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Dry Weather Through Sunday

Fri, 05/22/2015 - 06:11

MAY, OR OCTOBER? Many communities are in the 40s to begin this late May day… some pre-dawn temperatures:

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 42
Fort Payne 43
Valley Head 43
Cullman 46
Haleyville 46
Concord 47
Center Point 48
Birmingham 49
Tuscaloosa 49
Anniston 59

The weather will be delightful day, with sunshine in full supply and a high in the mid 70s. Humidity levels will remain very low.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: We stay dry through Sunday; temperatures will be warmer tomorrow and Sunday with highs back in the mid 80s… and the sky will be partly to mostly sunny both days. Then, on Monday, moist air returns, and we will bring back the chance of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” with a mix of sun and clouds.

REST OF NEXT WEEK: Warm, humid weather is the story, and each day there will be a risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Otherwise, partly sunny days with highs in the 80s. Pretty much what you expect at the end of May in Alabama.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: No rain through Sunday at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium… mostly sunny days and fair nights. The high today will be in the 70s, with 80s returning tomorrow and Sunday. It will be cool again tonight; a light jacket or sweater is not a bad idea.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores today and tomorrow, then about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine Sunday through all of next week, with the daily risk of widely scattered showers or thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees.

RAIN UPDATE: Birmingham’s surplus for the year is down to 1.07″. The total since January 1 is 23.49″, and we have measured only 0.32″ for the entire month of May.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Almost Like A Fall Day

Thu, 05/21/2015 - 15:20

MORE LIKE OCTOBER: The average high for Birmingham on May 21 is 82 degrees; today the 3:00 temperature at Birmingham-Shuttlesworth Airport is only 67 with a north wind gusting to 22 mph at times. To the north, Nashville is in the mid 50s.

Pesky clouds have lingered today over the northern half of the state, keeping temperatures down…

We do note upper 80s over South Alabama, where it feels more like late May.

TOMORROW: The clouds will finally move out this evening, and with a clear sky and dry air, we expect many locations will see a low in the 40s early tomorrow. Then, during the day, the sky will be mostly sunny with a high in the mid to upper 70s.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: We trend warmer; look for highs back in the mid 80s Saturday and Sunday with a partly to mostly sunny sky both days. Then, on Monday, moisture levels will rise, and we will bring in the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”.

Warm, humid weather will continue through the week with partly sunny days, and the risk of a shower or storm in a few spots on a daily basis. Highs remain in the 80s.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: No rain through Sunday; sunny days and fair nights at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium. Highs in the mid 70s tomorrow, then back in the 80s Saturday and Sunday. It will be cool tonight with temperatures falling into the 50s… a light jacket or sweater will be in order.

BEACH FORECAST: Mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through Sunday with only a slight risk of a shower each day from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Next week looks very routine for late May with about 7 to 9 hours of sun each day along with the risk of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be mostly in the low to mid 80s, the sea water temperature early this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 85 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Cool Change

Thu, 05/21/2015 - 06:23

REFRESHING AIRMASS ARRIVES TODAY: A surface front has pushed into deep South Alabama this morning, and cooler, drier continental air will settle in. We project a high today only in the low 70s with a good supply of sunshine and low humidity levels. And, by daybreak tomorrow, cooler spots will see a low down in the 40s, well below average for late May in Alabama. The sky will stay sunny tomorrow with a high in the mid to upper 70s. Doesn’t get much better.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Afternoons turn warmer with highs back in the 80s, and we stay rain-free Saturday and Sunday with a good supply of sunshine both days. With rising moisture levels, we will mention the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” Monday with a mix of sun and clouds; the high will be in the mid 80s.

A typical early summer pattern will continue through the week, with partly sunny days and the risk of a brief afternoon shower or storm on a daily basis. Highs next week will be in the 80s, at seasonal levels.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: No rain through Sunday; sunny days and fair nights at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium. Highs in the 70s today and tomorrow, then back in the 80s Saturday and Sunday.

BEACH FORECAST: About 6 to 8 hours of sunshine today with a few scattered thunderstorms this afternoon; some of those could be strong. Then, mostly sunny days and fair nights tomorrow through Sunday with only a slight risk of a shower each day. Next week looks very routine for late May with about 7 to 9 hours of sun each day along with the risk of widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be mostly in the low 80s, the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Turning Cooler Tomorrow

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 13:08

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; will be at our son’s high school graduation**

COLD FRONT APPROACHING: Looks like a few passing showers and storms are a good possibility through tonight as a cold front moves into Alabama; SPC maintains a “marginal” severe weather threat for a decent part of the state. The main threats will come from gusty winds and small hail as the storms move through this evening.

Showers and storms will end late tonight as the front pushes south.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: These two days look delightful as cool, dry continental air covers much of our state. Sunny pleasant days, clear cool nights. Tomorrow’s high will be only in the low to mid 70s, and by early Friday morning we expect a low in the 48-52 degree range, well below average for late May in Alabama.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Saturday and Sunday are looking warm and dry with highs in the low to mid 80s; I think we can drop that small risk of a shower Sunday afternoon. Moisture levels will rise a bit by Memorial Day, and a few widely scattered showers or storms are possible Monday afternoon with a high in the mid 80s. All in all a very nice weekend to open up the summer season (at least unofficially).

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: A good chance of a shower or storm passing through tonight, but everything looks fine tomorrow through Sunday with mostly sunny days and fair nights. Highs in Hoover will be in the 70s tomorrow and Friday, and back in the 80s over the weekend.

AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine each day through Memorial Day along the beautiful stretch from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with just a few widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with mid 80s inland. Sea water temperatures are generally in the low 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Scattered Showers Later Today

Wed, 05/20/2015 - 06:22

HUMID AIR STILL IN PLACE: A surface front remains north of Alabama, and as it drifts southward we expect scattered showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and tonight. After a very wet April, with rain amounts in excess of 10 inches, Birmingham has picked up only 0.32″ for the first 19 days of May, so it is getting pretty dusty around here…. a little rain would not be a bad thing.

It won’t rain everywhere, but a few spots could see a good downpour. In fact, SPC has a “marginal” severe weather risk into the western half of Alabama, so a few strong storms are possible as well. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds today with a high in the mid 80s.

REFRESHING CHANGE TOMORROW: Models continue to trend cooler, and we have dropped the forecast high into the 70s with lower humidity and a nice north breeze along with a good supply of sunshine. Temperatures will drop down into the mid 50s by daybreak Friday, and some of the cooler pockets could see upper 40s. Then, during the day Friday, the sky will stay sunny with a high between 77 and 80. Delightful weather for late May in Alabama.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Saturday looks warm and dry with a high in the mid 80s; then with a slow increase in moisture levels we will bring back the risk of a few widely scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms Sunday and Monday, but nothing widespread or especially heavy. Highs remain in the mid 80s those two days.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: A passing shower or storm is possible at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium this afternoon and tonight, otherwise dry weather tomorrow through Saturday. A brief afternoon shower or storm is possible Sunday, but they will be scattered in nature and there is a good chance the weather stays dry for the championship game.

AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine each day on the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the holiday weekend with just a few widely scattered showers or storms around. Highs on the immediate coast will remain in the low 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Our son, Ryan, graduates from Spain Park High School this evening… so there won’t be an afternoon Weather Xtreme video today… back to the two a day schedule tomorrow.

Parents… be sure and spend time with your kids. One day they are in diapers, and the next day they are gone… Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

A Few Widely Scattered Showers

Tue, 05/19/2015 - 15:43

RADAR CHECK: A few widely scattered showers and storms are in progress this afternoon, especially east of I-65…

Otherwise, we have a mix of sun and clouds with temperatures generally in the low to mid 80s.

TOMORROW: The daytime hours tomorrow should be generally warm and dry with a high in the mid 80s; a surface front will still be a little north of the state. Then front then moves through slowly tomorrow night, and it could bring a few scattered showers or storms. Core risk will come from about 6:00 p.m. tomorrow through 4:00 a.m. Thursday. Nothing too widespread or heavy.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: These days look delightful; models have trended cooler in recent runs with lower dewpoints. We expect a good supply of sunshine both days with lower humidity levels with a high between 80 and 83 degrees. Doesn’t get any better in late May.

