ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 1 min 28 sec ago

Dry Through Early Next Week

Fri, 01/16/2015 - 16:54

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today**

BLUE SKY: I don’t think anyone is griping about the weather today. As expected, the sun is back in full force, and temperatures have reached the low 50s this afternoon.

The weather won’t change much over the weekend; lots of sunshine tomorrow with a high between 57 and 60, and a partly sunny sky Sunday with a high in the mid 50s.

NEXT WEEK: The weather stays dry Monday through Wednesday with partly sunny days and fair nights; highs will be in the 55-60 degree range. The system due in here at the end of the week remains a mystery; in recent days we have seen model runs that show a significant snow threat for North/Central Alabama, nothing but some light rain for South Alabama, and nothing for the entire state. The 12Z GFS is pretty dry, suggesting no to mention any chance of rain.

I do believe a southern branch system will impact Alabama with at least a chance of rain for the southern half of the state Thursday night into Friday morning, but needless to say there is no way to provide clarity for now.

There is also little agreement in the weather toward the end of the month, for now the GEFS ensemble guidance still shows no extremely cold air for the state. But, of course, this could change.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting with the 3rd graders at Greystone Elementary in Hoover, and the 1st graders at Crestline Elementary in Mountain Brook. Be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here bright and early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Delightful Day!

Fri, 01/16/2015 - 15:13

After fog burned out of the lake and river Valleys of North Alabama this morning, the state has been nearly bereft of clouds on this mid-January Friday, a real Godsend given our recent dreary days. Some high clouds were about to start streaming into West Alabama, but they aren’t taking up much of the sky even there. They are being pushed rapidly along in the fast flow of an active southern branch of the jetstream. They will be mainly shunted to the south over South Alabama this afternoon.

The southern tier of the United States is remarkable free of radar echoes this afternoon. In fact, you could go from Virginia to southern California and be hard pressed to find a single shower. There might be one between Brackettville and Uvalde in Texas’ Rio Grande Valley, but that could even be a wind turbine or something. Looking at satellite, it probably is a light shower not reaching the ground under that active southern branch of the jet stream bringing in some Pacific moisture.

Temperatures were in the 50s across Central Alabama at 2 p.m. Across the state, Huntsville was the only major reporting station still in the 40s. Temperatures will gradually slide back down into the upper 20s to lower 30s tonight with most locations reaching freezing.

It will be warmer tomorrow, with highs around 60F! Heat wave!

Dry disturbance Sunday with just some clouds, then dry until Thursday night. Could there be snow? James will be along with the afternoon edition of the Weather Xtreme Video. You will want to tune in!

Categories: Weather

Dry Days Ahead For Alabama

Fri, 01/16/2015 - 07:18

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AT DAYBREAK: It is a clear, cold morning across the great state of Alabama with temperatures generally in the mid to upper 20s across our part of the state. We do note there is some freezing fog (fog with temperatures below 32 degrees) in a few places, that should burn off soon.

With sunshine in full force, we expect a high today in the low 50s… right at seasonal averages (the average high for Birmingham on January 16 is 52).

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Some very nice weather is ahead. Tomorrow will be another sunny day, with a high between 57 and 60 degrees. An upper trough will move through tomorrow night and Sunday morning, but with little moisture the trough will just bring a few scattered clouds. The 00Z model set really shows temperatures not changing much Sunday, with a high in the mid to upper 50s.

NEXT WEEK: The weather stays dry Monday through Wednesday with afternoon highs between 58 and 62 degrees. A nice change of pace from the recent frigid weather. A low will spin up in the Gulf of Mexico Thursday, and that will bring the next chance of rain to the state late Thursday, Thursday night, and possibly into Friday morning. Some runs of the GFS has given a “snow look” to North-Central Alabama with this feature, but the 00Z runs of the GFS and the ECMWF show just some light rain here, with the more significant rain over South Alabama.

It is simply too early to resolve details on a system seven days away, we will just keep an eye on trends and keep you posted.

