ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 2 hours 41 min ago

Showers and Storms Pushing Into Northwest Alabama

Sun, 08/17/2014 - 11:19

Click image to enlarge

At late morning, a surface low was over northern Kentucky, near Owensboro. This feature is depicted well on satellite imagery and radar reflectivity loops. An upper low was over southern Illinois, with a trough trailing back into Arkansas and northern Texas. Showers and storms developed this morning from southwestern Tennessee into northern Mississippi ahead of the trough, which is progressing eastward with the upper low.

The trough is tapping some deeper moisture that you find back over Texas and heavy rain has been the result. There was a flash flood warning over the Delta of northwestern Mississippi where 2-4 inches of rain fell in 3 hours with additional rain falling.

The forecast for your Sunday will be influenced by that disturbance and those showers/storms. Indications are that they will settle into Northwest Alabama through the early afternoon and try to settle toward the I-20 corridor. But they should weaken as they drop into that drier air we mentioned two paragraphs ago. They may hold together enough to bring showers and weakening storms to the I-20 corridor.

So, expect increasing clouds northwest of I-59 into the afternoon with a chance of showers and storms. Highs will generally be in the lower 90s. Expect a warm and humid evening with lows in the 70s. There will be a small chance of showers.

The trough will slide a little east tonight and will be over us tomorrow, leading to increasing shower and thunderstorm chances. Highs will top out around 90F, with about a 50-60% chance of rain and thunderstorms.

Categories: Weather

Warm as Moisture Creeps Up

Sun, 08/17/2014 - 06:51

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Lower 90s were the highs across Central Alabama yesterday, and moisture levels have crept up as evidenced by dew point observations this morning. So the relatively cooler weather of the last several days has become more typical of mid-August with highs today mainly in the lower 90s. With moisture up, isolated showers will be possible driven by afternoon heating.

Monday and into Tuesday our rain chances become better as showers should become more widespread and numerous thanks to the short wave trough now over Southeast Missouri passing across the Southeast US. Clouds and the presence of showers should help to hold temperatures in check in the 88 to 92 range. The short wave trough passes late Tuesday and Wednesday as an upper ridge builds across the Lower Mississippi River Valley. With some moisture sticking around, we should drop back to isolated afternoon showers for the latter half of the upcoming week as heat values rise into the middle and perhaps upper 90s. Showers should be limited so many of us will remain dry.

The ridge sticks with us into the weekend, so the forecast will continue to mention the possibility of isolated showers during the afternoon and early evening hours. It will remain warm with highs mainly in the middle 90s with some spots edging into the upper 90s.

For beach enthusiasts, showers will be scattered along the coast through Tuesday with showers becoming more isolated by the middle of the week. High temperatures will be in the upper 80s along the coast with lower 90s inland. Look for 4 to 6 hours of sunshine through Tuesday with 7 to 9 hours for the end of the week. Water temperatures in the Gulf continue to be in the middle 80s.

Tropical Atlantic is still relatively quiet with a small area of disturbed weather west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible as it moves westward across the South Central Atlantic.

Voodoo country has become a land of mixed messages. The GFS shows a trough around the 27th of August over the Middle Mississippi River Valley but not nearly as strong as we’ve been seeing for the last month or so. But by the first of September the pattern becomes an elongated ridge across the southern tier of the US. So warm but not extremely hot.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. I’ll be at Magnolia Manor in Helena this afternoon helping to introduce the newest Helena Belles. Have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Mostly Sunny and Hot Afternoon

Sat, 08/16/2014 - 15:17

It is another hot, dry, and mostly sunny day across the state of Alabama, and much of the Southeast. We are all basking under a sun-filled and blue sky, with just a few fair weather cumulus clouds showing up out there. No rain falling anywhere across the state, and heading through the rest of today and into tonight, the clear and dry weather will continue. We still see our dew points in the lower 60s, which is not making it quite as uncomfortable as it can be this time of year.

With the drier air hanging around for one more day, we have all seen a quick warm-up in our temperatures today. All locations across the state are either in the upper 80s or lower 90s. It is a hot afternoon out there, but once the sun sets this evening, we should begin to see those temps drop back through the 80s and head towards the lower 70s. The weather will be a nice for any outdoor plans you may have this evening or tonight.

Categories: Weather

Dry and Sunny Today; Some Heat Ahead

Sat, 08/16/2014 - 06:53

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

After another nice start to the day with temperatures in the 60s we should see plenty of sunshine allowing afternoon highs to reach the lower 90s. But it should remain dry. However, moisture will be on the increase as we see dew points climb back toward 70 degrees with the possibility of isolated storms for Sunday.

