ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 1 hour 25 min ago

Watch County Notification

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 05:49

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WWUS64 KBMX 171049
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 552
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
449 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

ALC011-113-171500-
/O.EXA.KBMX.TO.A.0552.000000T0000Z-141117T1500Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 552 TO
INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA

RUSSELL

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BULLOCK

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…PHENIX CITY AND UNION SPRINGS.

$$

ALC005-109-171500-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.A.0552.000000T0000Z-141117T1500Z/

TORNADO WATCH 552 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BARBOUR PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…EUFAULA AND TROY.

$$

Categories: Weather

Tornado Warning

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 05:41

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WFUS54 KBMX 171040
TORBMX
ALC109-171130-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0041.141117T1040Z-141117T1130Z/

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
440 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 530 AM CST

* AT 439 AM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF BRADLEYTON…OR 7 MILES NORTH OF
LUVERNE…AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
ANSLEY…TROY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT…LINWOOD…ORION AND CHINA GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

LAT…LON 3179 8615 3179 8621 3188 8618 3196 8619
3196 8600 3205 8599 3204 8597 3206 8595
3205 8590 3197 8588 3197 8579 3194 8579
3175 8615
TIME…MOT…LOC 1040Z 235DEG 50KT 3182 8621

$$

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 02:34

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WWUS64 KBMX 170734
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 552
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
134 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

ALC005-109-171500-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.A.0552.141117T0734Z-141117T1500Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 552 IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BARBOUR PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…EUFAULA AND TROY.

$$

Categories: Weather

Flood Advisory Issued

Sun, 11/16/2014 - 23:27

The National Weather Service In Birmingham Has Issued An

– Urban And Small Stream Flood Advisory For
Southern Jefferson County In Alabama
Northern Shelby County In Alabama

– Until 1245 AM CST.

These are Doppler Radar estimated rainfall amounts so far today.

The flood advisory is outlined in green.

As you can see, widespread two inch rainfall amounts have fallen so far from Greene County into southern Jefferson and northern Shelby Counties.

The NWS Office at the Shelby County Airport has picked up 1.72 inches of rain through 10:09 p.m.

As you can see, it will continue to rain heavily in some areas into the early morning hours.

Since it has been so dry, flooding is not a major concern, but ponding on roadways and minor flooding in urban areas will continue until the rainfall abates later.

Categories: Weather

Heavy Rain Falling

Sun, 11/16/2014 - 20:31

Heavy rain is falling tonight across parts of North Central Alabama generally in the I-20 corridor just to the north of a frontal boundary and low pressure system.

It is a rough drive right now from Hoover to Tuscaloosa on I-20/59 with lots of heavy rain.

Be careful on area roads as there will definitely be ponding on streets and highways.

So far, 0.76 inches of rain rain has fallen at the Birmingham Airport as of 7 p.m. Another inch is likely before the rain ends late tonight.

Categories: Weather

Really Cold Air On The Way

Sun, 11/16/2014 - 14:54

Rain overspread Northwest Alabama early this morning as advertised, in advance of a very powerful upper trough that is bringing some amazingly cold air to the center of the country and aided by a frontal system that lies generally along and north of I-20.   Low pressure centers are lined up back along the front which extends across southern Mississippi.

UPSTREAM TEMPS: It is interesting to note at early afternoon, temperatures are in the teens and 20s across Kansas, 30s over Arkansas and in the 40s over northern Mississippi. It was 18F at noon at Chanute, KS with heavy snow and 23F at Joplin MO with heavy snow as well. It was 39F at Little Rock and 43F at Greenwood MS. In sharp contrast, it is 70F at Mobile.

NOWCAST: As of the noon hour, rain had overspread much of the space north of I-59 and was steadily advancing eastward. This first wave of rain will continue to do so through the afternoon hours leading to a gentle, soaking rain for most locations. North of the front, temperatures are in the 40s in places like Hamilton, Muscle Shoals and Huntsville. There will likely be some evaporative cooling as rain begins to fall in areas that are in the 50s, setting the stage for a cold rain. Over three quarters of an inch of rain has fallen at Muscle Shoals this morning and much of the area should see at least one half of an inch this afternoon. Great weather for a nap.

WAVE #2: Another wave of rain will overspread the area tonight as another of those surface disturbances ripples northeastward along the front. There is currently some lightning over southwestern Mississippi and even a tornado warning west of Lafayette LA. There is a slight risk severe weather outlook in effect along the Gulf Coast from Fort Walton back to Lake Charles LA. As this low passes by, the front will start dropping southeastward pushing the rain with it. Rain should end in places like Hamilton and Carrollton by 3 a.m. or so, Birmingham and Tuscaloosa around 6 a.m. and over East Alabama soon after that. The rain should be basically out of the state by noon.   Overnight rainfall amounts may be over an inch, with accumulated totals finishing around 2 inches in some spots.

SEVERE WEATHER? I know you zeroed in on my comment about a tornado warning. No, there is no threat of that coming to Alabama. Instabilities may well support a little thunder tonight in areas south of I-20.

ROLLER COASTER TEMPERATURES: Wasn’t it the Ohio Players that sang about the Rollercoaster of Love? The theme of this paragraph will be the Rollercoaster of Temperatures. Although the screaming message is the coming cold, there are a couple of things meteorologically that some of our friends will experience. As the second low pushes northeast tonight, temperatures may jump into the 50s and 60s as far north as I-20, in places like Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Clanton, Talladega and Ashland as well as points south. Temperatures will fall during the morning across the area, with Monday daytime highs likely occurring before sunrise in many areas. That is always interesting. Temperatures will be in the lower 40s in the I-20 corridor during much of the day, falling back into the 30s during the late afternoon. Places to the north will remain in the 30s all day. The Arctic front will arrive Monday night, plunging temperatures into the lower 20s with a few teens by Tuesday morning.

FRIGID TUESDAY: Highs on Tuesday will likely not get above freezing in places along and north of I-20. We are talking highs around 30-32F. It will be a day for bundling up and dressing warmly.

TO WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND: Wednesday morning will likely be as cold if not a degree or two colder than Tuesday morning, with teens and lower 20s prevailing. Most areas should warm back to the upper 40s by Wednesday afternoon. Moderation will occur starting Thursday with 50s likely again and continuing on Friday – Sunday. The next rain chances will come late Thursday night into Friday as another front system starts acting up over the south. It could be followed by another round of rain on Sunday.

THANKSGIVING SNEAK PEEK:   Some snow looks possible in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys along with cold weather over the Southeast.

Categories: Weather

Here Comes the Rain

Sun, 11/16/2014 - 08:08

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

After a gorgeous November Saturday that was a little chilly but still warmer than Friday, clouds moved in overnight and the rain was heading our way. A surface low will track across North Alabama tonight from a position near Lake Charles this morning. The surface low is in response to a strong trough digging into the Central US that will bring another shot of very cold air to Alabama for Tuesday and Wednesday. The surface low will move quickly northeastward to the Mid-Atlantic states by Monday afternoon bringing an end to the rain as the cold air arrives here. And this air will be cold! I do not expect us to get out of the 40s on Monday and by Tuesday morning we could see temperature readings in the teens. The record low for Birmingham for Tuesday morning is 20, so a new record low is possible.

The severe weather threat should be confined to the immediate coastal area of the Central Gulf coast today and across North Florida and southern Georgia on Monday. A band of snow with the surface low will affect the Central US in a line from about Amarillo, TX, to Erie, PA, with snow amounts ranging from 1 to 4 inches in that fairly narrow band where winter weather advisories are in effect.

With a deep trough in place Monday and Tuesday, cold air will settle into Central Alabama with readings Monday only in the 40s. By Tuesday morning, we could see record low temperatures in Central Alabama with values in the teens. Wednesday morning could by nearly as cold as the surface high settles into the Southeast US.

Temperatures should moderate some by the end of the week with highs by Thursday and Friday into the 50s. But the fast moving flow is forecast to bring another short wave across the southern tier of the US which could bring rain back into the picture as early as Friday. Timing of this system has changed from the model runs yesterday, so confidence in the onset of our next wet event is not very high at the moment. But with another strong upper trough forecast to affect us by Sunday, we could see another cold rain event.

Just as we saw yesterday, the GFS continues to present a cold week 2. Another very deep trough around November 25th could spell another winter weather event for the middle Mississippi River Valley and the Tennessee and Ohio River valleys, but we’re dealing with voodoo country, so there is no skill in trying to forecast a specific event – just something to keep an eye on.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann should be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. I’m looking forward to my role as honorary ringmaster at the Shriner Circus going on at the Pelham Civic Center today. Stay dry and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Sunny & Chilly Saturday

Sat, 11/15/2014 - 16:24

After starting the day in the 20s area wide, we are seeing 50s for most locations this afternoon. These temps are a bit warmer compared to the last few days, but still well below average for this time of year.

Heading into the overnight hours, watch for clouds to be increasing from the west as moisture returns to the area. With cloud cover increasing overnight, and a bit more of a southerly winds, it does appears we will stay above freezing tonight. Most locations should see lows in the mid to upper 30s.

Tomorrow morning we should start the day in the mid-30s for most locations and by the afternoon highs should be in the lower to mid-50s. It will be cloudy tomorrow morning, and by the afternoon, the clouds should begin to yield rain showers across the area. By tomorrow night, the rain should set in and we should see a soaking rain overnight and into Monday.

Categories: Weather

Warmer, Wetter Weather Ahead

Sat, 11/15/2014 - 08:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

It’s a downright chilly start to the day with temperature readings across Central Alabama well down into the 20s. Birmingham set a new record low temperature yesterday morning with the 23 degrees breaking the old record of 24 set in 1986. With plenty of sunshine today, we should see temperatures climb nicely into the lower 50s for afternoon highs.

FOOTBALL FORECAST: The biggest college game in the country is in Tuscaloosa today as Mississippi State takes on Alabama. Temperatures at kickoff, 2:30 pm, will be around 52 degrees with a sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half. Auburn plays in Athens, GA, where they take on the Georgia Bulldogs this evening with a 6:15 pm kickoff. Bundle up if you are going to this game. The weather will be dry but the temperature will be around 42 degrees at kickoff with temperatures dropping slowly through the 30s during the game.

The nearly zonal flow aloft will take on a much sharper look as another deep trough digs into the eastern US. A surface low will move out of the Northwest Gulf of Mexico Sunday and move quickly up to the Mid-Atlantic states by midday Monday. This will spread clouds and a cold rain across Central Alabama Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. With the quickly traveling low center, the rain should come to an end across our area by the middle of the day Monday. Rainfall amounts are likely to be around 1 inch for most locations and we can sure use the rain since we’ve been relatively dry.

The upper level flow remains dominated by a trough over the astern half of the country while a surface high will be the prevailing feature at the surface. This should give us several days of dry weather from Tuesday through Friday.

By the very end of the week another strong short wave is forecast to come at us from the Four Corners area of the Southwest US. This should bring us another round of wet weather for next weekend. But this is on the edge of voodoo country so the timing for this event may need to be adjusted as we watch the development of this next system.

An speaking of voodoo country. The GFS continues to show a chilly November as the upper air pattern remains with a substantial trough over the eastern half of the country. The message here is that we probably won’t be seeing any really warm weather for awhile.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I had a great time Thursday evening speaking to the Navajo Hills Garden Club. I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Stay up with the latest weather by checking back here often. Have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

More Cold Air Early Next Week

Fri, 11/14/2014 - 16:42

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD NOVEMBER DAY: Temperatures are struggling to reach the 40 degree mark across North/Central Alabama this afternoon despite a good supply of sunshine, and once the sun goes down around 4:45, you know temperatures will drop quickly. I think we are now looking at freezing temperatures for most of the high school football playoff games around our state tonight, and we project a low back in the low to mid 20s by daybreak tomorrow.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: We project a high tomorrow afternoon not too far from 50 degrees with sunshine through scattered clouds. Then, the clouds thicken tomorrow night, and we will deal with rain before the weekend is over.

The rain should begin Sunday afternoon over North/Central Alabama, then becoming widespread Sunday night as a surface low passes through South Alabama. Looks like a good rain event, with totals in the 1/2 to 1 inch range for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden. Parts of South Alabama will see over one inch.

MONDAY: Rain will end from west to east during the day, and the next shot of very cold air will begin to blow in here with temperatures falling into the 30s by mid to late afternoon. Can’t totally rule out a snow flake or two in the cold air, but it won’t be anything significant. If you are looking for a good snow cover, look north of I-40 in far North Tennessee and Kentucky.

FRIGID TUESDAY: We will drop to near 20 degrees early Tuesday morning, with potential for single digit wind chill values. A decent part of North Alabama will stay below freezing all day Tuesday despite the return of sunshine. Then, as the wind goes calm Tuesday night, that should set the stage for the coldest morning early Wednesday with upper teens very possible.

A slow warming trend then begins Wednesday afternoon that will last through the following weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tonight, we project a kickoff temperature around 34 degrees, then falling into the 20s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in tomorrow Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs tomorrow evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Southeastern Elementary School in Blount County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Brighter Today, But Still Cold

Fri, 11/14/2014 - 07:33

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLDEST SO FAR: Here are some temperatures across the great state of Alabama at daybreak…

Haleyville 20
Decatur 20
Valley Head 21
Cullman 21
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 21
Birmingham 23 (wind chill index of 15)
Center Point 23
Montevallo 24
Bessemer 24
Huffman 25
Concord 25
Gardendale 25
Anniston 26
Sycamore 26
Tuscaloosa 27

The good news is that the sky will be mostly sunny today, but temperatures remain far below average; the GFS and the NAM are printing a high of only 41 degrees for Birmingham today.

Expect another very cold night tonight; most places will be in the mid 20s early tomorrow.

OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be another cold, dry day with a partly to mostly sunny sky; the high will be at or just over 50 degrees, still about 15 degrees below average for mid-November. Clouds return Sunday, and rain should begin Sunday afternoon… that rain becomes widespread Sunday night thanks to a surface low that should move over far South Alabama. The southern half of the state can expect 1 to 2 inches of rain, and up our way, the north-central Alabama counties should see at last 1/2 to 1 inch. It will be our most signifiant rain since October 13, when Birmingham measured 1.91″.

MONDAY/TUESDAY: The rain will end from west to east during the day Monday, and right after that we deal with another surge of very cold air. Not out of the question for a flake or two of snow to fall over North Alabama as it all ends and the colder air arrives, but for now there is no evidence that it will be anything signifiant. Temperatures should begin to fall Monday afternoon with a gusty north wind, and by Tuesday morning we will be close to 20 degrees, with a wind chill index down in the single digits.

It will be a struggle to get above freezing Tuesday despite the return of sunshine, and the wind chill index will remain below freezing most of the day with a north wind of 10-20 mph. Then, Tuesday night, the wind will die down, and with a clear sky we expect our coldest temperatures yet by early Wednesday morning. The GFS is printing a low of 17 degrees now for Birmingham at daybreak Wednesday.

LATER NEXT WEEK: The upper air pattern thankfully deamplifies, and we begin to warm up. Temperatures reach the 40s Wednesday afternoon, 50s Thursday, and we will be close to 60 Friday afternoon. Some hints we might have some rain late in the week, or the following weekend (November 22-23)… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tonight, we project a kickoff temperature around 38 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in tomorrow Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs tomorrow evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a weather program today at Southeastern Elementary School in Blount County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Coldest Night So Far This Season

Thu, 11/13/2014 - 16:14

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

TOO COLD FOR NOVEMBER: A number of North Alabama communities have failed to reach 40 degrees this afternoon; temperatures there are about 30 degrees below average for the middle of November in Alabama (we should be in the mid 60s). Some rain has been falling over far South Alabama, and a few scattered pockets of sleet have have been reported over the northern counties, and the sky has been generally cloudy.

The sky will clear from the west tonight, and we are still projecting a low between 22 and 25 degrees early tomorrow morning across North/Central Alabama.

TOMORROW/SATURDAY: The weather stays dry and cold. Expect a good supply of sunshine both days; the high tomorrow will be only in the mid 40s. Then, on Saturday, we begin the day down in the mid 20s again, but the high will be closer to 50 degrees by afternoon. Clouds begin to return late Saturday night.

RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY/MONDAY: Rain will begin at some point during the day Sunday; model consistency in the timing has not been very good; rain could begin during the morning Sunday over West Alabama, but the most widespread rain will come by mid to late afternoon into Sunday night. A surface low will form over South Alabama, and should bring rain totals of at least 1/2 to 1 inch for the north-central part of the state, with potential for over one inch of rain over the southern counties.

Sunday’s temperatures will depend on when the rain starts; if it begins early in the day, we won’t get out of the 40s. If the rain holds off until afternoon, we could creep up into the low to mid 50s.

MONDAY: The rain will end from west to east during the day Monday as another surge of colder air begins to arrive. The high resolution GFS model still hints at some chance of a few snow flakes over North Alabama as the system winds down…

Even if this happens we don’t expect any significant impact, but of course we will keep a close eye on model trends over the next few days. Temperatures could very well fall into the 30s Monday afternoon after the rain moves out.

REST OF NEXT WEEK: Very cold air arrives Monday night, and we don’t expect to get out of the 30s Tuesday with an icy north breeze. The coldest morning should come early Wednesday, with average lows between 18 and 23 degrees. Then, a slow day to day warming trend begins Wednesday afternoon. And, we should mention that the GFS shows another rain event at the end of the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tomorrow night, we project a kickoff temperature around 38 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in Tuscaloosa Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Twenty Degrees Below Average

Thu, 11/13/2014 - 07:28

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CLOUDS HANGING TOUGH: Like yesterday, I don’t expect that we will see much sunshine today across Alabama as cold air continues to move into the state. Temperatures are in the 30-35 degree range at daybreak, and we will struggle to reach the low to mid 40s this afternoon with an icy north breeze.

To the south, rain will fall over far South Alabama at times today, with the best chance south of U.S. 84. And, it is interesting to note that snow flakes have been falling early this morning around Memphis and Little Rock; the Memphis NWS office reports 0.1″ of snow there, the earliest measurable snow on record for them.