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Saturday will be warm and dry with a high in the mid 80s; then just the risk of a few widely scattered showers during the afternoon hours Sunday and Monday as moisture levels rise a bit. No washout; highs will stay in the mid 80s.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: Rain won’t be much of an issue for the game at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium through Sunday; highs will be in the 80s, and any showers will be few and far between. Great baseball weather for the boys of summer.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Looking good through the holiday weekend; about 8 to 10 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered showers or storms; highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with mid 80s inland. The sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is up to 84 degrees.

NEXT WEEK: Looks like temperatures will stay a little above average around here for the rest of May thanks to an upper ridge centered over Florida.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Only Widely Scattered Showers Later Today

Tue, 05/19/2015 - 06:12

NOT MUCH RAIN: The chance of any one spot seeing a shower later today is only about one in five… otherwise we expect a partly sunny sky today with a high in the mid 80s. The average high for May 19 is 82 (for Birmingham).

REST OF THE WEEK: Looks generally dry and warm, with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights. The only possible exception is tomorrow night, when the NAM brings a batch of showers and storms through here in the 9 p.m. to 3 a.m. time frame…

MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Saturday continue to look warm and dry with a high between 85 and 88 degrees; then we will bring back the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and storms Sunday and Monday with a mix of sun and clouds both days. This, of course, is a standard part of a summer forecast in Alabama, and is not a “washout” situation. Highs will remain mostly in the mid 80s into early next week.

NEXT WEEK: Early summer weather looks likely with an upper ridge holding over Florida, with just a few widely scattered showers or storms around each afternoon; no sign of any big, organized rain event, and no risk of any severe weather problems. Highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s.

SEC BASEBALL TOURNAMENT: Big week for college baseball at the Hoover Metropolitan Stadium; the event runs today through Sunday, and most days will be warm and dry with highs in the mid 80s. A brief afternoon shower is possible today, and also on Sunday, but any delays should be brief if one pops up near the stadium.

AT THE BEACH: About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine each day on the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the holiday weekend with only widely scattered showers or thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will remain in the low 80s, with mid to upper 80s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

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I will be speaking to an EMS group this morning at Trinity Medical Center, and then I head to Marshall County to speak to the Albertville Rotary Club. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 486: Pickles All Over It

Tue, 05/19/2015 - 05:20

WeatherBrains Episode 486 is now online (May 18, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Tonight’s Guest Panelist is a show alum, having appeared on episode 395 in August, 2013. He is responsible for suggesting tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain, which we will punish by making him appear as the Guest Panelist. Indeed, no good deed goes unpunished. David Drobny, welcome back.

Tonight’s Guest WeatherBrain was born in Nashville. He comes from a traveling musical family. He plays the guitar, banjo, and bass guitar, but his first love is meteorology. He is currently a junior at the University of Oklahoma School of Meteorology in Norman, where he is a research assistant with the Arctic and Antarctic Atmospheric Research Group. He is currently the Director of Development at the Oklahoma Weather Lab. Kelton Halbert, welcome to WeatherBrains.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 96 at Presidio, TX, and 22 at Scobey, MT
  • Trio of WeatherBrains gang in Norman, OK
  • Severe weather somewhat limited
  • Cold in North Central US
  • Drought busting rain in parts of Texas and Oklahoma
  • And more rain possible for those areas
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is out once again.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: Last week there was a mention of cloud iridescence, so for this weekly episode we’ll take a look at what that is and why it is sometimes hard to see.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 486:

    To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

    SHARPpy software

    Oklahoma Weather Lab

    AARG at OU

    Link to Windows version of SHARPpy

    Link to Mac OS X version of SHARPpy

    Tempest Storm Chasing

    Picks of the Week:

    David Drobny – Tornado Forecasting Workshop with Rich Thompson

    Kelton Halbert – WRF Model

    Nate Johnson – Early May, 2015, Storms Time-lapse

    Bill Murray – Experimental sounding page at SPC

    Brian Peters – Gets the fog horn!

