ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

Syndicate content
The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 11 min ago

Is This June?

Sun, 05/10/2015 - 14:51

Happy Mother’s Day!

Early season warmth continues on this 2015 edition of Mother’s Day. Temperatures are near 90F in the I-20 corridor with lower 90s common over South Alabama. These readings are some 10-12 degrees above normal, feeling more like late June than early May.

To the east, the tropical depression that is the remnant of Tropical Storm Ana is pushing into North Carolina after making landfall between Myrtle Beach and North Myrtle Beach around 6 a.m.

Back here in Alabama, skies are partly cloudy with lots of cumulus clouds as moisture levels continue to slowly rise. Dewpoints are in the lower 60s for the most part, with a few middle 60s over eastern sections. Southeasterly winds are increasing the moisture.

To the west, we can see showers and storms over Texas, Oklahoma and Arkansas ahead of our western trough This is the same system that has brought days of severe weather to the Plains. Today is no exception, with a tornadic supercell crossing the northern part of the Dallas-Fort Worth metroplex. A tornado crossed the Denton area a few minutes ago and is threatening the town of Aubrey now. Fortunately, damage around Denton was relatively minor, but the storm’s circulation is tightening again as it crosses the warm front.

This activity will once again weaken tonight, as in past days. But the responsible system will begin to lift out to the northeast by tomorrow, pushing a cold front our way. This will trigger a line of showers and storms that will push southeast on Monday. Showers and storms should reach western Alabama by late afternoon but the system will be weakening with storms along the line becoming more scattered.

The SPC has areas northwest of I-59 in their standard slight risk outlook for tomorrow. Damaging winds and hail will be threat.

Categories: Weather

Another Summer-like Day

Sun, 05/10/2015 - 07:01

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player above. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Alabama remained essentially between systems. To our east, Tropical Storm Ana made landfall early this morning in the vicinity and slightly north of Myrtle Beach, SC. The first tropical storm of the 2015 season should gradually dissipate into a depression as it turns north and northeastward today and tonight. Weather conditions over the Carolinas will gradually improve as the remnants of Ana move away from the area tonight and Monday.

To our west, the closed low that has been spinning in the vicinity of the Four Corners area of the Southwest US is beginning to lift north and northeast with the system opening up as it does. By late Monday and into Tuesday, that system should be located over the Great Lakes with a front trailing down and across the Southeast US. This front should bring the best chances for scattered thunderstorms to the area Monday and early Tuesday. The SPC has the standard risk of severe storms entering the northwest corner of Alabama late in Day 2, Monday into early Tuesday. With the best dynamics to this system well north of Alabama along with the overall general weakening trend, the severe weather threat for Central Alabama appears to be low at this time. But it is May, so this will continue to bear watching.

The front will move south of us Tuesday and that paves the way for cooler and drier air to bring a very nice day to Central Alabama on Wednesday. With the front to our south and moving back this way along with general ridging in the upper atmosphere, the atmosphere will moisten up for the end of the week and into next weekend with the need to mention the possibility of showers each day as we go into the weekend with a summer-like pattern with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s.

For those headed to the beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida, expect mostly sunny days and fair nights into Monday. Highs will be in the upper 70s on the immediate coast, with upper 80s inland. The rest of next week, expect only widely scattered showers and storms, and a decent amount of sun each day. Water temps are climbing, and the water temperature at Perdido Pass at Orange Beach, was close to 80 degrees.