An upper level short wave traversing the Ohio River Valley will dip far enough south to pick up the shower potential for Monday and early Tuesday. Once that short wave passes an upper level ridge will build across the Southeast US from Tuesday through Saturday. This could potentially bring us some of the hottest weather of the summer of 2014 so far. Highs at least in the mid 90s with the upper 90s possible. With moisture levels up but not especially high, we will need to include the possibility of isolated storms for the latter part of the week, but it is likely that most of us stay dry until the upper ridge moves west of us around Saturday.

Tropics remain relatively quiet. A disturbance in the vicinity of the Cape Verde Island showed some organization and a tropical depression could form. However, after passing the Cape Verde Islands, conditions are much less favorable for additional development.

For beach goers, today will be just great, but as we get into Sunday through midweek, you can expect elevated rain chances. The upper ridge will bring back nearly perfect conditions for beach for the latter half of the week. Expect hot and humid conditions with several hours of sun each day. Rain chances through midweek will be around 40 to 50 percent. After that, 20 percent will be about the average. Water temperatures are running in the middle 80s at Dauphin Island Sea Lab.

Looking into Week 2, the GFS is bullish on the idea of a broad ridge centered over the Central Plains and big enough to keep us in some August heat. This is sure different from the pattern we’ve been seeing since early July, so we’ll watch and see what unfolds.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted first thing on Sunday morning. Enjoy the warm and dry day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Heat/Moisture Levels To Rise In Coming Days

Fri, 08/15/2014 - 15:41

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER DRY DAY: No rain on radar this afternoon, and temperatures remain below average with most communities over North and Central Alabama in the 80s…

Tonight will be clear and pleasant with a low in the mid 60s; a few of the cooler pockets over Northeast Alabama could visit the upper 50s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Alabama’s weather will remain dry tomorrow with a high around 90, but we will introduce the risk of a few scattered showers or thunderstorms Sunday afternoon as moisture levels rise. Temperatures should reach the low 90s Sunday afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: Scattered showers and storms become more likely Monday through Wednesday in a moist, unstable airmass across Alabama with low 90s each afternoon. Then, upper ridging will build late in the week with temperatures moving into the mid 90s with a decrease in the number of showers and storms. Hot weather will continue into the following weekend (August 23-24)… see the Weather Xtreme video for the details and graphics.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather continues tomorrow from Panama City to Gulf Shores, then a few scattered storms will show up Sunday through much of next week, but still we project at least 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day. Highs remain in the upper 80s in the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures generally in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: The African wave train is picking up, but the waves are having a very hard time as they move west/northwest due to dry air and cooler than average ocean water, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday… my next video will be posted bright and early Monday morning by 7:00 a.m. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Hotter Afternoons Ahead

Fri, 08/15/2014 - 06:05

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER VERY PLEASANT MORNING: Another nice fall preview; temperatures just before sunrise include…

Black Creek 56
Fort Payne 57
Valley Head 57
Russellville 57
Concord 58
Pleasant Grove 58
Bessemer 60
Anniston 61
Gadsden 61
Birmingham 63

But let’s not forget this is mid-August in Alabama, so we do expect rising heat and humidity levels in coming days. The sky will stay mostly sunny today and tomorrow; the high today will be close to 90, with low 90s possible tomorrow.

We will introduce the risk of widely scattered afternoon showers Sunday as moisture levels rise with a high in the low 90s.

NEXT WEEK: Scattered showers and storms should become more numerous in a moist, unstable environment Monday and Tuesday with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the low 90s both days. Then, we could creep up into the mid 90s over the latter half of the week as a 5940 meter 500 mb ridge sets up just west of Alabama. The ridge also means afternoon showers and storms will become fewer in number by Thursday and Friday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny weather from Panama City to Gulf Shores today and tomorrow, then for Sunday and much of next week, about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with a few scattered thunderstorms. On the immediate coast highs will remain in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE: The Atlantic basin remains very quiet. Waves coming off the African coast fizzle out in the very dry air over the deep tropics, and no sign of any change through early next week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day….

Categories: Weather

Pleasant Tonight; Hotter Afternoons Ahead

Thu, 08/14/2014 - 14:55

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am live on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00 from a function to benefit United Cerebral Palsy in downtown Birmingham**

ANOTHER DANDY DAY: Temperatures remain well below average this afternoon across Alabama, with temperatures generally in the mid 80s at mid-afternoon…

Tonight will be much like last night, and just like fall with temperatures falling into the 58-62 degree range at most locations. The coolest observation around here this morning was a refreshing 52 degrees at Black Creek, just northeast of Gadsden in Etowah County.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: As you might expect, heat and humidity levels will be on the rise; this is mid-August after all. Tomorrow and Saturday will be mostly sunny; the high tomorrow will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, with low 90s possible Saturday afternoon. We will introduce the risk of a few isolated showers or thunderstorms Sunday afternoon, but for now it looks like they will be few and far between.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms will be more likely Monday and Tuesday as moisture deepens, but they thin out again Wednesday through Friday thanks to an upper ridge building across the region. Highs will be around 90 Monday and Tuesday, but mid 90s are likely over the latter half of the week… a good reminder we still have some hot weather left this summer.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather continues on the coast tomorrow and Saturday with only a slight risk of a shower from Panama City to Gulf Shores. Then, Sunday through much of next week expect about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day with a few scattered storms around. Highs remain in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: A healthy wave is emerging off the African coast in the far eastern Atlantic, but due to dry air development is not likely, and tropical storm formation is not expected in the Atlantic basin through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Just Like Fall This Morning

Thu, 08/14/2014 - 05:59

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AUGUST, OR OCTOBER? Here are some temperatures around the great state of Alabama at daybreak…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 52
Fort Payne 54
Valley Head 54
Cullman 55
Russellville 55
Noccalula Falls/Gadsden 56
Concord 57
Haleyville 57
Fayette 58
Gadsden Airport 59
Anniston 60
Tuscaloosa 62
Birmingham 63

Our weather won’t change much today with a very dry airmass in place; a sunny sky, low humidity, and a high in the mid to upper 80s.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Dry weather continues with a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Saturday; heat levels creep up slowly with a high around 90 tomorrow, followed by low 90s Saturday. Moisture begins to return Sunday, and an afternoon shower or storm could pop up in a few places, but we note the 00Z GFS came in pretty dry for Sunday.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms become more numerous Monday with an increase in moisture and a weak front approaching from the north. Showers and storms begin to thin out a bit Tuesday, and then our weather trends dry Wednesday through Friday. The drying trend it not due to cooler and drier air moving in from the north, but due to an upper high expected to build across the region, which means rising heat levels. We should be up in the mid 90s over the latter half of next week with very few cooling showers around. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights through Sunday from Panama City to Gulf Shores with only a slight risk of a shower. A few scattered showers and storms are possible early next week, but we still expect about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day. Highs will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

TROPICS: All is quiet across the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Cool August Night Ahead For Alabama

Wed, 08/13/2014 - 15:15

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FINE SUMMER DAY: Sure doesn’t feel like the middle of August in Alabama today thanks to low humidity levels and temperatures below average.

Tonight will be unseasonably cool. We project a low in the low 60s for most communities, but the cooler spots will easily reach the 50s. Birmingham’s record low for August 14 is 54 degrees set in 2004 in the wake of Tropical Storm Bonnie and Hurricane Charley, which passed to the east of here. It will feel just like fall.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: The weather stays dry through Saturday with sunny days, low humidity levels, and pleasant nights. Moisture levels begin to rise Sunday, and we will bring in the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers or thunderstorms. The high tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 80s, and then expect a high close to 90 for Friday and the weekend.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms will become more numerous across the state early next week with a deep layer of moisture in place and short wave energy involved. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days and fair nights for the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Saturday with only isolated showers. Scattered showers and storms will be a little more active Sunday into early next week, but even then a decent amount of sunshine is likely.

TROPICS: Dry air air covers much of the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Dry, Continental Air Arrives

Wed, 08/13/2014 - 06:05

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

REFRESHING CHANGE: A nice touch of fall is in the air over the northern third of Alabama this morning… some temperatures at daybreak include…

Meridianville (near Huntsville in Madison County) 57
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 59
Fort Payne 59
Valley Head 59
Crossville 59
Scottsboro 59

Today will be sunny with low humidity with a high in the mid to upper 80s.

REST OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND: The dry air stays in place through Saturday, so a simple forecast continues with mostly sunny days and fair pleasant nights. We project a low down in the low 60s early tomorrow, with 50s again for the cooler pockets. Afternoon highs will be in the 87-91 degree range. Moist air begins to return Sunday, and we will introduce the chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and evening hours.

NEXT WEEK: Rather unsettled weather is likely for the first half of the week, with scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms Monday through Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the latest maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores through Saturday with only isolated thunderstorms. Scattered storms will be a little more likely Sunday and early next week, but even then you will still see a decent amount of sun. Highs will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

TROPICS: All remains quiet and tropical storm formation is not expected across the Atlantic basin through the end of the week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program this morning for patients at the Children’s Hospital of Alabama… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Several Rain-Free Days Ahead; Cooler Nights

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 15:28

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ON THE RADAR: A broken band of showers and thunderstorms is over North Alabama this afternoon ahead of a cold front pushing into the Tennessee Valley…

The showers are moving southeast, and will fade quickly this evening as drier air takes over.

REST OF THE WEEK: Looks great for the northern two-thirds of our state, with sunny days, lower humidity levels, and cooler nights. Highs will be in the 87-90 degree range, with lows down in the low 60s. Some of the cooler spots could reach the upper 50s for a nice fall preview.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks like we stay dry Saturday with a good supply of sunshine and a high at or just over 90 degrees. Moisture levels begin to rise Sunday, and a few scattered afternoon showers or thunderstorms will be possible.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms become more likely Monday and Tuesday, with moist unstable air in place and short wave energy involved. See the Weather Xtreme video for the latest maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Looks very nice through Saturday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, with mostly sunny days, fair nights, and only isolated storms. Highs on the immediate coast will remain in the upper 80s, and sea water temperatures are in the mid 80s.

TROPICAL WEATHER UPDATE: The guys at NHC have given up on Invest 94L in the Atlantic due to the very dry air surrounding the system, and for now they do not expect any tropical development in the Atlantic basin over the next five days.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Dry Air Getting Closer To Alabama

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 06:09

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Nothing on the radar across Alabama this morning, but a moist airmass remains in place with dew points in the low 70s.

We expect a few widely scattered showers and storms to form this afternoon as another summer cold front pushes in our state from the north. The chance of any one spot getting wet is about one in five, and the best chance of showers will come after 12:00 noon. Today’s high will be somewhere between 87 and 90 degrees for most communities.

DRY DAYS: Tonight cooler and drier moves down into the northern half of the state, and we still project rain-free weather for North and Central Alabama tomorrow through Saturday. Expect mostly sunny days, fair cool nights, and low humidity. Highs will be mostly in the upper 80s, with early morning lows down in the low 60s early Thursday and Friday morning. A good chance some of the cooler valleys across North Alabama will visit the upper 50s, a very nice preview of fall.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: No rain Saturday with a mostly sunny sky, but moist air returns Sunday, and a few scattered afternoon showers or storms will be possible. Highs over the weekend should be pretty close to 90 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms become more likely Monday and Tuesday as moisture levels continue to rise, and short wave energy impacts our state. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: A few scattered showers and storms will form this afternoon on the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores with about 5 to 7 hours of sunshine. Then, expect mostly sunny days tomorrow through Saturday with only widely scattered showers. Highs on the immediate coast will remain in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

TROPICS: A disturbance in the eastern Atlantic is moving west/northwest, and won’t be able to develop in the short term due to very dry air surrounding the system. The rest of the Atlantic basin is very quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon… enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 446: Ubiquitous Data Availability and Social Media

Tue, 08/12/2014 - 04:00

WeatherBrains Episode 446 is now online (August 11, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

This week’s guest weather brain is Rachael Witter, chief meteorologist at WUTR-TV in Utica, NY, and developer of a new app called “Updraft”. Software engineer Aaron Nelsen joins us as well. “Updraft” is a version of the BUFKIT analysis tool that can be run on a tablet or phone.

Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

From The Weather Center:

WeatherBrains 101: In this episode of WeatherBrains 101, we’ll take a look at a weather term that has one rather universal meaning but a slightly different meaning in the field of weather.

TWIWH: Bill Murray looks back at the week of August 11th.

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 446:

Updraft App

BUFKIT for Mac

Picks of the Week:

Nate Johnson – The AMS journals page

John Scala – Ocean Prediction Center

Rick Smith – The Vane blog

James Spann – Iowa State online BUFKIT tool

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Categories: Weather

Severe Thunderstorm Warning Clay/Talladega until 5:30 PM

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 17:01

A severe thudnerstorms is moving southeast through Talladega County and will be entering Clay Count. Along with frequent lightning and very heavy rainfall, this storm is capable of producing hail and damaging winds. State highways 9, 21, and 77 will be impacted by this storm.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
SOUTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA…
CENTRAL TALLADEGA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 500 PM CDT…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…AND DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SYCAMORE…
OR 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF SYLACAUGA…AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
CHANDLER SPRINGS…ROSELLE…CLEVELAND CROSSROADS AND SPRINGHILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

FOR YOUR PROTECTION…MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF
YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

Categories: Weather

Drier Air Moves In Tomorrow Night

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 15:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Scattered strong storms, as expected, have formed across the great state of Alabama this afternoon. Some of the heavier ones at mid-afternoon were over Blount and St. Clair Counties in East Alabama, and over Marengo and Hale Counties of West Alabama. Storms are producing lots of lightning, gusty winds, and very heavy rain as they move east/southeast.

A flash flood watch was issued earlier for the Auburn/Opelika areas of Lee County, where over three inches of rain produced flooding making some roads impassable for a while.

We will maintain the risk of showers and storms across the state tonight, ahead of a cold front.

TOMORROW: The weather trends drier. We will still mention a chance of widely scattered showers and storms, but as dew points fall the chance of organized rain gets smaller; the high tomorrow will be in the 87-90 degree range.

DRY DAYS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY: Sure looks like four consecutive days with no chance of rain for the northern two-thirds of Alabama as dry air settles in. We expect a good supply of sunshine each day Wednesday through Saturday with lower humidity and cooler nights. The low will drop into the low 60s early Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday morning, with potential for upper 50s across cooler valleys of North Alabama. Yet another very nice preview of fall. Highs will remain between 87 and 90 degrees.

We will introduce a small risk of a shower or storm Sunday afternoon as moisture returns, but widespread rain is not expected.

NEXT WEEK: We go back into a wetter pattern early next week with tropical moisture returning, and short wave energy move in from the west. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine tomorrow with a few scattered storms from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, then mostly sunny days and fair nights with only a slight risk of a shower Wednesday through Saturday. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

TROPICS: The disturbance in the far eastern Atlantic will have a pretty hard time in coming days as it moves west/northwest due to very dry air. If it happens to develop, most likely this one will pass north of the Leeward Islands and won’t be a Gulf of Mexico threat. Again, see the maps and graphics on the Weather Xtreme video.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Categories: Weather

Flash Flood Warning Lee County until 5PM

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 13:59

For several hours, very heavy rainfall has been falling across Lee County. Flash flooding is now becoming a concern as several inches of rain have fallen over the same locations. This warning does include the cities of Auburn and Opelika, as well as the campuses of Southern Union and Auburn University.

Travel along Interstate 85 and U.S. 280 could be impacted. Remember if you encounter flooded roadways…TURN AROUND, DON’T DROWN!!!

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR…
CENTRAL LEE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 158 PM CDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED SLOW MOVING
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA.
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES SHOW TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN
IN THE OPELIKA AND MOUNT JEFFERSON AREAS.

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE…
AUBURN…OPELIKA…AUBURN UNIVERSITY…BEANS MILL…BEAUREGARD AND
GRIFFEN MILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS…HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY…
COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS…STREAMS AND
OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. TURN AROUND…DON’T DROWN.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

Categories: Weather

Drier Air Arrives Wednesday

Mon, 08/11/2014 - 06:15

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SCATTERED STORMS THROUGH TOMORROW: Moist, unstable air continues to cover Alabama this morning, and we project more scattered thunderstorms later today and early tonight. Forecasting the placement, coverage, and intensity of storms on a summer afternoon in Alabama is always a challenge due to their scattered and rather random nature, but the chance of any one spot getting wet later today is about 4 in 10. Some of the storms will pack a punch with lots of lightning, gusty winds, and heavy rain. The best chance of seeing a storm will come from about 2 p.m. until 8 p.m. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds today with a high around 90 degrees.

A cold front will move into North Alabama late tomorrow, and a few more storms are possible, but the coverage of the storms most likely won’t be as great.

A CHANGE TO DRIER WEATHER: Drier air moves down into North Alabama tomorrow night, and the stage is set for shower-free weather across most of Alabama Wednesday through Friday with mostly sunny days, lower humidity, and cooler nights. Early morning lows will drop into the 60-65 degree range early Thursday and Friday morning, with potential for upper 50s for some of the cooler pockets. Highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, pretty comfortable for the middle of August in Alabama.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Looks like the dry air will stay with us Saturday with a good supply of sunshine, then we will mention just an outside risk of a shower or thunderstorm Sunday afternoon as moisture slowly returns. Highs over the weekend will be at, or just over 90 degrees.

Scattered showers and storms become more likely early next week as the moisture deepens across the state. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: The weather looks pretty good on the Gulf Coast this week from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day and just a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Very similar conditions for the weekend. Highs will be in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

TROPICAL WEATHER: A disturbance in the far eastern Atlantic, south of the Cape Verde Islands, has some potential for slow development later this week as it moves west/northwest. Way too early to determine if this will be an issue for the Caribbean or the Gulf.

The rest of the Atlantic basin is very quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking at the annual broadcast meteorology program summer workshop this morning at Mississippi State University in Starkville… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Clouds Hold Back Storms…For Now

Sun, 08/10/2014 - 13:25

A moist airmass continues across Alabama on this Sunday.

But thick cloud cover has kept temperatures below the convective temperature, or the temperature at which showers and storms form. But highs should top out in the middle to upper 80s this afternoon, allowing showers and storms to eventually form.

That was starting to happen around over southern Tennessee and northwestern Alabama where instabilities are greater due to more sunshine.

These storms will push southeastward into Central Alabama even as other storms form. Not much change is expected tomorrow either as the moist airmass and disturbances remain in place.

Categories: Weather

Morning Fog; Afternoon Storms

Sun, 08/10/2014 - 07:12

No Weather Xtreme Video this morning due to intermittent Internet connectivity issues. Here’s the discussion for the weather changes coming in the week ahead.

After the widespread showers Saturday afternoon, fog developed and became dense in spots prompting the issuance of a dense fog advisory until 9 am for much of the southern two-thirds of Alabama. Fog should burn off or rise into a cloud deck by 8 to 9 am. With lots of low level moisture in place, a few showers were evident on radar, too, so I expect to see our unsettled weather pattern continue today and Monday with widespread numerous showers and thunderstorms forming by early afternoon. Temperatures will once again climb to near 90 for our highs and could then nose dive into the 70s if you encounter a shower or thunderstorm nearby.

The overall upper air pattern with a deepening trough promises to bring us another instance of a summertime front with drier and cooler air by midweek. This will keep us unsettled until about Wednesday when the drier, cooler air arrives.

The deep trough maintains a position over the eastern US into the end of the week as it weakens slightly. With the northwesterly flow aloft, the GFS suggests some embedded short waves that could produce mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) over the Central Plains that will ride the flow southeastward into the Southeast US. There is no skill to forecast that specific event this far in advance, so we’ll want to keep a wary eye on the possibility of such a development. Awareness of this potential will allow quick adjustment to the forecast should an MCS develop.

With the drier and cooler air in place, we should see morning lows dip into the upper 50s Thursday and Friday morning. These will feel great once again, but the likelihood of setting new record low temperatures is not high since the records for those dates in Birmingham stand at 54 degrees set in 2004.

Moisture levels come back up once again as we head into next weekend, so showers mainly driven by afternoon heating return to the forecast as highs climb into the 89 to 92 range.

Beach goers will encounter scattered showers and storms for the next several days, but nothing to ruin the whole day. Each afternoon you can expect to see highs in the upper 80s. The Gulf water temperature remain very mild – balmy in fact – with lower and middle 80s common from Dauphin Island east to Panama City.

Tropical Atlantic has been quiet for a number of days, but a disturbance has moved just off the African continent. Any development of this system will be slow to occur, but we are getting into the climatological period for the development of long track/long lasting tropical systems, so this one will bear watching.

For voodoo country followers, the GFS has flipped once again. The eastern US trough maintains a presence through about the 19th of August before it undergoes a change to a big ridge over the eastern half of the country. Right! We’ll see how that comes along as forecast confidence in the extended forecast takes another plunge.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I’ll be filling in for Meaghan Thomas on ABC 3340 at 5 and 10 pm this evening, so be sure to catch the latest weather forecast then. James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Stormy Saturday Afternoon

Sat, 08/09/2014 - 14:40

Strong, and currently non-severe storms are impacting many locations across Central Alabama. Storms are producing very heavy, but beneficial rain, gusty winds, and lots of lightning. Main complex of storms is along the Interstate 20 corridor and we continue to see the bulk of the activity pushing off towards the southeast. The showers and storms will persist through the afternoon and into the evening hours before slowly winding down later tonight.

Categories: Weather