    John Scala – FACETS at NSSL

    Kevin Selle – Elmer, OK, Tornado time lapse

    Rick Smith – Online Damage Report, May 6, 2015, Great Plains Event

    James Spann – Sea surface Temperature Contours

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Trending Drier This Week

    Mon, 05/18/2015 - 15:26

    RADAR UPDATE: Showers and storms are most numerous over the northeast counties of Alabama this afternoon… but more could form over the next few hours in the moist environment.

    TOMORROW: A surface front will push through the state, but there is little upper support, and with warm air aloft we really don’t expect much more than widely scattered, mostly afternoon showers or storms. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds tomorrow with a high in the mid 80s.

    REST OF THE WEEK: I still don’t see much reason to forecast any chance of significant rain Wednesday through Friday. These three days look warm and mostly dry, with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights. Afternoon highs will remain in the mid 80s, just a few degrees above average for mid to late May in Alabama.

    MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: No real change for Saturday; partly sunny and very warm with a high in the upper 80s. Then, on Sunday and Monday, we will introduce the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms”, which is almost a daily part of summer weather in Alabama. The high Sunday and Monday will be in the mid 80s with a mix of sun and clouds both days.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: About 8 to 10 hours each day through the holiday weekend along the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores; just a few widely scattered showers and storms each day. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with mid to upper 80s inland. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 83 degrees this afternoon.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Moist Air Still Hangs Over Alabama

    Mon, 05/18/2015 - 06:31

    RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms are confined to the northwest corner of Alabama at daybreak…

    We should also note there is a dense fog advisory for parts of Central and South Alabama, where visibilities are very restricted. That fog burns off by mid-morning.

    We will project scattered to numerous showers and storms across the state later today and early tonight, but no severe weather issues with the main dynamic forcing passing well to the north of our state. Best chance of showers and storms will come from about 2:00 p.m. until 8:00 p.m…. and the high should be in the low to mid 80s with a few intervals of sunshine possible, much like yesterday.

    TOMORROW: A surface boundary will pass through, but with little upper support, and a rather stable airmass, we don’t expect much more than widely scattered showers or storms. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds tomorrow with a high in the mid 80s.

    REST OF THE WEEK: The weather looks mostly dry and warm Wednesday through Friday with highs holding generally in the mid 80s. We do note the European model (ECMWF) pushes unstable air back in here Thursday, suggesting some risk of a few scattered storms, but we will discount that for now.

    MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND: Saturday looks warm and dry with a high in the upper 80s, but we will introduce the chance of scattered showers and storms Sunday and Monday. No wash-out, and the sun will be out at times, just be ready for a passing shower or storm from time to time on these two days, much like the weather yesterday.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: Looks good through the holiday weekend. About 8 to 10 hours of sunshine each day from Panama City west to Gulf Shores; each day there is a risk of widely scattered showers and storms, but nothing out of the ordinary for late May. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the low 80s, with mid to upper 80s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 79 degrees.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    So That Is Why I Am Sweating…

    Sun, 05/17/2015 - 13:33

    There has been a stubborn mini-ridge of high pressure holding sway over Alabama and the Southeast for the past several days. Visible satellite imagery showed the two rivers of air moving across Alabama this morning clearly: a south southeasterly low level flow around the surface high and a southwesterly flow aloft ahead of the western trough and up and over the southeastern ridge. Clouds were thickest along and east of I-65 this morning, with sunshine over western sections pushing the mercury into the 80s in places like Tuscaloosa, Jasper, Hamilton and Muscle Shoals before noon.

    Cumulus clouds were starting to develop at the convective temperature (81F) was reached. Isn’t the atmosphere amazing in its predictability (at least on some levels!)

    GEEKING OUT: The precipitable water value this morning based on the sounding from the National Weather Service office at the Shelby County Airport was 1.76 inches. This is right at the highest ever measured (1.77″) across Central Alabama, with records going back to 1964 at Gunter AFB in Montgomery, along with soundings from Montgomery and Centreville.