LONG RANGE: Getting mixed signals on weather late this month; the AO/NAO is forecast to be positive by the GFS, but operational runs are showing potential for a long wave upper trough over the Central U.S. with a cross Polar flow potentially setting up. Makes for a low confidence solution; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Busy day ahead with weather programs at Greystone Elementary in Hoover, and Crestline Elementary in Mountain Brook. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Brighter/Warmer Days Ahead

Thu, 01/15/2015 - 16:40

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

IMPROVING WEATHER: Light rain, sleet, and snow is ending across Alabama this afternoon; as expected this was not a high impact event, there have been no travel issues across North/Central Alabama. The sky will clear tonight as drier air moves into the state.

The image below is from Hazel Green, north of Huntsville, where a few big snow flakes were coming down this afternoon. Photo from @shannong63…

Tomorrow, the sun returns in full force. We start the day with temperatures in the mid to upper 20s, but rise into the low 50s by afternoon. Good luck finding your sunglasses.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday should be the most pleasant day so far in 2015, with ample sunshine and a high around 60 degrees. Then, on Sunday, a deep upper trough will bring just a few scattered clouds, and the high will drop back into the 50-55 degree range with a cool north breeze.

NEXT WEEK: For now the first half of the week looks dry; expect highs in the 50s and lows mostly in the 30s Monday through Wednesday, right at seasonal averages. A disturbance will bring a chance of rain toward the end of the week; the 12Z GFS shows a quick hitting shot of rain for the southern half of the state Thursday night, with some outside risk of a little snow on the northern periphery of the precipitation shield. Just too early to be specific for now; see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Messy Winter Day

Thu, 01/15/2015 - 12:03

Not much change in our overall thinking this morning. Most of Central Alabama will have a cold rain today with some sleet in the mix, but to the north a wintry mix of light snow, sleet and freezing rain will continue this afternoon.

The NWS in Huntsville has issued a winter weather advisory for Colbert, Cullman, De Kalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison, Marshall, and Morgan Counties; there are no advisories for the Birmingham NWS County Warning area.

Temperatures are above freezing at Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, Gadsden, and Jasper, and roads will simply be wet this afternoon with no ice issues. To the north, patchy bridge icing is possible north of U.S. 278 (north of a line from Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden), but temperatures will ease above freezing this afternoon in that part of the state.

Just watch for patches of ice on bridges across the Tennessee Valley during the next hour or so; this is not a widespread, high impact event.

We do note the HRRR model (high resolution) does show a patch of heavier snow over the northwest corner of the state this afternoon; that might put down 1/4 to 1/2 inch on grassy areas, but roads will be just wet.

The precipitation will end this evening, and the sun will be back in full force tomorrow for a change.

Categories: Weather

Mid-Morning Update

Thu, 01/15/2015 - 09:24

A cold, messy winter day is unfolding for Alabama. Sleet has been falling over parts of North and West Alabama, with rain to the south.

Temperatures are above freezing at Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, and Anniston, and they will stay above freezing as we slowly rise into the low 40s later today. No travel issues, and mostly rain for these cities.

TO THE NORTH: The atmosphere is cold enough for light snow over the northern third of the state, and there could be some light accumulation on grassy areas.

Temperatures at places like Haleyville, Cullman, and Gadsden are still a tad below freezing at 8:15a… they rise above freezing there later this morning. While some light accumulation is possible on grass there, roads will be just wet, and travel issues are not expected. Accordingly, the NWS in Huntsville and Birmingham has not issued any kind of winter weather advisory.

The precipitation will end late this afternoon, and the sun will be back in full force tomorrow. Scroll down for a detailed discussion of weather over the next 15 days….

Categories: Weather

Cold, Messy Winter Day

Thu, 01/15/2015 - 07:44

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

CHALLENGING FORECAST: Yet another tricky winter weather forecast as a wave in the southern branch of the jet stream approaches Alabama, with a cold airmass in place. The new upper air data that will arrive around 7:00 a.m. will let us see the current state of the atmosphere (weather balloons are launched only once every 12 hours), so keep in mind this forecast could change over the next few hours.

AT DAYBREAK: A few light snow flurries are over far Northwest Alabama, and a large mass of rain is moving into West Alabama, roughly from Tuscaloosa south. Some sleet has been reported in Tuscaloosa at the onset of the rain.

THE DAY AHEAD: Periods of rain are likely for areas along and south of I-20 (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). However, it seems like atmospheric profiles are cold enough for light snow over far North Alabama, mainly north of U.S. 278 (Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden). Snow that comes today over the Tennessee Valley should be light, and with temperatures rising into the mid 30s, accumulation, if any, should be light, and impact on roads minimal. We do note the NWS in Huntsville suggests some accumulation on grassy areas up to 1/2 inch over parts of North and Northeast Alabama today…

NWS offices in Huntsville, Birmingham, Jackson, and Memphis have opted not to issue any kind of winter weather advisory, and that seems like a good decision for now.

But again, the new soundings that will be coming in shortly will give us a better look at the atmosphere. You can’t determine precipitation type by looking at your backyard thermometer; the key is the temperature at about 5,000 feet off the ground. Stay tuned for updates and possible forecast changes.

Precipitation moves out of the state this evening, and the sky will clear late tonight.

BRIGHTER AND WARMER: Finally, we have two sunny days in a row with a warming trend. Expect a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Saturday; we reach the mid 50s tomorrow, and the high Saturday will be close to 60 degrees. Then, a deep upper trough will pass overhead Sunday… this will knock the high down into the low 50s, and some scattered clouds will show up (although the weather will stay dry).

NEXT WEEK: The weather looks dry Monday through Wednesday with seasonal temperatures; highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s. The next chance of rain comes at the end of the week, around Friday January 23. Way too early to know if this system will bring any threat of snow to North Alabama, but it is not totally out of the question. Take some time to watch the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes for the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program this morning in Gadsden for some young kids at a HeadStart program… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 468: The View from Atlanta

Thu, 01/15/2015 - 06:15

WeatherBrains Episode 468 is now online (January 14, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain is a recommendation from show alum Chris White. Kathryn Prociv obtained her Masters and Undergraduate degrees from Virginia Tech. Currently she is a weather content producer for The Weather Channel, specifically supporting the AMHQ production.

Kathryn Prociv has loved weather since age six. Like most kids, Kathryn was afraid of thunderstorms until her fear transformed to awe one day when a green funnel cloud screamed over her head while caught outside in a severe thunderstorm. The rest is history, and she has since dedicated her life to the science of meteorology. Kathryn received both her B.A. and M.S. at Virginia Tech in geography with an emphasis in geospatial technology and meteorology. Her master’s research investigated the influence of the Appalachian Mountains on the intensity of supercell thunderstorms and associated tornadogenesis. While a lover of all weather, severe weather is her passion. A member of the Virginia Tech Hokie Storm Chasers 2010-2012, Kathryn has intercepted nearly a dozen tornadoes on the Great Plains. Her most notable intercept includes the Bowdle, SD, EF4 tornado on May 24th, 2010. She is currently teaching meteorology and geography at Northern Virginia Community College and is a meteorologist and contributor for the Washington Post’s Capital Weather Gang. She is a member of the American Meteorological Society (AMS), National Weather Association (NWA), an amateur radio operator (KK4BWP), and a SKYWARN Spotter. Her hobbies include local storm chasing, playing guitar, and amateur photography. If there is a storm approaching, you can find Kathryn outside with camera in hand!

It is hard to call tonight’s Guest Panelist a Guest any longer. Tony Rice is a fixture. We welcome our resident astronomer, Tony Rice, to the show.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 81 at Pompano Beach, FL, and -34 at Van Buren, ME
  • Relatively quiet weather pattern across the US
  • No severe weather outlooked for next 4 to 8 days
  • Fairly cold from Idaho to Maine
  • Not a single watch, warning, or advisory anywhere in the US
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

    From The Weather Center: This episode goes back about 7 years to a segment on radiosondes. These are so important to sampling the atmosphere, and since a listener asked a question about this, it seems a great topic to kick off the year of 2015.

    WeatherBrains 101:

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 468:

    To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

    AMHQ on The Weather Channel

    Picks of the Week:

    Nate Johnson – Variety story on Weather Channel Morning Mix

    Bill Murray – Ensemble Prediction Systems

    Brian Peters – United States Tornadoes, Past, Present and Future

    Katherine Prociv – Not Ready for It! Earth Cam

    Tony Rice – Astronomy 2015 Days

    John Scala – NCDC State of the Climate page

    Kevin Selle – El Nino Theme Page

    James Spann – NOAA Investing in New Supercomputers

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Rain At Times Tomorrow

    Wed, 01/14/2015 - 16:44

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    THIS AFTERNOON: We actually have a bit of sunshine over the northwest corner of the state today… places like Florence, Muscle Shoals, and Russellville have big patches of blue sky. Otherwise, it is the same old story with overcast, cold, and damp conditions. Temperatures across North/Central Alabama are mostly in the low to mid 40s.

    WET TOMORROW: The next wave in the southern branch of the jet stream will bring periods of light rain to the state tomorrow; there is some chance we might see a snow flake or two if the precipitation begins early enough, but the chance of any wintry weather problems, for now, looks pretty small. We will keep an eye on things closely overnight just in case.

    Rain amounts for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden will be under 1/4 inch, with amounts of 1/2 inch likely over the southern quarter of Alabama. It will be another cloudy and cold day with a high in the low to mid 40s.

    BRIGHTER AND WARMER: Finally the sun returns in full force Friday and Saturday with a warming trend. We will be in the 50s Friday, and the high Saturday will be close to 60 degrees.

    On Sunday a deep upper trough will rotate over our state; it could squeeze out a little light rain over the northeast corner, around Huntsville and Scottsboro. Elsewhere, we will forecast a mix of sun and clouds Sunday with a high in the low to mid 50s along with a cool north breeze.

    NEXT WEEK: The weather looks dry Monday and Tuesday with seasonal temperatures; highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s. Next chance of precipitation will come toward the end of the week; the 12Z GFS run actually hints at some chance of snow over the northern third of Alabama on Friday January 23, but that is nothing more than voodoo at this point. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    I enjoyed seeing a huge crowd today at the Talladega/Lincoln Chamber of Commerce awards banquet at Shocco Springs… and be sure and look for the third graders from Vincent Elementary School on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Damp, Gray, and Cold

    Wed, 01/14/2015 - 07:12

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    LOOKING FOR SOME SUN: Another gloomy morning across the great state of Alabama with low hanging clouds, fog, and some drizzle; temperatures are generally in the 34-40 degree range. We do note the NWS in Huntsville issued a “freezing rain advisory” for Madison and Jackson Counties very early this morning due to some drizzle with temperatures in the low 30s, but I have heard of no issues related to that involving travel; some light icing has been reported on some exposed objects across higher terrain, but the roads are just wet.

    We also note some light snow/snow flurries are reporting this morning over the northwest corner of the state… places like Florence and Killen. No accumulation there, and no travel issues are expected.

    Some of the high resolution models are hinting we might see a glimpse of the sun this afternoon, but any breaks in the overcast won’t last long thanks to a disturbance approaching from the west tonight.

    WET AT TIMES TOMORROW: Models continue to trend wetter for tomorrow. No doubt the heaviest rain will fall over the southern half of the state, but we will mention periods of light rain for North/Central Alabama as well. It will be interesting to watch conditions at the onset of the precipitation; a touch of freezing rain, or maybe even a few snow flurries are not out of the question for North Alabama tomorrow morning, but for now it looks like just a cold rain for most communities. We will keep a close eye on trends over the next 24 hours.

    Rain amounts tomorrow for the northern half of the state should be under 1/4 inch, and the rain will end from west to east during the afternoon. The high will be in the 40s.

