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Category: Alabama’s Weather

Drier Air Arrives Tonight

| 6:06 am July 24, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

FOGGY START: Nothing on radar at daybreak, but we do have areas of dense fog across the northern half of Alabama with very limited visibility in places. NWS Huntsville has issued a Dense Fog Advisory for their counties up in the Tennessee Valley.

A surface front is nearing the Alabama/Tennessee border, and as it drops south we expect developing showers and thunderstorms during the day. The coverage of the rain probably won’t be as great as yesterday, but still some spots could see a heavy downpour. The sky will be cloudy at times, and most places will see a high in the upper 80s.

Drier air will move into North Alabama tonight.

TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND: These three days look mostly rain-free for the northern half of our state, with partly to mostly sunny days and fair nights. Afternoon highs will be at or just over 90 degrees, and showers should be confined to the southern counties of Alabama. Even down there they should be pretty widely separated.

An approaching cold front could bring a band of showers or thunderstorms down into North Alabama Sunday night as the weekend wraps up.

NEXT WEEK: Another high amplitude upper air pattern will become established across the U.S., with a deep long wave trough over the eastern states. Showers and storms are possible Monday, especially during the morning hours, as a cold front moves southward, and we get into another refreshing airmass by Tuesday and Wednesday. Highs will drop into the mid 80s, humidity levels will be low, and nights will be cooler. We are projecting a low near 60 degrees at daybreak Wednesday, which is right at record low territory for July 30 (Birmingham’s record low that morning is 61 set in 1994).

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See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

AT THE BEACH: The weather looks good through the weekend from Panama City over to Gulf Shores, with about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature early this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 82 degrees.

TROPICS: Dry air continues to cover much of the Atlantic basin, and tropical storm formation is not expected through the weekend.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I will be the emcee of the Light The Night Kick Off Celebration to benefit the Leukemia and Lymphoma society today at WorkPlay in Birmingham today… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 or so this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Drier Air Arrives Friday

| 3:48 pm July 23, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

SLOW MOVING SUMMER STORMS: Some communities across the northern half of Alabama have received some big rain totals today due to nearly stationary thunderstorms; the NWS in Huntsville issued a number of flash flood warnings for their counties up in the Tennessee Valley.

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We will maintain the chance of a few showers and storms across Alabama through the night as a surface front approaches from the north.

That front will also mean a good chance of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow; organized severe weather is not expected, although a few storms are certainly possible, much like today. Tomorrow should be the 10th consecutive day with a high below 90 degrees in Birmingham.

FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: Drier air moves down into North Alabama, and these two days should be mostly rain-free for the northern half of the state. Scattered storms will be confined to South Alabama, and our highs will be pretty close to 90 degrees.

A cold front, supported by a deepening upper trough over the eastern third of the nation, will move into Alabama late Sunday or early Monday. The 12Z run of the GFS hints the best chance of showers and storms along the front could very well be from about 9 p.m. Sunday through 9:00 a.m. Monday. Drier air will begin flowing into North Alabama Monday afternoon.

ANOTHER REFRESHING AIRMASS: Here we go again… potential for more record lows across Alabama by Wednesday morning of next week. Highs drop into the low to mid 80s Tuesday and Wednesday with low humidity, and it looks like a low early Wednesday between 58 and 62 (the record low for July 30 is 61, set in 1994). This cool airmass will come at a time when summer heat is typically at it’s peak. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

TROPICS: Tropical depression two dissipated earlier today in the Atlantic, and with very dry air covering much of the Atlantic basin, tropical storm formation is not expected anytime soon.

GULF COAST WEATHER: Not bad at all. We project about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day from panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend with only widely scattered storms each day. Highs in the mid to upper 80s on the immediate coast, with sea water temperatures mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today visiting the kids at the Children’s Library in Alexander City… be looking for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow.

Scattered Showers/Storms Again Today

| 6:08 am July 23, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: All is quiet across the great state of Alabama this morning; temperatures are mostly in the low 70s and there is no rain on radar at daybreak. A blanket of moist air continues to cover Alabama, and on the maps we have a weak upper low near New Orleans. This means the weather won’t change much today; scattered showers and storms will fire up later with a high in the upper 80s in most places.

Birmingham has gone eight consecutive days with a high below 90 degrees, and that streak will most likely continue today.

TOMORROW: We project a higher coverage of showers and thunderstorms tomorrow, especially during the afternoon hours, as a surface front approaches from the north. A few strong storms are possible, but organized severe weather is not likely. The sky will be generally cloudy with a high between 86 and 89 degrees.

DRIER FRIDAY AND SATURDAY: Drier air will move down into the northern half of Alabama on these two days, and the weather looks mostly rain-free with lower humidity levels and a decent amount of sunshine. The high will be around 90 degrees, and scattered storms should be confined to the southern counties of the state.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: Moist air returns Sunday with a chance of showers and thunderstorms, and another surface front will move down this way Sunday night into Monday. The 00Z run of the GFS is faster with the front, and brings down drier air into North Alabama Monday morning. For now we will keep a chance of showers/storms in the forecast Monday, but if the faster trend continues we will trend toward a drier forecast.

NEXT WEEK: Another high amplitude upper pattern will bring another refreshing airmass into Alabama during the mid-week period. Not sure this air will be quiet as cool as the ones we enjoyed earlier this month, but no doubt the humidity will be lower, and the lows Wednesday morning should be in the low 60s, with 50s for the cooler pockets across North Alabama. The record low for Birmingham for July 30 is 61 degrees set in 1994… we might give that a run for the money early Wednesday. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICS: Tropical depression two is hanging in there like a rusty fish hook, despite very dry air surrounding the system and moderate wind shear. This will pass through the Leeward Islands late tonight, and should dissipate, or become a remnant low over the eastern Caribbean late tomorrow. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

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GULF COAST WEATHER: The weather is looking good from Panama City to Gulf Shores through the weekend; about 7 to 9 hours of sunshine each day with only widely scattered storms around. Highs on the immediate coast will be in the upper 80s, and the sea water temperature at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab this morning is 83 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be doing a weather program this morning at the public library in Alexander City… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

No 90s Again Today

| 3:48 pm July 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

“COOL” SUMMER CONTINUES: Today is the 8th consecutive day for Birmingham with a high under 90 degrees; clouds and showers are keeping temperatures down.

Temperatures

Scattered showers and storms are in progress, moving from east to west around the top of an upper low that is over the Mississippi Gulf Coast. Those showers will fade away later tonight.

TOMORROW AND THURSDAY: Moist air stays in place, and we will mention the risk of “scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms” tomorrow with a high in the 87-90 degree range. Then, look for an increase in the number of showers and storms Thursday afternoon and Thursday night as a surface front moves down into North Alabama.

DRIER FRIDAY/SATURDAY: The weather looks generally rain-free for the northern half of Alabama on these two days with lower humidity levels; the risk of scattered showers and storms will continue over the southern counties of the state. Afternoon highs will be around 90 degrees, and we should drop into the 60s early Saturday morning.

SUNDAY/MONDAY: The chance of showers and storms will increase again on these two days; moist air returns Sunday, and a cold front will approach Monday from the north. The high will drop back into the mid to upper 80s because of clouds and showers.

ANOTHER “COOL” SHOT NEXT WEEK: Global models are in good agreement; a vigorous long wave upper trough will form over the eastern half of the nation, pulling down cooler, drier continental air into Alabama Tuesday through Thursday. Looks like we have a chance of going down into the 50s again Wednesday morning, close to record levels for the end of July. This will be one of the coolest Julys on record for many Alabama reporting stations if this verifies.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO: TD 2 in the Atlantic, about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles, is expected to dissipate, or become a remnant low by the time it reaches the islands due to very dry air surrounding the system, and harsh winds aloft. The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: We project about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day on the Gulf Coast through the weekend (from Panama City to Gulf Shores) with the usual daily risk of scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s on the immediate coast, and sea water temperatures are mostly in the mid 80s.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. We enjoyed having Oklahoma City TV meteorologist Gary England on the show last night… scroll down for the show notes.

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I enjoyed speaking to the residents at St. Martin’s in the Pines in Birmingham today… be looking for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

Blanket of Moist Air Hangs Around

| 6:21 am July 22, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

ON THE MAPS: An upper low is over South Alabama this morning, and drifting westward. The position of this feature should bring an increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms to the northern half of the state this afternoon and early tonight. It won’t rain everywhere, but any one spot stands about a 50/50 chance of getting wet. Like recent days, a few heavy downpours are possible. Otherwise, the sky will be occasionally cloudy with a high in the mid to upper 80s.

Interesting to note that Birmingham has gone seven consecutive days with a high below 90 degrees.

TOMORROW AND THURSDAY: The upper low will continue to drift west and dissipate, so we expect rather routine summer weather tomorrow. Partly sunny and the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The high tomorrow will be in the 87 to 90 degree range.

Then, on Thursday, an approaching surface front from the north should bring an increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms during the afternoon and nighttime hours. A few strong storms are possible, but organized severe weather is not likely.

FRIDAY/SATURDAY: The GFS continues to suggest that drier air will cover the northern half of Alabama on these two days, meaning most places will be rain-free, and humidity levels/dewpoints will be a tad lower. The afternoon high should be around 90 on both days.

SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK: Moist air returns Sunday with a chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms, and another “cold front” will push in here late Monday, so the day Monday could be relatively wet with a good chance of showers and storms.

A high amplitude upper air pattern sets up next week with a deep, long wave upper trough over the eastern U.S., and this should set up another refreshing airmass for summer by Tuesday and Wednesday, with lower humidity levels and cooler nights. See the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and details.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO: TD 2 out in the Atlantic between the Lesser Antilles and the coast of Africa will struggle today due to dry air surrounding the system, and harsh winds aloft. NHC expects the system to weaken to a remnant low before it reaches the islands, and it is not expected to reach tropical storm strength.

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Elsewhere, the Atlantic basin is quiet.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 2 to 4 hours of sunshine today from Panama City to Gulf Shores with scattered showers and storms. Then, for the rest of the week and the weekend, brighter weather with 6 to 8 hours of sun each day with showers and storms being more widely scattered. Highs will hold in the mid to upper 80s along the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 84 degrees.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night with Gary England of Oklahoma City.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I will be speaking today at St. Martin’s in the Pines in Birmingham… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

Warm, Moist Air Stays In Place

| 3:40 pm July 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Scattered showers and storms continue, mostly over the eastern half of Alabama at mid-afternoon. There is very little movement… just a drift toward the west/northwest, so some places have seen heavy rain. Temperatures are mostly in the 80s… this will be the seventh consecutive day with a high below 90 degrees in Birmingham. Quite remarkable for mid-July.

An upper low is over East Alabama, and is expected to drift southwest, toward Mobile tomorrow. This should mean a rather unsettled day tomorrow for the state, with a mostly cloudy sky and scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. Once again the high should be in the 80s due to clouds and showers.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY: The upper low will weaken and dissipate, so Wednesday looks like a typical summer day with a partly sunny and the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. Then, an approaching front should bring an increase in the number of showers and storms to the northern half of the state Thursday afternoon into Thursday night.

The latest GFS (12Z run) brings drier air down into North Alabama Friday, suggesting the highest risk of showers and storms will come over South Alabama.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: For now Saturday looks relatively rain-free with only isolated showers, but a disturbance in the northwest flow aloft across the Deep South could bring an increase in the number of showers and thunderstorms Saturday night or Sunday. Highs this weekend should be close to 90 degrees.

LONG RANGE: Global models are showing another deep, long wave upper trough over the eastern U.S. in 9-12 days; this could bring another “cool” and refreshing airmass down into the southern states during a time when summer heat is usually peaking. Let’s hope this verifies.

GULF COAST WEATHER: About 4-6 hours of sun tomorrow along the coast from Panama City to Gulf Shores with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Then, we expect increasing amounts of sun and fewer showers Thursday and Friday. Highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s along the immediate coast, and the NWS Mobile has been warning of dangerous rip tides in coastal waters. Sea water temperatures are mostly in the low to mid 80s.

NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION: The disturbance in the Atlantic about halfway between the coast of Africa and the Windward Islands has become the second tropical depression of the season in the Atlantic basin. The good news is that this is not expected to reach tropical storm strength, and should dissipate before reaching the islands due to harsh environmental conditions.

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The rest of the Atlantic basin is quiet.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Oklahoma City TV weather legend Gary England will join us this week… the show will be produced tonight at 8:30 CT. You can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow….

Warm and Humid; Scattered Showers

| 6:23 am July 21, 2014

An all new edition of the ABC 33/40 Weather Xtreme video is available in the player on the right sidebar of the blog. You can subscribe to the Weather Xtreme video on iTunes by clicking here.

RADAR CHECK: Rain is falling early this morning over parts of Northeast Alabama’s Etowah, Cherokee, and DeKalb Counties… these showers are showing little movement. The rest of the state is dry with temperatures mostly in the upper 60s and low 70s.

A broad upper low is over East Alabama and Georgia this morning, and this should keep the best chance of showers over the eastern half of the state today. The highest amount of sunshine will be over the western counties, and most places will see a high somewhere between 86 and 89 degrees. Interesting to note the last time we saw a high of 90 or higher (in Birmingham) was one week ago… Monday July 14. A remarkable steak for the middle of July.

THE WEEK AHEAD: The upper low will drift to the southwest tomorrow, which should mean a better coverage of showers and storms across Alabama. It won’t rain everywhere, but a number of communities should see a good shower during the day, and highs will remain in the mid to upper 80s.

Then, Wednesday looks like a rather typical summer day. Partly sunny; the risk of scattered, mostly afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. We could touch 90 degrees Wednesday afternoon.

The GFS continues with the idea of a surface front approaching the state from the north Thursday and Friday, which could provide an increase in the number of scattered showers and storms over the northern counties of the state.

SATURDAY/SUNDAY: For the moment the GFS is suggesting the weekend will be relatively dry with only isolated showers, but the door is open for a wave to move into the state on a northwest flow aloft, and trying to identify this kind of feature is almost impossible five days in advance. For now we will just mention widely scattered showers and storms both days with a high close to, or just over 90 degrees.

VOODOO LAND: The European model is suggesting a deep upper trough will form over the eastern U.S. again at the end of July, which could set up another unusually “cool”, dry airmass for Alabama.

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Could we be setting up for another round of record lows? We will just have to wait and see. Check out the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

GULF COAST WEATHER: For the coast from Panama City over to Gulf Shores this week, it looks like rather routine summer weather with about 6 to 8 hours of sunshine each day along with the risk of scattered thunderstorms. Highs will be in the 85 to 88 degree range on the immediate coast, and the sea water temperature this morning at the Dauphin Island Sea Lab is 81 degrees.

TROPICS: A weak disturbance southwest of the Cape Verde Islands should dissipate later this week, and tropical storm formation is not expected in the Atlantic basin anytime soon.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Oklahoma City TV weather legend Gary England will be our guest on this week’s show, which we will produce tonight at 8:30 CT. You can watch it on “James Spann 24/7″ on cable systems around the state, or on the web here.

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Look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon…. enjoy the day…

Droughtwatch

| 3:23 pm July 20, 2014

Lots of folks across the middle of Alabama, from Cullman County southward to Autauga County have been very dry recently.

In fact, most of the five county Birmingham metro area have only received 10-25% of their typical rainfall over the past 30 days.

Click image to enlarge

Click image to enlarge

These areas need 1-2 inches of rain just to make up for the short-term deficits.

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The GFS predicts 3-4 inches of rain over the next 16 days. We will keep our fingers crossed.

Click image to enlarge.

Click image to enlarge.

The good news is that of last week, no part of Alabama was in full scale drought conditions. Abnormally dry conditions, according to the Drought Monitor, extend in a big backwards “C”, across Jefferson and Shelby Counties, over to and down the Georgia border into the Wiregrass of Southeast Alabama.

Click image to enlarge.

Click image to enlarge.