty quiet. Quite a contrast to 9 years ago today, when Hurricane Katrina reached category five status over the Gulf of Mexico. The storm weakened to a category three by landfall the the following day, but the large size of the system resulted in a storm surge of 24 and 28 feet on the Mississippi coast.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the senior adults at Cropwell Baptist Church in Pell City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Showers Return By The Weekend

Thu, 08/28/2014 - 06:18

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

PLEASANT MORNING: Another nice morning; we have low 60s at places like Cullman and Fort Payne; the sky is clear and the air is dry. Look for a good supply of sunshine today and tomorrow with a high in the 90-94 degree range. We will mention just a slight risk of a shower tomorrow afternoon.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air surges northward into the state Saturday, and we will forecast a chance of showers and thunderstorms; the day will feature more clouds than sun. There are actual considerable model differences; the GFS is much wetter than the NAM, and as usual the truth is probably somewhere in between. The rain won’t last all day, and the sun will be out at times. Just understand if you have something planned outdoors, you will have to dodge a shower or two. The high Saturday will be in the upper 80s for most communities.

A few showers and thunderstorms are still possible Sunday and Monday, but they should be fewer in number and more scattered in nature. The sky will feature a mix of sun and clouds both days, with highs generally between 88 and 91 degrees.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tonight… only a small risk of a shower tomorrow evening; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear in case a shower wants to roll through the Plains.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny today with only a slight risk of a shower from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Then, for tomorrow and Saturday about 3-6 hours of sun each day with a few passing thunderstorms. Sunshine will be a bit more plentiful Sunday and Monday with storms becoming more widely spaced. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 83 degrees.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is on the way to the North Atlantic and no threat to land. A disturbance in the far western Gulf will move into the southern tip of Texas this evening with no development, and another weak wave is moving into the Caribbean with no sign of organization. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I will be speaking to the senior adults today at Cropwell Baptist Church in St. Clair County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Showers/Storms Return Saturday

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 15:34

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY SUMMER AFTERNOON: The sky is mostly sunny across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; nothing on radar and temperatures are pretty close to 90 degrees. Tonight will be clear and pleasant; most communities will drop back into the mid 60s early tomorrow morning.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: A dry airmass remains in place, and we expect a partly to mostly sunny sky both days with a high between 90 and 93 degrees. We might consider mentioning a slight risk of a shower Friday afternoon, but if any form they should be few and far between.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air surges northward, and with the approach of an upper trough showers and storms enter the Alabama weather scene Saturday. No all day rain, no severe storms, but the sky will feature more clouds than sun, and there is a pretty good chance of a passing shower or storm anywhere in our state during the day. No way of knowing now exactly when and where it will rain, but if you have something planned outdoors, just be aware that you will have to dodge raindrops from time to time. The high will be in the 80s.

Showers and storms should be fewer in number and more scattered in nature Sunday and Monday with a mix of sun and clouds both days; highs will range from 87 to 90 degrees.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tomorrow night… only a small risk of a shower Friday evening; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly cloudy with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days through Friday with only a small risk of a shower or storm. Then, on Saturday, the sky will be occasionally cloudy with showers and storms becoming more numerous, but it won’t rain all day, and the sun should be out at times. Then, for Sunday and Monday, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine both days with a few scattered storms around. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, with sea water temperatures mostly in the low to mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is between the coast of the U.S. and Bermuda in the Atlantic, and will move northeast into the open North Atlantic in coming days… not threat to land. A low level swirl is in the western Gulf of Mexico; hurricane hunters actually went into that today and found nothing significant. It will drift into the southern tip of Texas within the next 36 hours; no impact here. The wave nearing the Leeward Islands remains weak and disorganized. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing a huge crowd today at Golden Living Center in Oneonta… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Moist Air Returns Over The Weekend

Wed, 08/27/2014 - 06:12

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

DRY THROUGH FRIDAY: Feels pretty good early this morning; Vic Bell, our Skywatcher at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden, reports 58 degrees at daybreak… up the road Fort Payne is at 61. Don’t expect much change in our weather through the end of the week, with mostly sunny days and fair nights. Highs in the low 90s, lows mostly in the 60s as dry air remains in place.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air returns, and with the approach of an upper trough we will bring in a chance of showers and thunderstorms Saturday. This looks like the day with the highest coverage of rain; any one spot stands a 50/50 chance of seeing one or two showers or thunderstorms during the day. We will have more clouds than sun, and the high will drop into the 80s.

Then, for Sunday and Monday, expect a mix of sun and clouds both days with scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range on these two days. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: No rain for the high school games tomorrow and Friday night; the sky will be mostly fair with kickoff temperatures in the upper 80s.

Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be mostly cloudy, and there is a 50/50 risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 86, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle. The rain won’t be continuous, but I would take the rain gear.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the mid to upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… mostly sunny with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights through Friday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with only a small risk of a storm. Then, clouds will increase Saturday with a few passing showers or storms possible. On Sunday and Monday expect about 5 to 7 hours of sun both days with scattered storms. Highs will stay in the 87 to 90 degree range on the immediate coast; the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is packing sustained winds of 80 mph, and is between the U.S. Atlantic coast and Bermuda. It will move northeast into the North Atlantic in coming days and is no threat to land. The rest of the Atlantic basin is pretty quiet now.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be speaking today at the Golden Living Center in Oneonta… look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Dry Through Thursday

Tue, 08/26/2014 - 15:28

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

NICE LATE SUMMER DAY: Under a sunny sky, temperatures are generally in the 87 to 91 degree range across the great state of Alabama this afternoon. Birmingham reports 88 degrees at 2p CT with a dew point of 61, which is very comfortable for late August in our state.

Tonight will be pleasant; most communities will see a low in the mid 60s early tomorrow, but some of the cooler pockets across Northeast Alabama could see upper 50s.

Looks like we stay dry tomorrow through Friday with mostly sunny days and fair nights. Highs in the low 90s, lows in the 60s. Models keep trending dry on Friday, so we have taken out that small risk of an afternoon shower for now. Looks like rain-free weather for the high school football games across the state Thursday and Friday night.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moisture returns, and we will mention the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday through Monday with a mix of sun and clouds each day. Highs 87 to 90, and the risk of any one spot getting wet each day is in the 30-40 percent range. No wash-out, but just be aware a passing shower or storm is possible if you have something planned outdoors.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Auburn kicks off their season Saturday with a home game against Arkansas at Jordan-Hare Stadium at 3:00. The sky will be partly sunny, and there is about a one in three risk of a shower or thunderstorm during the game. Kickoff temperature near 88, falling into the low 80s by the final whistle.

Alabama will play West Virginia in the Georgia Dome, so no rain worries for the game; as you walk to the game expect a mix of sun and clouds with a brief shower or thunderstorm possible in Atlanta during the afternoon and evening hours. The high in Atlanta Saturday will be in the upper 80s.

UAB opens with a home game against Troy State at Legion Field in Birmingham (11:00 a.m. CT kickoff)… partly sunny with 86 degrees at kickoff, rising into the upper 80s by the fourth quarter. A passing shower or thunderstorm is possible during the game.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through Thursday. Then, for Friday and the holiday weekend, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the 87-90 degree range, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: Hurricane Cristobal is packing sustained winds of 75 mph, and will pass west of Bermuda tomorrow on the journey to the North Atlantic. No threat to land. We will watch a disturbance over the NW Gulf of Mexico and the Central Atlantic, but both are very disorganized for now and immediate development is not expected. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing everyone at the Urban Center today at Liberty Park… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Dry Through Mid-Week

Tue, 08/26/2014 - 06:05

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

LOWER HUMIDITY: A fairly pleasant late August weather pattern will set up across Alabama through mid-week thanks to a dry airmass in place. We project mostly sunny days and fair nights through Thursday with low humidity and comfortable early mornings. Some of the cooler pockets across Northeast Alabama could visit the upper 50s at daybreak tomorrow. Afternoon highs will be close to 90 degrees, right at seasonal levels for this time of the year.