The wave producing the light snow over the Mid-South could bring a few sprinkles or flurries to far North Alabama this morning, but temperatures will be above freezing and it won’t be anything significant.

TONIGHT/TOMORROW: The sky becomes clear tonight, and this will allow temperatures will fall into the mid 20s by daybreak tomorrow. Last time we saw mid 20s was back on March 26, when Birmingham’s low was 25 degrees. The NWS offices in Birmingham and Mobile have issued freeze warnings for their county warning areas; freezing temperatures are likely down to the Gulf Coast. NWS Huntsville won’t be issuing any more freeze warnings since they have already had a significant freeze.

Tomorrow will be a brighter day with a good supply of sunshine, but the weather stays cold with a high only in the mid 40s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Expect another low down in the mid 20s early Saturday; the day will be mostly sunny with a high at or just over 50 degrees. Clouds thicken late Saturday night ahead of a wave that will bring rain to the state as the weekend wraps up.

Rain will move into North Alabama at some point Sunday afternoon, becoming widespread Sunday night. With a later start time of the rain, that means a good chance the high will be in the 50s Sunday afternoon (earlier we forecast temperatures in the 40s all day when it looked like the rain could start earlier in the day). This will be a good rain event, with amounts of 1/2 to 1 inch for North/Central Alabama. South Alabama could see over one inch in spots.

MONDAY: The rain ends during the day Monday as a surface low moves away to the northeast. Some outside risk of a few snow flakes on the back side of the precipitation mass over far North Alabama, but model trends suggest this won’t amount to anything, and I have removed the mention from our formal forecast for now.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tomorrow night, we project a kickoff temperature around 40 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in Tuscaloosa Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

MORE COLD AIR NEXT WEEK: The air coming in here Tuesday (November 18) looks very cold; new data hints that the far northern part of Alabama could stay below freezing all day; with a high only in the mid to upper 30s for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden…

Coldest morning will come early Wednesday with low 20s likely, with teens for the colder places. Then, a slow warming trend begins Wednesday afternoon. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Coldest Air So Far This Season

Wed, 11/12/2014 - 16:40

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILL IN THE AIR: The average high for Birmingham on November 12 is 66 degrees… today we have some North Alabama communities barely out of the 40s as cold Arctic air feeds into Alabama. The sky is generally cloudy, although there have been a few peeks of sunshine this afternoon.

Clouds will stick around tonight, we expect to be at or just over 30 degrees by daybreak tomorrow.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Cold weather is the story… tomorrow clouds will continue to cover the southern half of the state, and there might even be a little light rain over far South Alabama with a wave moving along the Gulf Coast. Over North Alabama, the sun could break through the clouds at times, but we won’t get past the mid 40s. Then, on Friday, expect sunshine in full supply. The low Friday morning will drop into the 22-26 degree range, and the high Friday afternoon will be only in the mid 40s again despite the sunny sky.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday’s weather will be cold and dry, with a good supply of sunshine through scattered clouds and a high in the low 50s after starting the day down in the mid 20s. Clouds thicken Saturday night ahead of a storm system that will bring a cold rain to Alabama Sunday and Sunday night. The latest GFS run is a little slower, suggesting the most widespread rain will come from about 10:00 a.m. Sunday through 10:00 a.m. Monday, thanks to a surface low pressure center moving through South Alabama.

The southern half of the state should receive over one inch of rain with this feature; we now project 1/2 to 1 inch of rain for the north/central part of the state (places like Birmingham, Anniston, Gadsden, and Tuscaloosa). It will be our biggest rain event since October 13.

SNOW FLAKES MONDAY MORNING? As the surface low moves northeast, and another surge of colder air drops into the state, there remains the possibility of little snow over the northern third of the state (generally north of U.S. 278, or north of a line from Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden) Monday morning. But, the heavier snow totals should be well to the north, and for now the chance of really significant accumulation looks small.

Of course, this is still five days away, and things could change. We will watch model trends closely.

More cold air moves into the state early next week with highs in the 40s, and lows well down in the 20s early Tuesday and Wednesday morning. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games Friday night, we project a kickoff temperature around 40 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in Tuscaloosa Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the upper 20s, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 52 degrees with a partly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky becomes mostly cloudy, but the weather will be dry.

LONG RANGE: The AO and the NAO go into positive territory later in the month, meaning the last week of the month should, generally speaking, feature warmer temperatures.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time today visiting with the kindergarten students at Walnut Park Elementary in Gadsden… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Cold Air Beginning To Arrive In Alabama

Wed, 11/12/2014 - 07:25

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SO LONG MILD WEATHER: The long advertised Arctic cold front moved through North Alabama last night, and temperatures today will be about 20 degrees colder than those of yesterday. Communities north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 40s, and for the I-20 corridor we project a high only in the low 50s. The sky will be generally cloudy with only a limited amount of sunshine.

