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Updated: 5 min 26 sec ago

Warmer; Showers Monday

Sun, 04/05/2015 - 06:59

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

After a chilly start which saw temperatures drop to freezing in Northeast Alabama with some light frost, a good supply of sunshine will see temperatures climbs into the lower 70s for the afternoon highs. Clouds increase tonight and showers return for Monday as we head back to work after the Easter weekend.

The upper air pattern features a weak ridge for the Southeast US until the end of the week with a moist, southwesterly flow. Several weak disturbances will move through the flow keeping small rain chances in the forecast, but Wednesday and Thursday will be dry for most of us. Temperatures will once again climb into the lower 80s for highs.

A strong closed upper low will come out of the Central Rockies on Thursday and produce a surface low in the Central Plains states that will be the focus for a severe weather threat for that area. The surface low moves into the Great Lakes Friday and that will drag a cold front into Central Alabama. While we are still a good distance out, the front could be strong enough to produce strong to severe thunderstorms for the Southeast US. While the models are coming into better agreement this far out, there are still some questions about the weather situation so we’ll have to keep an eye on how future model runs play out this system. SPC has outlooked an area on Thursday in the Central Plains since confidence in that scenario is fairly good.

Looks like the front will move through Central Alabama early enough on Saturday to produce good weather for the weekend, but the next system is already taking shape over the Rockies by Sunday.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny today with widely scattered showers possible Monday and Tuesday. Highs will be in the 70s. Wednesday and Thursday look great with highs near 80. Friday showers return. Sea water temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s.

Looking out into voodoo, the overall pattern remains active with another potent system coming around April 15th.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here on Monday. Enjoy this lovely Easter day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Plenty of Sun, Cooler

Sat, 04/04/2015 - 15:33

The clouds from this morning continue to push south and we are seeing nothing but severe clear conditions with an abundance of sunshine this afternoon. Hard to find cloud in the sky, but it is noticeably cooler, with most locations in the mid to upper 60s across Central Alabama. Tonight, with the clear sky, look for temps to drop quickly after sunset, and we should see widespread upper 30s and lower 40s for much of Central Alabama, and even the threat of some frost in northeastern Alabama.

For our Easter Sunday, it will be a chilly start to the day, so if heading out to any sunrise services, be sure to take the jackets. However, we will see an abundance of sunshine, with dry conditions, expect plenty of sunshine and afternoon highs will climb towards the 70 degree mark. Any egg hunts planned for tomorrow afternoon will have ideal weather conditions.

Categories: Weather

Cooler Today and Sunday

Sat, 04/04/2015 - 07:19

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

After a stormy night across Central and North Alabama, the weather is settling down with improving conditions as Central Alabama sees a good supply of sunshine for the afternoon with highs a good bit cooler than recent days with highs in the middle 60s. We stay dry into Easter Sunday and there is a possibility of a little light frost for Northeast Alabama Sunday morning, but what frost does occur should be spotty. Easter Sunday will be sunny with highs around 70.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Scattered showers on the coast this morning from Gulf Shores over to Panama City, otherwise mostly sunny days and fair nights will continue through Monday. Widely scattered showers are possible Tuesday through Thursday of next week, but in spite of daily shower chances expect about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day. Highs will remain in the 70s, and sea water temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s.

Showers with some thunderstorms return into Monday as the upper flow shows weak ridging but with embedded weak disturbances transiting the southern stream. This will keep our weather situation somewhat unsettled with small daily chances for showers or a thunderstorm. This will allow us to warm up somewhat by the middle of the week as highs return to the lower 80s for Wednesday and Thursday.

The next major feature for us will be another cold front in the Friday-Saturday time frame just in time for next weekend. Highs will be mainly in the middle and upper 70s thanks to clouds. Rain chances should diminish by Sunday.

Voodoo country remains active with an active southern stream in the westerlies as we work out into Week 2. The GFS paints a strong upper low moving through the Central Plains around the 17th and 18th of April which could spell a substantial severe weather risk for the Southeast and Central US.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here on Sunday morning. Enjoy the cooler air and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Storms Rumble Across Central Alabama

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 23:46

Thunderstorms continue across Central Alabama tonight, but they are not severe.

The strongest storms are lined up along I-20 from Heflin back to the Oxford area, with additional ones lined up all along the interstate back to Moody in the Birmingham Metro.

A large mass of rain and thunderstorms covers much of Central Alabama tonight from Shelby and Talladega County on the east back through Chilton County to Perry County on the west.

Lots of lightning and gusty winds as well as heavy rains, but the threat for severe weather has diminished.

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 22:37

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.
WWUS64 KBMX 040336
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1036 PM CDT FRI APR 3 2015

ALC009-019-055-040445-
/O.CAN.KBMX.SV.A.0025.000000T0000Z-150404T0500Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 25 FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 3 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

BLOUNT

IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA

CHEROKEE ETOWAH

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…CENTRE…GADSDEN AND ONEONTA.

$$

Categories: Weather

Watch Trimmed A Bit for West Alabama

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 21:53

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch continues for Blount, Cherokee and Etowah Counties until midnight. The Watch has been canceled for Fayette, Lamar, Marion, Walker and Winston Counties.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Cherokee County

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 21:39

The NWS Huntsville has also issued a tornado warning for DeKalb County, indicating that the storm east of Fort Payne definitely shows signs of producing a tornado.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
CENTRAL CHEROKEE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 937 PM CDT…SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HENAGAR TO FORT PAYNE TO NEAR
COLLINSVILLE…MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
CEDAR BLUFF…LITTLE RIVER CANYON NATIONAL PRESERVE…SAND ROCK…
GAYLESVILLE…BLANCHE…CORNWALL FURNACE PARK…EASTERN WEISS
LAKE…WESTERN WEISS LAKE…CHESTERFIELD…BROOMTOWN…NEW MOON…
FULLERTON…WATERHOUSE…YELLOW CREEK FALLS…DESOTO STATE PARK AND
LITTLE RIVER CANYON NP.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Northeastern Blount County

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 21:13

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHEASTERN BLOUNT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 912 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOLLY
POND…OR 7 MILES EAST OF CULLMAN…MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
BLOUNTSVILLE…SNEAD…SUSAN MOORE…WALNUT GROVE…STRAWBERRY…
MCLARTY AND BROOKSVILLE.

Categories: Weather

Cherokee and Etowah Counties Added to Watch

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 21:00

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
WATCH 25 TO INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
TONIGHT

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA

CHEROKEE ETOWAH

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…CENTRE AND GADSDEN.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 25 REMAINS VALID UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL ALABAMA

BLOUNT WALKER

IN NORTHWEST ALABAMA

MARION WINSTON

IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA

FAYETTE LAMAR

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…FAYETTE…HALEYVILLE…HAMILTON…
JASPER…ONEONTA…SULLIGENT AND VERNON.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning Northern Cullman County

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 20:53

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HUNTSVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHERN CULLMAN COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 945 PM CDT

* AT 852 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF
CULLMAN…MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
CULLMAN…GOOD HOPE…HOLLY POND…BALDWIN…VINEMONT…
BAILEYTON…WEST POINT…FAIRVIEW…JONES CHAPEL AND WALTER.

Categories: Weather

Strong Storms Approaching Tuscaloosa

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 20:51

Storms over West Central Alabama’s Pickens County have intensified near Aliceville. These storms will move toward Tuscaloosa.

Another strong storm was in extreme northern Tuscaloosa county south of Fayette.

To the north, other storm are over eastern Winston and Cullman Counties.

The storms over Oktibbeha County in eastern Mississippi are stronger and may prompt a severe thunderstorm warning shortly for the area near Starkville.

Categories: Weather

Storms Perhaps a Little Weaker

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 20:35

Strong thunderstorms continue across North and West Central Alabama tonight ahead of a cold front.

There are severe thunderstorm warnings across the Tennessee Valley of North Alabama across eastern Madison and Jackson Counties. One strong cell with a possible hook echo is near Hytop, the radar site northeast of Huntsville. The NWS Huntsville just issued a tornado warning for parts of Jackson County.

Strong, but not severe storms are over eastern Winston and western Cullman Counties.

Scattered storms are across Marion, the rest of Winston, Fayette, Walker, Tuscaloosa, Lamar and Pickens Counties.

In eastern Mississippi, severe thunderstorm warnings are in effect around West Point. This storm will pass near Columbus on its way toward Pickens and Lamar Counties.

The better shear is now lifting out to the northeast, but there is still sufficient shear and instability (500-1,000 j/kg) ahead of the storms for them to hold together, but hopefully a slow weakening trend will continue. There is the chance some of them will still become severe though, with damaging winds the main threat.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Marion County

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 19:11

Click to enlarge image

This four panel radar image from the Columbus radar shows the intense storm in NE Mississippi that will be moving into Franklin and Marion Counties shortly.

A hail core with the potential to produce one inch hail will move generally along the Franklin/Marion County line in the general direction of Hackleburg.

There is a small amount of low level helicity (<150 m2/s2), so we can’t rule out a tornado, but the main threat will be damaging winds.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTHERN MARION COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 815 PM CDT

* AT 710 PM CDT…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR TREMONT…OR
9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF RED BAY…MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

HAZARD…60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE
TO ROOFS…SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
HALEYVILLE…HACKLEBURG…BRINN…BEAR CREEK…PIGEYE…BEXAR…
UPPER BEAR CREEK RESERVOIR…TESSNER AND SHOTTSVILLE.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Watch for North Alabama

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 18:55

The SPC has issued a severe thunderstorm watch now for North, Northwest and North Central Alabama. It goes until midnight.

Counties in the NWS Birmingham warning area include: Blount, Fayette, Lamar, Marion, Walker and Winston.

In the Huntsville warning area, the Alabama counties are Franklin, Lincoln, Moore [TN] and Colbert, Cullman, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone, Madison, Marshall and Morgan.

Categories: Weather

Watch To Our West

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 18:12

A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for areas to our west.

A broken line of thunderstorms is pushing across Mississippi at this hour ahead of a cold front.

These storms will be severe as they push southeast across Mississippi.

Others across northeastern Mississippi and western Tennessee will become severe as they push into Northwest Alabama in a few hours. Look for a watch for parts of Alabama fairly soon.

There is still 50-55 knots of bulk shear over Northwest Alabama, which is sufficient wind shear for organized updrafts that can become supercells. CAPE values are running 1000-1500 joules, which is plenty instability for severe storms as well.

The good news is that surface to 1 km helicity is very low, meaning the tornado threat is very low as well. Can’t rule out an isolated tornado or two, but the main threat should be damaging winds.

Categories: Weather

Possible New Watch

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 16:08

AREAS AFFECTED…CNTRL AND NRN MS…SRN TN…ERN AND SRN AR…NE LA

CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 032057Z – 032230Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…40 PERCENT

SUMMARY…AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT MAY DEVELOP FROM CNTRL MS NEWD
ACROSS NW AL INTO SRN TN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OTHER SEVERE
STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG A COLD FRONT IN ERN AND SRN AR. ISOLATED
LARGE HAIL AND WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER CELLS.
WW ISSUANCE MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS THE REGION.

DISCUSSION…LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD
ACROSS WRN TN AND ERN AR WITH A CORRIDOR OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE LOWER 60S F. AN AXIS OF
LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE IS EVIDENT IN THE SFC WIND FIELD FROM NEAR
JACKSON MS NEWD ACROSS NW AL WHERE CONVECTION HAS INITIATED OVER THE
LAST HOUR. THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT IN
NE AR AND DEVELOPMENT SHOULD CONTINUE TO OCCUR ALONG THE FRONT
FURTHER TO THE SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. PARTIAL CLEARING
ON SATELLITE AND SFC HEATING SHOULD INCREASE MLCAPE VALUES TO NEAR
1500 J/KG AHEAD OF THE FRONT EWD ACROSS THE TN VALLEY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH 0-6 KM SHEAR OF 40 TO 50 KT…EVIDENT
ON THE JACKSON MS AND MEMPHIS TN WSR-88D VWPS…SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT
FOR SEVERE STORMS AND POSSIBLY SUPERCELLS. ALTHOUGH WIND DAMAGE AND
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL BE PRIMARY THREATS…LOW-LEVEL SHEAR COULD
BE STRONG ENOUGH FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT ESPECIALLY ACROSS NW
AL WHERE THE HUNTSVILLE AL WSR-88D VWP SHOWS A CURVED HODOGRAPH.

Categories: Weather

Severe Storms Possible Tonight

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 15:19

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Thunderstorms are beginning to form over Northwest Alabama this afternoon…

Showers and storms will increase in coming hours as a cold front approaches from the north. Not much change in the overall thinking; SPC maintains an “enhanced” severe weather risk over Northwest Alabama, with a “slight” risk down to Birmingham, and a “marginal” risk to Montgomery.

The higher tornado probabilities are north of Alabama, where a tornado watch is up for parts of Tennessee, Kentucky, and southern Indiana until 9p CT. We can’t rule out an isolated tornado over Northwest Alabama this evening, but the core threats will come from hail and strong straight line winds. High resolution model data hints the most active storms will impact Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden between 8:00 p.m. and 12:00 midnight. Storms will weaken after midnight as they move south of I-20.

Of course, when it comes to thunderstorms, expect the unexpected, so we will watch radar trends closely.

EASTER WEEKEND: Tons of sun for Alabama tomorrow and Sunday. It will be cooler tomorrow with a high in the mid 60s, and temperatures will drop to near 40 degrees early Sunday. Colder valleys and protected areas will reach the 30s with a chance of scattered light frost. A good chance this will be the last frost threat of the season. Sunday’s high will be somewhere between 67 and 70 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Moisture returns quickly, and Monday looks wet with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms. Then, moist air stays in place for the rest of the week; looks like highs in the low 80s Tuesday through Thursday. There will be a risk of scattered showers and storms each day, but also there will be some very nice intervals of sunshine along the way. Showers and storms should increase by Friday and Saturday (April 10-11) with an upper trough approaching. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Just a few scattered showers on the coast tonight and tomorrow morning from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, otherwise mostly sunny days and fair nights will continue through Monday. Widely scattered showers are possible Tuesday through Thursday of next week, but on the positive side expect about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day. Highs will remain in the 70s, and sea water temperatures are in the mid to upper 60s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Twitter
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Stay tuned to the blog for updates on the storms as they fire up tonight…

Categories: Weather

Early Afternoon Update

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 13:59

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: The SPC maintains an “enhanced” risk for severe weather for much of Northwestern Alabama today roughly along and line from Reform to Cullman to Scottsboro. South of that, a “slight” risk extends just south of the Intestate 59 corridor from Livingston, Brent, Hoover, and Gadsden, with a “marginal” risk as far south as the Montgomery area.

SET-UP: A very warm, moist, and unstable air mass is in place across the state today. A cold front across the Mississippi and Ohio Valleys is sinking towards the south and it is providing the needed uplift for storms. The main low pressure center with this system is well to the north in Canada. This is good news, because that means the best dynamics are displaced from the instability, however, there is still enough to allow for strong and severe storms. Early this afternoon, a tornado watch has already been issued for portions of Kentucky and Tennessee. We are expecting to see additional watches issued and that does include into Alabama the next several hours.

THREATS: The front will be arriving into the state later this evening, and we will have the uplift and instability to produce severe storms. Shear values are not overly impressive, so for us in Alabama, there is a very low tornado threat, but it is still not zero. The line of storms will move into the state, and we are expecting the threat of damaging winds as well as the possibility of large hail. The farther north you go, the greater the threat for severe weather, and the storms will be stronger over the Tennessee Valley of the state. Expect frequent lightning and very heavy rainfall with these storms that develop today.

TIMING: A quick look at the radar this afternoon shows the main area of storms remains well to the north of Alabama. However, we are expecting to see additional convection develop along the Mississippi River and begin to head towards the south and east. We could see a few storms develop out ahead of the main line, and these will have to be watched carefully. We are expecting the line of storms to enter northwestern portions of the state around 5PM. The storms will continue to work their way towards the southeast during the early evening hours and should be approaching the Interstate 59 corridor closer to 9PM. The main action will arrive after the sunsets, so make sure you stay weather aware this evening,  to about midnight. As the storms continue to move towards the southeast, they will be slowly weakening and the threat for severe storms will be diminishing the farther south you head.

Categories: Weather

Severe Weather Threat Tonight

Fri, 04/03/2015 - 06:35

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

EARLY THIS MORNING: All is quiet across the great state of Alabama this morning; nothing on the radar at daybreak, and temperatures are in the 50s and 60s. The day will be mostly rain-free, with only a small risk of a shower through early afternoon. The high today will be in the 77-80 degree range.

ACTIVE WEATHER TONIGHT: The guys at SPC maintain an “enhanced” severe weather threat over Northwest Alabama, with the standard “slight” risk down to I-59, and a “marginal” risk as far south as Montgomery…

A few storms could fire up late this afternoon over Northwest Alabama, as early as 4:00 p.m… and this is where and when there is a low end tornado threat. Higher low level helicity values are north of Alabama, where tornado probabilities will be higher. Still, we will need to watch radar trends closely.

The core threat for the state will come from a band of storms along the cold front tonight in the form of hail, and strong straight line winds. The tornado threat along the front is not zero, but it is very small. The main window for the storms along the cold front will come from about 7:00 p.m. until 12:00 midnight… storms will weaken after midnight as they move south of I-20.

THE EASTER WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be a sun filled day, but temperatures will be cooler with a high in the 61-65 degree range. Sunday morning will be pretty chilly; most communities will see a low near 40, but colder valleys will drop into the 30s with a chance of some frost. Then, we warm to near 70 degrees Sunday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine.

NEXT WEEK: Moisture returns late Sunday night, and showers and storms are likely Monday. The rest of the week looks warm and unsettled with some risk of showers/storms every day…. for now it is hard to define the days with the best coverage of rain. Seems like there will be some risk of strong to severe storms late in the week with a dynamic system moving out of the Southern Plains. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny today from Panama City over the Gulf Shores with a high in the low 70s… a few scattered showers or storms are possible tonight and tomorrow morning, but otherwise the weekend will be dry with highs remaining in the low 70s. Next week looks pretty pleasant with only widely scattered showers and about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 67 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I had a great time visiting on the campus of Western Kentucky University in Bowling Green… I will be back at my post by early afternoon, and weather permitting I will have another Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Cold Front Arrives Tomorrow Night

Thu, 04/02/2015 - 15:31

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today… I am in Bowling Green, KY; will speak this evening at Western Kentucky University**

SCATTERED STORMS: Heavier storms this afternoon as of 3:30 are near the Georgia border, and over Shelby and St. Clair Counties. They are producing lots of lighting, and some small hail as they move northeast…

The storms will die down tonight, but a few showers could linger into the late night hours.

TOMORROW: SPC maintains an “enhanced” severe weather risk over Northwest Alabama, and the standard “slight” risk is up for the northern and central counties…

The high resolution NAM model shows very little development during the day tomorrow; the sun will be out at times and the high will be close to 80. A few isolated storms could fire up over Northwest Alabama by late afternoon… those are the ones that might produce an isolated tornado, where the enhanced severe weather risk is in place.

But it looks like a mostly linear thunderstorm event… the NAM suggests the line of storms will be approaching Birmingham/Tuscaloosa/Anniston/Gadsden by 10:00 p.m… (model output below is valid at 10p CDT tomorrow)

The main threat will come from hail and strong straight line winds, and the storms should weaken after midnight as they move south of I-20. Rain amounts of around 1/2 inch are likely.

EASTER WEEKEND: A cool, dry airmass moves in… Saturday will be sunny with a high in the mid 60s… and Sunday’s high will be close to 70 with a bright sunny sky. Important to note Sunday morning will be pretty chilly… most places will see a low in the low 40s, but colder valleys and protected areas will see temperatures in the mid to upper 30s with a chance of scattered light frost. Looks like the last frost threat of the season.

NEXT WEEK: Moist air returns quickly, and showers and storms are possible by Monday. The rest of the week looks warm and rather unsettled with some risk of showers and thunderstorms on just about a daily basis. There could be one or two days with some severe weather threat.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather continues along the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores tomorrow with a high in the 70s. A few widely scattered showers are possible tomorrow night and Saturday morning, but otherwise the weekend looks fine with a good supply of sunshine both days. Saturday will be a bit cooler with a high in the 60s. Next week, about 7-9 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered showers.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow..

Categories: Weather