ABC 33/40 Weather Blog

Syndicate content
The latest information on Alabama weather, tornadoes, hurricanes, winter storms, national weather headlines and the science of meteorology in general.
Updated: 3 hours 30 min ago

Record Cold Likely Tonight

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 16:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

TOO COLD FOR NOVEMBER: Don’t forget, the average high for Birmingham today is 64, and the average low is 41… that will give you an idea of how low these temperatures are compared to “normal” expectations in the middle of November. Many North Alabama communities aren’t out of the 30s this afternoon.

With a clear sky tonight, we project a low between 18 and 22 degrees early tomorrow morning, and with a north wind of 6-12 mph, the wind chill index could drop briefly below 10 degrees at times overnight. Birmingham’s record low for November 18 is 20 degrees (set in 1959), and that is very much in danger.

Tomorrow will be sunny but cold with a high only in the mid 30s. And, tomorrow night will be very cold again; the wind goes calm, and we expect a pretty big spread Wednesday morning. Colder valleys and protected areas across North Alabama will see mid teens, with lows in the mid 20s on ridge tops.

The good news is that a warming trend begins Wednesday afternoon with a good supply of sunshine with a high in the upper 40s.

THURSDAY/FRIDAY: The warm-up continues Thursday with a decent amount of sun and a high in the 50s. The latest GFS run backs off on the idea of rain Friday; we will just mention an outside risk of a shower for now, and we have a chance of seeing a 60 degree high Friday afternoon.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Saturday continues to look dry and pleasant; mixed sun and clouds with a high in the low 60s. But, we will need to mention a good chance of showers and thunderstorms late Saturday night into Sunday, and the GFS continues to show a setup favorable for strong, and possibly severe thunderstorms across all of Alabama. Still too early to be specific and to really define the threat; just something to watch as the weekend gets closer. A chance we see 70 degrees Sunday afternoon as the warming trend continues.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: Rain ends Monday, and at the moment the weather looks cool and dry Tuesday through Friday, with highs around 50, and lows around 30. But, this is out there in the “land of voodoo”, and things could easily change. Take some time to see the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Erwin Intermediate School in Center Point; be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! And, I also saw a great 6th grade group today at Phillips Academy in Birmingham… they will be on the KIDCAM tomorrow at 5:00. Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather

A 1957 Reminder About the Fall Tornado Season

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 11:00

November 17, 1957 was a Sunday. Newspaper headlines chronicled a deadly crash of the New york Central passenger train, The Chicagoan, in Michigan. The crash killed one and injured 32. Another train crash in France killed 28. Seventeen people, including fourteen children, died in a New York tenement fire. There was a lot of talk about defense spending in light of the space race that had exploded with the Russian launch of Sputnik. The prospect of atomic testing in space was causing a great deal of concern. A Christmas Seals cartoon of Santa on the front page warned there were only 31 shopping days left until Christmas.

As is usually the case on any Sunday in Alabama in the fall, the big news revolved around the world of college football. The front page of the Birmingham News heralded “API Takes Dogs” after Auburn had beaten Georgia 6-0. API stood for Alabama Polytechnic Institute. The name was officially changed in 1960 to Auburn University. The headline also hinted that Auburn might end up with the number one ranking in the polls, but Michigan State catapulted to number one, passing the unbeaten, untied Tigers. Auburn would of course go on to the number one position in the AP Poll at the end of the year.

Also that Saturday, Oklahoma had seen its incredible 47 game unbeaten streak end at the hands of Notre Dame. It took a last second field goal for Georgia Tech to eek out a victory against upset minded Alabama. The News kept a close eye on what was going on at Texas A&M, where Bear Bryant was the coach of the 4th ranked Aggies.

Click image to enlarge

On that November Sunday, Alabama was in the first day of a two-day period of severe weather. That morning, strong subtropical high pressure was centered near Key West. The Gulf of Mexico was open for business as the high pumped moisture into the Deep South on southerly winds. A powerful upper level trough extended from the northern Rockies to the Southwest. That morning, a surface low pressure system was moving northeast into northwestern Arkansas, dragging a cold front back into Texas.

Just after noon, tornadoes started touching down in eastern Mississippi. Two people were killed by a strong tornado that cut a 15 miles path from near Macon. Mississippi State Police were tracking the tornadoes and relayed reports ahead to Alabama.

A little after 3 p.m., a violent tornado touched down 6 miles northwest of Jasper near the community of Red Mil Cross Roads. Mr. and Mrs. Wilford Bradford had just built a new home there. The ranch home was blown 150 feet and smashed to bits. The couple and their 14 year old daughter were killed. One other person was killed along the short 5 mile path that carried it near Saragossa and Manchester.

An amateur photographer snapped a dramatic picture of the tornado that ran on front pages of newspapers all over the country, including the one on the front page of The Birmingham News the next day

The official forecast from the U.S. Weather Bureau called for cloudy, windy and warm weather for Monday the 18th as Alabama would remain in grips of a battle between the subtropical high and the encroaching upper trough. More about the events of the 18th tomorrow.

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 08:53

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WWUS64 KBMX 171352
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 552
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
752 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

ALC005-171500-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0552.000000T0000Z-141117T1500Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 552 FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 1 COUNTY

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BARBOUR

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…EUFAULA.

$$

WWWW

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 08:12

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WWUS64 KBMX 171312
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 552
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
712 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

ALC011-109-113-171415-
/O.CAN.KBMX.TO.A.0552.000000T0000Z-141117T1500Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS CANCELLED TORNADO WATCH 552 FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS CANCELS 3 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA

RUSSELL

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BULLOCK PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…PHENIX CITY…
TROY AND UNION SPRINGS.

$$

ALC005-171500-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.A.0552.000000T0000Z-141117T1500Z/

TORNADO WATCH 552 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 1 COUNTY

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BARBOUR

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…EUFAULA.

$$

Categories: Weather

Rain Moving Out; Very Cold Air Moving In

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 07:37

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SEVERE WEATHER TO THE SOUTH: Tornado warnings have been posted for parts of Southeast Alabama during the pre-dawn hours; scroll down to see all of them. As I write this, a tornado on radar near Hurtsboro in Russell County moving northeast. The severe weather threat will end over Southeast Alabama during the next hour or two as the storms move into South Georgia.

VERY BENEFICIAL RAIN: Up our way, we saw some tremendous rain totals during the past 24 hours; the rain generally came down slow and steady, and only minor flooding issues have been reported. Some totals…

Helena (Old Cahaba neighborhood) 6.74″
Hoover (near Spain Park HS) 5.98″
Coaling 5.70″
Bibbville 5.25″
Cottondale 5.21″
Bessemer 5.17″
Coldwater 4.92″
Moody 4.57″
Shelby County (between Alabaster and Columbiana) 4.03″
Weaver 3.91″
Concord 3.81″
Montevallo 3.75″
Coker 3.66″
Center Point 3.57″
Trussville 3.53″
Demopolis 3.44″
Muscadine 3.28″
Black Creek (near Gadsden) 3.19″
Gadsden 2.71″
Jemison 2.12″
Thorsby 1.96″

Lingering rain over East Alabama will end very soon…

FRIGID AIR: Temperatures have fallen into the 30s over Northwest Alabama, and the cold air will flood the state this morning with a biting northwest wind. North of Birmingham, don’t expect to get out of the 30s today; temperatures will hover in the low 40s south of I-20. The sky will remain cloudy, and a few scattered snow flurries or patches of light sleet are possible in the cold air (but nothing really significant).

CHECKING THE RECORD BOOKS: We project a low between 18 and 22 degrees early tomorrow morning. The record low for November 18 (in Birmingham) is 20 degrees, set in 1959… so there is a good chance that one will fall (along with many others around the state and the nation). The wind will average 6-12 mph early tomorrow, and that could push the wind chill index down into the single digits in spots.

Tomorrow will be sunny, but very cold with a high only in the mid 30s; areas north of Birmingham could remain below freezing all day despite the sunshine.

Wednesday morning will be very cold with a clear sky and light wind; colder valleys and protected areas will visit the teens again, and more records are possible (Birmingham’s record low for November 19 is 18 set in 1903.

LATER THIS WEEK: A warming trend begins Wednesday afternoon; with a sunny sky we rise into the upper 40s. Then, 50s are likely Thursday afternoon with a partly sunny sky. We will mention the risk of a few showers Friday as a weak disturbance passes through; rain amounts should be on the light side.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: For now Saturday looks dry and mild; partly sunny with a high in the mid 60s. Then, a dynamic weather system arrives Sunday with rain and thunderstorms likely; the 00Z GFS shows a setup favorable for strong to severe thunderstorms for Alabama. We will watch model trends closely in coming days; this is the fall tornado season, so severe weather threats are not uncommon this time of the year. The high Sunday afternoon should be in the upper 60s, perhaps touching 70 degrees in a few places.

THANKSGIVING WEEK: Keep in mind we are getting out into the “land of voodoo”, but at this point the GFS shows rain lingering into Monday, then dry and pleasant weather Tuesday through Friday with highs generally in the 50s and lows in the 30s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I have weather programs today at Erwin Intermediate School in Center Point, and Phillips Academy in Birmingham… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day…

Categories: Weather

Tornado Warning

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 07:19

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WFUS54 KBMX 171218
TORBMX
ALC113-171245-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0044.141117T1218Z-141117T1245Z/

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
618 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
SOUTHEASTERN RUSSELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 645 AM CST

* AT 616 AM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTH OF SEALE…OR 17 MILES SOUTHWEST OF FORT
BENNING SOUTH…AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
FORT MITCHELL ACTIVITY CENTER AND UCHEE CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

LAT…LON 3221 8493 3221 8497 3220 8496 3216 8503
3213 8505 3211 8506 3207 8514 3221 8522
3234 8500 3233 8500 3231 8494 3227 8489
TIME…MOT…LOC 1219Z 239DEG 49KT 3219 8509

$$

Categories: Weather

Tornado Warning

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 06:48

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WFUS54 KBMX 171148
TORBMX
ALC011-113-171230-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0043.141117T1148Z-141117T1230Z/

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
548 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
NORTHEASTERN BULLOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…
RUSSELL COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 630 AM CST

* AT 545 AM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR GUERRYTON…OR NEAR HURTSBORO…AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
HURTSBORO…PHENIX CITY…SEALE…RUSSELL COUNTY SPORTS COMPLEX…
LADONIA…RUTHERFORD…HATCHECHUBBE…PARKMANVILLE…FORT MITCHELL
ACTIVITY CENTER AND PHENIX DRAG STRIP.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

LAT…LON 3215 8531 3214 8542 3209 8543 3208 8546
3223 8557 3224 8543 3231 8543 3247 8513
3247 8506 3251 8506 3251 8500 3245 8499
3244 8496 3237 8497 3233 8500 3231 8496
TIME…MOT…LOC 1148Z 238DEG 51KT 3221 8542

$$

Categories: Weather

Tornado Warning

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 06:10

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WFUS54 KBMX 171109
TORBMX
ALC011-171145-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0042.141117T1109Z-141117T1145Z/

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
509 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
BULLOCK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 545 AM CST

* AT 508 AM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED NEAR LINWOOD…OR 12 MILES NORTH OF TROY…AND MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
UNION SPRINGS…MIDWAY…BEANS CROSSROADS…INVERNESS…ABERFOIL…
GUERRYTON…HIGH RIDGE…SEDGEFIELD AND THREE NOTCH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

LAT…LON 3197 8588 3205 8590 3205 8595 3204 8598
3224 8566 3223 8543 3215 8543 3214 8541
3214 8543 3211 8543 3199 8573 3197 8579
TIME…MOT…LOC 1109Z 242DEG 45KT 3197 8588

$$

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 05:49

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WWUS64 KBMX 171049
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 552
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
449 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

ALC011-113-171500-
/O.EXA.KBMX.TO.A.0552.000000T0000Z-141117T1500Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 552 TO
INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN EAST CENTRAL ALABAMA

RUSSELL

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BULLOCK

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…PHENIX CITY AND UNION SPRINGS.

$$

ALC005-109-171500-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.A.0552.000000T0000Z-141117T1500Z/

TORNADO WATCH 552 REMAINS VALID UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR
THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BARBOUR PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…EUFAULA AND TROY.

$$

Categories: Weather

Tornado Warning

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 05:41

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WFUS54 KBMX 171040
TORBMX
ALC109-171130-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.W.0041.141117T1040Z-141117T1130Z/

BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
440 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR…
NORTHWESTERN PIKE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA…

* UNTIL 530 AM CST

* AT 439 AM CST…THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDICATED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF BRADLEYTON…OR 7 MILES NORTH OF
LUVERNE…AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
ANSLEY…TROY MUNICIPAL AIRPORT…LINWOOD…ORION AND CHINA GROVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS…

TAKE COVER NOW. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.

HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. DO NOT WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR
THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER…
CALL 1-800-856-0758 OR TWEET YOUR REPORT USING HASHTAG ALWX

LAT…LON 3179 8615 3179 8621 3188 8618 3196 8619
3196 8600 3205 8599 3204 8597 3206 8595
3205 8590 3197 8588 3197 8579 3194 8579
3175 8615
TIME…MOT…LOC 1040Z 235DEG 50KT 3182 8621

$$

Categories: Weather

Watch County Notification

Mon, 11/17/2014 - 02:34

This is the text of a severe warning from the National Weather Service for part of the AlabamaWX.com coverage area. Standby for more details to be added to this post by our meteorologists.

WWUS64 KBMX 170734
WCNBMX

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 552
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
134 AM CST MON NOV 17 2014

ALC005-109-171500-
/O.NEW.KBMX.TO.A.0552.141117T0734Z-141117T1500Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 552 IN
EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS

IN ALABAMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 2 COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

BARBOUR PIKE

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF…EUFAULA AND TROY.

$$

Categories: Weather

Flood Advisory Issued

Sun, 11/16/2014 - 23:27

The National Weather Service In Birmingham Has Issued An

– Urban And Small Stream Flood Advisory For
Southern Jefferson County In Alabama
Northern Shelby County In Alabama

– Until 1245 AM CST.

These are Doppler Radar estimated rainfall amounts so far today.

The flood advisory is outlined in green.

As you can see, widespread two inch rainfall amounts have fallen so far from Greene County into southern Jefferson and northern Shelby Counties.

The NWS Office at the Shelby County Airport has picked up 1.72 inches of rain through 10:09 p.m.

As you can see, it will continue to rain heavily in some areas into the early morning hours.

Since it has been so dry, flooding is not a major concern, but ponding on roadways and minor flooding in urban areas will continue until the rainfall abates later.

Categories: Weather

Heavy Rain Falling

Sun, 11/16/2014 - 20:31

Heavy rain is falling tonight across parts of North Central Alabama generally in the I-20 corridor just to the north of a frontal boundary and low pressure system.

It is a rough drive right now from Hoover to Tuscaloosa on I-20/59 with lots of heavy rain.

Be careful on area roads as there will definitely be ponding on streets and highways.

So far, 0.76 inches of rain rain has fallen at the Birmingham Airport as of 7 p.m. Another inch is likely before the rain ends late tonight.

Categories: Weather

Really Cold Air On The Way

Sun, 11/16/2014 - 14:54

Rain overspread Northwest Alabama early this morning as advertised, in advance of a very powerful upper trough that is bringing some amazingly cold air to the center of the country and aided by a frontal system that lies generally along and north of I-20.   Low pressure centers are lined up back along the front which extends across southern Mississippi.

UPSTREAM TEMPS: It is interesting to note at early afternoon, temperatures are in the teens and 20s across Kansas, 30s over Arkansas and in the 40s over northern Mississippi. It was 18F at noon at Chanute, KS with heavy snow and 23F at Joplin MO with heavy snow as well. It was 39F at Little Rock and 43F at Greenwood MS. In sharp contrast, it is 70F at Mobile.

NOWCAST: As of the noon hour, rain had overspread much of the space north of I-59 and was steadily advancing eastward. This first wave of rain will continue to do so through the afternoon hours leading to a gentle, soaking rain for most locations. North of the front, temperatures are in the 40s in places like Hamilton, Muscle Shoals and Huntsville. There will likely be some evaporative cooling as rain begins to fall in areas that are in the 50s, setting the stage for a cold rain. Over three quarters of an inch of rain has fallen at Muscle Shoals this morning and much of the area should see at least one half of an inch this afternoon. Great weather for a nap.

WAVE #2: Another wave of rain will overspread the area tonight as another of those surface disturbances ripples northeastward along the front. There is currently some lightning over southwestern Mississippi and even a tornado warning west of Lafayette LA. There is a slight risk severe weather outlook in effect along the Gulf Coast from Fort Walton back to Lake Charles LA. As this low passes by, the front will start dropping southeastward pushing the rain with it. Rain should end in places like Hamilton and Carrollton by 3 a.m. or so, Birmingham and Tuscaloosa around 6 a.m. and over East Alabama soon after that. The rain should be basically out of the state by noon.   Overnight rainfall amounts may be over an inch, with accumulated totals finishing around 2 inches in some spots.

SEVERE WEATHER? I know you zeroed in on my comment about a tornado warning. No, there is no threat of that coming to Alabama. Instabilities may well support a little thunder tonight in areas south of I-20.

ROLLER COASTER TEMPERATURES: Wasn’t it the Ohio Players that sang about the Rollercoaster of Love? The theme of this paragraph will be the Rollercoaster of Temperatures. Although the screaming message is the coming cold, there are a couple of things meteorologically that some of our friends will experience. As the second low pushes northeast tonight, temperatures may jump into the 50s and 60s as far north as I-20, in places like Tuscaloosa, Birmingham, Clanton, Talladega and Ashland as well as points south. Temperatures will fall during the morning across the area, with Monday daytime highs likely occurring before sunrise in many areas. That is always interesting. Temperatures will be in the lower 40s in the I-20 corridor during much of the day, falling back into the 30s during the late afternoon. Places to the north will remain in the 30s all day. The Arctic front will arrive Monday night, plunging temperatures into the lower 20s with a few teens by Tuesday morning.

FRIGID TUESDAY: Highs on Tuesday will likely not get above freezing in places along and north of I-20. We are talking highs around 30-32F. It will be a day for bundling up and dressing warmly.

TO WEDNESDAY AND BEYOND: Wednesday morning will likely be as cold if not a degree or two colder than Tuesday morning, with teens and lower 20s prevailing. Most areas should warm back to the upper 40s by Wednesday afternoon. Moderation will occur starting Thursday with 50s likely again and continuing on Friday – Sunday. The next rain chances will come late Thursday night into Friday as another front system starts acting up over the south. It could be followed by another round of rain on Sunday.

THANKSGIVING SNEAK PEEK:   Some snow looks possible in the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys along with cold weather over the Southeast.

Categories: Weather

Here Comes the Rain

Sun, 11/16/2014 - 08:08

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

After a gorgeous November Saturday that was a little chilly but still warmer than Friday, clouds moved in overnight and the rain was heading our way. A surface low will track across North Alabama tonight from a position near Lake Charles this morning. The surface low is in response to a strong trough digging into the Central US that will bring another shot of very cold air to Alabama for Tuesday and Wednesday. The surface low will move quickly northeastward to the Mid-Atlantic states by Monday afternoon bringing an end to the rain as the cold air arrives here. And this air will be cold! I do not expect us to get out of the 40s on Monday and by Tuesday morning we could see temperature readings in the teens. The record low for Birmingham for Tuesday morning is 20, so a new record low is possible.

The severe weather threat should be confined to the immediate coastal area of the Central Gulf coast today and across North Florida and southern Georgia on Monday. A band of snow with the surface low will affect the Central US in a line from about Amarillo, TX, to Erie, PA, with snow amounts ranging from 1 to 4 inches in that fairly narrow band where winter weather advisories are in effect.

With a deep trough in place Monday and Tuesday, cold air will settle into Central Alabama with readings Monday only in the 40s. By Tuesday morning, we could see record low temperatures in Central Alabama with values in the teens. Wednesday morning could by nearly as cold as the surface high settles into the Southeast US.

Temperatures should moderate some by the end of the week with highs by Thursday and Friday into the 50s. But the fast moving flow is forecast to bring another short wave across the southern tier of the US which could bring rain back into the picture as early as Friday. Timing of this system has changed from the model runs yesterday, so confidence in the onset of our next wet event is not very high at the moment. But with another strong upper trough forecast to affect us by Sunday, we could see another cold rain event.

Just as we saw yesterday, the GFS continues to present a cold week 2. Another very deep trough around November 25th could spell another winter weather event for the middle Mississippi River Valley and the Tennessee and Ohio River valleys, but we’re dealing with voodoo country, so there is no skill in trying to forecast a specific event – just something to keep an eye on.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

James Spann should be back with the next edition of the Weather Xtreme Video first thing on Monday morning. I’m looking forward to my role as honorary ringmaster at the Shriner Circus going on at the Pelham Civic Center today. Stay dry and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

Sunny & Chilly Saturday

Sat, 11/15/2014 - 16:24

After starting the day in the 20s area wide, we are seeing 50s for most locations this afternoon. These temps are a bit warmer compared to the last few days, but still well below average for this time of year.

Heading into the overnight hours, watch for clouds to be increasing from the west as moisture returns to the area. With cloud cover increasing overnight, and a bit more of a southerly winds, it does appears we will stay above freezing tonight. Most locations should see lows in the mid to upper 30s.

Tomorrow morning we should start the day in the mid-30s for most locations and by the afternoon highs should be in the lower to mid-50s. It will be cloudy tomorrow morning, and by the afternoon, the clouds should begin to yield rain showers across the area. By tomorrow night, the rain should set in and we should see a soaking rain overnight and into Monday.

Categories: Weather

Warmer, Wetter Weather Ahead

Sat, 11/15/2014 - 08:27

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

It’s a downright chilly start to the day with temperature readings across Central Alabama well down into the 20s. Birmingham set a new record low temperature yesterday morning with the 23 degrees breaking the old record of 24 set in 1986. With plenty of sunshine today, we should see temperatures climb nicely into the lower 50s for afternoon highs.

FOOTBALL FORECAST: The biggest college game in the country is in Tuscaloosa today as Mississippi State takes on Alabama. Temperatures at kickoff, 2:30 pm, will be around 52 degrees with a sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half. Auburn plays in Athens, GA, where they take on the Georgia Bulldogs this evening with a 6:15 pm kickoff. Bundle up if you are going to this game. The weather will be dry but the temperature will be around 42 degrees at kickoff with temperatures dropping slowly through the 30s during the game.

The nearly zonal flow aloft will take on a much sharper look as another deep trough digs into the eastern US. A surface low will move out of the Northwest Gulf of Mexico Sunday and move quickly up to the Mid-Atlantic states by midday Monday. This will spread clouds and a cold rain across Central Alabama Sunday afternoon and Sunday night. With the quickly traveling low center, the rain should come to an end across our area by the middle of the day Monday. Rainfall amounts are likely to be around 1 inch for most locations and we can sure use the rain since we’ve been relatively dry.

The upper level flow remains dominated by a trough over the astern half of the country while a surface high will be the prevailing feature at the surface. This should give us several days of dry weather from Tuesday through Friday.

By the very end of the week another strong short wave is forecast to come at us from the Four Corners area of the Southwest US. This should bring us another round of wet weather for next weekend. But this is on the edge of voodoo country so the timing for this event may need to be adjusted as we watch the development of this next system.

An speaking of voodoo country. The GFS continues to show a chilly November as the upper air pattern remains with a substantial trough over the eastern half of the country. The message here is that we probably won’t be seeing any really warm weather for awhile.

And you can follow news and weather updates from ABC 33/40 on Twitter here. Stay in the know by following the whole gang – here’s the list…

James Spann Charles Daniel Bill Murray Brian Peters E-Warn (AL wx watches/warnings)

I had a great time Thursday evening speaking to the Navajo Hills Garden Club. I expect to have the next Weather Xtreme Video posted here by 8 am or so on Sunday morning. Stay up with the latest weather by checking back here often. Have a great day and Godspeed.

-Brian-

Categories: Weather

More Cold Air Early Next Week

Fri, 11/14/2014 - 16:42

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLD NOVEMBER DAY: Temperatures are struggling to reach the 40 degree mark across North/Central Alabama this afternoon despite a good supply of sunshine, and once the sun goes down around 4:45, you know temperatures will drop quickly. I think we are now looking at freezing temperatures for most of the high school football playoff games around our state tonight, and we project a low back in the low to mid 20s by daybreak tomorrow.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: We project a high tomorrow afternoon not too far from 50 degrees with sunshine through scattered clouds. Then, the clouds thicken tomorrow night, and we will deal with rain before the weekend is over.

The rain should begin Sunday afternoon over North/Central Alabama, then becoming widespread Sunday night as a surface low passes through South Alabama. Looks like a good rain event, with totals in the 1/2 to 1 inch range for places like Birmingham, Tuscaloosa, Anniston, and Gadsden. Parts of South Alabama will see over one inch.

MONDAY: Rain will end from west to east during the day, and the next shot of very cold air will begin to blow in here with temperatures falling into the 30s by mid to late afternoon. Can’t totally rule out a snow flake or two in the cold air, but it won’t be anything significant. If you are looking for a good snow cover, look north of I-40 in far North Tennessee and Kentucky.

FRIGID TUESDAY: We will drop to near 20 degrees early Tuesday morning, with potential for single digit wind chill values. A decent part of North Alabama will stay below freezing all day Tuesday despite the return of sunshine. Then, as the wind goes calm Tuesday night, that should set the stage for the coldest morning early Wednesday with upper teens very possible.

A slow warming trend then begins Wednesday afternoon that will last through the following weekend. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tonight, we project a kickoff temperature around 34 degrees, then falling into the 20s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in tomorrow Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs tomorrow evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I had a great time today visiting with the kids at Southeastern Elementary School in Blount County… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! My next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. Monday… Brian Peters will have the video updates here tomorrow and Sunday. Enjoy the weekend!

Categories: Weather

Brighter Today, But Still Cold

Fri, 11/14/2014 - 07:33

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

COLDEST SO FAR: Here are some temperatures across the great state of Alabama at daybreak…

Haleyville 20
Decatur 20
Valley Head 21
Cullman 21
Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 21
Birmingham 23 (wind chill index of 15)
Center Point 23
Montevallo 24
Bessemer 24
Huffman 25
Concord 25
Gardendale 25
Anniston 26
Sycamore 26
Tuscaloosa 27

The good news is that the sky will be mostly sunny today, but temperatures remain far below average; the GFS and the NAM are printing a high of only 41 degrees for Birmingham today.

Expect another very cold night tonight; most places will be in the mid 20s early tomorrow.

OUR WEEKEND: Tomorrow will be another cold, dry day with a partly to mostly sunny sky; the high will be at or just over 50 degrees, still about 15 degrees below average for mid-November. Clouds return Sunday, and rain should begin Sunday afternoon… that rain becomes widespread Sunday night thanks to a surface low that should move over far South Alabama. The southern half of the state can expect 1 to 2 inches of rain, and up our way, the north-central Alabama counties should see at last 1/2 to 1 inch. It will be our most signifiant rain since October 13, when Birmingham measured 1.91″.

MONDAY/TUESDAY: The rain will end from west to east during the day Monday, and right after that we deal with another surge of very cold air. Not out of the question for a flake or two of snow to fall over North Alabama as it all ends and the colder air arrives, but for now there is no evidence that it will be anything signifiant. Temperatures should begin to fall Monday afternoon with a gusty north wind, and by Tuesday morning we will be close to 20 degrees, with a wind chill index down in the single digits.

It will be a struggle to get above freezing Tuesday despite the return of sunshine, and the wind chill index will remain below freezing most of the day with a north wind of 10-20 mph. Then, Tuesday night, the wind will die down, and with a clear sky we expect our coldest temperatures yet by early Wednesday morning. The GFS is printing a low of 17 degrees now for Birmingham at daybreak Wednesday.

LATER NEXT WEEK: The upper air pattern thankfully deamplifies, and we begin to warm up. Temperatures reach the 40s Wednesday afternoon, 50s Thursday, and we will be close to 60 Friday afternoon. Some hints we might have some rain late in the week, or the following weekend (November 22-23)… see the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tonight, we project a kickoff temperature around 38 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in tomorrow Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs tomorrow evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be doing a weather program today at Southeastern Elementary School in Blount County… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Categories: Weather

Coldest Night So Far This Season

Thu, 11/13/2014 - 16:14

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

TOO COLD FOR NOVEMBER: A number of North Alabama communities have failed to reach 40 degrees this afternoon; temperatures there are about 30 degrees below average for the middle of November in Alabama (we should be in the mid 60s). Some rain has been falling over far South Alabama, and a few scattered pockets of sleet have have been reported over the northern counties, and the sky has been generally cloudy.

The sky will clear from the west tonight, and we are still projecting a low between 22 and 25 degrees early tomorrow morning across North/Central Alabama.

TOMORROW/SATURDAY: The weather stays dry and cold. Expect a good supply of sunshine both days; the high tomorrow will be only in the mid 40s. Then, on Saturday, we begin the day down in the mid 20s again, but the high will be closer to 50 degrees by afternoon. Clouds begin to return late Saturday night.

RAIN RETURNS SUNDAY/MONDAY: Rain will begin at some point during the day Sunday; model consistency in the timing has not been very good; rain could begin during the morning Sunday over West Alabama, but the most widespread rain will come by mid to late afternoon into Sunday night. A surface low will form over South Alabama, and should bring rain totals of at least 1/2 to 1 inch for the north-central part of the state, with potential for over one inch of rain over the southern counties.

Sunday’s temperatures will depend on when the rain starts; if it begins early in the day, we won’t get out of the 40s. If the rain holds off until afternoon, we could creep up into the low to mid 50s.

MONDAY: The rain will end from west to east during the day Monday as another surge of colder air begins to arrive. The high resolution GFS model still hints at some chance of a few snow flakes over North Alabama as the system winds down…

Even if this happens we don’t expect any significant impact, but of course we will keep a close eye on model trends over the next few days. Temperatures could very well fall into the 30s Monday afternoon after the rain moves out.

REST OF NEXT WEEK: Very cold air arrives Monday night, and we don’t expect to get out of the 30s Tuesday with an icy north breeze. The coldest morning should come early Wednesday, with average lows between 18 and 23 degrees. Then, a slow day to day warming trend begins Wednesday afternoon. And, we should mention that the GFS shows another rain event at the end of the week. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: For the high school playoff games tomorrow night, we project a kickoff temperature around 38 degrees, then falling through the 30s during the games. Needless to say, you will need to bundle up. The sky will be clear.

The biggest college game in the country will be in Tuscaloosa Saturday as Mississippi State comes to town to take on Alabama. If you are planning on being with the ESPN GameDay crew, early morning temperatures will be in the mid 20s around daybreak, rising through the 30s, and reaching the 40s by late morning. The kickoff temperature (2:30p CT) will be close to 51 degrees with a mostly sunny sky, but as the sun goes down temperatures will drop quickly into the 40s during the second half.

Auburn will be over in Athens, GA to take on the Georgia Bulldogs Saturday evening (6:15p CT kickoff)… expect 46 degrees at kickoff, with temperatures dropping slowly through the 40s during the game. The sky should be mostly fair.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Categories: Weather