The weather tomorrow and Friday will be even colder; highs drop into the 40s, and by early Friday morning we project temperatures in the mid 20s. The last time the high was under 50 degrees in Birmingham was back on March 6, when the high was 49. These two days will be dry; expect a mix of sun and clouds Thursday, and sunshine in full supply Friday.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The weather Saturday will be cold and dry… with a partly sunny sky we project a high in the low 50s after a frigid start with mid 20s around daybreak. Then, Sunday will be cold and wet with rain much of the day along with temperatures only in the 40s.

As the rain begins early Sunday morning, I would not be surprised to hear of some sleet reports over North Alabama… this happens when precipitation begins falling through drier layers of the atmosphere, and evaporative cooling takes place. That won’t create any problems if it happens… just plan on a cold, wet day Sunday. Rain amounts around 1/2 inch look likely, with potential for one inch over the southern half of the state as a surface low forms near Mobile Bay.

NORTH ALABAMA SNOW FLAKES MONDAY? As the surface low moves northeast, and colder air is pulled back into the state, there is a window with some potential for a brief changeover to light snow over parts of North Alabama Monday morning. The new high resolution GFS model (still in beta, running parallel to the current operational GFS) hints at this…

But, the European model takes the surface low on a more northerly track and keeps the wintry precipitation over Tennessee. Needless to say, at this stage of the game, there is great uncertainty, but we will just throw out the idea for now and keep an eye on model trends in coming days. One way or another I would say it probably won’t be a high impact event. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games Friday night, we project a kickoff temperature around 40 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in Tuscaloosa Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the upper 20s, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 52 degrees with a partly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect a party cloudy sky with a temperature near 46 degrees at kickoff, then dropping slowly through the 40s during the game.

LONG RANGE: The Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are trending toward positive territory late in the month, which would suggest a trend toward warmer temperatures as we approach Thanksgiving, not we don’t see anything to suggest any really mild weather for the next 15 days.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I have a weather program today at Walnut Park Elementary School in Gadsden… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Big Change To Cold Weather Ahead

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 16:31

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

LAST MILD DAY FOR A WHILE: Temperatures are up in the low 70s across the great state of Alabama this afternoon; Tuscaloosa is up to 75 at 3:00. But, the long discussed Arctic front is very close. Memphis is down to 49 degrees at mid-afternoon, and the leading edge of that cold air will be entering Northwest Alabama soon.

TONIGHT: A little scattered light rain is likely along the front tonight, but amounts should be generally under 0.05″, and many places won’t get enough to measure.

BIG TIME COLD FOR NOVEMBER: We will struggle to reach the low 50s tomorrow; the sky will be cloudy the morning, but a few intervals of afternoon sunshine are possible.

Then, for Thursday and Friday, we project highs only in the 40s, with lows down in the 20s. The air will be dry, and the sky will be partly to mostly sunny both days.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday morning will be another very cold one with lows down in the mid 20s. During the day, we project a high in the low 50s with a mix of sun and clouds. Clouds increase Saturday night, and Sunday still looks like cold and wet day with periods of rain and a high only in the mid 40s. Average rain amounts of 1/2 inch are likely, but some places south of Birmingham could see up to one inch.

As the rain begins early Sunday, there is a chance we see a little sleet in the mix, but that shouldn’t last long as the day should feature mostly rain.

WINTER WEATHER MISCHIEF SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING? The GFS continues to advertise a surface low south of Mobile Bay Sunday, then moving to a point off the mid-Atlantic coast Monday. This will pull another surge of cold, Arctic air into Alabama, and there is some chance the rain could change to light snow before ending over about the northern third of Alabama.

The better chance of seeing any signifiant accumulation for now is up around the Tennessee border, and even there amounts probably won’t be that high. But, understand this is five days out, and things will change as we get closer.

No need to buy mild and bread, or YooHoos and Twinkies. No need to stock up for a blizzard, and no need to run down the street screaming “it is going to snow”. This is just to let you know of the potential, and we will be able to be much more specific later this week.

NEXT WEEK: After the precipitation ends Monday morning, more cold air arrives. Parts of North Alabama might have a hard time getting out of the 30s Tuesday; most places around here will see highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s early in the week before a slow warming trend begins.

Take some time to see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games Friday night, we project a kickoff temperature around 40 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in Tuscaloosa Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the upper 20s, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 52 degrees with a partly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect a party cloudy sky with a temperature near 46 degrees at kickoff, then dropping slowly through the 40s during the game.