    WILL IT RAIN? About 50% of you will have a little ran fall into your lives this afternoon as scattered showers and storms develop with the strong heating. Showers and storms have formed over northeastern Mississippi and Northwestern Alabama. Other newly formed showers were in East Alabama over Randolph County. Additional showers and storms will form through the afternoon and evening before dissipating around midnight. Highs this afternoon will range generally between 83F and 86F. Lows tonight will be in the middle 60s.

    FOR YOUR MONDAY: Central Alabama will remain in a moist regime tomorrow as well with the approaching cold front still well to the northwest. More showers and storms will likely form to the west and push into the state at some point during the day. Highs will be well into the middle and upper 80s with a about 5-7 hours or sunshine in between and around the showers and storms.

    TUESDAY: The cold front will push into Alabama on Tuesday morning and travel southeastward across the state. Some drier air will filter in behind the front, even as it fizzles over South Alabama through midweek.

    Categories: Weather

    Passing Showers Remain Likely

    Sun, 05/17/2015 - 06:36

    Central Alabama and the Southeast US remains in a moisture rich air mass as we see no big changes to the overall weather pattern today or into the week ahead. A quick check of radar this morning showed some light scattered showers across the state producing generally light rainfall amounts. Thunderstorms were fairly numerous along the Gulf Coast yesterday including a couple of flash flood warnings in the Mobile area.

    Passing showers will also be the going weather for the beach area today with only a few peeks at the sun. Activities at The Hangout in Gulf Shores will remain in full swing with the possibility of some delays due to showers. The onshore flow is also creating a high risk for rip currents, so if you plan to be at the beach, be especially cautious if venturing into the water. The threat of a passing shower reduces into early next week, but there will still be a good amount of clouds with highs in the middle 80s with the daily threat of a scattered shower or thunderstorm.

    The closed upper low over the Southwest US ejected northeastward yesterday and was the focus for a round of severe weather in the Central Plains states. That closed low will be opening up and moving north to northeast today and will be the focus for a severe weather into the Great Lakes area trailing back into the Mid Mississippi River Valley.

    The upper ridge will be holding in place as the upper closed low opens up and moves into the Great Lakes. While this will help to dampen the upper ridge somewhat, the overall meandering of the upper ridge should keep our heights fairly stable so not much change in temperatures with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s. And with a slight west to southwest flow aloft, clouds will be remaining with us. Passing showers will mean that not everyone gets rain, however, with the heavier showers some spots could see some locally heavy rain with amounts of one half to one inch possible.

    With the upper ridge dampened somewhat at midweek, we should see a brief break in the chances for showers. The chance of rain will not drop to zero, but it does look like Wednesday should be a dry day for most of us. The upper ridge remains along and just west of the Mississippi River for the latter part of the week, so the forecast will have to show small daily chances for showers driven primarily by the heat of the day. It won’t be especially hot, however, with highs holding in the 80s and lows in the 60s for Central Alabama.

    As we edge out into voodoo country, not much change in the overall upper air pattern, so the summer-like pattern with showers appears likely to stick with us into the latter part of May.

    Watch for additional posts here for updates on the anticipated weather. James Spann will have the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video here on Monday morning. Enjoy your day and Godspeed.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    Muggy May Weather

    Sat, 05/16/2015 - 15:10

    The southerly flow over the state continues to bring ample moisture into the state. Uncomfortable and humid conditions continue today as dew points are into the 60s and 70s. Plenty of moisture is in place and we are seeing plenty of showers on the radar this afternoon. The sky is mostly cloudy and with numerous showers and storms across the state. Temperature this afternoon are near 80 degrees for much of Central Alabama.

    RADAR CHECK: Much like yesterday, we are seeing a cluster of showers and storms lifting north across the state and many locations will see rain the next several hours. The main activity continues to be across South Alabama, but it is moving north and will be impacting Central Alabama later this evening. Throughout Central Alabama we are seeing showers develop and we should continue to see these increase in  coverage the rest of the afternoon. Showers and storms should begin to wind down slowly once the sun sets and daytime heating is loss.