    BRIGHTER DAYS: The sun finally returns in full force Friday and Saturday as dry air and subsidence takes over; the high Friday will be in the mid 50s, with low 60s likely Saturday. A really nice day to start the weekend.

    A sharp upper trough passing through will pull down some cooler air Sunday; the high will drop into the 50-55 degree range Sunday afternoon with a partly sunny sky and a cool north breeze.

    NEXT WEEK: The weather looks dry and seasonal Monday and Tuesday, with highs in the 50s and lows in the 30s. Some rain could arrive as early as Wednesday, but the higher rain chances will most likely come later, on Thursday or Friday (January 22-23). See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
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    I will be speaking today at the monthly meeting of the Talladega Chamber of Commerce… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    Cloudy, Cold, and Damp

    Tue, 01/13/2015 - 16:32

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    DREARY WINTER DAY: As expected, clouds are hanging tough over all of Alabama this afternoon; we had some drizzle this morning in a few spots. Temperatures are generally in the low 40s for places like Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Anniston, and Gadsden, and north of Birmingham readings are in the 30s.

    The weather won’t change much tomorrow; another mostly cloudy day, although some computer model guidance has hinted the sun might break out for a brief time or two. And, once again, we won’t get out of the 40s.

    SOME LIGHT RAIN THURSDAY? The 12Z model runs, especially the NAM, have introduced the potential of some light rain Thursday over North/Central Alabama, and we will go ahead and insert that potential into the forecast. The heaviest and most widespread rain Thursday will come over the southern quarter of Alabama, but a little light rain is possible as far north U.S. 278 (Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden). Otherwise, same ole routine with a cloudy sky and a high in the mid to upper 40s.

    BRIGHTER AND WARMER: Finally, the sun returns in full force Friday with a high up in the mid 50s. And, Saturday looks like a delightful day to kick off the weekend with a high in the low 60s along with a sunny sky. The weather on Sunday will stay dry, but a north breeze will bring in cooler air, and the high will drop back into the mid 50s with a partly sunny sky.

    NEXT WEEK: Looks like our weather will be dry and seasonal Monday through Wednesday with highs mostly in the 50s and lows in the 30s; a chance of rain returns on Thursday (January 22), but at this point it doesn’t look like a big event. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tomorrow night at 8:30 CT.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
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    I had a great time today visiting the 3rd graders at Vincent Elementary in Shelby County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM tomorrow at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News. This evening I will be in Montgomery for a special 20th anniversary AMSTI (Alabama Math Science Technology Initiative) event; Brian Peters will cover for me on ABC 33/40 News at 5, 6, and 10:00. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Clouds Stick Around, But Not Much Rain

    Tue, 01/13/2015 - 06:16

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Nothing showing up on radar early this morning across Alabama, and the chance of measurable rain today will be small… although a little drizzle is not out of the question. But the clouds won’t be going anywhere, and today will be colder with most communities seeing a high only in the mid 40s. Some places over the Tennessee Valley of extreme North Alabama won’t get out of the 30s.

    TOMORROW/THURSDAY: Not sure we see any sun on these days, although if we are lucky there might be a few breaks in the overcast. Despite the clouds, the chance of significant rain is very small… although a little drizzle is possible in spots. There might even be a touch of freezing drizzle early tomorrow over far North Alabama with temperatures dropping to near 30 degrees, but at the moment it doesn’t look like a “high impact” event.

    Some light rain is possible near the Gulf Coast Thursday, but that won’t be an issue this far north. For North/Central Alabama, we expect a high in the upper 40s tomorrow, followed by low 50s Thursday.

    BRIGHTER DAYS: We finally break out into a brighter pattern Friday, with subsidence bringing a sunny sky with a high in the mid 50s. Saturday will be a great day to kick off the weekend with a good supply of sunshine and a high in the low 60s. A low level northerly flow will bring slightly cooler air down in here Sunday, with the high dropping back just a bit into the upper 50s, but the sky will remain generally sunny.

    NEXT WEEK: Medium range guidance continues to suggest our next decent rain event will come around Wednesday January 21, and still no sign of any extremely cold, Arctic air for Alabama for the next 15 days. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tomorrow night at 8:30 CT.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    I have a weather program today at Vincent Elementary School in Shelby County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    Rain Moves Out; Clouds Stick Around

    Mon, 01/12/2015 - 16:29

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Some light rain and drizzle continues to fall this afternoon, mainly over the eastern half of the state. It is a day with low hanging clouds and dense fog; even at mid-afternoon visibility is very restricted over parts of North Alabama. Temperatures are generally in the low to mid 50s.

    MID-WEEK: Looks like the low cloud deck over the state won’t be going anywhere due to isentropic lift near a weak cold front over North Alabama that will become nearly stationary. Warm, moist air will ride up and over a shallow layer of cooler air near the surface tomorrow and Wednesday. Both days will be cloudy, and while there could be a little drizzle, the chance of measurable rain is very low.

    The weather will be cool tomorrow and Wednesday with afternoon highs in the 45 to 50 degree range for most places.

    A wave in the Gulf of Mexico could produce a little rain Thursday for places like Mobile, Gulf Shores, and Panama City, but up this way the day still looks dry, although once again the clouds will hang tough. If we are lucky, the sun might break through late Thursday afternoon.

    FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Finally, some brighter and warmer weather. We expect mostly sunny days and fair nights during this three day stretch; we reach the mid 50s Friday, followed by low 60s Saturday and Sunday. Sure looks like a very, very nice weekend.

    NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: The 12Z run of the GFS suggests the next chance of rain will come around Wednesday or Thursday of next week (January 22-23), and we still see no sign of any bitterly cold Arctic air.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Periods Of Light Rain

    Mon, 01/12/2015 - 07:19

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: Patches of mostly light rain are across the northern half of Alabama at daybreak; some heavier rain was just south of Huntsville. Today will be cloudy with occasional rain; the high will be in the mid 50s, and rain amounts should be generally 1/2 inch or less for most places.

    TOMORROW AND WEDNESDAY: A decent amount of moisture will be in place, but there is no well defined trigger for rain. We figure the sky will be cloudy both days, and while a touch of light rain or some drizzle is possible, most communities will not have any really significant rain despite the clouds.

    THURSDAY: A disturbance will pass well to the south; model guidance suggests rain with this feature will be limited to the immediate Gulf Coast, and south into the Gulf waters. Up this way, the day will be mostly cloudy, but the chance of rain is so small it really isn’t worth mentioning in the forecast. Our high Thursday will be in the 50-55 degree range.

    FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: The sun finally returns. Looks like we will enjoy sunshine in full force Friday with a high in the mid 50s, then we warm into the low 60s over the weekend with mostly sunny weather continuing on Saturday and Sunday. It will be the nicest weekend so far in the 2015 for sure.

    NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: Global models are suggesting the next significant rain event for the state will come around Tuesday or Wednesday (January 20-21), with some potential for some thunder. And, out into the land of voodoo, no evidence of any extremely cold air for the state. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show Wednesday night at 8:30 CT.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    I will be doing a weather program this morning at Elvin Hill Elementary School in Columbiana… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    Unsettled Weather Through Thursday

    Sun, 01/11/2015 - 10:50

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    Thanks to a combination of clouds and an easterly air flow at the surface, temperatures stayed above freezing overnight. Some light rain was occurring across the northwest quadrant of Alabama, however, a dry layer near the surface was keeping some of the precipitation from reaching the ground. We should remain cloudy today with the primary shot of precipitation coming this evening and into the first half of Monday. Even with the clouds, temperatures should reach the 48 to 52 range across Central Alabama, just about typical for early January.

    The weather will remain unsettled with clouds and chance for rain through Wednesday. The next short wave approaches us on Wednesday once again bringing a chance for rain and showers to the area through about midday on Thursday. This system is coming in on the latest computer model runs a bit further south, so rain chances for Central Alabama will be less than chances across South Alabama. With a somewhat zonal flow across the Southeast US, we should see temperatures that will be about typical for this time of year with lows in the 30s and highs in the 50s.

    Once the major trough goes by on Thursday, we will see a minor cool down for Saturday morning, but with the upper flow going nearly zonal, we should not see any major swings in our temperatures. The surface high will move east of us net Sunday which once again opens up the Gulf for another round of precipitation as we verge into voodoo country for Monday or Tuesday.

    The next round of precipitation comes our way for the start of Week 2, or voodoo country. The upper air pattern takes on another distinctly cold look for the 24th of January but the fast flow means the cool down does not last very long with ridging developing around the 26th ahead of another short wave coming out of the southern Rockies. So no lack of weather systems to keep the weather office busy.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. Stay dry and I hope you have a great day. Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Sun Today, Unsettled Weather Ahead

    Sat, 01/10/2015 - 15:42

    Enjoy the sun today as unsettled weather looks to settle into Alabama the next several days. A gorgeous Saturday of weather continues across the state of Alabama. Well that is until you walk outside and the winter chill hits you. Plenty of sun today in the beautiful blue sky, but it remains chilly with temps in many spots across Central Alabama in the lower 40s. These will not climb much higher today, and do not look for anything higher than lower 40s in Central Alabama.

    For tonight, we will begin to see some clouds moving in as southwesterly flow begins to develop over the Southeast. Temps should be about 10 degrees warmer in many spots, now granted that is still in the upper 20s for most locations, so it will be another freezing night, but not as cold as recent nights. Tomorrow will be a day of more clouds than sun. Highs will be in the mid-40s. We will once again introduce scattered showers back into the forecast especially during the afternoon. There may even be a bit of sleet mixed in at times, especially Sunday night, but surface temps will be in the 40s, so any ice that falls will melt on contact.

    As we head straight on into a new work week, the weather will stay unsettled. The southwesterly flow will allow for several of those little shortwave disturbances to move across the region. These will provide just enough uplift to allow for more clouds than sun, and the chance for showers at just about anytime. For Monday through Wednesday, we are forecasting scattered showers and periods of rain. This is not forecast to be anything significant with storms and flooding, but over the next four days, many locations in Central Alabama should see around an inch of rain. Though it will be chilly, temps will moderate for the week, with highs in the 50s and lows near 40. Though rain will be possible each day, it appears Monday and Wednesday will have the better chances.

    Categories: Weather

    The Latest U.S. Drought Monitor

    Sat, 01/10/2015 - 12:55

    For much of the U.S., there has not been significant improvement to the drought stricken areas of the county. Much of the state of California continues to suffer from extreme and exceptional drought conditions. In Texas, and along the Red River Valley, recent rains continue to help conditions improve, but there are still exceptional drought conditions.

    For Alabama, as we finished out the year 2014 and started 2015, it certainly has been very wet lately. Over the last month, many locations across the state have received 5-10 inches of rain. These rains caused a drastic improvement in the overall drought and abnormally dry conditions across the state.

    In this latest issuance of the drought monitor, no areas in North, Central, or East Alabama are seeing dry/drought conditions. After all the recent rains, the abnormally dry conditions have retreated to the southwestern portions of the state. Last week at this time, 37.51% of the state was being affected by Abnormally Dry conditions. This week, that has decreased to 18.37%. There also remains a bit of moderate drought for portions of southern Mobile and Baldwin Counties. This amounts to 3.05% of the state. There is no area of severe drought anywhere in the state. So far, 2015 is starting off great for much of Alabama when it comes to rainfall. As we head out the next week, we will continue to see unsettled weather with periods of rain. We should continue to see the dry conditions improve across Southwestern Alabama.

    Click image to enlarge.

    Categories: Weather

    The Chill Hangs On

    Sat, 01/10/2015 - 10:20

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    The chill is hanging on but we are not quite as cold as we saw a few days ago. Still, morning lows approached single digit values, so it is cold! Even with the cold start to the day, I expect us to get above freezing by 11 am with a good supply of sunshine to help out.

    Moisture returns Sunday with rain chances on the uptick Sunday evening and into Monday. Fortunately it appears that we will have warmed enough so that any moisture that falls will come in liquid form. We dry out a little on Tuesday, but the upper flow pattern remains unsettled keeping us in rain chances until the next major trough finally kicks things out of here late Wednesday and into early Thursday. Best rain chances will come Monday and again Wednesday but with the stream of minor impulses in the generally southwesterly flow we cannot rule out some passing light rain or showers on Tuesday. Rainfall should be fairly widespread on Monday and again Wednesday night into Thursday providing us with rainfall amounts for the two events of around an inch to an inch and a quarter.

    The next major trough swings by on Thursday bringing drier but colder air back to the Southeast US. This system does not look as cold as what we just experienced, but it will be cold enough to keep us below our seasonal averages for this time in January.

    Sunshine should return to Central Alabama on Friday with a fairly good warm up by Saturday.

    A peek at voodoo country shows the pattern remaining active and cold as the long wave trough position keeps the toughiness over the eastern half of the country with a steady stream of short waves moving through the flow.

    And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

    James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

    I’m still in southern California, so the next Weather Xtreme Video should be posted by late morning on Sunday. The two hour time difference is a real pain. I hope you have a great day. Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Cold Tonight; Slow Weekend Warm-Up

    Fri, 01/09/2015 - 16:49

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    RADAR CHECK: A band of light rain has been moving over the southern third of Alabama today, with some sleet mixed in at times, but the northern half of the state has been rain-free. And, we are above freezing for the first time since midday Wednesday, with temperatures mostly in the 37-40 degree range.

    A secondary surge of colder air will drop into the state tonight, and that will push early morning temperatures tomorrow into the 14-19 degree range for most communities. A few of the colder spots might even visit the single digits briefly early tomorrow morning.

    OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be mostly but cold with a high between 39 and 42 degrees. Then, the sky becomes mostly cloudy Sunday, and we will bring in the chance of some scattered light rain Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. The high Sunday will be close to 50 degrees.

    NEXT WEEK: A few periods of rain are likely Monday, and while Tuesday looks relatively dry (but cloudy), more rain arrives Wednesday and Wednesday night. Temperatures will be warm enough for no issues with snow or ice, and cool enough for no thunderstorm issues. Rain amounts Sunday night through Wednesday night will be in the 1/2 to 1 inch range. Drier air arrives Thursday and Friday; highs through the week will be mostly in the 50s, right at seasonal average for mid-January in Alabama. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early Monday morning by 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

    Categories: Weather

    Not As Cold Today Across Alabama

    Fri, 01/09/2015 - 07:15

    An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

    AT DAYBREAK: Temperatures are mostly in the 18-22 degree range early this morning as the new day dawns. Of of the coldest observations comes from Vic Bell up at Black Creek, northeast of Gadsden (in a bowl atop Lookout Mountain) with 13 degrees.

    We should go above freezing around 9:00 in most places; ending a period with roughly 40 consecutive hours below freezing. The sky will be partly to mostly sunny today, and we will project a high close to 40 degrees, 12 degrees below the average high of 52 for January 9.

    THE WEEKEND: A secondary surge of colder air moves in here tonight, and by daybreak tomorrow we expect to be in the mid teens; some of the colder pockets across North Alabama might even visit the single digits briefly. But, we warm into the low 40s tomorrow afternoon with a good supply of sunshine.

    Clouds increase Sunday, and some rain could begin to fall Sunday afternoon as short wave energy approaches from the southwest. We will mention a chance of rain Sunday night into Monday as well. No ice problems, and no thunder with a cool, stable airmass in place.

    NEXT WEEK: The weather will be unsettled with clouds and rain at times through Thursday. Tuesday could be the driest day, with rain becoming more widespread Wednesday into Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Drier air finally returns by Thursday night and Friday. Afternoon highs through the week will be mostly in the 50s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

    Categories: Weather