LOOK BACK AT SNOWJAM 2014: The January 28th Winter Storm earlier this year will be legendary for decades across Central Alabama. Keith Stellman, the Meteorologist in Charge at the National Weather Service Atlanta will talk about the event’s impact and meteorology at the Central Alabama National Weather Association Meeting this coming Monday, November 17th. The meeting starts at 7 p.m. in room F at the Medical Forum Building in the BJCC Downtown. The meeting is free to NWA Chapter members, visitors are $10 For more information, see Bill’s blog post below.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Atlanta Snowjam Will Be Topic At NWA Chapter Meeting Monday Night 11/17

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 14:08


-Credit Mark Bradley AJC http://markbradley.blog.ajc.com/2014/01/29/snowjam-2014-atlanta-at-its-absolute-worst/

Sorry for the late notice, but finding a venue for our last full chapter meeting was difficult this time. However, we have an outstanding speaker lined up for the meeting this coming Monday, November 17th at 7 p.m. at the Medical Forum Building at the Civic Center downtown.

Keith Stellman is the Meteorologist in Charge at the National Weather Service in Atlanta. He is responsible for forecasts and warnings for 96 counties in the northern part of Georgia. He will be speaking on a subject that is near and dear to our hearts: the January 28th winter storm in the Southeast U.S.

Like Birmingham, Atlanta has rarely been exposed to the unique and devastating combination of dramatically below freezing temperatures at onset of frozen precipitation on a weekday. Like here, a humanitarian crisis ensued with tens of thousands of commuters stranded on area highways.

Keith will focus on the meteorological factors that made this event so significant, the forecasts and warnings and lessons learned from them as well as the human and government response.

The meeting will be held in Meeting Room F in the Forum Building at 950 22nd Street North. This is the building to the east of the Sheraton and has an entrance at ground level on 22nd Street. You can also access it from the 3rd level of the parking deck.

You can park in the 22nd street deck and we will have parking validation. Or you can park on the street around the complex.

Doors will open at 6:30 p.m. and the meeting and presentation will start at 7 p.m.

The meeting is free to members of the Central Alabama Chapter of the National Weather Association. Visitors may attend for $10. You can join the chapter at:

http://groupspaces.com/CentralAlabamaNWAChapter/

The Chapter Holiday Party will be announced at the meeting.

This meting is being sponsored by the Westin and BJCC. Thanks to them for their support.

-Bill Murray

Categories: Weather

Our Last Mild Afternoon For A While

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 07:22

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ONE MORE: We project a high close to 70 degrees this afternoon, a little above our average high of 66 for November 11. This, most likely, will be our warmest day for the rest of the month, so be sure and enjoy it. The sky will be partly sunny, although clouds will thicken late this afternoon.

ARCTIC FRONT ARRIVES LATE TONIGHT: The long advertised Arctic cold front will bring the risk of a touch of light rain to Alabama tonight, but many places won’t get enough rain to measure due to very limited moisture. If you are lucky you might see 0.05″.

Then, the big chill begins to arrive tomorrow. Communities north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 40s… for places like Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden, and Birmingham low 50s are possible, with mid 50s down at Montgomery. The sky will be mostly cloudy tomorrow with only a limited amount of sunshine.

TOO COLD FOR NOVEMBER: For Thursday and Friday, our weather will be dry but very cold for the middle of November. Highs in the 40s, lows in the 20s. The GFS is now printing a low of 24 degrees for Birmingham early Friday morning… meaning of course we could see a few colder pockets hitting the 18-22 degree zone over North Alabama. The record low for Birmingham for November 24 is 13 degrees set in 1970; that is not in danger.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday morning will feature another low in the 20s, and the high will be close to 50 degrees with a mix of sun and clouds. Clouds thicken Saturday night, and Sunday looks cold and wet with periods of rain as a surface low forms on the Gulf Coast. We won’t get out of the 40s Sunday, and rain amounts should be close to 1/2 inch. Some South Alabama communities could see close to one inch of rain Sunday.

SUNDAY NIGHT WINTER WEATHER MISCHIEF? North of Alabama, our friends in parts of Tennessee could be dealing with snow Sunday in the colder air, and as the surface low lifts northeast, I do believe there is a chance the rain could taper off as light snow over the northern third of Alabama. This is the projected snow depth from the GFS model valid Monday morning at 6:00 a.m…

The European model does not show any snow for North Alabama, and I don’t think we need to mention anything for now in our public forecast since there is very little skill in resolving something like this five days in advance. If we do see some snow north of Birmingham Sunday night, it should be fairly light.

One thing to point out is that global models really won’t have the ability to handle this well with such an anomalous cold air mass. We will watch model trends closely in coming days… just something to keep an eye on for now. Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for all the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games Friday night, we project a kickoff temperature around 40 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in Tuscaloosa Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the upper 20s, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 52 degrees with a partly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect a party cloudy sky with a temperature near 46 degrees at kickoff, then dropping slowly through the 40s during the game.

NEXT WEEK: Yet another surge of very cold air drops into Alabama early next week; highs will be in the 40s, and lows in the 20s Monday and Tuesday.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 459: Millions in the Bulls Eye

Tue, 11/11/2014 - 06:15

WeatherBrains Episode 459 is now online (November 10, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at NASA’s Global Precipitation Measurement Ground Validation Unit. He received his BS and MS in Electrical Engineering from The Warsaw University of Technology and PhD in Water Resources Engineering from The University of Iowa. Dr. Piotr Domaszczynski, welcome to WeatherBrains.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 88 at Blythe, CA, and Elsinore, CA, and 1 at Great Falls, MT
  • Arctic air flooding the Nation
  • Breaking News: Fropa in Norman, OK, during the show
  • Tropical Atlantic is quiet as is severe weather
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: A tweet I noted last week prompted me to take a look at the naming of moons by Native Americans. While it was the Name “Full Beaver Moon” that got my attention, it was interesting to find out that some of those names had their origins with weather events.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 459:

    GPM Global Precipitation Measurement

    TRMM Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission

    Sinking of the Edmund Fitzgerald

    Picks of the Week:

    Piotr Domaszczynski – Humbled by Forecast Decisions

    Bill Murray – Weather Watch S6E3

    Brian Peters – NHC’s National Map of Storm Surge Risk

    John Scala – Satellite animation of Super Typhoon Nuri

    Rick Smith – Great Blue Norther of November 11, 1911

    James Spann – Sinking of SS Edmund Fitzgerald

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Winter in Less than 4 hours

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    One More Mild Day; Then Much Colder

    Mon, 11/10/2014 - 16:10

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    FINE FALL DAY: As expected, temperatures have recovered very nicely from the frosty start earlier today; many places are reporting 70 degrees at mid-afternoon with a deep blue autumn sky. Tonight won’t be as cold; we stay well above freezing with lows in the 40s, and a good chance we see low 70s tomorrow. A good chance tomorrow will be our warmest day for the rest of November, so enjoy it.

    TOMORROW NIGHT/WEDNESDAY: A band of light rain will move into Alabama tomorrow night ahead of the long anticipated Arctic cold front. With very limited moisture, a number of communities won’t get enough rain to measure, and it will be over by 6:00 a.m. Wednesday. Then, during the day Wednesday, much colder air begins to move into our state. The temperature gradient will be pretty tight; north of Birmingham most places won’t get out of the 40s; Birmingham should see low 50s, with mid to upper 50s south of Birmingham. The sky will be generally cloudy Wednesday with a gusty north wind and only a limited amount of sunshine; a blustery day.

    VERY COLD THURSDAY AND FRIDAY: Highs drop into the 40s on these two days, with lows in the 20s. The coldest morning should come early Friday, with potential for mid 20s across much of North/Central Alabama. The air will be dry and we expect a good supply of sunshine both days.

    OUR WEEKEND: Saturday will be cold and dry, but we should creep up into the low 50s Saturday afternoon with a partly sunny sky. Then, a cold rain is likely statewide Sunday with temperatures holding in the 40s through the day over the northern half of the state.

    Just north of Alabama, snow is possible Sunday over Tennessee; way too early to determine placement and location of the heaviest snow. It will be a close call for those that live along the Alabama/Tennessee border, but for now it looks like just a cold rain for North Alabama. We will keep a very close eye on model trends in coming days.

    Rain amounts Sunday should average 1/2 inch, with potential for a little more in spots.

    FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games Friday night, we project a kickoff temperature around 40 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

    The biggest college game in the country will be in Tuscaloosa Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the upper 20s, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 52 degrees with a partly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

    Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect a party cloudy sky with a temperature near 46 degrees at kickoff, then dropping slowly through the 40s during the game.

    And, a big game for UAB Saturday as they host Marshall at Birmingham’s Legion Field (1:00p CT kickoff)… a partly sunny sky at kickoff with about 50 degrees, but temperatures will fall into the 40s by the fourth quarter as the sun goes down.

    NEXT WEEK: Yet another surge of cold air arrives after the rain; highs drop into the 40s again Monday and Tuesday, with potential for lows in the 20s. It is a very cold pattern for November for the eastern two-thirds of the U.S.

    Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details….

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:00 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    I had a great time today visiting with the 6th graders at East Elementary in Cullman… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here early tomorrow by 7:00 a.m….

    Categories: Weather