Moisture levels will begin to rise late this week, and a few spots could see an afternoon shower, but the latest GFS looks pretty dry. Low 90s are likely Friday afternoon.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist, unstable air will be in place, and we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds Saturday and Sunday with the risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. No wash-out, but a passing storm is very possible both days with a high between 87 and 91 degrees. Scattered storms should become fewer in number on Monday as the upper ridge begins to rebuild across the region.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Thursday from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Then, for Friday, Saturday, and Sunday, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the risk of scattered thunderstorms. Storms become fewer in number by Monday. Highs on the coast will be in the 87-90 degree range, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

TROPICS: Cristobal is a minimal hurricane in the Atlantic, and will pass between the U.S. East Coast and Bermuda tomorrow as it moves north; then it turns northeast out toward the North Atlantic. No threat to land. And, in the Central Atlantic, a weak disturbance is about halfway between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. This is surrounded by dry air, and the models have pretty much lost it for now. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps and graphics.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a severe weather safety program today for the employees at the Urban Center in Liberty Park… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 478: Everyone Gets an Outflow

Tue, 08/26/2014 - 05:25

WeatherBrains Episode 448 is now online (August 25, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Our Guest WeatherBrain this week is a returning Guest in the form of Dr. Marshall Shepherd. Dr. Marshall was one of the panelists on WeatherBrains 384. J. Marshall Shepherd is a meteorologist, professor at the University of Georgia’s Department of Geography, the director of the university’s atmospheric sciences program, and was the president of the American Meteorological Society for 2013. Dr. Shepherd has a Bachelor of Science degree in meteorology (1991), Master of Science degree in Physical Meteorology, and a Ph.D. in Physical Meteorology, all obtained at Florida State University. For a complete list of his many accomplishments and undertakings, go here. Dr. Shepherd is the host of a new show on The Weather Channel called Weather Geeks.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 111 at Death Valley, CA, and 28 at West Yellowstone Gate, MT
  • Cristobal meandering in the vicinity of the Bahamas (just east)
  • Another tropical wave in the South Atlantic 1100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles
  • Nice wedge pattern bringing cooler/drier air to the Southeast
  • Kevin Selle makes a comeback as the salt on the popcorn
  • Special appearance by Matthew Selle
  • Lots of action in the tropical Pacific
  • Snow reported in Billings, MT
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: Air exerts a force, so this week our 101 segment looks at air pressure. Air pressure can change through a couple of different ways, so we look at that, too..

    TWIWH: Bill Murray is AWOL for this episode.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 448:

    Florida State University Meteorology

    Press release on Weather Geeks

    American Meteorological Society Insights

    WeatherBrains teeshirts

    Picks of the Week:

    Nate Johnson – GOES-14 SRSOR Imagery

    Brian Peters – Earth Observing System Data and Information System

    John Scala – Lightning in super slow motion

    Kevin Selle – Android App Hobbles NWS Web Page

    Marshall Shepherd – Weather Geeks TWC Facebook Page

    James Spann – Rumor about Hurricane Heading to New Orleans

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Gets the Fog Horn

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Rick Smith, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Dry Air Settles Into Alabama

    Mon, 08/25/2014 - 15:30

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Nothing showing up on the radar at mid-afternoon across the great state of Alabama. We will maintain the risk of scattered storms over the western counties through the evening hours, but drier air continues to work here from the east, and will set the stage for rain-free weather through mid-week.

    Heat levels, as expected, are considerably lower across the state today, with readings mostly in the 85 to 90 degree range.

    MID-WEEK: Mostly sunny days, fair nights, and lower humidity levels tomorrow through Thursday. Highs around 90; lows in the 60s. Coolest morning will come early Wednesday with mid 60s for most communities; cooler pockets over Northeast Alabama might make a run at the upper 50s.

    FRIDAY AND THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moisture levels begin to rise Friday, and a few spots could see an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Then, for the holiday weekend, we are forecasting a mix of sun and clouds each day Saturday through Monday with scattered showers and thunderstorms. This won’t be a “wash out”, but if you have something planned outdoors just be aware that you will deal with a passing shower or storm from time to time, especially during the afternoon and evening hours. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Thursday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores. Then, for Friday and the Labor Day weekend, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day with the usual risk of scattered thunderstorms. The only potential fly in the ointment is the disturbance over the northern Gulf of Mexico; for now it is very disorganized, but we will keep an eye on it.

    TROPICS: Tropical Storm Cristobal looks very unhealthy with the circulation center pretty much exposed; it is just east of the Bahamas. It will move north, and then northeast, staying away from the U.S. this week, but NHC still expects it to become a minimal hurricane by Wednesday between the U.S. Atlantic coast and Bermuda.

    A disturbance in the Atlantic between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles has some potential for slow development later this week, but dry air surrounds the system and it looks very disorganized for now. It should be near, or north of Puerto Rico this weekend. Too early to determine if this will recurve into the open Atlantic, or keep trucking toward the Southeast U.S.

    Over in the East Pacific, Hurricane Marie is packing sustained winds of 140 mph, but will weaken as it moves northwest. Still, swells and rough surf will impact the coasts of Baja California and Southern California later this week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps and graphics concerning the tropical weather situation.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it live on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

    Categories: Weather

    Not As Hot This Week

    Mon, 08/25/2014 - 06:18

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: One lone shower was over Alabama at daybreak over West Alabama’s Pickens County, moving southwest into Mississippi. We will continue to mention a risk of scattered storms today, but they should be most numerous over the western half of the state, where deeper moisture is in place. The chance of any one spot getting wet west of I-65 today is about one in three. The high will be close to 90 degrees; some places won’t make it out of the 80s.

    MID-WEEK: Drier air moves into Alabama from the east tonight, and we will be dry tomorrow through Thursday with sunny days, fair cooler nights, and lower humidity levels. Highs will be close to 90 degrees, but morning lows will drop into the 60s. Coolest morning should come early Wednesday with mid 60s likely… we just might see a few upper 50s across the cooler pockets of Northeast Alabama.

    FRIDAY AND THE LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moist air begins to return Friday, and a few spots could see an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Then, for the holiday weekend, we project a mix of sun and clouds Saturday through Monday with the daily risk of “scattered showers and thunderstorms”. This doesn’t imply a “wash out” or “rainy weekend”, but no doubt we will deal with a few passing storms along the way. Highs over the weekend will be in the 88 to 91 degree range, about average for late August and early September in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: We project mostly sunny days and fair nights on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Thursday. For the Labor Day weekend, about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine each day in this zone with the daily risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs along the immediate coast will be in the 88-92 degree range, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Pensacola Beach is 87 degrees.

    TROPICS: Tropical Storm Cristobal, over the Southeast Bahamas, is expected to become a hurricane tomorrow night, but it will recurve into the Atlantic and is no threat to the U.S.

    A tropical wave is over the Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles; some chance of slow development later this week.

    And, in the Pacific, Hurricane Marie is packing sustained winds of 145 mph well off the coast of Mexico, but this will weaken quickly over cooler water in coming days as it moves north/northwest. Swells and rough surf from this will impact the Southern California coast later this week. See the Weather Xtreme video for more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

    Categories: Weather

    Update on Cristobal

    Sun, 08/24/2014 - 16:00

    The latest data from the NHC has Cristobal moving north. The official track from the NHC now keeps Cristobal well off the East Coast of the U.S.

    …CRISTOBAL MOVING NORTHWARD…
    …HEAVY RAINFALL AFFECTING THE TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE
    SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS…

    SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT…2100 UTC…INFORMATION
    ———————————————-
    LOCATION…24.5N 73.0W
    ABOUT 155 MI…250 KM ENE OF LONG ISLAND
    ABOUT 185 MI…300 KM ENE OF GREAT EXUMA ISLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…45 MPH…75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 360 DEGREES AT 8 MPH…13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1001 MB…29.56 INCHES

    Categories: Weather

    Afternoon Radar Check

    Sun, 08/24/2014 - 15:31

    It continues to be very hot and humid across the state today. Unlike yesterday, where just a few storms developed, there are many more showers and storms this afteroon. The bulk of the activity is over eastern portions of the state, and this activity is drifting towards the south-southwest. The U.S. 431 Highway is be impacting up and down the eastern side of the state, as several areas of storms are producing very heavy rainfall and dangerous lightning. A few storms could be producing gusty winds and small hail as well.

    There is another batch of activity from Bibb County down through Perry, Dallas, and Lowndes County. Once again, all activity is moving towards the south-southwest. The storms out there now, will persist through the afternoon and evening hours, before the begin to weaken after sunset. Where it has rained, temps have dropped into the 70s and 80s as seen in DeKalb and Shelby counties. Where the rain has not fallen, it is very hot as mid to upper 90s continue across many areas of the state.

    Click image to enlarge.

    Categories: Weather