ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

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The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 49 min 32 sec ago

Warmer After a Chilly Start

Sat, 11/08/2014 - 08:23

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Alabama’s weather getting off to a chilly start this morning with morning temperatures mainly in the lower half of the 30s. Our Skywatcher in Black Creek reported a good frost this morning with a low of 27. We should see plenty of sunshine today so I expect temperatures to warm into the lower and middle 60s, but those values will still be 5 to 7 degrees below our seasonal average for highs for early November.

For football-goers, Auburn hosts Texas A&M this afternoon at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter. Alabama plays on the road; they take on LSU tonight in Baton Rouge where the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half. And UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Legion Field today with an 11:00 am kickoff. There will be a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and lower 60s by the fourth quarter.

It should be another nice Fall day on Sunday. A good supply of sunshine will not help overcome the effects of a weak front passing through Central Alabama with highs once again in the lower 60s.

Monday and Tuesday remain dry with weak ridging aloft. We should see a fairly nice warm up with highs approaching 70 degrees, close to seasonal values. Tuesday night and Wednesday will see the approach of another cold front. There will be some moisture return, so look for showers as a good possibility on Wednesday. Like the last front, there does not appear to be enough instability to generate any thunder with the showers.

By the end of the week, it will be getting colder, but herein lies the rub. I expect the cold air to be somewhat shallow, and the models do not typically handle shallow cold air situations very well. MOS guidance suggests highs in the 50s for Friday, but depending on the strength of this system, we might not see highs get out of the 40s. So our forecast will remain fluid for now.

Looking out into voodoo country, the pattern remains fairly active with a couple of good shots at precipitation around the 16th and again around the 20th/21st. The pattern also keeps a chilly look with a trough over the eastern half of the country.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted by 8 am or so on Sunday. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Frost Advisory Tonight

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 21:02

…FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST
SATURDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A FROST
ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 AM CST
SATURDAY.

* TEMPERATURES…SATURDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 33 TO 37 DEGREES.

* IMPACTS…THE FROST WILL AFFECT SENSITIVE VEGETATION. TAKE
PRECAUTIONS TONIGHT TO PROTECT OUTDOOR PLANTS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

Categories: Weather

Dry Weekend; Chilly Nights

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 16:19

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL AUTUMN AIR: Despite a sunny sky, temperatures are over 10 degrees below average in most places across Alabama today… with temperatures generally in the mid 50s this afternoon.

Tonight will be cold; we drop into the mid 30s early tomorrow, with potential for a freeze for the colder valleys and protected areas. The NWS in Birmingham has issued a frost advisory.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: After the cold start, we rise into the low 60s tomorrow afternoon with a good supply of sunshine. Sunday will be another sunny day with a high very close to 60.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games tonight; temperatures will be dropping into and through the 40s.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M tomorrow at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU tomorrow night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday will be dry and mild with a high close to 70; showers could creep into North Alabama Tuesday night ahead of a cold front.

EARLY SEASON ARCTIC SHOT: The coldest air so far this season will ease into the state late next week. Computer models won’t have a good grasp on this because initially the cold air here will be very shallow, but there is a very real chance highs will drop into the 40s over North Alabama Friday and Saturday, with potential for lows in the 20s. The weekend of November 15-16 is looking very cold at this point, but dry. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for my next Weather Xtreme video here by Monday morning at 7:00… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Cooler Today; Dry Weekend Ahead

Fri, 11/07/2014 - 07:21

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COOL FALL WEATHER: Many Alabama communities enjoyed a high around 70 degrees yesterday, but today should be about 15 degrees cooler. Our forecast high today of 55 is twelve degrees below the average high of 67 for November 7. The air is dry and the sky will remain sunny.

OUR WEEKEND: It begins with a cold morning; most communities will see a low between 33 and 37 early tomorrow, but colder valleys will see a light freeze. Then, expect a good supply of sunshine tomorrow and Sunday with highs in the low 60s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games tonight; temperatures will be dropping into and through the 40s.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M tomorrow at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU tomorrow night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field tomorrow (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Monday and Tuesday will be relatively mild with a high around 70 degrees both days. Then, a cold front will bring the chance of a little light rain Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. Unfortunately this won’t be a big rain event; Birmingham has measured only 0.47″ of rain over the past 23 days.

COLDEST AIR SO FAR: A shot of very cold, Arctic air will invade Alabama after the front on Thursday and Friday. A good chance highs drop into the 40s, with lows in the 20s for many areas. And, the cold air should linger into at least the beginning of the weekend. For now it looks like a very cold football Saturday on November 15. A few records could be challenged on these days; we will be much more specific about the timing and temperature forecasts early next week.

The new high resolution GFS model shows temperatures around here only in the low to mid 40s during the midday hours next Thursday (November 13)…

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…

Categories: Weather

Cooler Tomorrow; Dry Weekend Ahead

Thu, 11/06/2014 - 16:34

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SUNNY FALL AFTERNOON: Temperatures are close to 70 degrees across North/Central Alabama this afternoon with bright sunshine. Some clouds linger over South Alabama, but those will be gone soon.

Tomorrow, our sky will remain sunny, but the day will be cooler with a high back in the mid 50s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: We kick things off with a very cold morning Saturday; most places will see a low between 30 and 35 degrees with a clear sky and light wind. Then, expect a good supply of sunshine during the day Saturday, and Sunday as well with a high in the 60-65 degree range both days.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games tomorrow night; temperatures will be dropping into and through the 40s.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M Saturday at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU Saturday night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff)… the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Our weather will be dry and relatively mild Monday and Tuesday with a high close to 70 both days. Then, a cold front will bring the risk of showers Tuesday night or early Wednesday, but it won’t be a big rain event.

ARCTIC BLAST: The coldest air so far this season arrives by the end of next week; we are still projecting highs in the 40s, and lows in the 20s by Friday, Saturday, and Sunday November 14, 15, and 16. The entire eastern half of the nation will be in Arctic cold, and many records will most likely be broken.

We will be much more specific about this in coming days, but just be prepared for mid-winter type cold late next week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I enjoyed seeing a group of home schoolers today at Life Church in Rainbow City… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Sunshine Returns Today

Thu, 11/06/2014 - 07:10

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A narrow band of showers is moving through Central Alabama at daybreak, and moving south.

As expected, rain amounts overnight were light, generally 1/4 inch or less for most communities. Drier air is moving into North Alabama, and the sky becomes sunny today as we rise into the upper 60s.

TOMORROW AND THE WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be sunny, but cooler. We start the day in the 30s, and the high will be in the mid 50s. Then, expect very nice autumn weather for the weekend with sunny cool days, and clear and cold nights. Highs over the weekend will range from 60 to 65, with lows in the 35-40 degree range. Colder pockets over North Alabama could see a light freeze early Saturday morning.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games tomorrow night; temperatures will be dropping into and through the 40s.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M Saturday at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU Saturday night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff).. the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: A cold front will bring a few showers to the state Tuesday night and Wednesday, and then we will deal with the coldest air so far this season. The cold air won’t rush into the state; instead it will seep in here from the north Thursday and Friday (November 13-14). By the following weekend (November 15-16), we could very well see highs in the 40s and lows in the 20s.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Only a small risk of a shower today from Panama City to Gulf Shores, otherwise sunny days and clear nights through the weekend. Highs around 70, lows mostly in the 50s on the immediate coast. The Atlantic basin also remains very quiet, and tropical storm formation is not expected anytime soon.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I will be in Rainbow City today speaking to a home school group… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Rain Creeping Into North Alabama

Wed, 11/05/2014 - 16:31

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: The sky is cloudy over the great state of Alabama this afternoon, and some very light rain is falling over the northern counties at mid-afternoon.

Light rain will work southward tonight; the best chance of rain for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden will come from 8:00 tonight through 6:00 a.m. tomorrow. We are still projecting light rain amounts, mostly under 1/4 inch for most places. It won’t be a big rain event.

TOMORROW AND FRIDAY: The sky should clear tomorrow, with sunshine out in full force by afternoon with a high in the mid to upper 60s. Then, Friday will be sunny and cooler with a high in the 50s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: The weather stays cool and dry Saturday and Sunday, with a good supply of sunshine both days. Afternoon highs will be in the low 60s, with morning lows between 37 and 42.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games Friday night; temperatures will be dropping into the 40s.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M Saturday at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU Saturday night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff).. the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Many signs continue to point to the coldest air so far this season arriving toward the end of the week. We will mention a risk of showers Tuesday night ahead of the cold front, otherwise the week will be dry. By Friday and Saturday (November 14-15), there is a chance highs drop into the 40s, and lows in the 20s over North Alabama thanks to a strongly negative AO (Arctic Oscillation) and a negative NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation).

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kindergarten students at Alexandria Elementary School in Calhoun County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Showers Arrive Tonight, Then Cooler

Wed, 11/05/2014 - 07:16

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

INCREASING CLOUDS: The sky will be generally cloudy across Alabama today with a high in the low 70s for most communities; it will be our warmest day of the week. A cold front will push a band of showers into the northwest corner of the state at some point this afternoon; rain is likely around Florence and Muscle Shoals by 5 p.m.

SHOWERS TONIGHT: The band of showers will drop southward tonight, and some rain is likely for Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden, but the models have been trending drier, and unfortunately it now looks like rain amounts for this part of the state will be generally under 1/4 inch. The best chance of showers for North/Central Alabama will come from 9:00 tonight through 7:00 a.m. tomorrow.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: The sky will become mostly sunny tomorrow afternoon as drier air works back into Alabama; the high will be in the upper 60s, very close to the average high of 68 for November 6. Friday will be a cooler day, expect a sunny sky with a high in the upper 50s.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Cool and dry weather continues Saturday and Sunday with a good supply of sunshine both days. We begin the weekend with a low in the upper 30s early Saturday, but we rise into the low 60s Saturday afternoon. The latest guidance has backed down somewhat on the surge of colder air for Sunday; looks like the high will be in the 57-60 degree range Sunday afternoon.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games Friday night; temperatures will be dropping into the 40s.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M Saturday at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU Saturday night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff).. the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Sure looks like we will have the coldest air so far this season by the middle of the week, as the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) go strongly negative. We are seeing evidence that highs will drop into the 40s, and lows in the 20s by Thursday and Friday…

And, we should mention the latest guidance also hints at the risk of a few showers Tuesday ahead of the Arctic front.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a weather program today at Alexandria Elementary School in Calhoun County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video this afternoon by 4:00…

Categories: Weather

Rain Returns Tomorrow Night

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 16:40

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

AWESOME AUTUMN DAY: We are enjoying sunshine through a thin veil of high altitude cirrus clouds this afternoon with temperatures very close to 70 degrees. The high clouds are actually coming from a weakening eastern Pacific tropical system called Vance near the Mexican coast. The low levels remain dry and there is no rain around here.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: Clouds will thicken tomorrow, and rain will creep into the northwest corner of our state during the afternoon hours. Then, rain becomes likely through North/Central Alabama tomorrow night ahead of a cold front. The latest model data suggests the main window for rain will come from about 8:00 p.m. tomorrow through 8:00 a.m. Thursday. Rain amounts of around 1/2 inch are likely, and while there could be a little thunder there is no risk of severe weather.

The sky should begin to clear Thursday afternoon as cooler and drier air moves into Alabama.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Our weather will be cool and dry on these three days. Friday will be mostly sunny and breezy at times with a high in the mid to upper 50s.

On Saturday we begin the day in the 30s, and the high will be up in the low 60s with a bright sunny sky. A new surge of cooler arrives Sunday with a gusty north wind; Sunday will be sunny with a high in the 50-55 degree range. Then, a freeze is likely by daybreak Monday with a low down in the low 30s.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games Friday night; temperatures will be dropping through the 40s with a north wind of 7-14 mph.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M Saturday at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU Saturday night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff).. the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK AND BEYOND: Much of next week for now looks cool and dry. And, we still project colder than average temperatures for the rest of November as the Arctic Oscillation (AO) and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) go strongly negative. This pattern tends to flush colder air out of the Arctic/Polar regions, and down into the eastern half of the U.S.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing the senior adults this morning at Briarwood Presbyterian Church… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Warming Trend Continues Today

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 07:19

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

WARMER IN THE SHORT TERM: We will warm to near 70 degrees across the great state of Alabama today with a good supply of sunshine as the warming trend continues. The weather begins to change tomorrow as clouds increase during the day, ahead of a weather system that will produce rain over much of Texas today.

OUR NEXT RAIN: Rain should move into far Northwest Alabama late tomorrow afternoon, with the rain expanding southward tomorrow night. For North/Central Alabama, places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden will see their main window for rain from near 9:00 p.m. tomorrow through 9:00 a.m. Thursday. The NAM is printing 0.45″ for Birmingham, and we expect rain totals near, or a little under 1/2 inch. A little thunder is possible in spots, but there is no chance of severe weather.

Thursday will be a cooler day with a high in the mid 60s; the sky clears Thursday night, and we will drop into the upper 30s by Friday morning.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Cool and dry weather is the story. Friday’s high will be in the mid to upper 50s with a cool north breeze, and early morning lows for the weekend will be in the 30s. The high Saturday will be close to 60, but another shot of colder air arrives Sunday as the high will drop back into the mid 50s with a cool north wind.

We start next week with a freeze early Monday morning; most communities will drop into the low 30s.

NEXT WEEK: For now the week is looking cool and mostly dry, but the GFS continues to advertise a significant rain event around Saturday November 15. This, of course, is voodoo for now, but model consistency in the idea has been good. That is a big football Saturday, so we will keep an eye on trends. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: The Atlantic basin is quiet, but over in the eastern Pacific Vance is a rapidly weakening hurricane off the coast of Mexico; high altitude moisture from this system is streaming up into Texas toward the Great Lakes. This should enhance rain over parts of Texas today, where it is really needed.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Clear and cold weather is the story for the high school playoff games Friday night; temperatures will be dropping through the 40s with a north wind of 7-14 mph.

Auburn hosts Texas A&M Saturday at 2:30 at Jordan-Hare Stadium; the sky will be sunny with a kickoff temperature near 62 degrees, falling into the 50s by the fourth quarter.

Alabama is on the road; they take on LSU Saturday night in Baton Rouge (7:00p CT kickoff).. the sky will be mostly fair; temperatures will fall from near 60 at kickoff into the mid 50s during the second half.

UAB will host Louisiana Tech at Birmingham’s Legion Field Saturday (11:00a CT kickoff)… a sunny sky with 58 degrees at kickoff, and low 60s by the fourth quarter.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking to the senior adults at Briarwood Presbyterian Church this morning… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 458: Banner Boy

Tue, 11/04/2014 - 05:26

WeatherBrains Episode 45? is now online (November 3, 2014). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Joining us for this episode of WeatherBrains is Lee Hutchinson from Ars Technica and Eric Berger, who is the science writer for the Houston Chronicle.

WeatherBrains 101: After clearing up a goof in last week’s 101 episode, we’ll take a look at lake effect snow. Seems like an appropriate topic with winter just around the corner and the big snow that fell in the southern Appalachians over the weekend.

Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

Web Sites from Episode 458:

Picks of the Week:

Nate Johnson – Nate gets the FOGHORN!

John Scala – Genesis and maintenance of a long-track EF5 tornado embedded within a supercell thunderstorm

Rick Smith – 2014 National Weather Association Annual Meeting Tagboard

James Spann – Bill Belichick Rips Meteorologists Everywhere

SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

Categories: Weather

Rain By Wednesday Night/Thursday

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 16:19

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FINE FALL DAY: Hardly a cloud in the Alabama sky this afternoon, with temperatures mostly in the 60s. Tonight’s weather won’t be as cold as recent nights… the sky will stay clear, and most communities will see a low between 37 and 43 degrees.

Tomorrow will feature a good supply of sunshine with a high around 70 degrees as our wearing trend continues. Mid 70s are possible Wednesday afternoon; and that should be our warmest day of the week.

RAIN RETURNS TO ALABAMA: Keep in mind we have seen only 0.36″ here during the past 19 days, so some rain is needed, and we will have a decent change of getting some Wednesday night and Thursday. For North/Central Alabama, the latest guidance hints our main window for rain comes from about 12:00 midnight Wednesday night though 12:00 noon Thursday. Rain amounts should be generally 1/2 inch or less, and while some thunder is possible, no severe weather is expected.

FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND: Friday will be sunny and much cooler with a high in the 55-59 degree range. No rain for the weekend; the sky remains sunny Saturday and Sunday. We begin the weekend with lows in the 30s early Saturday; the high Saturday afternoon will be close to 60. Then, another shot of colder air arrives Sunday as the high drops into the 50-55 degree range with a cool north wind, and another freeze looks likely by Monday morning of next week with a low between 28 and 32 degrees for most communities.

LONG RANGE: The Arctic Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation are trending negative through mid-month, which supports a mean eastern U.S. upper trough, and that should keep temperatures here below average through at least the middle of November.

See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CST.. you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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I had a great time today visiting with the 6th graders at Berry Middle School in Hoover… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Warmer This Afternoon

Mon, 11/03/2014 - 07:10

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ANOTHER COLD START: Here are some of the colder temperatures at daybreak across the great state of Alabama…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 28
Cottondale 29
Gadsden (Noccalula Falls) 30
Fort Payne 30
Concord 31
Montevallo 32
Anniston 33
Coker 33
Lake View 35

WARMING TREND: Today’s high will be in the mid 60s with a good supply of sunshine as we dig out of the deep freeze, and a good chance we see 70 degrees tomorrow.

MID-WEEK RAIN: An upper trough west of the state will set up a beneficial rain event for much of Texas and Oklahoma in coming days, and some of that rain should creep into Northwest Alabama Wednesday afternoon. The better chance of rain comes Wednesday night and Thursday for our state; for now it looks like rain amounts will be 1/2 inch or less for most communities. A little thunder is possible, but no risk of severe weather.

MORE COLD AIR: As the rain moves out late Thursday, another shot of colder air moves in Thursday night. But, this air won’t be as cold as what we just experienced over the weekend. Friday will be sunny with a high in the 55-59 degree range, and we will be in the low to mid 30s by daybreak Saturday as the weekend begins.

The weekend will be dry, with sunny cool days and clear cold nights. Highs 57-61; lows in the 30s again early Sunday.

The first half of next week will be dry with temperatures generally below average for early November…

GULF COAST WEATHER: Sunny on the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores today though Wednesday with highs moving up into the 70s. Showers are likely Thursday, then sunny days and fair nights Friday through the weekend. Highs over the weekend will be in the 60s, with lows in the chilly 40s.

TROPICS: The hurricane season runs through the end of November, but no sign of any tropical mischief anytime soon in the Atlantic basin.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program this morning at Berry Middle School in Hoover… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Sunny Sunday

Sun, 11/02/2014 - 16:46

Looking at the weather maps today, we see surface high pressure dominating the eastern half of the U.S. That 1033 millibar high (translation=pretty strong) is centered from southern Kentucky to Central Mississippi. In the mid levels and upper levels of the atmosphere, we see a big wave pattern, with a trough over the eastern U.S., a ridge in the middle and a trough in the West. Clouds that were moving in from the northwest earlier have dried out as they pushed across Arkansas and western Tennessee into northern Mississippi. Hence they will not have much of an impact on our skies through the evening.

FIRST FREEZE OF SEASON AT BIRMINGHAM: It was a cold morning across Alabama with freezing temperatures generally north of I-59 and a few thrown in down into Southwest Alabama. Birmingham fell to 28F, while Calera was 6 degrees warmer at 34F. Tuscaloosa checked in with 30F and Anniston measured 29F. Interestingly, North Alabama readings were not substantially colder. Russellville won the cold weather lottery with 25F. The 28F at Birmingham was the coldest since March 26th and the first freeze since April 16th. Most folks should stay above freezing for the next few days with the exception of Eastern Alabama, where some freezing readings will likely drop below 32F tonight.

GETTING DARK EARLY TODAY: Sunset will come much earlier today because of the Daylight Saving Time change that occurred early this morning. Hopefully you weren’t an hour early for church or brunch! Highs this afternoon will rise into the upper 50s across the area. As mentioned early, most folks will be above freezing, in the 30s tonight, except for places like Gadsden, Fort Payne and Anniston in East Alabama. But look for frost still across much of the area anyway as grass and exposed automobiles fall to below freeze after dew forms.

SUNSHINE AHEAD: Plenty of sun in the forecast for Monday and Tuesday. And that surface high will slide east, giving us southerly surface winds by morning. That means moderating temperatures. With lots of sunshine, highs on Monday will be in the middle 60s with upper 60s to near 70F by Tuesday.

MIDWEEK WET WEATHER SYSTEM: Showers and storms will enter Northwest Alabama ahead of a cold front Wednesday night and will push southeastward through the state overnight. It should be weakening as it pushes toward I-59, but it will bring a soaking rain to the area late Wednesday night and early Thursday. Don’t look for great amounts of rainfall. Average amounts should be around a quarter of an inch. The GFS is a little slower with the system’s exit , keeping rain in the forecast deeper into the day on Thursday. Expect a high near 70F on Wednesday, but readings will fall back into the lower 60s on Thursday and be limited to the 50s on Friday. Lows will drop to around 40F by Friday morning.

Categories: Weather

Frosty Start on a Cold Morning

Sun, 11/02/2014 - 07:43

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Widespread frost was occurring across Central Alabama this morning as we experience the coldest morning so far for the Fall season. In fact, the coldest morning since March 26th. Skywatcher at Black Creek reported a low of 22 while my station in Helena saw a low of 28 at this writing. Also, don’t forget to set your clocks back an hour since we ended Daylight Savings Time at 2:00 am. The surface high will move east of Alabama today ushering in a gradual warmup with highs today mainly in the upper 50s. This is still fairly chilly since our typical highs should be around 71.

As the upper ridge slides over us on Monday and Tuesday, we should warm up into the lower 70s by Tuesday and Wednesday. Wednesday will see another strong trough dig into the Central Plains states pushing a cold front into the Southeast US. Still some minor timing differences in the models, but it looks like our best shot for showers should come from Wednesday afternoon into Thursday morning. Instability appears to be limited, so I don’t expect to see any strong thunderstorms, just showers.

The upper trough digs in and scoots by us on Thursday, bringing another relatively cold shot of air into the area, but not as cold as the current system. Thursday might end up being one of those days where temperatures remain steady or fall during the day as colder air advects into the area. Some wrap around moisture will keep the sky cloudy to start Friday but we should see clearing during the day. The weekend looks dry with lows in the upper 30s and highs in the lower 60s.

The Atlantic Basin is quiet, but we are watching Vance in the Eastern Pacific. Vance is forecast to become a hurricane today, remain a hurricane for a couple of days, and then begin degrading into a depression along the west coast of Mexico at mid-week.

Looking out into voodoo country, or Week 2, the GFS maintains a cold look to the pattern with another fairly deep trough moving through the Mississippi River Valley on the 14th. By the 17th there is troughiness over the eastern US which should keep the eastern US at and below seasonal values.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann will be up Monday morning with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video. Be sure to check back for additional notes on our weather. Have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Time Changes Tonight

Sat, 11/01/2014 - 19:00

A friendly reminder that Daylight Saving Time ends tonight. We fall back on Standard Time at 2AM in the morning. Don’t forget to set your clocks back before heading to bed, and gain that extra hour of sleep tonight.

With the time changing, that means more sun in the mornings, while evenings will be dark. It will be getting dark closer to 5PM as the amount of daylight hours continues to get shorter until we reach the Winter Solstice just before Christmas.

We will stay on Standard Time until March 8th, 2015.

Categories: Weather

Chilly Saturday, Freezing Temps Tonight

Sat, 11/01/2014 - 15:26

What a difference a day and a front makes. It is feeling more like early winter compared to mid-fall across the state today. All locations across the state were in the 30s this morning and this afternoon, it remains breezy with temps in the 40s and low 50s.  There are some clouds through the state, mainly east of Interstate 65. By this evening, the winds will go calm, and the sky will clear, get ready for a frigid night with lows below freezing.

Nearly the entire state of Alabama is under a freeze warning tonight. This warning extends all the way down to northern Mobile and Baldwin counties. The only part of the state not under the warning is the extreme southeastern counties which are actually covered by the NWS in Tallahassee. Look for temps to range between 27-32 degrees in the morning. This weekend should mark the end of the growing season across much of the state.

Categories: Weather

November Almanac

Sat, 11/01/2014 - 09:00


Photograph by Kathy Bell, owner of kbella photography.

“November is the most disagreeable month in the whole year.” Louisa May Alcott

November is the transition month to winter across much of the country, and Alabama is no exception. The days are approaching their shortest of the year, and the heat budget is becoming increasingly negative, so average temperatures are dropping.

The storm track is becoming more active and precipitation totals are increasing. There is a secondary severe weather season in November in Alabama that in some recent years has been busier than the spring primary season. In 2002, an unusually strong outbreak on November 10th produced a series of ten tornadoes across North Alabama that killed 12. Two of the tornadoes were rated F3.

According to the long term averages from 1981-2010, 4.85 inches of rain falls in the month. The most ever observed is 15.25 inches in 1948. It generally rains on 9.1 days. Thunderstorms are observed on average on 1.9 November days. On average, there is no snow. The most snow ever observed in November was 1.4 inches in 1950.

At the start of the month, the average high is 69 degrees. It will fall to 60 degrees by month’s end. The normal monthly high is 64.0F. In November 1931, the normal high was 72.4F, the warmest November on record. It has been as warm as 85F, in 1998, 2000 and 2003.

Average lows start off at 46 degrees, and fall to 38 by month’s end. The average low is 41.8F. The coldest average low was in the cold winter of 1976-77, when the November average low was 33.8F. In the eleventh month, it has been as cold as 5F, back on November 25, 1950. The next coldest reading was 8 degrees higher…on November 24, 1970.

The sky is cloudy 33 percent of the time. The sky is clear 31 percent of the time. Only October averages more clear sky time in the Magic City. Dense fog is observed on one day in the month on average.

Categories: Weather

Windy, Cold, Freeze Sunday AM

Sat, 11/01/2014 - 07:23

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Welcome to a chilly November! It is going to really feel like winter today with a stiff north wind. In spite of the sunshine, temperatures are not expected to get much above 50 degrees across the area. This is about 20 degrees colder than the typical November 1st high temperatures which average 71 degrees. And tonight just about all of Central Alabama will fall below freezing with many places dipping into the 20s. The record low for Birmingham for Sunday morning is 24 degrees, so I do not expect us to set a new record, but with a low of 29 it is going to feel quite cold.

For those heading out to football games today, Auburn will be on the road as they play at Ole Miss in Oxford this evening with kickoff at 6:00 pm. The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 48 degrees at kickoff down to near 40 degrees by the fourth quarter. A chilly, crisp evening for football. UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL, this evening. Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 75 at kickoff to the lower 60s by the fourth quarter.

We should see a fairly quick moderation in temperatures as the upper trough moves off the Northeast Coast of the US and we come under a substantial ridge. The strong trough will be responsible for a significant nor’easter storm for New England Sunday and Monday.

With the upper ridge in place for Monday and Tuesday, we should see our highs climb back to near 70 degrees. Yet another strong trough will push a cold front into the Southeast US on Wednesday bringing us our next chance for rain. This front will bring another shot of colder air into the region, however, this one does not appear to be nearly as cold as the current system with highs dipping back into the 60s with lows mainly in the 40s. We should be dry for next weekend.

The tropical Atlantic remains quiet but we do have Tropical Storm Vance in the eastern Pacific. Vance is forecast to strengthen to a hurricane late Sunday but weaken as it recurves into Mexico by Wednesday.

Looking out into voodoo country, the pattern remains very active with a parade of troughs coming through the fast moving flow. The GFS maintains a general troughiness over the eastern half of the country, so I expect our weather to remain on the cool side but nothing seems to be as chilly as the current system.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted by 8 or so on Sunday morning. Wrap up if you have activities outdoors today. Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Windy And Cold Night Ahead

Fri, 10/31/2014 - 15:22

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: A few showers are over North Alabama, and north winds are beginning to increase as the coldest air so far this season moves into our state.

Showers will end early tonight; expect windy and cold weather for the trick or treaters with temperatures falling quickly into the 40s this evening with north winds averaging 10-20 mph, making it feel colder.

FREEZING TEMPERATURES: We project our first freeze since April 16 early tomorrow, with a low very close to 32 degrees in most places. The winds will keep up through the night, and wind chill index values will drop into the 20s toward daybreak.

The day tomorrow will be sunny, but windy and cold with a high close to 50 degrees; areas north of Birmingham won’t get out of the 40s. A north wind of 15-25 mph will make it feel colder.

Expect another freeze early Sunday, with a range of 28 to 34 degrees for most communities. The wind will be near calm, so widespread frost is likely as well. Then, a warming trend begins Sunday afternoon with a sunny sky and a high between 57 and 60 degrees.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For tonight’s high school games, it will be windy and sharply colder with temperatures falling through the 40s. North winds will gust to 25 mph at times, making it feel colder. A few sprinkles are possible during the first half of the games.

Auburn will be on the road; they play at Ole Miss in Oxford tomorrow evening (kickoff 6p CT). The sky will be clear, temperatures will fall from 48 degrees at kickoff down to near 40 degrees by the fourth quarter. A chilly, crisp night for football.

UAB is also on the road; they play at Florida Atlantic in Boca Raton, FL tomorrow evening (6p CT kickoff). Again, a clear sky is likely with temperatures falling from near 80 at kickoff to the mid 70s by the fourth quarter.

NEXT WEEK: Dry weather continues over the first half of the week with a slow warming trend. The 12Z GFS hints the next chance of rain will come late Wednesday night and Thursday… see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
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My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here Monday morning by 7:00 a.m… Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather