Find us on Google+

Category: Alabama’s Weather

Mostly Dry Through Thursday; Hotter

| 3:29 pm September 1, 2015

RADAR CHECK: As expected, not a single shower on radar across North/Central Alabama this afternoon. The sky is partly to mostly sunny, and temperatures are mostly in the mid to upper 80s. Looks like today will be the 17th consecutive day with a high below 90 degrees for Birmingham.

TO THE SOUTH: The “ghost” of former Tropical Storm Erika is over the Northeast Gulf of Mexico this afternoon, but redevelopment is not likely due to harsh upper air winds, and that won’t impact us in any way.

radar

REST OF THE WEEK: The high tomorrow will be close to 90, with low 90s possible Thursday and Friday as an upper ridge stays in place. Days will be partly sunny, and we will mention the risk of widely scattered showers Thursday and Friday afternoon, but many communities will stay dry.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moisture levels will rise, and we will forecast “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” Saturday and Sunday, then becoming fewer in number Monday. Each day will feature a mix of sun and clouds, and the chance of any one spot getting wet will be about one in three Saturday and Sunday, and one in four Monday. Highs drop back into the mid to upper 80s.

NEXT WEEK: Things look relatively quiet; showers should be widely spaced, days partly sunny, and highs in the 80s/lows in the 60s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2015090106_min_max_16

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Alabama and Auburn kick off the season Saturday with road games, and both will be played in venues where rain won’t be an issue one way or another. Auburn against Louisville; the game is Saturday at 2:30 in Atlanta in the Georgia Dome. Dry inside, but outside the dome showers are possible with afternoon temperatures in the 80s. Alabama will take on Wisconsin Saturday night at 7:00 (the game is on ABC 33/40) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas… the day will be sunny and hot in the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex with a high in the mid 90s.. cooling down into the 70s Saturday night. No need to bring the retractable roof over the stadium with a clear sky.

BEACH WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather on the Gulf Coast tomorrow from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores… then about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily Thursday through the Labor Day weekend, with the usual risk of a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs stay in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Afternoons Trending Hotter

| 6:17 am September 1, 2015

MOSTLY DRY THROUGH MID-WEEK: With an upper ridge building across the eastern part of the nation, we expect a rather quiet weather pattern for the next few days across Alabama with hotter afternoons. The high today will be in the 87 to 90 degree range, followed by low 90s tomorrow through Friday. Days will be partly to mostly sunny, nights will be mostly fair. Moisture levels will rise toward the end of the week, and we will bring in the chance of widely scattered afternoon and evening showers Friday.

Birmingham has gone 16 consecutive days with a high below 90 degrees… that streak will come to an end at some point this week, most likely tomorrow.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: We will need to mention the chance of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” Saturday through Monday with a moist airmass in place under an upper high north of the state, otherwise a mix of sun and clouds each day with highs in the mid to upper 80s. Chance of any one spot getting wet each afternoon is about one in three, with perhaps slightly lower odds Monday.

NEXT WEEK: Looks pretty quiet; we could see a few scattered showers around, but otherwise partly sunny days, fair nights, highs in the 80s. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

KBHM_2015090100_min_max_16

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEATHER: Alabama and Auburn kick off the season Saturday with road games, and both will be played in venues where rain won’t be an issue one way or another. Auburn against Louisville; the game is Saturday at 2:30 in Atlanta in the Georgia Dome. Dry inside, but outside the dome showers are possible with afternoon temperatures in the 80s. Alabama will take on Wisconsin Saturday night at 7:00 (the game is on ABC 33/40) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas… the day will be sunny and hot in the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex with a high in the mid 90s.. cooling down into the 70s Saturday night. No need to bring the retractable roof over the stadium with a clear sky.

BEACH WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather on the Gulf Coast today and tomorrow from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores… then about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily Thursday through the Labor Day weekend, with the usual risk of a passing thunderstorm from time to time. Highs stay in the upper 80s on the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: Fred, in the far eastern Atlantic just northwest of the Cape Verde Islands, has weakened to a tropical storm, and should dissipate over open water in 4-5 days. The rest of the Atlantic basin is very quit.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

I will be speaking to a group of senior adults today at Ridgewood Health Care Center in Jasper… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Mostly Dry Through Mid-Week

| 3:34 pm August 31, 2015

RADAR CHECK: Showers are almost impossible to find on radar this afternoon across the great state of Alabama; a few isolated showers remain possible through the evening, but most communities will be rain-free. Temperatures are in the 80s; today is the 16th consecutive day with a high below 90 degrees at Birmingham.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: An upper ridge will build, meaning hotter afternoons and few showers. We can probably just remove any risk of rain tomorrow and Wednesday; expect a good supply of sunshine both days through scattered clouds with a high not too far from 90 degrees. Any afternoon showers or thunderstorms Thursday and Friday will be pretty widely spaced, otherwise we will have a mixture of sun and clouds both days, and the high will remain close to 90 degrees.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: Moisture levels will increase, so we will have to deal with scattered showers and thunderstorms Saturday through Monday. The chance of any one spot getting wet each day will be about one in three, and afternoon highs will drop back into the mid to upper 80s. There will be some good intervals of sunshine each day, but just be ready for a passing shower or storm from time to time.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: College football begins this weekend. Auburn opens up at home against Louisville; the game is Saturday at 2:30 in Atlanta in the Georgia Dome, so we can promise no rain for the game, but outside the dome showers are possible with afternoon temperatures in the 80s. Alabama will take on Wisconsin Saturday night at 7:00 (the game is on ABC 33/40) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas… the day will be sunny and hot in the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex with a high in the mid 90s… cooling down into the 70s Saturday night.

NEXT WEEK: The week looks cooler, with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s, with some risk of scattered showers. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather on the coast today and tomorrow from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores… then about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily Wednesday through the Labor Day weekend, along with the risk of a few scattered thunderstorms daily. No tropical storms or depressions to worry about. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees.

See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

TROPICS: Hurricane Fred is in the far eastern Atlantic around the Cape Verde Islands with 85 mph winds; it will slowly weaken in coming days as it moves northeast, and is expected to dissipate over the Central Atlantic in about five days. No threat to land.

175010W5_NL_sm

Over in the Pacific, Hurricane Ignacio will pass north of the Hawaiian Islands in coming days..

EP122015W

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s episode tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7” on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Relatively Quiet Weather This Week

| 6:26 am August 31, 2015

STILL BELOW 90: The last time the high at Birmingham was 90 degrees or higher was back on August 15… and with a projected high today in the mid 80s, it should be the 16th consecutive day under 90 degrees. A remarkable run for August in Alabama. Yesterday’s high in Birmingham was only 74 degrees… making the coolest day of the month, and 15 degrees below average.

The upper low that brought the unsettled weather to the state over the weekend has lifted northeast of the state, so today will be drier with only widely scattered showers, mainly over the eastern counties. We will forecast a mix of sun and clouds with a high between 83 and 86 degrees. Nice way to wrap up meteorological summer.

REST OF THE WEEK: Relatively quiet weather continues, and temperatures trend hotter. Afternoon highs will rise to near 90 degrees each day; the sky will be partly sunny, and any afternoon showers or storms will be very isolated. We could begin to see an increase in the number of showers late in the week as moisture levels begin to rise.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND: With moisture levels on the rise, we will have to mention scattered showers and thunderstorms each day, mostly during the afternoon and evening hours. Otherwise, expect a mix of sun and clouds with afternoons highs in the mid to upper 80s Saturday through Monday. Pretty much what you expect over the Labor Day weekend in Alabama.

FOOTBALL WEATHER: Yep, college football begins this weekend. Auburn opens up at home against Louisville; the game is Saturday at 2:30 in Atlanta in the Georgia Dome, so we can promise no rain for the game, but outside the dome showers are possible with afternoon temperatures in the 80s. Alabama will take on Wisconsin Saturday night at 7:00 (the game is on ABC 33/40) at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas… the day will be sunny and hot in the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex with a high in the mid 90s… cooling down into the 70s Saturday night.

NEXT WEEK: The week looks cooler, with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s, with some risk of scattered showers. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Mostly sunny weather on the coast today and tomorrow from Panama City Beach west to Gulf Shores… then about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine daily Wednesday through the Labor Day weekend, along with the risk of a few scattered thunderstorms daily. No tropical storms or depressions to worry about. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees.

TROPICS: Fred in the far eastern Atlantic is now a category one hurricane near the Cape Verde Islands… it will move northwest in coming days, and should weaken later this week as it encounters dry and and shear. No threat to the U.S.

083529W5_NL_sm

The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet, but over in the Pacific things are rocking with three hurricanes…

rb-l

The one closest to Hawaii, Ignacio, will pass north of the islands and slowly weaken this week.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We will produce this week’s show tonight at 8:30 CT… you can watch it on “James Spann 24/7” on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

Facebook
Twitter
Google Plus
Instagram

Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon… enjoy the day!

Sunday Showers

| 12:34 pm August 30, 2015

The upper low that has been spinning along the northern Gulf Coast for the past few days has moved northeast and is located directly over Central Alabama early this afternoon.

Looking at a composite radar loop of the area, you can make out the spin in the atmosphere.

2015-08-30_12-26-21

A solid band of showers marks the western edge of the low’s center with developing showers growing down US-280 from the Birmingham area to around Auburn and Lanett. More storms were developing around Selma. These showers and storms will continue to grow in coverage and intensity as we go through the afternoon in an area of decent instability. CAPE values are running over 2,000 j/kg ni this region.

Drier air is wrapping around the low across southwestern and southern Alabama, allowing some sunshine to return to areas south of Clanton.

Temperatures in places like Montgomery and Auburn have reached 80F. To the north, in the clouds, readings are still in the 70s, and will have a hard time making it very much if at all into the 80s.

Showers should thin out over the next three to four days as

FRED: Tropical Depression Six formed just after midnight this morning and was upgraded to Tropical Storm Fred just a few hours later. Now it appears that it will reach hurricane intensity before it reaches the Cape Verde Islands tomorrow. You’ve heard of the Cape Verdes. We name all the big hurricanes that form in the far eastern Atlantic Cape Verde storms. While many tropical cyclones form near there, few actually affect their namesake islands. Today, the first ever Hurricane Warning has been issued for the islands. The thought of a storm this strong this far out sounds ominous, but it doesn’t appear we will have to worry. Fred should move far enough northwest before turning west to stay well north of the islands of the Caribbean.

Sunday Showers; Six to Fred

| 7:18 am August 30, 2015

Widespread showers developed on Saturday afternoon along the north and eastern periphery of an upper low over the northern Gulf Coast. About 40% of Central Alabama received measurable rain, and about 20% received over one inch of rain. Some areas like eastern Winston and eastern St. Clair Counties picked up over three inches of rain.

EARLY MORNING RADAR CHECK: Kudos to the RPM, the high resolution short range model that correctly saw this morning’s showers that are pitter pattering across Central Alabama. Already 0.17″ of rain in my rain gauge in Vestavia this morning.

SIDEWALK SUNDAY: For the thousands of folks headed downtown today for the Sidewalk Film Festival, there will be scattered showers and storms to dodge, so a small umbrella might not be a bad thing to have along. Having said that, the day will not be a washout by any means. Skies will start out mostly cloudy, with increasing sunshine across western and southern parts of the area during the day. The Northeast stays cloudier most of the day though, holding their temperatures in the lower and middle 80s. Spots with more sunshine will be in the upper 80s.

LET THE THINNING BEGIN: A general trend toward drier is beginning today and will continue into Monday with very few if any, in the way of showers and storms. This will be courtesy of the trough retreating westward a bit and a slightly drier atmosphere. More sunshine will be the rule, and so will warmer temperatures. Readings on Monday will run some 3-4 degrees higher than those of today.

LET THE THINNING CONTINUE: The trend toward drier today will continue into Monday with very few if any, in the way of showers and storms. This will be courtesy of the trough retreating westward a bit and a slightly drier atmosphere. More sunshine will be the rule, and so will warmer temperatures. Readings on Monday will run some 3-4 degrees higher than those of today.
.
TUESDAY AND BEYOND: The subtropical ridge off the East Coast of Florida is acting as a moisture pump, producing lots of showers and storms from the eastern Gulf of Mexico across the Florida Peninsula. In that mess of moisture will be the remnants of Tropical Storm Erika, which dissipated on Saturday. Most of the Sunshine State will get at least two inches of rain in the upcoming five days. Parts of the state will see over four inches. All of this will stay well to the east of Alabama. In fact, we will see only isolated showers and storms across Central Alabama Tuesday through Thursday. Highs will be in the upper 80s and lows near 70F, pretty much normal for this time of year.

LABOR DAY WEEKEND SNEAK PEEK: Indications are that another upper low will develop near New Orleans by Friday. This could provide a sort of repeat performance of this weekend, with increased showers and storms. While the weekend won’t be a washout, we will have to avoid some showers and storms at our events, including football games, lake trips and barbecues. A look at temperatures over the next two weeks shows the annual pilgrimmage back toward the middle 60s for mid-September.

050 16d Temps

IN THE TROPICS: Of course, Labor Day is very near the peak of the North Atlantic Hurricane Season. It is very rare not to have an active tropical cyclone ongoing on Labor Day. Could this be such a year? It is too early to tell. Tropical Depression Six formed early this morning in the far eastern Atlantic and on the 4 a.m. Advisory package, it has already gotten a name. Tropical Storm Fred is so far east it is actually east of the Cape Verde Islands. It is rare for storms to form that far east. Not unprecedented, but rare. The last tropical storm I could find that directly impacted the islands was Beryl in 1982. Tropical storm warnings and a hurricane watch are in effect there for Monday.

It will remain on a general westward course, steered by the semi-permanent feature in the middle of the Atlantic, the Bermuda High. But, Fred will stay north of the Caribbean.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Indications now are that showers and storms will remain east of most of the beautiful beaches of Alabama and Northwest Florida, with the axis of moisture covering the state of Florida. Beach communities from Dauphin Island to Gulf Shores/Orange Beach, Pensacola, Fort Walton, Destin and Panama City should enjoy 8-10 hours of sun each day with only about a 20 percent chance of a shower or storm each day. Rain chances could be a little higher the closer that you get to Panama City. Highs will be near 90F. Lows will be in the middle 70s. Water temperatures are running 83-84F at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab. The rip current risk will be low this week, with most of the storms staying well to the east.

See the complete Gulf Coast 7 Day Planner here. The Gulf Coast Beach Forecast is presented by Gulf Shores Plantation by Mandoki Hospitality Vacation Rentals. Escape to Gulf Shores Plantation where memories last a lifetime.

WEATHERBRAINS: This week, the panel celebrated its 500th show with a litany of special messages from friends of the podcast. Check out the program at www.WeatherBrains.com. You can also subscribe on iTunes. You can watch the show live each Monday night at 8:30 p.m. CDT at live.bigbrainsmedia.com. You will be able to see the show in the James Spann 24×7 weather channel on cable or directly over the air on the dot 2 feed.

ON THIS DATE IN 1985: Massive evacuations were ordered from beachfront communities along the northern Gulf Coast as a strengthening Hurricane Elena made her move toward the coast just before a busy Labor Day weekend. But as the day wore on, Elena stalled and then turned abruptly to the east in response to a frontal trough. Follow my weather history tweets on Twitter. I am @wxhistorian at Twitter.com.