Looking out into voodoo country, the overall pattern of ridging across the southern tier of the US with the westerlies fairly far north should bring a summer-isn pattern with daily chances of showers along with warm weather with highs mainly in the 80s as we push 90 degree highs once again.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

Great time emceeing the Buck Creek Festival in Helena over the weekend with great weather, fabulous music, and some really great crowds in the park. Happy Mothers Day. James Spann will have the next Weather Xtreme Video on Monday morning. Enjoy your Sunday, and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Mainly Sunny & Very Warm

Sat, 05/09/2015 - 13:49

Most locations are seeing mainly sunny conditions this afternoon, but there have been a few blips on the radar in northern Mississippi and these light showers may be able to work their way into extreme north and northwestern Alabama this afternoon. Nearly all of us stay dry today, be there is a slight chance of an isolated shower. We continue to be under a ridge that is allowing our temps to warm into the upper 80s and lower 90s this afternoon. This is certainly the warmest weekend of weather thus far in 2015.

Now to the east, Tropical Storm Ana is now fully tropical as opposed to her sub-tropical characteristics of the last few days. The latest update from the NHC at 100 PM CDT has the center of Tropical Storm Ana located near latitude 32.7 North, longitude 78.1 West. Ana is moving toward the northwest near 3 mph. A turn toward the north and north-northeast with a gradual increase in forward speed is expected over the next 48 hours. On the forecast track, the center will be very near the coasts of South and North Carolina by tomorrow morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast as Ana moves over cooler waters close to the coastline overnight. A more rapid rate of weakening will begin after the center crosses the coast. Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 125 miles from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb or 29.56 inches.

For tomorrow, Mother’s Day will be a terrific day for mom to relax in the air conditioning. We will see another day with a mix of sun and clouds, and after starting the day in the mid to upper 60s, look for a near repeat of today for afternoon highs. We are forecasting highs tomorrow afternoon to climb back into the upper 80s and lower 90s across the state and no rain is expected.

Categories: Weather

Summer-like Weather for Your Weekend

Sat, 05/09/2015 - 07:05

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player above. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

Look for a summer-like weekend across Central Alabama as we remain between two weather systems. Some high cirrus clouds from the convection to our west was traversing the Central Alabama sky this morning, but we should see a mostly sunny day with highs once again coming in near 90.

Showers may edge a little closer especially for extreme North Alabama on Sunday, but much of the area will remain dry and warm with highs again close to 90.

Little bit of a change coming late Monday and Tuesday as a cold front moves into and across Central Alabama. The combination of more clouds along with scattered showers should help to bring temperatures down a tad. It looks like the front will come through the area by Wednesday giving us a bit of a cooler day. But the front will be wavering in the area, so it looks like a pattern with some small daily chances for showers will set up for the latter part of the upcoming week. Highs will be mainly in the 80s after Wednesday.

SPC does outlook the standard slight risk for severe storms to our west and northwest on Day 3, Monday into Tuesday. But with the upper level dynamics well to our north it looks like the threat for severe weather in Central Alabama will be decreasing, but it will bear watching.

To our east, Ana is slowly moving toward the Carolina coastal area where North and South Carolina meet. NHC notes that Ana has probably made the transition to a tropical storm with a warm core and maximum sustained wind estimated at 60 mph. Tropical Storm warnings were posted along that portion of the coast from South Santee, SC, to Cape Lookout, NC. Ana is expected to come ashore Sunday morning and gradually dissipate into a depression with rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches along the coast.

Looking out into voodoo country, the GFS for week 2 shows a ridge over much of the eastern half of the country with a summer-like look which suggests warm weather with some daily chances for scattered showers.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

Busy day emceeing the music at the Buck Creek Festival in Helena at the Amphitheater Park. Be sure to come out to enjoy the food, music, and crafts under the trees along the banks of Buck Creek. I plan to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted Sunday morning, perhaps a little later than usual due to the festival events today. Enjoy the day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

The Heat Cranks Up

Fri, 05/08/2015 - 15:22

**No afternoon Weather Xtreme video today; I am live at the Buck Creek Festival in Helena on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00**

SUMMER PREVIEW: With a sunny sky today, temperatures are generally in the upper 80s, we still project highs in the 87 to 90 degree range over the weekend. We should mention here the last time Birmingham reached 90 degrees was September 21 of last year. The upper ridge should keep us generally dry, with only a slight risk of an afternoon shower Sunday over far North Alabama across the Tennessee Valley.

EYES ON ANA: Subtropical storm Ana is packing sustained winds of 45 mph, and should move into the South Carolina coast near Myrtle Beach Sunday. This will bring breezy and unsettled weather conditions to the coast of the Carolinas over the weekend, but no impact on the weather in Alabama.

TO THE WEST: Severe storms remain possible tonight and tomorrow across the Southern Plains, with the highest severe probabilities from North Texas to Kansas. Storms in this region could produce large hail, damaging wind, and a few tornadoes.

NEXT WEEK: A surface front will bring a chance of showers to the state Monday night and Tuesday; the main dynamic support will be well to the north, so no severe weather is expected, and rain amounts probably won’t be all that heavy. Wednesday looks mostly dry for the northern half of the state, and then we will mention some risk of scattered showers Thursday and Friday. Highs will be generally in the 80s.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days and fair nights through Monday from Panama City over to Gulf Shores; highs will be in the upper 70s on the immediate coast, with 80s inland. The rest of next week, the following weekend (May 16-17) looks quiet with only widely scattered showers and storms, and a decent amount of sun each day. Great weather for the Hangout Music Festival.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the my next Weather Xtreme video here Monday morning by 7:00 a.m…. Brian Peters will have the video updates tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Summer-Like Weather Continues

Fri, 05/08/2015 - 06:28

HOT MAY WEEKEND: Alabama’s weather won’t change much today and over the weekend; temperatures about ten degrees above average with few, if any showers. Afternoon highs will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights. If any showers show up over the weekend, the best chance will be Sunday afternoon over far north Alabama, around the Tennessee Valley. The chance of rain is so small for the rest of the state we won’t mention it in our formal forecast as the upper ridge holds over the region.

TO THE WEST: Two significant severe weather days are possible across the Southern Plains today and tomorrow; the most active day will most likely come tomorrow when a few violent, long track tornadoes are possible over parts of Oklahoma and Kansas, especially the western half of those states.

TO THE EAST: Subtropical storm Ana developed last night off the South Carolina coast; it is packing sustained winds of 45 mph morning. The system is rather disorganized, and is not a classic warm core tropical storm. There is very little motion now, but it should drift toward the South Carolina coast around Myrtle Beach over the weekend; breezy and showery conditions are likely along the coast of the Carolinas over the next few days. This will have no impact on Alabama.

NEXT WEEK: A surface front will bring a chance of showers, and possibly a few thunderstorms, to Alabama Monday night and Tuesday. With the upper support lifting well to the north of Alabama, severe weather is not expected, and rain amounts won’t be all that heavy.

The front will stall out somewhere over Central Alabama Tuesday night; drier air could slip in here Wednesday, but moisture comes back Thursday and Friday with a chance of showers both days, but nothing too heavy or really organized. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny days, fair nights from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through early next week with highs on the immediate coast in the upper 70s, and 80s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 76 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking to a group of senior adults this morning at Sumiton, and then later I will be at Children’s of Alabama in Birmingham. Later today I will be live at the Buck Creek Festival in Helena on ABC 33/40 News at 4, 5, and 6:00…. I will post a new Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon if time allows. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Ana Being Named at 10 p.m.

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 21:21

The NHC will name assign the name Ana to Invest 90L off the coast of South Carolina at 10 p.m. CDT.

The maximum winds measured by the stepped frequency microwave radiometer on the Air Force plane was 45 mph. The central pressure was 104 mb.

The storm is still a hybrid storm, with subtropical and tropical characteristics. The center is slightly warmer than the surrounding part of the storm. But winds are strongest well away from the center. Some of the strongest winds are very close to the South Carolina coast.