    What you see today is what you get tomorrow. Expect a near repeat performance in the weather tomorrow as a moisture-rich atmosphere will allow for passing scattered showers and storms at just about anytime, but with a great coverage during the afternoon and evening. Highs tomorrow will be in the lower 80s for most of Central Alabama.

    Categories: Weather

    Passing Showers Through Weekend

    Sat, 05/16/2015 - 06:53

    Quick radar check shows an area of showers in the Tennessee River Valley moving northward. Other scattered showers were occurring in the vicinity of Selma. Our moist air mass will lend itself to passing showers through the weekend, however, with the clouds in place our highs will be held into the lower half of the 80s.

    Passing showers will also be the going weather for the beach area today with only a few peeks at the sun. The onshore flow is also creating a high risk for rip currents, so if you plan to be at the beach, be especially cautious if venturing into the water. The threat of a passing shower reduces on Sunday and into early next week, but there will still be a good amount of clouds with highs in the middle 80s with the daily threat of a scattered shower or thunderstorm.

    The upper air pattern remained somewhat stagnate for the time being with a closed low over the western US. That closed low will be opening up and moving north to northeast today and will be the focus for a significant round of severe weather in the Central Plains where SPC has a moderate risk of severe weather in portions of Oklahoma, Kansas, and South Central Nebraska. The risk of severe storms diminishes to the standard slight risk on Sunday as the upper low moves into the Great Lakes.

    For us, the upper ridge will be holding in place as the upper closed low opens up and moves into the Great Lakes. While this will help to dampen the upper ridge somewhat, the overall meandering of the upper ridge should keep our heights fairly stable so no real change in temperatures with highs in the 80s. And with a slight west to southwest flow aloft, clouds will be remaining with us until midweek. Passing showers will mean that not everyone gets rain, however, with the heavier showers some spots could see some locally heavy rain with amounts of one inch or slightly more possible.

    With the upper ridge dampened somewhat at midweek, we should see a brief break in the chances for showers. Not sure the chance of rain will drop to zero, but it does look like Wednesday should be a dry day for most of us. The upper ridge remains along and just west of the Mississippi River for the latter part of the week, so the forecast will have to show some small daily chances for showers driven primarily by the heat of the day. It won’t be especially hot, however, with highs holding in the 80s and lows in the 60s for Central Alabama. These values should be pretty close to our 30-year averages of 81 for highs and 60 for lows.

    As we edge out into voodoo country, not much change in the overall upper air pattern, so the summer-like pattern with showers appears likely to stick with us into the latter part of May.

    I expect to post the next Weather Xtreme Video here on Sunday morning. You can always check back here for later updates on Central Alabama weather.

    -Brian-

    Categories: Weather

    A Long Way From Home

    Fri, 05/15/2015 - 18:32

    UPDATE JUST AFTER 7
    Power is reported out in the Brook Highland shopping area and in Bessemer on 9th avenue between 16th and 19th street. But don’t worry, the storms are not severe. At 7:10, they are lined up from west to east from Gorgas to downtown Birmingham to Pell City.

    A line of heavy showers with some lightning is pushing into the southern part of the Birmingham Metro at this hour.

    They will bring brief heavy rain, gusty winds and some lightning as they move across parts of Pickens, Tuscaloosa, Jefferson, Shelby and Talladega Counties over the next hour.

    The storms have weakened over the past couple hours as they have moved north from the Gulf Coast. They apparently started out this morning as the seabreeze front, from that refreshing flow off air off the Gulf that forms as the land heats during the day. It is a long way from home tonight, not an unusual occurrence in Alabama.

    Categories: Weather

    Scattered Shower/Storms Over The Weekend

    Fri, 05/15/2015 - 15:45

    RADAR CHECK: Showers and storms have been scattered across Alabama today; this afternoon the more numerous ones are over the southern counties… moving northeast…

    THE WEEKEND: Not much change; a moist airmass will linger over Alabama tomorrow and Sunday. The sky will feature more clouds than sun, and on both days we will deal with scattered showers and storms. Like today, their location and timing will be pretty random, meaning we can’t give specific start/stop times for rain. If you will be at an outdoors event, just be ready for a passing shower or thunderstorm; the more numerous ones will come during the afternoon and evening hours, but we can’t rule out a late night or morning shower.

    No “wash-out”, no severe weather threat, and the sun will peek out at times, much like today. Afternoon highs will be in the low to mid 80s. They will get the golf rounds in at the Regions Tradition at Shoal Creek, but a delay or two is possible if thunder is near the course.

    We should mention tomorrow could bring a pretty significant severe weather setup to parts of the Great Plains…

    NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms remain possible Monday, but drier air moves into the state Tuesday. We expect a good supply of sunshine Wednesday and Thursday… then some risk of showers will return late in the week on Friday. Highs will be mostly in the 80s; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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    Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here early Monday morning by 7:00 a.m… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

    Categories: Weather

    Moist Air Hangs Over Alabama

    Fri, 05/15/2015 - 06:09

    RADAR CHECK: Pretty quiet across the great state of Alabama at daybreak; although a few showers are forming from near Birmingham, down U.S. 280 toward Auburn and Opelika.

    Expect developing showers and thunderstorms today; highest coverage of showers and storms should be in the 12:00 noon to 8:00 p.m. time frame, but even then the rain won’t be continuous, and the showers will tend to be rather random and scattered. The high today will be at or just over 80 degrees with some potential for a little sun at times.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: No real change; moist air, and the risk of a few showers or thunderstorms tomorrow and Saturday with a high in the low to mid 80s both days. Highest coverage of showers and storms should come during the afternoon and evening hours, but a late night or morning shower can’t be ruled out.

    We have many events going on this weekend, including the Regions Tradition golf tournament at Shoal Creek and the ASHAA state baseball championship games in Montgomery… here are the positives for the weekend: The rain won’t be continuous; there will be very nice breaks in the rain, and the sun should break out at times. And, we don’t expect any severe weather. Just be ready for a rain delay or two; they should get the golf rounds and the baseball games in. Just be patient.

    NEXT WEEK: Showers and storms remain possible Monday, but drier air moves down in here Tuesday with only a small risk of a stray morning shower. Then, Wednesday and Thursday look dry with a good supply of sunshine both days… then a few scattered showers could return Friday as moisture levels begin to rise. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    HANGOUT MUSIC FESTIVAL: About 2 to 4 hours of sunshine today and tomorrow at Gulf Shores with a few passing showers or storms both days. Then, on Sunday, expect increasing amounts of sunshine and fewer showers. They should get the concerts in, but rain delays are certainly possible. The high will be around 80 degrees on the immediate coast, with mid 80s inland. Sea water temperatures are very close to 80 degrees.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    Moisture Levels Begin To Rise Today

    Thu, 05/14/2015 - 06:28

    MY TINY CORNER OF HEAVEN: Just wanted to let you know there won’t be an afternoon discussion or Weather Xtreme video later today; I will be at the funeral of the great weather legend, J.B. Elliott. Prayers for his wife Judy, and the rest of the family are appreciated. It will be difficult to say so long to such a wonderful friend and mentor. Many of you enjoyed the many years of afternoon blog discussions produced by J.B… and the adventures of “Little Miss Molly”.

    DRY START TO THE DAY: Nothing on radar across Alabama this morning; we are beginning the day with temperatures in the 56-61 degree range… we rise into the mid 80s this afternoon with a partly sunny sky. We will maintain the chance of widely scattered showers or storms late this afternoon and early tonight as moist air moves northward, but a decent part of the day will be dry.

    TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: A pool of rich low level moisture will cover Alabama on these three days, and we will clearly need to mention a chance of showers and storms on a daily basis. The better coverage of the showers should come during the afternoon and evening hours, but we can’t rule out a late night or morning shower as well.

    On the positive side, there will be some good breaks in the rain, the sun might peek out at times, and we don’t expect any severe weather problems. For the Regions Tradition golf tournament at Shoal Creek, the AHSAA baseball championship games at Montgomery, and the Hangout Music Festival in Gulf Shores, just understand a few rain delays are likely, but the weekend won’t be a “wash-out”.

    NEXT WEEK: An approaching surface front will bring a chance of showers and storms Monday, but the latest GFS run now shows dry air moving into North Alabama Tuesday, and it looks like we can drop the mention of showers both Tuesday and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: About 5 to 7 hours of sunshine today from Panama City west to Gulf Shores with a few scattered showers and storms possible this afternoon. Then, expect about 2 to 4 hours of sunshine tomorrow through the weekend with a few passing showers or thunderstorms each day. Highs on the immediate coast will remain close to 80 degrees, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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    I will have the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow… enjoy the day…

    Categories: Weather

    Rising Moisture Levels Later This Week

    Wed, 05/13/2015 - 15:34

    SUNNY MAY DAY: As expected, this has been a delightful day across the northern two-thirds of Alabama with ample sunshine, low humidity, and afternoon temperatures around 80 degrees, right at seasonal levels for the middle of May. Dewpoints are in the 40s in most places, meaning the air is very dry. It might be sometime this fall before we see similar dewpoints.

    TOMORROW/FRIDAY: Moist air begins to return tomorrow, but a decent part of the day will be dry. With a partly sunny sky, we rise into the mid 80s, and a few widely scattered showers or storms will show up by mid to late afternoon, with the higher coverage south of I-20.

    Then, on Friday, a moist airmass will be in place, but there is not much dynamic forcing/upward motion, so while there is certainly a decent chance of showers and thunderstorms, there will be some very nice breaks in the rain, and the sun might peek out at times. The high Friday afternoon will be in the 77 to 80 degree range.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Pretty much the same situation Saturday and Sunday. Warm, humid days, and the chance of showers and storms Saturday and Sunday, but a not a “wash out” situation. Expect about one to two hours each day, and while some thunder is certainly possible, severe storms are not expected. A few intervals of sunshine are possible, and highs over the weekend will be close to 80 degrees.

    For everything outdoors this weekend, the Regions Tradition at Shoal Creek, the AHSAA state baseball championship games in Montgomery, and the Hangout Music Festival at Gulf Shores, just be aware a few rain delays will be possible at each venue, but you will get in some good golf, baseball, and concerts.

    NEXT WEEK: Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible Monday and Tuesday… but the latest GFS run brings dry air down into Alabama Wednesday. Not totally convinced it happens, but it is possible. And, no severe weather threats for Alabama for at least the next 10 days, and maybe even until the fall as the upper ridge holds. Our spring tornado season ends May 31.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Showers Return Before The Weekend Gets Here

    Wed, 05/13/2015 - 06:32

    PLEASANT MORNING: Temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 50s across the northern half of Alabama this morning, and the air is dry. We project a good supply of sunshine today, with low humidity and a high around 80 degrees, right at seasonal averages.

    TOMORROW: Moisture begins to return, but I get the idea a pretty good part of the day will be dry. We will forecast a partly sunny sky, with just a few widely scattered afternoon showers; the chance of any one spot getting wet is about one in five… the high will be up in the mid 80s.

    FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Moisture levels rise; precipitable water values approach 2 inches on these three days. This means we will be dodging occasional showers and thunderstorms with generally cloudy conditions; the high will be close to 80 degrees each afternoon.

    We have many outdoor activities going on, including the Regions Tradition golf tournament at Shoal Creek, the Alabama state baseball championships in Montgomery, and the Hangout Music Festival at Gulf Shores. The showers and storms at all of these venues will be rather random, so there is no way to give specific start/stop times for the rain, but you will just need to be ready for a shower or storm at pretty much any hour of the day or night. The higher coverage of rain should come during the afternoon and evening hours.

    On the positive side, there will be some very good breaks in the rain, the sun might peek out at times, and there is no risk of severe weather in our state.

    NEXT WEEK: Moist air lingers; it gets harder and harder to get good cold front passages around here in late May. We will have some risk of scattered showers and storms on a daily basis through much of the week; see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect a mix of sun and clouds today and tomorrow along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores, with a few widely scattered showers or storms. Then, showers become more numerous Friday through the weekend with about 2 to 4 hours of sunshine daily. Highs on the immediate coast will be around 80 degrees, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 80 degrees.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
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    Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather