ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 1 hour 13 min ago

Gorgeous Sunday

Sun, 11/30/2014 - 16:33

Today dawned cloudy across Central Alabama, but the clouds quickly thinned into a nice field of stratocumulus and then cleared completely. Temperatures have warmed nicely into the lower 70s across much of the area, indeed across the entire state. Clouds are massing to our northwest ahead of a cold front and those clouds will overspread the area tonight and additional low clouds will fill in like last night. Lows will be in the lower 50s over the west and upper 40s over eastern sections of Alabama.

WHEREFORE ART THOU GOING, COLD FRONT? A pretty strong cold front is approaching the Missouri Bootheel this afternoon. At 3 p.m., it was 70F at Harrison AR. Meanwhile, just across the front it was 36F at Chanute, KS, a distance of less than 90 miles! The front will reach Northwest Alabama around noon tomorrow and slow its forward progress, reaching the I-20 corridor by Tuesday morning. The front will stall there and wash out. There will be a chance of showers on Monday with a slight chance lingering into much of Tuesday as the front falls apart. Highs will be in the upper 70s and lowers will in the upper 40s.

Categories: Weather

Nice Late November Warm-up

Sun, 11/30/2014 - 07:56

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

We saw a nice warm-up yesterday and overnight thanks in part to both an increasing southwesterly flow aloft and the increase in moisture with the cloud cover. Morning temperatures were in the 50s this morning, a far cry from the 20s and 30s yesterday morning. There was some fog out there, but the fog remained patchy with no fog advisory needed. As we close out November, what was a fairly chilly month as average monthly highs and lows were a good 4 degree below climatological value will end on a somewhat warm note with highs today in the upper 60s, about 5 to 7 degrees above the daily 30-year average for the 30th of November.

The weather pattern for the next week will be characterized by a somewhat zonal flow aloft with embedded short wave impulses that will lead to a frontal boundary coming into the Tennessee River Valley. With the main storm track well to our north, the front will lose its southward push and wash out in the vicinity of North Alabama and Tennessee, but there will be fairly sharp temperature contrast across the front to our north. Rain chances on Monday and early Tuesday will be small.

The weather remains warmer than our typical values by about 5 to 7 degrees as we head into December thanks to the nearly zonal flow aloft that will have a slight southwesterly component. This will keep the presence of clouds in our sky.

Another approaching front by the end of the week will introduce rain chances back into the forecast for the first weekend of December. Right now the chances for rain appear to be small, but there are fairly substantial model differences so the confidence out to next weekend is not good.

The pattern becomes more active and has a colder look as we head out into voodoo country. By the time we get to December 14th, the GFS is showing a old core upper low affecting the Southeast US. If this comes to pass, it could mean some winter weather for some locations in the Southeast US, but this is way out in voodoo land, so it is much too early to make a serious forecast for that time period yet.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

Quite a shoot out for the Iron Bowl last night! Happy to see that the Florida State Seminoles were able to beat their arch rivals on this rivalry Saturday. James Spann will be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. Enjoy the late November warmth and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Mix of Sun & Clouds

Sat, 11/29/2014 - 16:09

We continue to see a mix of sun and clouds, but temperatures have slowly warmed today. There is quite the range in temps across the state with lower 50s in Northeast Alabama, and lower 70s down in the Wiregrass Region. In Central Alabama we are seeing upper 50s and lower 60s.

The clouds present will be acting like a blanket tonight and should keep temps in the upper 40s and lowers 50s tonight. Overall, temps will be about ten degrees warmer tonight.

For Sunday, expect a mix of sun and clouds, highs will be in the upper 60s, and look for some 70s to show up on the maps in Central Alabama. It will be a very nice last day of November for the entire state of Alabama.

Categories: Weather

Let the Warmup Begin

Sat, 11/29/2014 - 07:54

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

A bit of chill in the air this morning as temperatures across Central Alabama were in the 30s. Some spots dipped into the 20s with the Skywatcher at Black Creek reporting a heavy frost with a low of 23. Quite a range of temperatures this morning with readings running all the way from that 23 to 42 at the Birmingham airport. Moisture was evident in clouds across the western sections of Alabama. Those clouds will mix out later this morning with a mostly sunny day for us as highs climb into the 60s.

For football fans, terrific weather today if you are heading to Tuscaloosa for the Iron Bowl. Tailgating will have no weather woes with a sunny sky and temperatures in the 60s. By the time the games kicks off, 6:45 pm, a partly cloudy sky will see the temperature around 58 slowly drop through the 50s by the fourth quarter.

In the upper atmosphere, we have a nearly zonal flow in place with the main storm track displaced well north for this time of year. This will keep us in generally good weather for the week ahead with temperatures warmer than we usually see for late November. Our 30-year average highs run about 61 with lows about 40. We should stay above those values for the week ahead.

A short wave trough moving through the nearly zonal flow will bring a cold front into the Tennessee Valley by Monday and Tuesday. Rain chances will be fairly small as the front loses its southward push and gradually washes out. With a ridge in place over the western Gulf, we will have to wait until late next weekend before we see our next shot at some rain as a strong system digs into the Southwest US. This verges on voodoo country, so timing may have to be adjusted on precisely when this system takes shape.

Looking out into Week 2, looks like a wet system and some colder weather around the 11th of December. That should be followed by a fairly quick warm up.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Enjoy the fine November weather. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Weekend Warm-Up Ahead

Fri, 11/28/2014 - 07:35

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD START: Here are some temperatures at daybreak across the great state of Alabama…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 21
Sycamore 23
Fort Payne 23
Russellville 23
Cullman 24
Coker 26
Gadsden (Noccalula Falls) 26
Anniston 27
Birmingham 28
Lake View (Tuscaloosa County) 28
Tuscaloosa 28

Temperatures will remain below average today; most places will see a high between 47 and 52 degrees… the average high (for Birmingham) for November 28 is 60.

THE WEEKEND: We warm into the low 60s tomorrow with a good supply of sunshine. Dew points and moisture levels begin to rise Sunday, so there should be a slow increase in cloud cover. And, we might consider mentioning the risk of a shower during the day, but for now we have left the forecast dry. Sunday’s high be in the upper 60s as the warming trend continues.

IRON BOWL: Very nice weather for the state of Alabama’s biggest game tomorrow night in Tuscaloosa (6:45p CT kickoff)… most fair with upper 50s at kickoff, and low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: A well defined cold front will be just north of Alabama Monday, and showers could drift down into the Tennessee Valley. But, down our way the chance of rain continues to be pretty small, and the weather stays mild with a high in the 60s. The front washes out to the north, and we are looking at dry and pleasant weather Tuesday through Thursday with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. A weak surface front will bring a chance of showers at the end of the week on Friday (December 5), but it sure doesn’t look like a big rain event for now. And, we see no sign of any severe weather issues for the next 10-15 days. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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We are on a holiday schedule… so my next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here bright and early Monday morning by 7:00. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday… enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Warmer Days Ahead

Thu, 11/27/2014 - 16:48

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHILLY THANKSGIVING AFTERNOON: Birmingham’s average high for November 27 is 61… we aren’t even close to that level today. In fact, some North Alabama communities aren’t out of the 30s at mid-afternoon… Haleyville and Fort Payne are reporting 39 degrees at 2p CT. We are seeing mostly mid 40s elsewhere; clouds have been hanging tough over the northern half the state, while South Alabama has enjoyed a sunny sky.

A freeze is likely tonight; we project a low somewhere between 25 and 30 degrees early tomorrow… some of the coldest valleys could see low 20s. Tomorrow will be another cool day; expect a good supply of sunshine with a high in the low 50s.

WARMER WEEKEND: Expect a weekend warm-up… we reach the low 60s Saturday, and upper 60s are likely Sunday. No rain Saturday, and while a front will be north of Alabama Sunday, the air looks too dry for any significant chance of rain at this point.

IRON BOWL: Doesn’t get much better. For the 6:45p CT kickoff in Tuscaloosa Saturday, we project a fair sky with temperatures in the upper 50s, falling slowly into the low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Mild weather continues through the week with highs generally in the 60s. A stalled front north of Alabama should mean the best chance of showers will be over Arkansas and Tennessee… just a small risk of a shower over far North Alabama early in the week. The GFS has taken the idea of a late week rain event off the table; it shows just a weak front moving through on Saturday December 6 with a few showers. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here tomorrow morning…

Categories: Weather

Sunny But Cold Thanksgiving Day

Thu, 11/27/2014 - 07:23

**I will produce a Weather Xtreme video later today; we are on a holiday schedule so just one video per day through the weekend**

HAPPY THANKSGIVING: We begin the day with temperatures mostly in the 30s, and despite a sunny sky today we don’t expect to get out of the 40s with a chilly north breeze. A freeze is likely tonight; the low early tomorrow will be in the 25 to 29 degree range for most North/Central Alabama communities.

Tomorrow will be cool and dry with ample sunshine and a high in the low 50s; keep in mind we should be in the low 60s in late November based on long term averages.

WARMER WEEKEND: A nice warm-up begins this weekend; we project a high in the low 60s Saturday, and then mid to upper 60s Sunday. A few scattered clouds show up Sunday, but the weather stays dry.

IRON BOWL: Doesn’t get much better. For the 6:45p CT kickoff in Tuscaloosa Saturday, we project a fair sky with temperatures in the upper 50s, falling slowly into the low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: Mild weather continues; the high will be in the 65-70 degree range for the first half of the week with a mix of sun and clouds each day. We might consider a small risk of a shower Monday for areas north of Birmingham, but most communities stay dry. Earlier global model runs suggested a rain event at the end of the week, but the GFS has trended drier with an upper ridge holding in place across the Deep South.

No sign of any harshly cold air around here for the next 15 days.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will post a new discussion, and today’s Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. I hope you and your family enjoy a blessed Thanksgiving Day…

Categories: Weather

Cold, Dry Weather For Thanksgiving

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 16:18

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; we are on a holiday schedule through Sunday, so just one video per day**

RADAR CHECK: We note a few echoes on radar this afternoon over Northwest Alabama, but that isn’t reaching the ground because the air is so dry. This clipper type feature has the potential to bring a sprinkle or two to the northern third of the state tonight, but most Alabama communities stay dry. Temperatures this afternoon are mostly in the 50s.

NORTHEAST U.S. STORM: The snow/rain event across the Northeast U.S. will wind down late tonight… At mid-afternoon FlightAware reports more than 3,000 flights delayed and more than 600 canceled.

THANKSGIVING DAY: Colder air blows in here late tonight, and we are still foresting a sunny but cold Thanksgiving Day, with a high only in the 45-49 degree range; that is about fifteen degrees below average for late November. Then, tomorrow night, a freeze is likely with temperatures dropping into the mid to upper 20s at daybreak Friday.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The weather stays dry. Friday will be cool with a sunny sky and a high in the low 50s, but we expect low 60s Saturday, and mid to upper 60s Sunday as a nice warming trend begins.

IRON BOWL: Doesn’t get much better. For the 6:45p CT kickoff in Tuscaloosa Saturday, we project a fair sky with temperatures in the upper 50s, falling slowly into the low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The weather stays mild with afternoon temperatures well up in the 60s for the first half of the week; we might consider a slight risk of a shower Monday north of Birmingham. A decent rain event is shaping up toward the end of the week (around Friday December 5) with thunderstorms possible.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will post a new Weather Xtreme video tomorrow afternoon, and forecast notes earlier in the day. Happy Thanksgiving to your family!

Categories: Weather

Cool Thanksgiving Weather

Wed, 11/26/2014 - 07:50

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

QUIET WEATHER FOR ALABAMA: A strong upper trough brought rain to parts of East and Southeast Alabama last night, but all of that is well east of our state this morning, and we project a cool, dry day with a partly to mostly sunny sky along with a high in the mid to upper 50s.

EAST COAST MESS: The long awaited pre-Thanksgiving storm is unfolding as forecast this morning; snow is likely today west of I-95, with rain close to the coast. This means travel headaches including potential for significant airport delays at Washington, Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston.

THANKSGIVING DAY: Cold and dry weather for our state; we start the day in the 30s, an the high will be only in the mid to upper 40s, almost 15 degrees below average for November 27. Dry air means maximum available sunshine.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: Friday morning will be cold; we project a low between 27 and 32 degrees for most North/Central Alabama communities. Then, a warming trend begins Friday afternoon with a high in the low 50s. Then, we project low 60s for Saturday, and upper 60s Sunday as a nice warming trend continues. The weather should be generally dry on these three days; we might consider a small risk of a shower Sunday afternoon over North Alabama with a front to the north, but the air will be pretty dry and stable, and for now we will keep the forecast dry.

IRON BOWL: Doesn’t get much better. For the 6:45p CT kickoff in Tuscaloosa Saturday, we project a fair sky with temperatures in the upper 50s, falling slowly into the low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The weather looks dry and mild Monday through Wednesday with a high well up in the 60s. Rain returns at the end of the week; the 06Z GFS suggests the biggest threat of rain will come on Friday December 5. Some thunderstorms could be involved, but at the moment it doesn’t look like a big severe weather threat. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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We are now on a holiday schedule through Sunday, so just one Weather Xtreme video per day, but I will post fresh forecast notes by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day… and be safe if you are traveling!

Categories: Weather

A Little Light Rain Tonight

Tue, 11/25/2014 - 16:29

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Rain is falling across Southeast Alabama this afternoon, and clouds are beginning to thicken over the rest of the state. We will maintain the chance of a little light rain tonight, especially along and east of I-65. Main window for light rain for our part of the state will come from 6:00 p.m. until 3:00 a.m. tomorrow; all of the rain will be long gone by the time the run rises.

NORTHEAST U.S. SNOW TOMORROW: A signifiant storm system will bring lots of rain and snow to the Northeast U.S. tonight and tomorrow; the heavier snow will be west of I-95, with mostly rain close to the coast. Expect airport delays at Washington, Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston.

TOMORROW AND THANKSGIVING DAY: The weather will be dry and cool both days with a good supply of sunshine; Thursday’s high will be only in the upper 40s, followed by mid 50s Friday. These temperatures are well below the average of 61.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY: We stay dry with a warming trend. Partly sunny both days; low 60s Saturday, followed by mid to upper 60s Sunday. A very comfortable weekend.

IRON BOWL: Doesn’t get much better. For the 6:45p CT kickoff in Tuscaloosa Saturday, we project a fair sky with temperatures in the upper 50s, falling slowly into the low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The weather stays mild with highs well into the 60s Monday through Wednesday. The 12Z GFS continues to hint the next chance of rain for the state will come on Thursday December 4… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Some Light Rain Possible Tonight

Tue, 11/25/2014 - 07:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: Colder air is in place over Northwest Alabama this morning, where we are seeing low 30s; there are some clouds showing up from roughly I-20 south, and we note rain on radar just below Dothan from near Panama City, Florida to Tifton, Georgia. The daytime hours today should be rain-free, with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high in the upper 50s.

SOME RAIN TONIGHT: We still expect some light rain tonight as a strong upper trough rotates through; rain amounts should be generally under 1/4 inch. The main window for light rain will come from 6:00 this evening through 4:00 a.m. tomorrow. All of the rain will be in Georgia and points east by daybreak.

Tomorrow will be cool and dry; the sky partly to mostly sunny with a high in the mid to upper 50s.

TRAVELERS BEWARE: A significant rain/snow event is likely tomorrow, on the busiest travel day of the year, up through the Northeast U.S. The heaviest snow will come along and west of I-95, with more rain than snow for some of the bigger cities. One way or another, expect major airport delays at Washington, Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston. Patience is the key tomorrow for fliers.

THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND: Thursday will be sunny but cool with a high only in the 47-50 degree range; keep in mind the average high in Birmingham on November 27 is 61 degrees. We drop below freezing late Thursday night, and by early Friday morning we expect a low between 28 and 32.

We expect a slow warming trend Friday through Sunday; mid 50s Friday, low 60s Saturday, and mid to upper 60s Sunday. No rain on these three days; just a few scattered clouds over the weekend.

IRON BOWL: Doesn’t get much better. For the 6:45p CT kickoff in Tuscaloosa Saturday, we project a fair sky with temperatures in the upper 50s, falling slowly into the low 50s by the final whistle.

NEXT WEEK: The first half of the week looks dry and mild with temperatures well up in the 60s. The 00Z GFS suggests the next decent rain event for Alabama will be around Thursday December 4; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 461: I’m Thinking “Oh Crap”

Tue, 11/25/2014 - 06:15

WeatherBrains Episode 461 is now online (November 24, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Replacement Panelist is a writer and Ph.D. student at Virginia Tech in the Science and Technology Studies program. She’s currently at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, CO, where she’s studying how forecasters communicate certainty in short fused, high uncertainty events, like flash floods and tornadoes. She’s particularly interested in the challenges forecasters face in using ground truth reports by various groups in their decision making process, and in the history of citizen observation networks more generally. She is a WB Alum from show 416 last year. She is Jen Henderson.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 89 at Fort Pierce, FL, and -3 at Eagle Nest, NM
  • Thanksgiving storm for the Northeast from Virginia to Maine
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer brings us up-to-date on the latest mailings over the last couple of weeks.

    And while Nat is out tonight, he did have the forethought to send along a news clip!

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: It’s not a warm front and it’s not a cold front, but it does mix the two! So what is an occluded front? That is the question and the topic for the 101 segment for this week.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 461:

    Watch/Warning Map from SPC

    Picks of the Week:

    Jen Henderson – Disaster Collaboratory

    Bill Murray – SPC Sounding Climatology

    Brian Peters – National Snow Analysis

    John Scala – Governor Criticizes the NWS and then Governor’s Backstep

    Kevin Selle – picks Rick Smith as his pick of the week

    Rick Smith – AMS Conference Severe Local Storms

    James Spann – SPC Plume Forecast

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – Space Weather

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Colder Air Arrives Tonight

    Mon, 11/24/2014 - 16:54

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    COMFORTABLE AFTERNOON: Doesn’t get much better; lots of sunshine this afternoon with temperatures in the 70s east of a cold front, that is passing through in dry fashion. However, northwest Alabama is considerably cooler with upper 50s there behind the surface front.

    Tonight will be mostly fair and colder; most communities will see a low between 36 and 40 degrees early tomorrow. Tomorrow will be cool and dry with a mix of sun and clouds and a high in the mid to upper 50s.

    SOME LIGHT RAIN TOMORROW NIGHT: A strong upper trough will bring the risk of some light rain to our state tomorrow night, mainly between 8:00 p.m. tomorrow and 4:00 a.m. Wednesday. The best chance of significant rain will come over the eastern half of the state, and even there amounts will be generally under 1/4 inch. Higher rain totals statewide will come around Dothan, in the southeast corner of Alabama.

    Wednesday will be cool and dry with a high in the 55-60 degree range along with a good supply of sunshine.

    TRAVELERS BEWARE: A nor’easter will bring the threat of snow and rain to the East Coast Wednesday, the biggest travel day of the year. Expect airport delays Wednesday in Washington, Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston.

    THANKSGIVING DAY THROUGH SUNDAY: The weather looks very nice; expect sunshine in full supply Thursday and Friday with highs in the 50s. Coldest morning will come early Friday with upper 20s and low 30s. Saturday feature a partly sunny sky with a high in the low 60s, and on Sunday mid to upper 60s are likely with a mix of sun and clouds. We will mention a small risk of a shower over far North Alabama Sunday afternoon ahead of a cold front that will become stationary over Tennessee.

    IRON BOWL: A perfect night for football in Tuscaloosa Saturday (6:45p CT kickoff)… mostly fair with upper 50s at kickoff, and low 50s by the final whistle. No risk of rain.

    NEXT WEEK: December begins with very pleasant, dry weather with highs in the 60s. The 12Z GFS hints the next risk of rain will come around December 5-6. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s episode tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Becoming Windy; Colder Air Arrives Tonight

    Mon, 11/24/2014 - 07:29

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    AT DAYBREAK: It is a very pleasant morning with temperatures in the in the 60s; no rain is showing up on radar, and we don’t expect any today. It will be windy day with west winds averaging 12-22 mph, gusting at times over 25 mph. Dew points will drop steadily during the day as drier air works into the state; the sky should be partly sunny.

    MID-WEEK: Tomorrow will be dry and cooler with a mix of sun and clouds along with a high in the upper 50s. Then, tomorrow night, a strong upper trough will rotate over the state, and will bring clouds, and some risk of light rain. The best chance of rain will be south of I-59, and east of I-65 from about 7:00 p.m. tomorrow through 4:00 a.m. Wednesday. Rain amounts will be very light, and most people will sleep right through it.

    Then, the day Wednesday will be dry in Alabama with a decent amount of sunshine and a high in the 50s.

    TRAVELERS BEWARE: A nor’easter will bring wind, rain, and snow to the east coast region Wednesday, which many say is the biggest travel day of the year. The rain/snow line will be very close to Washington, Philadelphia, New York City, and Boston, and one way or another airport delays are likely. Potential for some big delays, in fact.

    THANKSGIVING DAY/BLACK FRIDAY/IRON BOWL SATURDAY: Looking very nice. For Thursday, we begin the day with temperatures down in the low to mid 30s, and the high will be in the low 50s. Sunshine in full supply. Pretty much the same story Friday; cool and dry with a high in the mid 50s.

    Then, we hit the low 60s Saturday afternoon with a partly sunny sky.

    IRON BOWL FORECAST: For the biggest football game in the state of Alabama, the weather looks perfect. Mostly fair when the game kicks off at 6:45 Saturday at Bryant-Denny Stadium in Tuscaloosa; the temperature will fall from near 57 at kickoff into the low 50s by the final whistle. No chance of rain.

    SUNDAY AND NEXT WEEK: A cold front will approach the Alabama/Tennessee border late in the weekend, and we will mention a chance of showers Sunday, mainly north of U.S. 278 (Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden). The upper air pattern won’t allow this front to move into the state, however, and it looks like we will enjoy highs in the 60s at least for the first half of next week.

    Model data from the GFS suggests the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) will remain positive for the next 10-15 days, which should prevent any seriously cold air from invading the Deep South. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s episode tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon….

    Categories: Weather

    Watch County Notification

    Sun, 11/23/2014 - 15:44

    This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

    WWUS64 KBMX 232043
    WCNBMX

    WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 558
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
    243 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

    ALC005-081-087-113-232145-
    /O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0558.000000T0000Z-141124T0100Z/

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 558 FOR
    THE FOLLOWING AREAS

    IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 4 COUNTIES

    IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA

    LEE MACON RUSSELL

    IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

    BARBOUR

    THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…AUBURN…EUFAULA…OPELIKA…
    PHENIX CITY AND TUSKEGEE.

    $$

    Categories: Weather

    Severe Weather Threat Winding Down

    Sun, 11/23/2014 - 15:38

    Click image to enlarge..

    The rain has ended at the Birmingham Airport and it appears that we will fall just short of one inch of rain today. 0.89 inches had fallen through 2:12 p.m Still, we are grateful for the beneficial rains and even more grateful that severe weather has not been widespread across the state.

    It does appear that a tornado may have touched down in eastern Barbour County. A Tornado Debris Signature was evident on radar as the storm prepared to move into Georgia. Trees were reported down at Lakepoint Resort near Eufaula.

    A tornado watch remains in effect for Southeast Alabama, but it will be cancelled for the Alabama counties shortly since the activity is now mostly into Georgia.

    To the north, just a steady rain as the line passes. Not even any lightning over Northeast Alabama, as the airmass is more stable thanks to the persistent easterly wedge that prevailed yesterday.

    As predicted, some clearing is evident on visible satellite imagery now over West Central Alabama. You will see some breaks in the clouds in the Birmingham Metro before sunset.

    Categories: Weather

    Tornado Warning Barbour County (Possible TDS at 2:10)

    Sun, 11/23/2014 - 15:00

    This storm likely produced a tornado as it crossed the Chattahoochee River into Georgia around 2:10. Check out the Tornado Debris Signature from the Fort Rucker Radar.

    It is evidenced by the low values (blues) on the correltaion coefficient panel (lower right panel on graphic).

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

    * TORNADO WARNING FOR…
    EAST CENTRAL BARBOUR COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…

    * UNTIL 215 PM CST

    * AT 157 PM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
    THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
    WAS LOCATED NEAR EUFAULA…AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

    * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
    LAKEPOINT RESORT STATE PARK AND TWIN SPRINGS.

    Categories: Weather

    Watch County Notification

    Sun, 11/23/2014 - 14:54

    This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

    WWUS64 KBMX 231953
    WCNBMX

    WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 558
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
    153 PM CST SUN NOV 23 2014

    ALC011-101-109-232100-
    /O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0558.000000T0000Z-141124T0100Z/

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 558 FOR
    THE FOLLOWING AREAS

    IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 3 COUNTIES

    IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

    MONTGOMERY

    IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

    BULLOCK PIKE

    THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…MONTGOMERY…
    TROY AND UNION SPRINGS.

    $$

    ALC005-081-087-113-240100-
    /O.CON.KBMX.TO.A.0558.000000T0000Z-141124T0100Z/

    TORNADO WATCH 558 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
    THE FOLLOWING AREAS

    IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES

    IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA

    LEE MACON RUSSELL

    IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

    BARBOUR

    THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…AUBURN…EUFAULA…OPELIKA…
    PHENIX CITY AND TUSKEGEE.

    $$

    Categories: Weather

    Tornado Warning Russell County

    Sun, 11/23/2014 - 14:48

    Radar indicated rotation approaching Seale in Russell County is the trigger for this tornado warning. It is moving in the direction of Phenix City.

    This for panel radar image shows (from top left) 1. an inflow notch on the reflectivity display, 2. rotation on the strom relative velocity, 3. nothing on the correlation coefficient panel (where we would look for signs of tornadic debris) which would be confirmed by low values on 4. the differential reflectivity (indicative of tumbling debris).

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

    * TORNADO WARNING FOR…
    CENTRAL RUSSELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…

    * UNTIL 215 PM CST

    * AT 146 PM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
    THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
    WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SEALE…OR 11 MILES EAST OF
    HURTSBORO…AND MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

    * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
    PHENIX CITY…SEALE…RUSSELL COUNTY SPORTS COMPLEX…LADONIA…
    PARKMANVILLE…PHENIX DRAG STRIP…CRAWFORD AND LADONIA SPORTS
    COMPLEX.

    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

    HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
    THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

    &&

    TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
    CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

    LAT…LON 3214 8523 3216 8530 3247 8522 3247 8506
    3249 8506 3249 8499 3245 8499
    TIME…MOT…LOC 1947Z 200DEG 40KT 3221 8523

    $$

    61

    Categories: Weather

    Rain/Storms Moving Northeastward

    Sun, 11/23/2014 - 14:19

    Well, as advertised rain and thunderstorms are pushing northeastward across much of Alabama on this Saturday afternoon.

    Rain is overspreading the Birmingham Metro at this hour. But the storms are not severe.

    So far there have been a couple of severe thunderstorm warnings in South Alabama and the NWS in Birmingham had to issue a tornado warning based on radar rotation for Barbour, Bullock and Pike Counties. No touchdown was reported and no tornado debris signature appeared on radar.

    There is a tornado watch over Southeast Alabama where the best combination of instability and wind shear is present producing a threat for tornadoes.

    Over Central Alabama, it is mainly just rain now with very little thunder. The support for the widespread rain (an upper level disturbance) is moving quickly northeast and is outrunning the instability that is lagging behind a bit. That’s good news, cause it means we may get out of this without any severe weather across Central Alabama.

    To the south, the risk continues for areas south of a line from Atmore to Thomaston to Phenix City.

    Categories: Weather