Categories: Weather

Summer-Like Heat This Weekend

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 15:32

DRY PATTERN CONTINUES: Interesting to note that Birmingham’s rain total for April was 10.24″, and so far for the month of May the total is 0.00″. Seems like it is either feast or famine in the rain department; for now the dry pattern will likely continue into the weekend. And, temperatures will remain above average. We expect upper 80s tomorrow, and a high Saturday and Sunday very close to 90 degrees. With a slow increase in low level moisture over the weekend, I guess we can’t completely rule out an afternoon shower somewhere over the weekend, but the chance of any one spot getting wet is very small, and for now we won’t mention it in the formal forecast.

TO THE WEST: Looks like tomorrow and Saturday will offer very significant severe weather threats for the Southern Plains; especially parts of North Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas where the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has put up moderate risks for both days. It is very possible a few violent, long track tornadoes could form in this region, especially Saturday afternoon and evening.

TO THE EAST: A sub-tropical storm (the name will be Ana) is forming off the South Carolina coast…

NHC will not be upgrading the system this afternoon due to limited convection near the center, but they would initiate advisories late tonight. The name of the storm will be “Ana”, and it will hang around just off the South Carolina coast for a few days before drifting inland. It will not impact Alabama’s weather in any way.

NEXT WEEK: A cold front will bring a chance of showers back to Alabama Monday night and Tuesday, but with the upper support passing well to the north, we don’t expect severe weather, and rain amounts will probably be light. The front will stall out and dissipate somewhere over Central or South Alabama at mid-week, and we might have to maintain some risk of showers into Wednesday and Thursday for the southern two-thirds of the state. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: The weather will stay dry through the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores, with mostly sunny days and fair nights. And, while there could be a few scattered showers around, a decent part of next week is looking dry as well. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s, with 80s inland. Sea water temperatures remain mostly in the mid 70s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Walter Kennedy Elementary in Pell City, and Kitty Stone Elementary in Jacksonville… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00 and 6:00 this evening! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Warm, Mostly Dry Through The Weekend

Thu, 05/07/2015 - 06:25

QUIET PATTERN FOR ALABAMA: While the Southern Plains will have a risk of severe weather on a daily basis through Saturday, the weather in our state will stay warm and mostly dry thanks to an upper ridge overhead. We reach the mid 80s today, upper 80s tomorrow, and by the weekend some communities will see 90 degrees for the first time this year. Moisture levels will be a tad higher over the weekend, so a few small, isolated afternoon showers could pop up, especially across the Tennessee Valley, but most of the state will remain rain-free with partly sunny days and fair nights.

TO THE WEST: An active severe weather pattern will continue over the Southern Plains each day through the weekend; perhaps the most active day will be on Saturday, when SPC has already defined a “moderate” risk of severe weather for parts of Oklahoma and Kansas. This could be a day with a significant outbreak there…

TO THE EAST: A disturbance off the South Atlantic coast of the U.S. still has the potential to become a tropical, or sub-tropical storm during the next 36 hours… NHC now gives it a 70 percent chance of developing. It will meander just off the coast of South Carolina for a few days before lifting out; no impact on Alabama’s weather.

NEXT WEEK: A cold front will bring a chance of showers and storms to Alabama late Monday into Tuesday; we do note the guys at SPC bring a risk of severe weather into the far northwest corner of Alabama Monday night, but the overall look is less than impressive for most of the state with the better dynamics lifting well to the north. Rain probably won’t be all that heavy, with amounts well under 1/2 inch. Then, drier air arrives late Tuesday and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Looking great through the weekend from Panama City to Gulf Shores, with sunny days and fair nights through Sunday. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s, with 80s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 75 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have weather programs today at Walter Kennedy Elementary in Pell City, and Kitty Stone Elementary in Jacksonville. Be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Flash Flood Emergency for OKC Metro

Wed, 05/06/2015 - 21:27

Heavy rains from this afternoon and evening’s severe weather in the OKC Metro area has resulted in flash flooding. For the first time, the NWS Norman has used Flash Flood Emergency language in their warning. I have superimposed the tweet from our good friend and fellow WeatherBrains panelist Rick Smith.

5-8 inches of rain has fallen tonight, with a peak Doppler estimate around 10.8 inches near Bridge Creek.

Officially, 5.70 inches of rain has fallen at OKC, making it the sixth wettest day there.

UPDATE 10:08 PM
Rick reports 6.90 inches at OKC. Very close to their all time record of 7.62 inches on 6/14/10. this ranks as 4th place all time now.

Categories: Weather

Tornado Emergency SW Oklahoma City Metro

Wed, 05/06/2015 - 17:09

A big, rain wrapped mile wide wedge tornado is approaching the southwestern Oklahoma City Metro.

Areas from Bridge Creek to Newcastle will be impacted. Could eventually impact Norman or Moore.

This is a bad situation.

Categories: Weather

Summer-Like Warmth Continues

Wed, 05/06/2015 - 15:32

WARM MAY DAYS: Another warm, dry day for Alabama; temperatures this afternoon are mostly in the low to mid 80s; Huntsville reports 84 degrees at 2:00. No rain on radar as an upper ridge persists over the eastern third of the nation. Today is the 7th consecutive day with no rain for North/Central Alabama.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: A persistence forecast is the best idea; the weather stays warm and dry both days with hazy sunshine through scattered clouds and highs in the mid 80s tomorrow, and upper 80s Friday.

TO THE EAST: NHC gives the tropical disturbance east of Florida a 60 percent chance of becoming a sub-tropical or tropical storm during the next 48 hours; the center of circulation will be close to the South Carolina coast by Friday. Steering currents are very weak, and the system will just hang around the same region through the weekend. It will bring breezy conditions to the coasts of the Carolinas and Georgia, along with occasional rain showers. No impact for Alabama, and if it gets a name, it will be called “Ana”.

TO THE WEST: An active severe weather pattern will continue across the Southern Plains through Saturday, but all of this activity will remain well to the west of Alabama.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Afternoon temperatures will be pretty close to 90 degrees Saturday and Sunday as the ridge holds. Moisture levels slowly rise, and a few isolated afternoon showers are possible Sunday over the Tennessee Valley region of far North Alabama. It will look and feel like summer.

NEXT WEEK: A cold front will bring showers into the state late Monday, Monday night, and possibly Tuesday morning, but for now it doesn’t look like a severe weather threat, and rain amounts should be light. Drier and slightly cooler air arrives Tuesday night and Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I enjoyed seeing a big group of senior adults at Clanton this morning… and the third graders at Riverchase Elementary School in Hoover this afternoon; look for those kids on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted early tomorrow morning by 7:00 a.m….

Categories: Weather

Tornadoes SW of Oklahoma City

Wed, 05/06/2015 - 15:08

A supercell thunderstorm about 50 miles southwest of Oklahoma City has already produced at least three or four tornadoes and continues to cycle.

It is heading in the general direction of Chickasha, Blanchard, Newcastle and Moore, all names of communities from May 3, 1999.  Of course, Moore has had way more than its fair share of tornadoes over  the past 15+ years.

All of the Oklahoma City stations are streaming with live coverage, including chopper video.   One is KFOR.

The SPC just issued an enhanced risk area from Abilene to Lawton and the tornado watch has expanded to include Oklahoma City.

Categories: Weather

Temperatures Remain Above Average

Wed, 05/06/2015 - 06:14

A PREVIEW OF SUMMER: The overall weather pattern won’t change much around here through Friday with unseasonably warm temperatures continuing thanks to an upper ridge overhead. We will be in the mid 80s today and tomorrow, with upper 80s likely by Friday afternoon.

We do note the high resolution HRRR model shows a few, tiny, isolated showers across Central Alabama this afternoon, but we won’t mention anything in the forecast for now with the low levels remaining relatively dry.

TO THE EAST: A sub-tropical storm is expected to form off the South Atlantic coast of the U.S. over the next 48 hours; most models move it to a point near Myrtle Beach, South Carolina by Friday evening. Then, it just hangs around for a few days with no real steering currents. This will get the name “Ana” if it develops, and the main impact will be showery, breezy conditions on the coasts of the Carolinas… no problems for Alabama at all. A hurricane hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area this afternoon.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: A number of communities in our state will see 90 degree heat for the first time this year Saturday and Sunday. Seeing a high of 90 is not that unusual for mid-May; the earlier 90 degree temperature on record at Birmingham came on April 17, 1955 when the high was 90. The weekend will remain mostly dry, although a few isolated showers or storms could show up across the Tennessee Valley of far North Alabama Sunday afternoon.

NEXT WEEK: A cold front will bring the chance of showers on Tuesday, but there is little upper support, and rain amounts will most likely be light. A drier and slightly cooler airmass drops in here Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Expect mostly sunny days and clear nights on the coast through the weekend from Panama City west to Gulf Shores. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s, with 80s likely inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 74 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking to a senior adult group this morning in Clanton, and then I have a weather program at Riverchase Elementary in Hoover. Be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Warm, Calm May Weather

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 15:36

WARM AND DRY: No real change in the Alabama weather situation for the rest of the week; an upper ridge will keep the rain producing systems well to the west and north of our state; we expect mostly sunny days and fair nights through Friday with only fair weather cumulus clouds during the heat of the day. Afternoon highs will be generally in the mid 80s tomorrow and Thursday, with upper 80s likely by Friday. These values are about five to ten degrees above average for early May in Alabama.

TO THE EAST: A sub-tropical storm is expected to develop in the Atlantic, just off the Southeast U.S. coast, in coming days. The high resolution NAM model shows the system southeast of Charleston Thursday evening, with the main wind field still a little offshore at that point.

The system will drift westward, toward the coast of the Carolinas, Friday, but the impact of this system will remain well to the east of Alabama. We should mention the name of the storm will be “Ana” if it develops as forecast.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Data from the GEFS ensemble hints that parts of Alabama will see 90 degree heat for the first time time year over the weekend…

The weather still looks dry with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights. A few isolated showers or storms could show up near the Tennessee border Sunday afternoon, but even there the chance of any one spot getting wet looks rather small.

NEXT WEEK: A cold front will bring the next decent chance of showers and storms by Tuesday, but for now it doesn’t look like a severe weather setup. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days, fair nights will continue through the weekend on the Gulf Coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores; highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s, with 80s inland. The sea water temperature this afternoon at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 75 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today seeing the kids at Dayspring Child Care Center in Helena, and Rocky Ridge Elementary in Hoover… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 and 6:00 on ABC 33/40 News@ The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

Summer Preview Continues

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 06:08

WARM AND DRY: If you enjoyed the weather yesterday across Alabama, you will like the forecast for the rest of the week. An upper ridge holds, and will keep the primary storm track across the nation well to the west and north, so we will continue to forecast sunny warm days and fair nights through Friday. Highs will remain in the 80s, with early morning lows in the upper 50s and low 60s. No need to mention any risk of rain for the rest of the week.

TO THE EAST: Models continue to develop a sub-tropical low just off the southern Atlantic coast of the U.S. tomorrow and Thursday; this feature stays just offshore, but it could bring some wind and rain to the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina. Steering currents collapse, and this feature could hang around for a while, but it remains east of Alabama through the weekend and there will be no impact on our weather. If a sub-tropical system does form, it will be called “Ana”.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Temperatures could very well approach the 90 degree mark in a few spots Saturday and Sunday afternoon as our summer preview continues. The weekend looks mostly dry; we might consider a small risk of a shower or storm Sunday afternoon as moisture levels begin to rise.

NEXT WEEK: Widely scattered showers or storms are possible early next week, but the rain probably won’t be very widespread or heavy, and there is certainly no risk of severe weather as heights remain above average, and the storm track stays to the west. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

AT THE BEACH: Mostly sunny days and fair nights will continue from Panama City west to Gulf Shores through the weekend; highs on the immediate coast will be in the mid to upper 70s, with 80s inland. Sea water temperatures are generally in the mid 70s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have weather programs today at Daystar Child Care in Helena, and Rocky Ridge Elementary in Hoover. Be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

WeatherBrains 484: Snowball Thingy!

Tue, 05/05/2015 - 05:15

WeatherBrains Episode 484 is now online (May 4, 2015). If you are crazy about weather, this is THE netcast audio program for you!

Our guest WeatherBrain comes from Nate’s neck of the woods, in fact, he works with Nate at WRAL-TV. Greg Fishel, welcome to WeatherBrains.

Fishel began his broadcast meteorology career in 1979 with WMDT in Salisbury, MD. He has been at WRAL since 1981 and became the station’s chief meteorologist in 1989. Fishel was the first certified broadcast meteorologist in the United States. He chaired the American Meteorological Society Broadcast Board Committee to develop the 100-question exam for the Certified Broadcast Meteorologist program. He has a degree from Pennsylvania State University.

Other discussions in this weekly podcast include topics like:

  • Extremes: 104 at Death Valley, CA, and 24 at northeast of Poplar, MT, and at Olney, MT
  • Quiet weather across the country over the weekend
  • Severe weather outlooked in narrow band in Central Plains
  • and more!
  • Our email bag officer is continuing to handle the incoming messages from our listeners.

    From The Weather Center:

    WeatherBrains 101: Last week our email bag officer noted a letter from a listener that mentioned hail cannons. So I thought it might be an interesting topic to briefly explore hail cannons and their theoretical purpose.

    Listener Surveys: Okay, we continue to drive this topic into the ground, but we really do like to hear from you. Many thanks to everyone who has taken the time to fill out the Listener Survey. The survey takes just a minute or two to complete and provides us with an opportunity to learn where you are and hear your thoughts and comments on the show. Click here to take the survey.

    Web Sites from Episode 484:

    To subscribe to the brand new SkyWritings, an email newsletter from the WeatherBrains gang, click HERE.

    WRAL-TV weather page

    Picks of the Week:

    Nate Johnson – GIS course for atmospheric sciences

    Brian Peters – Weather teletype code

    John Scala – China bans unofficial weather reports

    Kevin Selle – SPC mobile

    James Spann – NHC audio briefings

    Aubrey Urbanowicz – eruption

    SkyDavers Blog – The Fog Bank

    The WeatherBrains crew includes your host, James Spann, plus other notable geeks like Nate Johnson, Bill Murray, Aubrey Urbanowicz, Dr. John Scala, Rick Smith, Kevin Selle, and Brian Peters. They bring together a wealth of weather knowledge and experience for another fascinating netcast about weather.

    Categories: Weather

    Warm May Days

    Mon, 05/04/2015 - 15:34

    AT MID-AFTERNOON: Temperatures are mostly in the low 80s this afternoon, about 3-5 degrees above average for early May in Alabama. No rain on radar, and the sky is mostly sunny.

    REST OF THE WEEK: An upper ridge will keep Alabama warm and dry through at least Friday, with mostly sunny days and fair nights. We project highs in the 83 to 86 degree range, with early morning lows between 57 and 62. Makes for a simple forecast, and a nice preview of summer.

    TO THE EAST: Models continue to show a sub-tropical storm forming off the south Atlantic coast of the U.S. by Wednesday. The NAM suggests this low will be close to Charleston, SC Thursday afternoon; it will bring a good bit of wind and rain to the coast of the Carolinas, but all of this will remain well to the east of Alabama.

    If the system does become a sub-tropical storm, the name will be “Ana”.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Not much change as the upper ridge holds. Partly to mostly sunny Saturday and Sunday with highs in the mid to upper 80s; it should be the warmest weekend so far this year. We might consider a small risk of a shower or storm Sunday afternoon as moisture levels begin to rise, but most of the state will remain rain-free.

    A chance of showers will return early next week on Monday (May 11) as an upper trough approaches. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    GULF COAST WEATHER: Everything looks great this week on the coast from Panama City west to Gulf Shores; we expect mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the mid to upper 70s, with 80s inland. The sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this afternoon is 76 degrees.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    I had a great time today visiting with students at Ohatchee Elementary and Helena Elementary… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM on ABC 33/40 News at 5:00 and 6:00! Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

    Categories: Weather

    Warm, Dry May Weather Continues

    Mon, 05/04/2015 - 06:24

    SUMMER PREVIEW: We are expecting the warmest weather so far this year over the next seven days, thanks to an upper ridge overhead. Today will feature a good supply of sunshine with a high in the low 80s.

    For the rest of the week, the weather won’t change much. The ridge will keep the rain producing systems well to the west, and around here we are forecasting mostly sunny, warm days, and clear nights through Friday. Highs will stay in the 80s… we could see a few upper 80s later in the week. The average high for May 4 (for Birmingham) is 78.

    EARLY SEASON TROPICAL SYSTEM? The global models have been advertising for days a surface low off in the Atlantic, off the Southeast U.S. coast this week. The GFS continues this idea; if something forms there, it will not be a classic warm core tropical system, but a “sub-tropical” storm with the name of “Ana”. The GFS moves this feature to a point near Savannah late this week, and some rain is possible for the eastern part of Georgia and the Carolinas, but this should not impact Alabama in any way.

    THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Really don’t see much change, as the warm, dry pattern continues. Highs will be in the mid to upper 80s Saturday and Sunday with a pretty decent amount of sunshine both days. We might consider a small risk of a shower Sunday as moisture levels begin to increase, but for now we will leave the forecast dry.

    Seems like the next chance of showers for our state will come one week from today (Monday May 11) with a cold front, but it doesn’t look like a big rain event, and doesn’t pose a risk of severe weather. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

    AT THE BEACH: Just a slight risk of a shower late today along the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, otherwise, mostly sunny days and fair nights through the weekend. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 70s, with 80s inland. The sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 73 degrees.

    WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

    CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

    Facebook
    Twitter
    Google Plus
    Instagram

    I have weather programs today at Ohatchee Elementary and Helena Elementary… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

    Categories: Weather

    Ana Is That You?

    Sun, 05/03/2015 - 13:00

    There is still consistent evidence that a subtropical storm could form northwest of the Bahamas by midweek. This subtropical storm could affect the Carolinas and Georgia coastline, but top winds should be less than 50 mph. Gusty winds and rough surf will be the main impact. Sill, it serves as a reminder that the Atlantic Hurricane Season is not far away, beginning June 1.

    BILL ON DECK: I get a storm named for me this year! The name Bill has been used for three tropical cyclones in the Atlantic. 2009’s Bill was a Cat 4 Hurricane that passed Bermuda and grazed Nova Scotia. 1997’s Bill threatened Bermuda as well. Seems I have a thing for Bermuda. And TS Bill in 2003 made landfall west of New Orleans.

    Here is the list of names for 2015 in the Atlantic:

    Ana
    Bill
    Claudette
    Danny
    Erika
    Fred
    Grace
    Henri
    Ida
    Joaquin
    Kate
    Larry
    Mindy
    Nicholas
    Odette
    Peter
    Rose
    Sam
    Teresa
    Victor
    Wanda

    It is interesting to note that this is the list of names from the 1979 Atlantic Hurricane Season, which was the first to use male names. The following names have been retired from that list (year of retirement in parentheses).

    Bob (1991)
    David (1979)
    Elena (1985)
    Frederic (1979)
    Gloria (1985)
    Isabel (2003)
    Juan (2003)

    Categories: Weather